BLDRBLDRIndustrials · Building Products & Equipment

BLDR Stock Forecast: Builders FirstSource, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$51
−2.30% on the day

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Builders FirstSource, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $73 — +44.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$5.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
42 / 100
Median analyst target
$73
Analysts covering
24
Revenue$3.9B−8.8% y/y
Operating income$128.5M
Net income−$3.9M
Free cash flow$30.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.7%
1M
−16.1%
YTD
−50.9%
1Y
−60.6%
From 52W high
−60.8%
From 52W low
0.0%
$51
$129
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BLDR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Builders FirstSource, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
42 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
93
Value
88
Accruals
78
Quality
53
Volatility
46
Revisions
36
Growth
25
Size
21
Momentum
7

Issuance (93): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Momentum (7): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BLDR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BLDR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120$140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BLDRHigh $100Median $73Low $52

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says24 analysts
10 Buy12 Hold2 Sell
Low $52Median $73High $100

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +44.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 10 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$90 → $70
7 Oct 2026RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform$88 → $62
1 Oct 2026StoneXMaintainsBuy$100 → $85
11 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$65 → $63
11 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Aug 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Perform—
21 Aug 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Perform—
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
31 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$93 → $81
31 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
31 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$110 → $90
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$107 → $88
31 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$115 → $90
31 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$122 → $88
31 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
31 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$85 → $65
28 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BLDR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BLDR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Builders FirstSource, Inc. returned −60.6% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BLDR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BLDRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BLDR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−27.4%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
56.2×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 85% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.5×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−8.8%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−8.8%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Gross margin
28.1%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Operating margin
3.3%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Net margin
0.7%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
2.5%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Builders FirstSource, Inc. has a market value of $5.6B and an enterprise value of $10.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $14.4B. The latest quarter shrank 8.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $102.5M, a 0.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.91.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $639.3M.

  • Builders FirstSource, Inc. spent $303.5M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 107.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 56.2×; forward P/E: 12.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Builders FirstSource, Inc. employs 28,000 people — $516K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BLDR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBuilding Products & Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc.$5.6B
42
AAONAAON, Inc.$6.6B
35
LPXLouisiana-Pacific Corp.$4.7B
22
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.$4.6B
44
TREXTrex Co., Inc.$4.5B
58
AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc.$7.0B
58
GFFGriffon Corp.$4.3B
96

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Builders FirstSource, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BLDR news & analysis

Black Bear Value Partners Q3 2026 - Top 5 Businesses We Own

Seeking Alpha · 13 Oct 2026negative

Black Bear Value Fund returned +2.5% in the third quarter and +4.1% year to date through September. Builders FirstSource declined approximately 36% during the quarter and was down roughly 45% year to date as housing weakness continued to pressure results.

Why it matters — The report highlights continued housing weakness and substantial declines in BLDR shares over the quarter and year to date.

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Oct 2026negative

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) closed at $52.91, down 1.67% from its previous close, despite gains in the broader market, according to the excerpt.

Why it matters — The move and closing price provide BLDR watchers a snapshot of the stock’s latest trading-day performance relative to the market.

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026neutral

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) closed its most recent trading day at $56.25, down 1.92% from the previous session, a move that came as the broader market gained. The decline follows a single-day drop in the stock's price.

Why it matters — BLDR watchers would note that the stock underperformed the market on the day, marking a price movement worth monitoring for short-term direction.

Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026neutral

Builders FirstSource (BLDR) has recently been one of the most-watched stocks on Zacks.com. Zacks is exploring what lies ahead for the company, noting the stock's rising attention among investors.

Why it matters — The elevated investor interest signals that BLDR watchers are closely monitoring the company's near-term outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BLDR stock

What is the BLDR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Builders FirstSource, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $73, with estimates ranging from $52 to $100. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BLDR stock a buy right now?

Of the 24 analysts covering Builders FirstSource, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Builders FirstSource, Inc. 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BLDR?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Builders FirstSource, Inc. ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (93 of 100).

Will BLDR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +44.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Builders FirstSource, Inc. 42 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BLDR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Builders FirstSource, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BLDR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $52 to $100 over the next 12 months.

How has BLDR stock performed over the past year?

Builders FirstSource, Inc. returned -60.6% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Builders FirstSource, Inc. do?

Builders FirstSource Inc. is a U.S.

What is the latest news on BLDR?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 13 Oct 2026): "Black Bear Value Partners Q3 2026 - Top 5 Businesses We Own". Black Bear Value Fund returned +2.5% in the third quarter and +4.1% year to date through September. Builders FirstSource declined approximately 36% during the quarter and was down roughly 45% year to date as housing weakness continued to pressure results.

Company

About Builders FirstSource, Inc.

Builders FirstSource Inc. is a U.S. building materials and construction products company that serves professional homebuilders, remodelers, and contractors. Builders FirstSource supplies structural building products, manufactured components, and related services used in new residential construction as well as repair and remodeling. Its portfolio includes roof and floor trusses, wall panels, stairs, engineered wood, windows, doors, millwork, siding, decking, and other exterior and interior building materials. The company also provides value-added services such as design support, estimating, fabrication, delivery, and jobsite installation, helping customers streamline residential construction workflows. Builders FirstSource plays a central role in the housing supply chain by combining distribution, manufacturing, and service capabilities across a broad U.S. market footprint. Headquartered in Irving, Texas, and founded in 1998, Builders FirstSource focuses on serving both large production builders and smaller custom homebuilding customers with integrated building solutions.

CEO Mr. Peter M. Jackson CPA · 28,000 employees · United States · https://www.bldr.com