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PTLOPTLOConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

PTLO Stock Forecast: Portillo's, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$4.42
+0.45% on the day

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Portillo's, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $5.5 — +24.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 19 of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$320.5M
Ticker Nerd rank
19 / 100
Median analyst target
$5.50
Analysts covering
13
Revenue$199.0M+5.6% y/y
Operating income$14.3M
Net income$7.2M
Free cash flow$5.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.0%
1M
−2.4%
YTD
−2.6%
1Y
−34.5%
From 52W high
−35.2%
From 52W low
+16.0%
$3.81
$6.82
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PTLO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Portillo's, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Sept 2026
19 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
63
Size
60
Value
49
Accruals
48
Revisions
37
Quality
29
Issuance
27
Growth
21
Momentum
10

Volatility (63): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (10): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PTLO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PTLO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.00$12.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PTLOHigh $11.00Median $5.50Low $5.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says13 analysts
4 Buy9 Hold0 Sell
Low $5.00Median $5.50High $11.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Aug 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight$5.00
7 May 2026GuggenheimDowngradeNeutral—
7 May 2026GuggenheimDowngradeNeutral—
6 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$7.00 → $6.00
6 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$8.00 → $6.00
6 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
6 May 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight—
6 May 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight$6.00
6 May 2026StifelMaintainsHold—
6 May 2026StifelMaintainsHold$6.00 → $5.00
5 May 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight$6.00
5 May 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight—
9 Mar 2026Wolfe ResearchInitiatesPeer Perform—
6 Mar 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesNeutral—
16 Jan 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
7 Jan 2026StifelDowngradeHold—
6 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
5 Nov 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
5 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PTLO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PTLO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Portillo's, Inc. returned −34.5% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PTLO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PTLOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PTLO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−9.8%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Portillo's, Inc. (PTLO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.6×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 84% of US stocks

Price / book
0.7×

Cheaper than 82% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.3×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.6%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−20.2%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Gross margin
39.3%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.4%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Net margin
1.9%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
2.7%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.8%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Portillo's, Inc. (PTLO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Portillo's, Inc. has a market value of $320.5M and an enterprise value of $1.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $748.8M. The latest quarter grew 5.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $13.7M, a 1.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.18.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$9.2M.

  • Shares outstanding: 72.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 24.6×; forward P/E: 19.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Portillo's, Inc. employs 7,890 people — $95K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PTLO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PTLOPortillo's, Inc.$320.5M
19
JACKJack in the Box, Inc.$305.0M
43
NATHNathan's Famous, Inc.$403.5M
76
DINDine Brands Global, Inc.$413.3M
78
LOCOEl Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.$460.4M
100
BRCBBlack Rock Coffee Bar, Inc.$479.7M
3
RICKRCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.$226.3M
62

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Portillo's, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PTLO news & analysis

Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason

Seeking Alpha · 20 Aug 2026negative

Seeking Alpha rates Portillo's, Inc. (PTLO) a Hold, citing structural headwinds including a ~$343M Tax Receivable Agreement liability roughly equal to its market cap. The article notes margin compression, negative comparable sales, and that the Up-C/TRA structure routes 85% of tax benefits to pre-IPO owners, impairing free cash flow yield and takeout scenarios, while the company pursues cheaper builds and disciplined development.

Why it matters — A PTLO watcher would care because the report highlights structural financial and operational constraints—TRA liability, margin pressure, and negative comps—that may limit the company's upside and free cash flow generation.

Portillo's and Dr Pepper “Shake” Things Up, Launching Limited-Time Shake and Cake Shake

GlobeNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026positive

Portillo's and Dr Pepper announced a limited-time "Shake" and "Cake Shake" beverage collaboration, described as a deliciously rich new drink offering fans another reason to treat themselves this summer. The release highlights the partnership's appeal during the summer season.

Why it matters — A limited-time product collaboration with a major brand like Dr Pepper could draw customer interest and drive sales for Portillo's during the summer months.

Portillo's: Decaying Sales While Leveraged Balance Sheet Limits Expansion Potential

Seeking Alpha · 8 Aug 2026negative

Portillo's reported disappointing Q2 results with declining same-restaurant sales amid a weaker consumer environment, and the company cut its full-year guidance. A recent ~10% rebound in the stock is viewed by the author as unsustainable given the company's deteriorating outlook.

Why it matters — A PTLO watcher would care because the company faces ongoing sales declines and a deteriorating demand outlook that also limits its expansion potential given its leveraged balance sheet.

Portillo's Inc. (PTLO) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Portillo's, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and the full transcript of the call was published by Seeking Alpha. The item consists solely of the earnings call transcript headline.

Why it matters — A PTLO watcher would care because the Q2 2026 earnings call transcript provides the company's own discussion of its most recent quarterly results and outlook.

Portillo's Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Portillo's reported second-quarter revenue growth of 5.6% to $199 million, driven by new restaurant openings. Same-restaurant sales declined 1.2%, attributed to comparisons with prior-year promotions, a breakfast pilot, and cannibalization from newer locations.

Why it matters — The report gives PTLO watchers the latest split between top-line growth and softening comparable-store sales, key indicators for the chain's expansion strategy.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PTLO stock

What is the PTLO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 13 Wall Street analysts covering Portillo's, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $5.5, with estimates ranging from $5 to $11. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PTLO stock a buy right now?

Of the 13 analysts covering Portillo's, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Portillo's, Inc. 19 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PTLO?

As at 5 Sept 2026, Portillo's, Inc. ranks 19 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (63 of 100).

Will PTLO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 13 analysts implies +24.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Portillo's, Inc. 19 out of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PTLO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Portillo's, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PTLO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $5 to $11 over the next 12 months.

How has PTLO stock performed over the past year?

Portillo's, Inc. returned -34.5% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Portillo's, Inc. do?

Portillo's Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Portillo’s, a fast-casual restaurant company focused on Chicago-style street food and American comfort favorites.

What is the latest news on PTLO?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 20 Aug 2026): "Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason". Seeking Alpha rates Portillo's, Inc. (PTLO) a Hold, citing structural headwinds including a ~$343M Tax Receivable Agreement liability roughly equal to its market cap. The article notes margin compression, negative comparable sales, and that the Up-C/TRA structure routes 85% of tax benefits to pre-IPO owners, impairing free cash flow yield and takeout scenarios, while the company pursues cheaper builds and disciplined development.

Company

About Portillo's, Inc.

Portillo's Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Portillo’s, a fast-casual restaurant company focused on Chicago-style street food and American comfort favorites. Portillo’s operates a menu built around hot dogs, Italian beef sandwiches, burgers, salads, fries, shakes, and desserts, serving customers through dine-in, drive-thru, digital ordering, and delivery channels. The company’s business centers on a recognizable restaurant format that combines prepared food service with a branded dining experience, supported by company-operated locations and food production commissaries. Portillo’s serves the consumer dining market in the United States and has positioned itself within the broader quick-service and fast-casual restaurant segment. Headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois, Portillo’s Inc. uses its restaurant network and multichannel service model to deliver a distinctive menu and customer experience across its operating markets.

CEO Mr. Brett A. Patterson · 7,890 employees · United States · https://www.portillos.com