CAVACAVAConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

CAVA Stock Forecast: Cava Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 22 Oct 2026
$55
−0.58% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Cava Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $85 — +54.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$6.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
33/ 100
Median analyst target
$85
Analysts covering
28
Revenue$368.4M+26.1% y/y
Operating income$34.8M
Net income$23.0M
Free cash flow$29.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.3%
1M
+3.8%
YTD
−6.8%
1Y
−15.0%
From 52W high
−43.9%
From 52W low
+25.4%
$44
$97
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CAVA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Cava Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Oct 2026
33/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
79
Accruals
59
Revisions
58
Growth
57
Momentum
36
Issuance
31
Volatility
23
Value
23
Size
20

Quality (79): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Value (23): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (20): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CAVA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CAVA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$40$60$80$100$120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CAVAHigh $110Median $85Low $18

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says28 analysts
19 Buy8 Hold1 Sell
Low $18Median $85High $110

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +54.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 9 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
22 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$79 → $66
22 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$90 → $85
21 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$85 → $78
8 Oct 2026Melius ResearchUpgradeBuy$95
18 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$85 → $80
18 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
17 Sept 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$95 → $85
17 Sept 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
16 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy$58
16 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy—
13 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$84 → $75
13 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
13 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
13 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$100 → $95
12 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
12 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$110 → $95
12 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$85 → $70
12 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
12 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
12 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$90 → $95

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

CAVA appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

CAVA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 22 Oct 2026, Cava Group, Inc. returned −15.0% against +15.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CAVA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CAVAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CAVA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−1.5%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Cava Group, Inc. (CAVA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
99.4×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.6×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Price / book
7.6×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
40.3×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
31.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
25.3%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.9%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Operating margin
7.6%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Net margin
4.8%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.3%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.5%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Cava Group, Inc. (CAVA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Cava Group, Inc. has a market value of $6.4B and an enterprise value of $6.5B.

  • Shares outstanding: 115.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 99.4×; forward P/E: 73.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Cava Group, Inc. employs 13,480 people.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 23 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CAVA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CAVACava Group, Inc.$6.4B33
JMKEJersey Mike's Subs, Inc.$5.6B0
CAKECheesecake Factory, Inc.$5.6B92
BROSDutch Bros, Inc.$7.3B35
EATBrinker International, Inc.$7.9B90
DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc.$10.5B64
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$11.4B54

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Cava Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CAVA news & analysis

CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 23 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that CAVA has recently received notable attention from users of Zacks.com. The excerpt says readers should be aware of facts that could affect the stock’s prospects.

Why it matters — CAVA watchers may note the increased user attention and the article’s focus on factors that could influence the stock’s prospects.

Cava Group (CAVA) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Oct 2026negative

Cava Group (CAVA) closed at $55 in the most recent trading session, down 4.26% from the previous trading day. The headline reports that the stock fell as the broader market gained.

Why it matters — CAVA watchers may note the stock’s decline contrasted with gains in the broader market.

CAVA vs. Celsius: Which Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 21 Oct 2026positive

The Motley Fool compares CAVA and Celsius, noting CAVA’s continued Mediterranean fast-casual expansion alongside strong digital engagement and loyalty growth. It contrasts this with Celsius’s distribution partnership and triple-digit international revenue growth.

Why it matters — The comparison highlights CAVA’s expansion and customer-engagement trends for investors following the company.

Dutch Bros vs. CAVA: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 20 Oct 2026neutral

The Motley Fool compares Dutch Bros and CAVA, noting Dutch Bros’ beverage customization and drive-thru expansion alongside CAVA’s Mediterranean fast-casual niche and strong digital sales.

Why it matters — The comparison highlights CAVA’s positioning and digital sales as context for investors following the company.

Cava Group (CAVA) Surpasses Market Returns: Some Facts Worth Knowing

Zacks Investment Research · 19 Oct 2026positive

Cava Group (CAVA) closed the recent trading day at $57.90, up 1.14% from the preceding trading day, according to Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — The report notes CAVA’s latest daily share-price movement, which may be relevant to investors tracking the stock.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CAVA stock

What is the CAVA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Cava Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $85, with estimates ranging from $18 to $110. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CAVA stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Cava Group, Inc., 19 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Cava Group, Inc. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CAVA?

As at 22 Oct 2026, Cava Group, Inc. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (79 of 100).

Will CAVA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +54.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Cava Group, Inc. 33 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CAVA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Cava Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CAVA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $18 to $110 over the next 12 months.

How has CAVA stock performed over the past year?

Cava Group, Inc. returned -15.0% over the 12 months to 22 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Cava Group, Inc. do?

Cava Group, Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant company focused on Mediterranean-inspired cuisine.

What is the latest news on CAVA?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 23 Oct 2026): "CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know". Zacks Investment Research reports that CAVA has recently received notable attention from users of Zacks.com. The excerpt says readers should be aware of facts that could affect the stock’s prospects.

Company

About Cava Group, Inc.

Cava Group, Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant company focused on Mediterranean-inspired cuisine. Cava Group operates company-owned restaurants under the CAVA brand across the United States, serving customizable bowls, pitas, salads, and a variety of fresh ingredients designed for convenient, made-to-order meals. The company also extends its brand beyond restaurants through CAVA Foods, which produces dips and spreads for use in its restaurants and for sale in grocery channels. Its business combines dine-in, digital ordering, delivery, catering, and consumer packaged goods, positioning it within the broader limited-service restaurant market and the growing health-focused dining segment. Headquartered in Washington, D.C., Cava Group emphasizes flavorful, accessible meals that appeal to a wide range of customers seeking Mediterranean-style food in a fast-casual setting.

CEO Mr. Brett Schulman · 13,480 employees · United States · https://cava.com