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BRCB Stock Forecast: Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$7.89
−2.11% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +90.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 1 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$173.9M
Ticker Nerd rank
1 / 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
8
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.3%
1M
−5.7%
YTD
−64.5%
From high
−71.7%
From low
+27.5%
$6
$28
Range since 12 Sept 2025, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BRCB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
1 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
56
Revisions
51
Accruals
8
Value
4
Volatility
2
Issuance
2
Quality
1
Momentum
1
Growth
0

Size (56): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Growth (0): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

BRCB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BRCB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, since 12 Sept 2025Adjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BRCBHigh $22Median $15Low $9

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says8 analysts
5 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $9Median $15High $22

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +90.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight$22 → $9.00
8 June 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral$9.00
8 June 2026Piper SandlerInitiatesNeutral—
13 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
13 May 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
5 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
21 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
21 Apr 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
6 Mar 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy—
21 Jan 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
16 Oct 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform—
7 Oct 2025BairdInitiatesOutperform—
7 Oct 2025JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
7 Oct 2025JP MorganInitiatesNeutral—
7 Oct 2025Morgan StanleyInitiatesOverweight—
7 Oct 2025William BlairInitiatesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

BRCB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.4%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
—
Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 74% of US stocks

Price / book
3.1×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
29.0×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
23.7%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
29.5%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Gross margin
29.7%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.0%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Net margin
0.2%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−30.5%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.0%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

BRCB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BRCBBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.$173.9M
1
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.$401.2M
74
PTLOPortillo's, Inc.$346.4M
13
DINDine Brands Global, Inc.$468.9M
80
LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.$493.1M
99
JACKJack in the Box, Inc.$309.3M
42
KRUSKura Sushi USA, Inc.$558.0M
27
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BRCB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest BRCB news & analysis

BRCB Deadline: BRCB Investors Have Opportunity to Lead Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Securities Lawsuit

PRNewsWire · 3 Aug 2026negative

Rosen Law Firm has reminded Black Rock Coffee Bar investors of the August 17, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline for a securities lawsuit related to the company's September 2025 IPO and a class period from September 12, 2025 to May 12, 2026.

Why it matters — BRCB shareholders who purchased stock during the specified period may be eligible for compensation, and the lawsuit introduces legal risk for the company.

BRCB Investors Have Opportunity to Lead Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Securities Fraud Lawsuit with SBS Law

GlobeNewsWire · 3 Aug 2026negative

A shareholder rights law firm, SBS, has reminded investors of a class action securities fraud lawsuit against Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., alleging violations of federal securities laws. Shareholders who bought BRCB shares during a specified class period are encouraged to contact the firm about possible lead plaintiff appointments.

Why it matters — BRCB investors should be aware that a securities fraud lawsuit has been filed against the company, which could lead to financial liabilities and reputational damage.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Investor Alert: Contact SBS by August 17, 2026 for Opportunity to Lead Securities Fraud Lawsuit

PRNewsWire · 3 Aug 2026negative

Schall Brown & Schwartz LLP has issued an investor alert reminding purchasers of Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (NASDAQ: BRCB) securities of a pending class action lawsuit alleging violations of securities laws, with August 17, 2026 set as the deadline to seek lead plaintiff status. The firm notes that affected investors may be eligible for compensation without out-of-pocket fees.

Why it matters — A securities fraud class action and an active investor alert about a lead-plaintiff deadline signal potential legal and regulatory exposure for BRCB that stockholders may want to monitor.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Sued for Securities Law Violations - Contact the DJS Law Group to Discuss Your Rights - BRCB

PRNewsWire · 3 Aug 2026negative

The DJS Law Group announced a securities class action lawsuit against Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (NASDAQ: BRCB), alleging violations of Sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and Rule 10b-5. Shareholders who purchased BRCB shares during the listed class period are invited to contact the firm about possible lead plaintiff appointments.

Why it matters — BRCB watchers would care because the company now faces a formal securities lawsuit that could result in legal and financial exposure for the company.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Stock Drop - Robbins LLP Reminds BRCB Stockholders of the Opportunity to Recover Their Losses

GlobeNewsWire · 31 July 2026negative

Robbins LLP has reminded Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB) stockholders that a class action lawsuit has been filed on behalf of investors who purchased securities in connection with the September 2025 IPO or between September 12, 2025 and May 12, 2026. The stock recently dropped.

Why it matters — BRCB watchers would care because the company now faces a securities class action lawsuit related to its recent IPO and a specific trading period.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BRCB stock

What is the BRCB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $9 to $22. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BRCB stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. 1 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BRCB?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. ranks 1 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (56 of 100).

Will BRCB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +90.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. 1 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BRCB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BRCB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9 to $22 over the next 12 months.

What does Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. do?

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is a rapidly expanding operator of drive-thru coffee bars, primarily focused on serving premium roasted coffees, teas, smoothies, and proprietary energy drinks.

What is the latest news on BRCB?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 3 Aug 2026): "BRCB Deadline: BRCB Investors Have Opportunity to Lead Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. Securities Lawsuit". Rosen Law Firm has reminded Black Rock Coffee Bar investors of the August 17, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline for a securities lawsuit related to the company's September 2025 IPO and a class period from September 12, 2025 to May 12, 2026.

Company

About Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.

Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. is a rapidly expanding operator of drive-thru coffee bars, primarily focused on serving premium roasted coffees, teas, smoothies, and proprietary energy drinks. Founded in 2008 and headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona, the company has grown from a single compact drive-thru location to a recognized national brand with 158 stores across seven U.S. states as of June 2025. Distinguished by a guest-centric approach, Black Rock Coffee Bar emphasizes community connection and exceptional in-store experiences crafted by engaging baristas. It operates exclusively through company-owned locations, making it the largest fully company-owned coffee retailer in the U.S. Its business model targets high growth, with consistent same-store sales increases and a robust digital presence—including a loyalty program that has garnered over 1.8 million members, accounting for a majority of transaction volume. Black Rock Coffee Bar plays a significant role in the non-alcoholic beverages and consumer staples sector, appealing to evolving consumer trends for convenience, quality, and community-oriented service in the highly competitive coffee industry.

CEO Mr. Mark D. Davis · 2,800 employees · United States · https://www.br.coffee