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JCI Stock Forecast: Johnson Controls International Plc Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 15 Oct 2026
$148
−3.16% on the day

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering Johnson Controls International Plc hold a median 12-month price target of $171 — +15.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 91 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$94.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
91 / 100
Median analyst target
$171
Analysts covering
22
Revenue$6.6B+9.3% y/y
Operating income$1.1B
Net income$752.0M
Free cash flow$1.2B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.1%
1M
+7.1%
YTD
+24.3%
1Y
+34.4%
From 52W high
−7.0%
From 52W low
+37.2%
$108
$159
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

JCI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Johnson Controls International Plc on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
91 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
99
Revisions
94
Momentum
91
Growth
76
Volatility
68
Quality
66
Accruals
62
Value
44
Size
3

Issuance (99): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Value (44): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

JCI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on JCI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26JCIHigh $193Median $171Low $129

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says22 analysts
12 Buy8 Hold2 Sell
Low $129Median $171High $193

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +15.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$157 → $170
8 Oct 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$152 → $175
25 Sept 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight—
25 Sept 2026Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight$186
2 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$175 → $180
2 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
14 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$173 → $190
14 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$155 → $157
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$154 → $161
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
9 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
9 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$140 → $175
2 June 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform$154
2 June 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform—
2 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
2 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$170 → $180
27 May 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform—
7 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. JCI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

JCI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 15 Oct 2026, Johnson Controls International Plc returned +34.4% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

JCI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26JCIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

JCI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.6%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
44.2×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.8×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
7.0×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
23.8×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.3%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
6.8%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.4%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Operating margin
15.9%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Net margin
14.3%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.3%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.4%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.0%

Higher than 71% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Johnson Controls International Plc has a market value of $94.8B and an enterprise value of $103.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $25.0B. The latest quarter grew 9.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $3.7B, a 14.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.75.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B, after $373.0M of capital spending.

  • Johnson Controls International Plc spent $5.9B on share buybacks and $977.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 610.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 44.2×; forward P/E: 25.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.02%, paying out 45% of earnings.

  • Johnson Controls International Plc employs 87,000 people — $287K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

JCI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBuilding Products & Equipment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
JCIJohnson Controls International Plc$94.8B
91
TTTrane Technologies Plc$104.5B
70
CARRCarrier Global Corp.$44.7B
46
MASMasco Corp.$13.7B
69
CSLCarlisle Cos., Inc.$13.3B
58
LIILennox International, Inc.$12.2B
33
MAIRMadison Air Solutions Corp.$11.7B
2

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Johnson Controls International Plc — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest JCI news & analysis

Johnson Controls: Owning The Hard Parts Of Cooling Is Paying Off Investment Thesis

Seeking Alpha · 13 Oct 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha article gives Johnson Controls a Buy rating, citing operationally driven EPS growth, cost discipline and SG&A leverage. It notes that services growth lags systems growth and that the current valuation is above its five-year average.

Why it matters — The article highlights JCI's earnings drivers and the gap between systems and services growth, alongside its valuation relative to historical levels.

Johnson Controls Announces Fourth Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call Webcast

PRNewsWire · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Johnson Controls International plc announced its fourth quarter fiscal 2026 earnings conference call webcast, scheduled for Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET, accessible live via webcast with a slide presentation available that morning.

Why it matters — Investors and analysts tracking JCI will have a scheduled date and access point to hear the company's fourth quarter earnings results.

Vertiv and 6 More AI Industrial Stocks to Buy Now

Barrons · 25 Sept 2026positive

Barron's reported that Wells Fargo analyst Stephen Tusa recommended AI industrial stocks, naming Johnson Controls among seven picks that also include Vertiv, Carrier Global, Trane, Dover, Eaton, and Emerson Electric.

Why it matters — JCI watchers would care because the company was highlighted by a prominent analyst as an AI-related industrial investment opportunity.

Sensormatic Solutions Predicts 2026's Busiest Holiday Shopping Days in Asia Pacific

Business Wire · 22 Sept 2026neutral

Sensormatic Solutions, Johnson Controls' global retail solutions portfolio, released its annual predictions for the holiday season's busiest shopping days. Based on ShopperTrak Analytics traffic data, it forecasts Boxing Day (Dec. 26) to drive in-store activity across Asia Pacific, particularly in Australia and New Zealand.

Why it matters — This highlights JCI's retail analytics business and its use of data to guide retailers ahead of key shopping periods.

Sensormatic Solutions Predicts 2026'S Busiest Holiday Shopping Days Around the World

Business Wire · 22 Sept 2026neutral

Sensormatic Solutions, the retail solutions portfolio of Johnson Controls, released its annual global predictions for the holiday season's busiest shopping days. Its ShopperTrak Analytics traffic data predicts Black Friday (Nov. 27) will again be the biggest day for U.S. holiday store visits, followed by Super Saturday (Dec. 19) and the second Saturday in December (Dec. 12).

Why it matters — JCI watchers would care because this highlights the ongoing analytical capabilities and brand visibility of Sensormatic Solutions, a key component of Johnson Controls' retail business.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about JCI stock

What is the JCI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering Johnson Controls International Plc have a median 12-month price target of $171, with estimates ranging from $129 to $193. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is JCI stock a buy right now?

Of the 22 analysts covering Johnson Controls International Plc, 12 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Johnson Controls International Plc 91 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank JCI?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Johnson Controls International Plc ranks 91 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (99 of 100).

Will JCI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +15.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Johnson Controls International Plc 91 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the JCI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Johnson Controls International Plc publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for JCI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $129 to $193 over the next 12 months.

How has JCI stock performed over the past year?

Johnson Controls International Plc returned +34.4% over the 12 months to 15 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Johnson Controls International Plc do?

Johnson Controls International plc is a building technology company focused on creating safer, smarter, and more efficient environments. Johnson Controls International plc designs, manufactures, installs, and services HVAC equipment, building automation and controls, refrigeration systems, integrated security, and fire detection and suppression solutions.

What is the latest news on JCI?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 13 Oct 2026): "Johnson Controls: Owning The Hard Parts Of Cooling Is Paying Off Investment Thesis". A Seeking Alpha article gives Johnson Controls a Buy rating, citing operationally driven EPS growth, cost discipline and SG&A leverage. It notes that services growth lags systems growth and that the current valuation is above its five-year average.

Company

About Johnson Controls International Plc.

Johnson Controls International plc is a building technology company focused on creating safer, smarter, and more efficient environments. Johnson Controls International plc designs, manufactures, installs, and services HVAC equipment, building automation and controls, refrigeration systems, integrated security, and fire detection and suppression solutions. Its offerings support commercial, industrial, institutional, and residential buildings, helping customers manage comfort, safety, energy use, and operations through connected systems and digital services. The company also provides maintenance, retrofit, and technical services that extend the life and performance of building infrastructure. With a broad product and service portfolio, Johnson Controls International plc plays an important role in the global building systems market, where demand centers on operational efficiency, resilience, and integrated facility management.

CEO Mr. Joakim Weidemanis · 87,000 employees · Ireland · https://www.johnsoncontrols.com