The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Carrier Global Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $76 — +36.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 46 of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Carrier Global Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (80): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Growth (27): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CARR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +36.1% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $85 → $74 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Overweight | $67 |
| 13 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $79 → $80 |
| 13 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 June 2026 | Bernstein | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
| 28 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 1 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 14 Apr 2026 | BNP Paribas | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Feb 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 16 Jan 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CARR appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Carrier Global Corp. returned −5.2% against +16.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Carrier Global Corp. has a market value of $46.6B and an enterprise value of $57.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $22.1B. The latest quarter grew 3.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.3B, a 6.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.44.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.9B, after $459.0M of capital spending.
Carrier Global Corp. spent $2.0B on share buybacks and $782.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 40.7×; forward P/E: 16.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.76%, paying out 67% of earnings.
Carrier Global Corp. employs 47,000 people — $470K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Carrier Global Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Carrier Global said it will release its third-quarter 2026 earnings on Thursday, Oct. 29, 2026, and host a conference call and webcast at 7:30 a.m.
Why it matters — The advisory gives CARR watchers the date and time of the company’s quarterly earnings release and related call.
Carrier Global Corporation’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.24 per outstanding share of common stock.
Why it matters — CARR watchers may note the declared quarterly dividend as a company capital-return announcement.
Zacks Investment Research examines how Carrier Global (CARR) and Emcor Group (EME) have performed compared to their construction sector so far this year. The article compares the year-to-date returns of these two companies against the broader industry.
Why it matters — CARR watchers would gain insight into how the company's stock performance stacks up against both a key competitor and its overall sector.
Barron's published a list of AI-related industrial stocks recommended by Wells Fargo analyst Stephen Tusa, naming Carrier Global among the seven picks alongside Vertiv, Trane, Johnson Controls, Dover, Eaton, and Emerson Electric.
Why it matters — Carrier Global was singled out by a major research firm as an AI-focused industrial stock, which may draw attention from investors following the company.
Seeking Alpha rates Carrier Global as a Buy, citing robust data center and commercial HVAC demand, expanding capacity, and improving residential and European markets. The report notes Q2 2026 data center orders surged 300% year-over-year, with related revenue expected to double to $2B in 2026 and exceed $3B in 2027, alongside rebounding short-cycle segments.
Why it matters — A CARR watcher would care because the report highlights strong data center order growth and a recovering residential market as key drivers behind the positive rating.
The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Carrier Global Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $76, with estimates ranging from $60 to $90. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 25 analysts covering Carrier Global Corp., 14 rate it a Buy, 11 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Carrier Global Corp. 46 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 7 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 7 Oct 2026, Carrier Global Corp. ranks 46 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (80 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +36.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Carrier Global Corp. 46 out of 100 as at 7 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Carrier Global Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CARR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $90 over the next 12 months.
Carrier Global Corp. returned -5.2% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Carrier Global Corp. is a global provider of climate and energy solutions focused on heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and building automation.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 8 Oct 2026): "Carrier Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Advisory". Carrier Global said it will release its third-quarter 2026 earnings on Thursday, Oct. 29, 2026, and host a conference call and webcast at 7:30 a.m.
Carrier Global Corp. is a global provider of climate and energy solutions focused on heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and building automation. The company serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers with products and services that support indoor comfort, air quality, energy management, and temperature-controlled transport and storage. Its portfolio includes HVAC systems, controls, aftermarket parts, maintenance, monitoring, and digital lifecycle services designed to improve the performance of buildings and cold-chain operations. Carrier Global Corp. also offers refrigeration technologies for transportation and commercial applications, along with fire and security solutions that help protect people, assets, and critical infrastructure. With operations across major regions worldwide, the company plays a central role in equipment and services markets tied to buildings, logistics, and environmental control.
CEO Mr. David L. Gitlin · 47,000 employees · United States · https://www.carrier.com
