NKEConsumer Cyclical · Footwear & AccessoriesThe 39 Wall Street analysts covering NIKE, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $47 — +21.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 26 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores NIKE, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (95): The share price has been relatively steady.
Momentum (4): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NKE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | Truist Securities | Downgrade | Hold | $47 → $42 |
| 25 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | $45 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Underweight | $47 → $40 |
| 1 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | $55 → $47 |
| 1 July 2026 | Baird | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Baird | Reiterates | Outperform | $70 |
| 1 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $67 → $52 |
| 1 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | $80 → $72 |
| 1 July 2026 | BNP Paribas | Reiterates | Underperform | — |
| 1 July 2026 | BNP Paribas | Reiterates | Underperform | $23 |
| 1 July 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $55 |
| 1 July 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $47 → $45 |
| 1 July 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $74 → $60 |
| 1 July 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | $90 → $75 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NKE appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 27 Aug 2026, NIKE, Inc. returned −49.4% against +20.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 27% of US stocks
Cheaper than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
NIKE, Inc. has a market value of $57.2B and an enterprise value of $59.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $46.4B. The latest quarter shrank 1.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.1B, a 6.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.09.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $2.2B, after $684.0M of capital spending.
NIKE, Inc. spent $146.0M on share buybacks and $2.4B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.
Trailing P/E: 18.8×; forward P/E: 16.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 4.25%, paying out 78% of earnings.
NIKE, Inc. employs 73,000 people — $636K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| NKENIKE, Inc. | $57.2B | 33 |
| DECKDeckers Outdoor Corp. | $12.4B | 60 |
| ONONOn Holding AG | $9.5B | 33 |
| CROXCrocs, Inc. | $5.9B | 88 |
| SHOOSteven Madden Ltd. | $3.3B | 95 |
| FFord Motor Co.* | $55.4B | 64 |
| AZOAutoZone, Inc.* | $49.9B | 48 |
* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few footwear & accessories companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own NIKE, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Truist downgraded Nike after weakness at Dick's Sporting Goods signaled concerns about footwear demand. The downgrade pushed Nike stock to a 10-year low on Aug. 26, 2026.
Why it matters — A major analyst downgrade tied to retail footwear softness points to weakening demand expectations for Nike's core product category.
Dick's Sporting Goods issued a warning, and both Dick's and JD Sports' commentary points to a difficult retail environment. The Motley Fool notes this challenging climate is likely to extend to other retailers, including Lululemon, and bodes poorly for Nike.
Why it matters — A NKE watcher would care because weakness at major sporting-goods retailers suggests Nike may face a tougher demand environment in its retail channel.
Nike Inc. stock declined on Wednesday after key retail partner Dick's Sporting Goods reported weaker-than-expected corporate earnings. The results raised concerns about a prolonged turnaround for the footwear company.
Why it matters — A dip in earnings from a major retail partner is seen as a signal of ongoing weakness in Nike's retail performance and a longer path to recovery.
A Zacks Investment Research report notes that NIKE and Intuitive Surgical shares have underperformed significantly in 2026, describing a frustrating year for both stocks. The article discusses whether these beaten-down stocks can bounce back.
Why it matters — NIKE watchers would care because the report highlights the company's notable share underperformance in 2026 and frames it as a potential turnaround question.
Nike (NKE) shares fell 3.12% in the most recent trading session, closing at $39.48, even as the broader market rose. The decline marks a notable move for the stock against an upward market trend.
Why it matters — A NKE watcher would care because the stock's decline against a rising market signals underperformance that could reflect company-specific pressures.
The 39 Wall Street analysts covering NIKE, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $47, with estimates ranging from $23 to $94. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 39 analysts covering NIKE, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 25 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks NIKE, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 26 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 26 Aug 2026, NIKE, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (95 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 39 analysts implies +21.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks NIKE, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 26 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering NIKE, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NKE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $23 to $94 over the next 12 months.
NIKE, Inc. returned -49.4% over the 12 months to 27 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Nike, Inc. Class B Common Stock represents equity in Nike, Inc., a global sportswear company focused on athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories, and related services.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 26 Aug 2026): "Stock Market Today, Aug. 26: Nike Stock Hits 10-Year Low on Analyst Downgrade Following Retail Footwear Concerns". Truist downgraded Nike after weakness at Dick's Sporting Goods signaled concerns about footwear demand. The downgrade pushed Nike stock to a 10-year low on Aug. 26, 2026.
Nike, Inc. Class B Common Stock represents equity in Nike, Inc., a global sportswear company focused on athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories, and related services. Nike serves consumers across men’s, women’s, and kids’ product lines, with offerings that span performance gear, lifestyle footwear, training apparel, and sports-inspired products. The company also operates digital commerce and brand experiences that support product discovery, direct-to-consumer sales, and customer engagement. Nike’s business reaches a broad international market through multiple regions, making it a major participant in the consumer discretionary and apparel sectors. The Class B shares reflect ownership in a company whose core role is to design, market, and distribute branded products for sport, fitness, and everyday wear.
CEO Mr. Elliott J. Hill · 73,000 employees · United States · https://www.nike.com
