BIRKConsumer Cyclical · Footwear & AccessoriesThe 23 Wall Street analysts covering Birkenstock Holding Plc hold a median 12-month price target of $49 — +46.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 16 of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Birkenstock Holding Plc on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (51): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Momentum (15): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BIRK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +46.1% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Initiates | Market Perform | $35 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 14 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 July 2026 | Seaport Global | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Raymond James | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 14 May 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 May 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Piper Sandler | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Seaport Global | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Telsey Advisory Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 29 Jan 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BIRK appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, Birkenstock Holding Plc returned −20.0% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 46% of US stocks
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Birkenstock Holding Plc has a market value of $5.6B and an enterprise value of $8.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.3B. The latest quarter grew 13.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $335.9M, a 14.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.83.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $291.4M.
Birkenstock Holding Plc spent $0.0 on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.2×; forward P/E: 12.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Birkenstock Holding Plc employs 6,800 people — $333K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Birkenstock Holding Plc — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Birkenstock reported rising sales and raised its outlook, while a contrarian investor disclosed a sizable stake. Despite these developments, the stock has fallen this year and is near its lows.
Why it matters — BIRK watchers may note the contrast between stronger business updates and the stock's recent performance.
Seeking Alpha rates Birkenstock “Strong Buy,” citing its brand equity, growth prospects, and a valuation it considers attractive. The excerpt points to Q3 revenue growth of 13% year over year, strong direct-to-consumer momentum, APAC outperformance, and raised full-year guidance, alongside expansion in closed-toe styles and Asia, particularly China.
Why it matters — The results and guidance update, together with the cited growth priorities, provide context on factors shaping the company’s outlook.
The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Birkenstock Holding Plc have a median 12-month price target of $49, with estimates ranging from $34 to $68. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 23 analysts covering Birkenstock Holding Plc, 18 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Birkenstock Holding Plc 16 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 15 Oct 2026, Birkenstock Holding Plc ranks 16 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (51 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 23 analysts implies +46.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Birkenstock Holding Plc 16 out of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Birkenstock Holding Plc publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BIRK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $34 to $68 over the next 12 months.
Birkenstock Holding Plc returned -20.0% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Birkenstock Holding plc is a holding company for the Birkenstock Group, a global footwear business known for footbed-based products. Birkenstock Holding plc designs, manufactures, and sells sandals, shoes, and closed-toe silhouettes built around its anatomically shaped footbeds, alongside skincare products and accessories.
The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 14 Oct 2026): "Birkenstock's Strong Growth Creates a Buying Opportunity". Birkenstock reported rising sales and raised its outlook, while a contrarian investor disclosed a sizable stake. Despite these developments, the stock has fallen this year and is near its lows.
Birkenstock Holding plc is a holding company for the Birkenstock Group, a global footwear business known for footbed-based products. Birkenstock Holding plc designs, manufactures, and sells sandals, shoes, and closed-toe silhouettes built around its anatomically shaped footbeds, alongside skincare products and accessories. Its product range serves everyday leisure and workwear needs and is distributed across major regions including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. The company sells through e-commerce channels, owned retail stores, and business-to-business relationships, giving it a broad presence in both direct-to-consumer and wholesale markets. Headquartered in London, Birkenstock Holding plc remains a well-recognized name in the premium footwear segment, with its core business centered on comfort-oriented, function-driven products.
CEO Mr. Oliver Christian Joachim Reichert · 6,800 employees · United Kingdom · https://www.birkenstock-holding.com
