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BRCB Stock Forecast: Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$8.19
+2.25% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $12 — +46.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 2 of 100 as at 14 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$172.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
2 / 100
Median analyst target
$12
Analysts covering
8
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+11.4%
1M
+2.0%
YTD
−63.2%
From high
−70.6%
From low
+32.3%
$6
$28
Range since 12 Sept 2025, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BRCB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Aug 2026
2 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
56
Revisions
43
Accruals
24
Value
20
Quality
13
Issuance
4
Volatility
2
Momentum
1
Growth
0

Size (56): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Growth (0): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BRCB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BRCB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, since 12 Sept 2025Adjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BRCBHigh $20Median $12Low $9

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says8 analysts
5 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $9Median $12High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +46.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$15 → $10
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$22 → $9.00
8 June 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral$9.00
8 June 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral—
13 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
13 May 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
5 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
21 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
21 Apr 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
6 Mar 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy—
21 Jan 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
16 Oct 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform—
7 Oct 2025BairdInitiatesOutperform—
7 Oct 2025JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
7 Oct 2025JP MorganInitiatesNeutral—
7 Oct 2025Morgan StanleyInitiatesOverweight—
7 Oct 2025William BlairInitiatesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BRCB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

BRCB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.4%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
—
Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 75% of US stocks

Price / book
3.1×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
25.6×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
25.0%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
29.5%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Gross margin
29.7%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.5%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Net margin
0.7%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−22.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.4%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

BRCB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BRCBBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.$172.8M
2
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.$396.6M
76
PTLOPortillo's, Inc.$391.9M
17
DINDine Brands Global, Inc.$460.7M
79
LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.$465.5M
100
JACKJack in the Box, Inc.$321.8M
39
KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.$641.4M
27

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BRCB news & analysis

BLACK ROCK COFFEE BAR DEADLINE AUGUST 17th: Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. Reminds Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Investors They Have Until August 17th to Contact the Firm Seeking Lead Plaintiff Role

GlobeNewsWire · 14 Aug 2026negative

Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. reminded Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. investors of an August 17th deadline to contact the firm regarding the lead plaintiff role. The notice pertains to investors who purchased Class A common stock in the September 2025 IPO or other securities between September 12, 2025 and May 12, 2026.

Why it matters — A BRCB watcher would care because this notice signals potential securities litigation tied to the company's IPO and subsequent trading period, which could carry legal and financial risk for the company.

Deadline Alert: Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) Shareholders Who Lost Money Urged To Contact Glancy Prongay Wolke & Rotter LLP About Securities Fraud Lawsuit

GlobeNewsWire · 14 Aug 2026negative

Glancy Prongay Wolke & Rotter LLP reminded Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) shareholders of the August 17, 2026 deadline to file a lead plaintiff motion in a securities class action. The lawsuit covers BRCB securities sold between September 12, 2025 and May 12, 2026.

Why it matters — A BRCB watcher would care because the company is the subject of a securities fraud class action with a key filing deadline approaching.

SueWallSt Reminds Shareholders of a Lead Plaintiff Deadline of August 17, 2026 in Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Lawsuit - BRCB

PRNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026negative

SueWallSt announced that a securities class action has been filed against Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. The lawsuit alleges that the company's registration statement for its September 2025 IPO concealed material cannibalization risks, and it reminds shareholders who acquired BRCB shares in or traceable to the IPO of a lead plaintiff deadline of August 17, 2026.

Why it matters — A securities class action alleging that the IPO registration statement concealed material risks could be significant for BRCB watchers tracking the company's legal and regulatory exposure.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BRCB stock

What is the BRCB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $12, with estimates ranging from $9 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BRCB stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. 2 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BRCB?

As at 14 Aug 2026, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. ranks 2 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (56 of 100).

Will BRCB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +46.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. 2 out of 100 as at 14 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BRCB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BRCB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9 to $20 over the next 12 months.

What does Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. do?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is a rapidly expanding operator of drive-thru coffee bars, primarily focused on serving premium roasted coffees, teas, smoothies, and proprietary energy drinks.

What is the latest news on BRCB?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 14 Aug 2026): "BLACK ROCK COFFEE BAR DEADLINE AUGUST 17th: Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. Reminds Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Investors They Have Until August 17th to Contact the Firm Seeking Lead Plaintiff Role". Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. reminded Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. investors of an August 17th deadline to contact the firm regarding the lead plaintiff role. The notice pertains to investors who purchased Class A common stock in the September 2025 IPO or other securities between September 12, 2025 and May 12, 2026.

Company

About Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is a rapidly expanding operator of drive-thru coffee bars, primarily focused on serving premium roasted coffees, teas, smoothies, and proprietary energy drinks. Founded in 2008 and headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, the company has grown from a single compact drive-thru location to a recognized national brand with 158 stores across seven U.S. states as of June 2025. Distinguished by a guest-centric approach, Black Rock Coffee Bar emphasizes community connection and exceptional in-store experiences crafted by engaging baristas. It operates exclusively through company-owned locations, making it the largest fully company-owned coffee retailer in the U.S. Its business model targets high growth, with consistent same-store sales increases and a robust digital presence—including a loyalty program that has garnered over 1.8 million members, accounting for a majority of transaction volume. Black Rock Coffee Bar plays a significant role in the non-alcoholic beverages and consumer staples sector, appealing to evolving consumer trends for convenience, quality, and community-oriented service in the highly competitive coffee industry.

CEO Mr. Mark D. Davis · 2,800 employees · United States · https://www.br.coffee