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CARRIndustrials · Building Products & Equipment

CARR Stock Forecast: Carrier Global Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$59
+2.61% on the day

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Carrier Global Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $78 — +32.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 47 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$47.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
47 / 100
Median analyst target
$78
Analysts covering
24
Revenue$6.4B+3.9% y/y
Operating income$770.0M
Net income$541.0M
Free cash flow$810.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.4%
1M
−6.5%
YTD
+13.1%
1Y
−4.0%
From 52W high
−22.0%
From 52W low
+18.7%
$50
$76
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CARR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Carrier Global Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
47 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
81
Value
71
Accruals
70
Issuance
63
Volatility
50
Momentum
38
Quality
37
Growth
27
Size
6

Revisions (81): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Growth (27): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CARR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CARR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80$90Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CARRHigh $90Median $78Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says24 analysts
14 Buy10 Hold0 Sell
Low $60Median $78High $90

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +32.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$79 → $80
10 June 2026BernsteinInitiatesMarket Perform—
28 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
1 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
1 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
1 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
14 Apr 2026BNP ParibasInitiatesNeutral—
13 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupInitiatesOutperform—
1 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
1 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
6 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
6 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Jan 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
12 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
5 Jan 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
5 Jan 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
10 Dec 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CARR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CARR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Carrier Global Corp. returned −4.0% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CARR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CARRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CARR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.2%
Analysts raising
23
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Carrier Global Corp. (CARR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
40.9×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.1×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / book
3.6×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
19.2×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
3.9%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−15.2%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Gross margin
27.2%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Operating margin
13.1%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Net margin
5.5%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.0%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.0%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.7%

Higher than 38% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Carrier Global Corp. (CARR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Carrier Global Corp. has a market value of $47.2B and an enterprise value of $59.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $22.1B. The latest quarter grew 3.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.3B, a 6.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.44.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.9B, after $459.0M of capital spending.

  • Carrier Global Corp. spent $2.0B on share buybacks and $782.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 825.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 40.9×; forward P/E: 17.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.68%, paying out 66% of earnings.

  • Carrier Global Corp. employs 47,000 people — $470K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CARR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBuilding Products & Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CARRCarrier Global Corp.$47.2B
47
JCIJohnson Controls International Plc$85.1B
92
TTTrane Technologies plc$97.3B
69
MASMasco Corp.$14.0B
70
CSLCarlisle Cos., Inc.$14.0B
60
LIILennox International, Inc.$13.1B
32
MAIRMadison Air Solutions Corp.$12.9B
2

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Carrier Global Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CARR news & analysis

Carrier to Present at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference

PRNewsWire · 1 Sept 2026neutral

Carrier Global announced that Chairman & CEO David Gitlin and Executive Vice President & CFO Patrick Goris will present at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference on Tuesday, September 1, 2026.

Why it matters — Attendance at a major investor conference gives Carrier's leadership a platform to communicate with the investment community, which is of interest to shareholders tracking the company.

Why Is Carrier Global (CARR) Down 2% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Carrier Global reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has since declined 2%. The article examines what may come next for the company following that earnings report.

Why it matters — Carrier watchers would care because the piece offers a look at the stock's post-earnings performance and what may lie ahead.

Are Construction Stocks Lagging Carrier Global (CARR) This Year?

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares the year-to-date performance of Carrier Global (CARR) and Frontdoor (FTDR) against their sector, examining whether construction stocks are lagging. The article highlights how these companies have fared relative to their industry peers so far this year.

Why it matters — A CARR watcher would care because this comparison shows how the company's stock performance stacks up against its sector and a comparable peer, which could inform their view of the company's relative standing.

After Plunging 7.4% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for Carrier Global (CARR)

Zacks Investment Research · 26 Aug 2026positive

Carrier Global (CARR) has fallen 7.4% over the past four weeks and is now trading in technically oversold territory. According to Zacks, heavy selling pressure may be exhausted, and strong agreement among Wall Street analysts revising earnings estimates higher suggests the stock could be poised for a trend reversal.

Why it matters — CARR watchers would care because the combination of an oversold technical position and upward analyst estimate revisions may signal that the recent selloff is ending and a turnaround could be underway.

Zacks Industry Outlook Comfort Systems, Carrier Global and SPX Technologies

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an Industry Outlook article that highlighted Comfort Systems, Carrier Global and SPX Technologies. The article notes that these three companies were featured in the outlook.

Why it matters — A Carrier Global watcher would care because the company is featured in a Zacks industry outlook article, providing broader sector context for CARR.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CARR stock

What is the CARR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Carrier Global Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $78, with estimates ranging from $60 to $90. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CARR stock a buy right now?

Of the 24 analysts covering Carrier Global Corp., 14 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Carrier Global Corp. 47 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CARR?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Carrier Global Corp. ranks 47 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (81 of 100).

Will CARR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +32.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Carrier Global Corp. 47 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CARR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Carrier Global Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CARR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $90 over the next 12 months.

How has CARR stock performed over the past year?

Carrier Global Corp. returned -4.0% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Carrier Global Corp. do?

Carrier Global Corp. is a global provider of climate and energy solutions focused on heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and building automation.

What is the latest news on CARR?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 1 Sept 2026): "Carrier to Present at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference". Carrier Global announced that Chairman & CEO David Gitlin and Executive Vice President & CFO Patrick Goris will present at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference on Tuesday, September 1, 2026.

Company

About Carrier Global Corp.

Carrier Global Corp. is a global provider of climate and energy solutions focused on heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and building automation. The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers with products and services that support indoor comfort, air quality, energy management, and temperature-controlled transport and storage. Its portfolio includes HVAC systems, controls, aftermarket parts, maintenance, monitoring, and digital lifecycle services designed to improve the performance of buildings and cold-chain operations. Carrier Global Corp. also offers refrigeration technologies for transportation and commercial applications, along with fire and security solutions that help protect people, assets, and critical infrastructure. With operations across major regions worldwide, the company plays a central role in equipment and services markets tied to buildings, logistics, and environmental control.

CEO Mr. David L. Gitlin · 47,000 employees · United States · https://www.carrier.com