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CAVACAVAConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

CAVA Stock Forecast: Cava Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$61
−1.48% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Cava Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $90 — +48.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 29 of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$7.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
29 / 100
Median analyst target
$90
Analysts covering
28
Revenue$438.3M+92.7% y/y
Operating income$34.1M
Net income$23.6M
Free cash flow$15.5M
Quarterly, 7 quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−9.2%
1M
−4.2%
YTD
+3.5%
1Y
−7.9%
From 52W high
−37.6%
From 52W low
+39.4%
$44
$97
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CAVA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Cava Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Sept 2026
29 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
79
Revisions
63
Accruals
59
Growth
55
Issuance
31
Value
22
Volatility
21
Size
19
Momentum
17

Quality (79): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (17): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CAVA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CAVA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$40$60$80$100$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CAVAHigh $110Median $90Low $18

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says28 analysts
18 Buy9 Hold1 Sell
Low $18Median $90High $110

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +48.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$84 → $75
13 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$100 → $95
12 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$110 → $95
12 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$85 → $70
12 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$90 → $95
12 Aug 2026Roth CapitalReiteratesBuy$106 → $95
12 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$100 → $85
12 Aug 2026Wolfe ResearchMaintainsOutperform$79 → $82
6 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$105 → $90
28 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$92 → $79
28 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
15 July 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight$86 → $90
15 July 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight—
1 July 2026Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatesHold—
1 July 2026Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatesHold$95
10 June 2026UBSUpgradeBuy—
4 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy—
22 May 2026Argus ResearchUpgradeBuy—
21 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
20 May 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CAVA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CAVA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Cava Group, Inc. returned −7.9% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CAVA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CAVAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CAVA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−1.5%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Cava Group, Inc. (CAVA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
110.5×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.2×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Price / book
8.4×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
44.7×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
31.3%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
25.3%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.4%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Operating margin
7.6%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Net margin
4.8%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.3%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.5%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Cava Group, Inc. (CAVA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Cava Group, Inc. has a market value of $7.1B and an enterprise value of $7.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $1.3B. The latest quarter grew 31.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $68.9M, a 5.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.58.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $22.4M, after $166.2M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 116.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 110.5×; forward P/E: 82.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Cava Group, Inc. employs 13,480 people — $99K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · market figures as at 5 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CAVA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CAVACava Group, Inc.$7.1B
29
JMKEJersey Mike's Subs, Inc.$6.6B
0
BROSDutch Bros, Inc.$8.1B
34
CAKECheesecake Factory, Inc.$5.4B
91
EATBrinker International, Inc.$9.6B
86
DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc.$11.3B
75
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$12.5B
65

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Cava Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CAVA news & analysis

CAVA Stock Slips 15% in 3 Months: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026negative

CAVA's stock has slipped 15% over the past three months, according to Zacks Investment Research. The pullback focuses attention on the company's strong traffic and expansion story, while margin pressure and a premium valuation complicate the case for investors.

Why it matters — CAVA watchers would care because the report highlights how recent share-price weakness is being weighed against the company's traffic growth and expansion, alongside concerns over margins and valuation.

Can CAVA's 2024 Cohort Support Its Next Phase of Unit Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that CAVA targets 75-77 net new restaurant openings in 2026, with strong restaurant vintages, new-unit productivity, and broad-based demand cited as supporting its growth.

Why it matters — A CAVA watcher would care because the projected unit expansion signals the company's ongoing growth trajectory following its 2024 cohort.

How Cava Handles Food Safety

WSJ · 25 Aug 2026neutral

The WSJ article focuses on how Cava handles food safety. The excerpt also mentions President Trump threatening a 50% tariff on automobiles and parts from Canada.

Why it matters — A CAVA watcher would care about the food safety practices detailed in the article, as such protocols can affect operations and reputation.

How Durable Is CAVA's 9% Comps Growth Amid Food-Safety Concerns?

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026neutral

CAVA reported 9% same-restaurant sales growth and a 5.3% traffic gain in Q2, reflecting resilient demand, though food-safety concerns are testing near-term sales momentum.

Why it matters — The report highlights whether CAVA can sustain its strong comparable-sales growth amid food-safety concerns that could weigh on customer traffic.

Booking vs. CAVA: Comparing Total Scale and Growth Trajectories in Quarterly Revenue Trends

The Motley Fool · 20 Aug 2026positive

A Motley Fool article compares total revenue scale and growth trajectories between Booking and CAVA, noting that while Booking has a larger absolute revenue base, CAVA posts a faster pace of historical revenue growth. Both companies show regular quarter-over-quarter fluctuations yet consistently generate higher revenue than the same periods a year earlier.

Why it matters — CAVA watchers would care because it highlights CAVA's faster revenue growth trajectory relative to a much larger global platform, underscoring its scaling momentum.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CAVA stock

What is the CAVA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Cava Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $90, with estimates ranging from $18 to $110. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CAVA stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Cava Group, Inc., 18 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Cava Group, Inc. 29 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CAVA?

As at 5 Sept 2026, Cava Group, Inc. ranks 29 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (79 of 100).

Will CAVA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +48.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Cava Group, Inc. 29 out of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CAVA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Cava Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CAVA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $18 to $110 over the next 12 months.

How has CAVA stock performed over the past year?

Cava Group, Inc. returned -7.9% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Cava Group, Inc. do?

Cava Group, Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant company focused on Mediterranean-inspired cuisine.

What is the latest news on CAVA?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 4 Sept 2026): "CAVA Stock Slips 15% in 3 Months: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold?". CAVA's stock has slipped 15% over the past three months, according to Zacks Investment Research. The pullback focuses attention on the company's strong traffic and expansion story, while margin pressure and a premium valuation complicate the case for investors.

Company

About Cava Group, Inc.

Cava Group, Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant company focused on Mediterranean-inspired cuisine. Cava Group operates company-owned restaurants under the CAVA brand across the United States, serving customizable bowls, pitas, salads, and a variety of fresh ingredients designed for convenient, made-to-order meals. The company also extends its brand beyond restaurants through CAVA Foods, which produces dips and spreads for use in its restaurants and for sale in grocery channels. Its business combines dine-in, digital ordering, delivery, catering, and consumer packaged goods, positioning it within the broader limited-service restaurant market and the growing health-focused dining segment. Headquartered in Washington, D.C., Cava Group emphasizes flavorful, accessible meals that appeal to a wide range of customers seeking Mediterranean-style food in a fast-casual setting.

CEO Mr. Brett Schulman · 13,480 employees · United States · https://cava.com