TICKERNERD
Menu
BRCBBRCBConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

BRCB Stock Forecast: Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$7.16
+3.77% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +39.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 4 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$155.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
4 / 100
Median analyst target
$10
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$63.0M+25.0% y/y
Operating income$5.4M
Net income$3.2M
Free cash flow−$4.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−18.2%
1M
−9.4%
YTD
−67.8%
1Y
−74.2%
From 52W high
−74.3%
From 52W low
+15.7%
$6
$28
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BRCB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Sept 2026
4 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
58
Revisions
54
Accruals
24
Value
20
Quality
13
Volatility
11
Issuance
4
Momentum
0
Growth
0

Size (58): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Growth (0): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BRCB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BRCB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BRCBHigh $20Median $10Low $9

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
4 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $9Median $10High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +39.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 Aug 2026BairdDowngradeNeutral$12 → $10
12 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
12 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$15 → $10
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$22 → $9.00
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
8 June 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral$9.00
8 June 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral—
13 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
13 May 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
5 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
21 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
21 Apr 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
6 Mar 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy—
21 Jan 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
16 Oct 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform—
7 Oct 2025BairdInitiatesOutperform—
7 Oct 2025JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
7 Oct 2025JP MorganInitiatesNeutral—
7 Oct 2025Morgan StanleyInitiatesOverweight—
7 Oct 2025William BlairInitiatesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BRCB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BRCB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. returned −74.2% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BRCB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BRCBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BRCB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+39.2%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
—
Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

Price / book
2.9×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
24.2×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
25.0%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
25.0%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Gross margin
30.3%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.5%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Net margin
0.7%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−22.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.4%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. has a market value of $155.0M and an enterprise value of $385.0M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $223.6M. The latest quarter grew 25.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $4.9M, a 2.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.07.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$40.4M.

  • Shares outstanding: 22.2M.

  • forward P/E: 25.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. employs 2,800 people — $80K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 16 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BRCB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BRCBBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.$155.0M
4
DINDine Brands Global, Inc.$364.3M
77
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.$400.5M
74
KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.$418.1M
31
LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.$429.0M
100
PTLOPortillo's, Inc.$285.5M
19
JACKJack in the Box, Inc.$250.4M
42

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BRCB news & analysis

Black Rock Coffee Bar Continues Expansion in Colorado with New Highlands Ranch Location

GlobeNewsWire · 11 Sept 2026positive

Black Rock Coffee Bar announced the opening of a new store in Highlands Ranch, Colorado, continuing its expansion within the state. The Oregon-born boutique coffee chain cited its specialty coffees, teas, smoothies, and Fuel energy drinks as part of its offering.

Why it matters — This marks continued geographic growth for Black Rock Coffee Bar in Colorado, indicating the company is expanding its retail footprint.

Black Rock Coffee Bar Continues Expansion in the Valley with New Chandler Location

GlobeNewsWire · 11 Sept 2026positive

Black Rock Coffee Bar is continuing its expansion in the Valley with a new Chandler location at McQueen & Queen Creek Rd, which is scheduled to celebrate its grand opening on September 15th.

Why it matters — The opening of a new store signals ongoing growth of the company's retail footprint in the Arizona market.

Black Rock Coffee Bar Continues Expansion in California with New Lake Elsinore Location

GlobeNewsWire · 1 Sept 2026positive

Black Rock Coffee Bar, an Oregon-born boutique coffee chain known for specialty coffees, teas, smoothies, and Fuel energy drinks, announced the opening of a new store in Lake Elsinore, California, continuing its expansion in the state. The announcement was made by the Scottsdale, AZ-based company on Sept. 01, 2026.

Why it matters — This news signals continued geographic growth for BRCB, extending its brand presence and retail footprint in the California market.

Black Rock Coffee Bar Continues Expansion in Colorado with New Colorado Springs Location

GlobeNewsWire · 28 Aug 2026positive

Black Rock Coffee Bar announced the opening of a new store in Colorado Springs, Colorado, at 2933 Sage St, which will open on Sunday, August 30. The expansion adds to the company's growing presence in Colorado.

Why it matters — For watchers of Black Rock Coffee Bar, this new location signals continued geographic expansion and growth of the company's retail footprint in Colorado.

BRCB Investors Have Opportunity to Lead Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Securities Fraud Lawsuit with SBS Law

PRNewsWire · 17 Aug 2026negative

SBS Law reminded investors of a pending class action securities fraud lawsuit against Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (NASDAQ: BRCB), alleging violations of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and Rule 10b-5. Shareholders who bought BRCB shares during the stated class period are invited to contact the firm regarding lead plaintiff appointments.

Why it matters — BRCB watchers would care because the company faces an active securities fraud class action that could carry legal and financial implications.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BRCB stock

What is the BRCB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $9 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BRCB stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. 4 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BRCB?

As at 17 Sept 2026, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. ranks 4 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (58 of 100).

Will BRCB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +39.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. 4 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BRCB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BRCB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has BRCB stock performed over the past year?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. returned -74.2% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. do?

Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. Class A Common Stock represents equity ownership in Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., a Scottsdale, Arizona-based company that operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars across the United States.

What is the latest news on BRCB?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 11 Sept 2026): "Black Rock Coffee Bar Continues Expansion in Colorado with New Highlands Ranch Location". Black Rock Coffee Bar announced the opening of a new store in Highlands Ranch, Colorado, continuing its expansion within the state. The Oregon-born boutique coffee chain cited its specialty coffees, teas, smoothies, and Fuel energy drinks as part of its offering.

Company

About Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.

Black Rock Coffee Bar Inc. Class A Common Stock represents equity ownership in Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., a Scottsdale, Arizona-based company that operates a chain of drive-thru coffee bars across the United States. The business focuses on premium caffeinated beverages and a broad menu that includes espresso drinks, brewed coffee, teas, energy drinks, smoothies, and food items served through its coffee bar format. Its stores are designed around convenience, speed, and a guest-centric experience, making the brand relevant in the quick-service restaurant and specialty beverage markets. Black Rock Coffee Bar serves everyday consumers seeking grab-and-go beverages and food, while its retail model positions it within the competitive coffeehouse segment of the consumer discretionary sector. As a publicly traded class A share, it provides market participants exposure to a branded beverage and food service operator with a primarily company-owned retail footprint.

CEO Mr. Mark D. Davis · 2,800 employees · United States · https://www.br.coffee