CAVAConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 28 Wall Street analysts covering Cava Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $85 — +56.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Cava Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (79): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Volatility (20): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CAVA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +56.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $85 → $80 |
| 17 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $95 → $85 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Buy | $58 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $84 → $75 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $95 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $110 → $95 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $85 → $70 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $90 → $95 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Roth Capital | Reiterates | Buy | $106 → $95 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Roth Capital | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $85 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Wolfe Research | Maintains | Outperform | $79 → $82 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Wolfe Research | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CAVA appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Cava Group, Inc. returned −13.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 7% of US stocks
Cheaper than 26% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 6% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Cava Group, Inc. has a market value of $6.4B and an enterprise value of $6.4B.
Trailing P/E: 97.1×; forward P/E: 73.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Cava Group, Inc. employs 13,480 people.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Cava Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Cava Group (CAVA) shares closed at $54.10 in the most recent trading day, up 1.81% from the prior session, according to a Zacks Investment Research report. The gain came despite a broader market dip.
Why it matters — A CAVA watcher would note the stock's resilience with a gain even as the wider market declined, reflecting its recent trading performance.
CAVA announced the appointment of John Ludeke as Chief Marketing Officer, effective October 12. Ludeke will lead the company's marketing organization and work closely with key functions as CAVA expands nationally and strengthens its brand.
Why it matters — A new chief marketing officer signals CAVA's focus on deepening guest relationships and brand-building during its national expansion, which could influence its competitive positioning.
Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) and Cava Group (CAVA) as value stock options within the Retail - Restaurants sector. The piece poses the question of which of the two stocks is more attractive to value investors.
Why it matters — A CAVA watcher would find this piece relevant as it evaluates how CAVA is positioned relative to a peer restaurant stock from a value-investing perspective.
Zacks Investment Research compares Chipotle (CMG) and CAVA as fast-casual stocks, noting the two companies offer distinct growth paths shaped by differences in scale, valuation, and margins.
Why it matters — The piece frames how CAVA's investment case differs from Chipotle's on key fundamentals, giving investors a reference point for CAVA's relative position in the fast-casual space.
The article reports that several underperforming companies across the housing, restaurant, and aviation industries have announced significant buyback programs, including a major U.S. homebuilder with buyback capacity exceeding 10% of its market capitalization.
Why it matters — A CAVA watcher would be interested because the article discusses share buyback activity among struggling companies, which may signal broader corporate capital-return trends in the restaurant sector.
The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Cava Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $85, with estimates ranging from $18 to $110. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 28 analysts covering Cava Group, Inc., 18 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Cava Group, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Oct 2026, Cava Group, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (79 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +56.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Cava Group, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Cava Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CAVA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $18 to $110 over the next 12 months.
Cava Group, Inc. returned -13.9% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Cava Group, Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant company focused on Mediterranean-inspired cuisine.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 30 Sept 2026): "Cava Group (CAVA) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Facts". Cava Group (CAVA) shares closed at $54.10 in the most recent trading day, up 1.81% from the prior session, according to a Zacks Investment Research report. The gain came despite a broader market dip.
Cava Group, Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant company focused on Mediterranean-inspired cuisine. Cava Group operates company-owned restaurants under the CAVA brand across the United States, serving customizable bowls, pitas, salads, and a variety of fresh ingredients designed for convenient, made-to-order meals. The company also extends its brand beyond restaurants through CAVA Foods, which produces dips and spreads for use in its restaurants and for sale in grocery channels. Its business combines dine-in, digital ordering, delivery, catering, and consumer packaged goods, positioning it within the broader limited-service restaurant market and the growing health-focused dining segment. Headquartered in Washington, D.C., Cava Group emphasizes flavorful, accessible meals that appeal to a wide range of customers seeking Mediterranean-style food in a fast-casual setting.
CEO Mr. Brett Schulman · 13,480 employees · United States · https://cava.com
