BRCBConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — +14.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 4 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (56): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Growth (0): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BRCB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | Baird | Downgrade | Neutral | $12 → $10 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Baird | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $15 → $10 |
| 16 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $22 → $9.00 |
| 16 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 8 June 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Neutral | $9.00 |
| 8 June 2026 | Piper Sandler | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 13 May 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 May 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 May 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Mar 2026 | DA Davidson | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Raymond James | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 16 Oct 2025 | Raymond James | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 7 Oct 2025 | Baird | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 7 Oct 2025 | Jefferies | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 7 Oct 2025 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 7 Oct 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Initiates | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
BRCB appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 22 Oct 2026, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. returned −61.8% against +15.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 7% of US stocks
Cheaper than 71% of US stocks
Cheaper than 27% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. has a market value of $191.4M and an enterprise value of $421.4M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $223.6M. The latest quarter grew 25.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.9M, a 2.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.07.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$40.4M.
Trailing P/E: 107.8×; forward P/E: 31.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. employs 2,800 people — $80K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Black Rock Coffee Bar announced it plans to host a conference call to discuss its third quarter 2026 financial results on November 10, 2026, at 5:00 p.m.
Why it matters — BRCB watchers can note the scheduled call for information about the company’s third-quarter results.
Zacks Investment Research added BRCB to its Rank #5 (Strong Sell) list on October 16, 2026, alongside CSIQ and VLRS.
Why it matters — The Zacks ranking is a negative assessment of BRCB in this item.
Black Rock Coffee Bar is continuing its expansion in the Valley with a new Goodyear location at Bullard Ave & McDowell Rd, which will celebrate its grand opening on September 27th.
Why it matters — A BRCB watcher would care because this highlights the company's ongoing expansion into new markets.
Black Rock Coffee Bar announced the opening of a new store in Montclair, California, expanding its footprint in the state. The company, founded in Oregon, is known for its specialty coffees, teas, smoothies, and Fuel energy drinks.
Why it matters — BRCB watchers would care because continued store expansion in California signals ongoing retail growth for the chain.
Black Rock Coffee Bar is expanding its Austin-area footprint with the opening of a new store in Leander, Texas. The Oregon-born boutique coffee chain is known for its specialty coffees, teas, smoothies, and signature Fuel energy drinks.
Why it matters — The new Leander location signals continued geographic growth in the Austin market, expanding the chain's retail presence beyond its Oregon roots.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $8 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. 4 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Oct 2026, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. ranks 4 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (56 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +14.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. 4 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BRCB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8 to $18 over the next 12 months.
Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. returned -61.8% over the 12 months to 22 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. Class A Common Stock represents equity ownership in Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., a Scottsdale, Arizona-based company that operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars across the United States.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 20 Oct 2026): "Black Rock Coffee Bar Announces Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call". Black Rock Coffee Bar announced it plans to host a conference call to discuss its third quarter 2026 financial results on November 10, 2026, at 5:00 p.m.
Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. Class A Common Stock represents equity ownership in Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., a Scottsdale, Arizona-based company that operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars across the United States. The business focuses on premium caffeinated beverages and a broad menu that includes espresso drinks, brewed coffee, teas, energy drinks, smoothies, and food items served through its coffee bar format. Its stores are designed around convenience, speed, and a guest-centric experience, making the brand relevant in the quick-service restaurant and specialty beverage markets. Black Rock Coffee Bar serves everyday consumers seeking grab-and-go beverages and food, while its retail model positions it within the competitive coffeehouse segment of the consumer discretionary sector. As a publicly traded class A share, it provides market participants exposure to a branded beverage and food service operator with a primarily company-owned retail footprint.
CEO Mr. Mark D. Davis · 2,800 employees · United States · https://www.br.coffee
