CAVAConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 27 Wall Street analysts covering Cava Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $90 — +20.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 31 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Cava Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (78): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Volatility (18): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (18): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CAVA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $84 → $75 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $95 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $110 → $95 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $85 → $70 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $90 → $95 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Roth Capital | Reiterates | Buy | $106 → $95 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $100 → $85 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Wolfe Research | Maintains | Outperform | $79 → $82 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $105 → $90 |
| 28 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $92 → $79 |
| 28 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Overweight | $86 → $90 |
| 15 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Freedom Capital Markets | Initiates | Hold | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Freedom Capital Markets | Initiates | Hold | $95 |
| 10 June 2026 | UBS | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 4 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 22 May 2026 | Argus Research | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 21 May 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 May 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CAVA appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 21% of US stocks
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Cava Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The Motley Fool featured Cava (CAVA) in a Scoreboard episode, with analysts discussing the company's performance and market trends in the fast-casual dining sector.
Why it matters — CAVA watchers would care that a major investment publication is dedicating analyst attention to the company, signaling growing interest in Cava as a notable player in the fast-casual dining space.
A cyclospora outbreak and salmonella flare-up in the US are testing food safety at restaurants, prompting consumers to reduce dining out and food brands to review their supply chains. The report notes these health incidents across the US restaurant industry.
Why it matters — As a restaurant operator, CAVA could be affected by consumer caution around eating out and heightened scrutiny of supply-chain food safety.
Cava reported its earnings for the quarter ended June 2026, with headline numbers offering initial insight into its performance. The report notes that comparing key metrics against Wall Street estimates and year-ago figures may be worthwhile for fuller context.
Why it matters — A CAVA watcher would follow this quarterly report to gauge how the company's results aligned with analyst expectations and its prior-year performance.
Cava co-founder and CEO Brett Schulman said on Bloomberg that the company has not been impacted by the cyclospora outbreak. He also discussed recent dining trends and the company's growth outlook on "Bloomberg The Close."
Why it matters — A CAVA watcher would care because the CEO's statements clarify the company's position regarding the cyclospora outbreak and offer insight into management's view on dining trends and growth prospects.
CAVA Group's stock rose in trading. The company is growing its store count at a steady pace, and its restaurants are generating strong sales and profits.
Why it matters — CAVA watchers would care because the report highlights steady store expansion and strong restaurant-level sales and profitability, key indicators of the company's growth trajectory.
The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Cava Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $90, with estimates ranging from $55 to $110. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 27 analysts covering Cava Group, Inc., 18 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Cava Group, Inc. 31 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 15 Aug 2026, Cava Group, Inc. ranks 31 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (78 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies +20.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Cava Group, Inc. 31 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Cava Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CAVA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $55 to $110 over the next 12 months.
Cava Group, Inc. returned +8.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Cava Group Inc. is a U.S.-based restaurant company focused on Mediterranean-inspired fast-casual dining.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 14 Aug 2026): "Cava: A Rising Star in the Fast-Casual Dining Scene". The Motley Fool featured Cava (CAVA) in a Scoreboard episode, with analysts discussing the company's performance and market trends in the fast-casual dining sector.
Cava Group Inc. is a U.S.-based restaurant company focused on Mediterranean-inspired fast-casual dining. The company operates company-owned restaurants under the Cava brand, offering customizable bowls, pitas, salads, and sides that emphasize fresh ingredients and health-conscious, bold flavors. In addition to its restaurant operations, Cava Group Inc. runs a consumer packaged goods business that produces dips, spreads, and dressings in centralized facilities, distributing them through grocery retailers and for use in its restaurants. The business is organized primarily around two segments: Cava, which includes all company-operated restaurants, and Cava Foods, which covers manufacturing of dips and spreads and related retail sales. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Washington, D.C., Cava Group Inc. today serves customers across multiple U.S. states through in-restaurant dining, digital ordering channels, and mobile platforms, positioning itself as a category-defining brand in the limited-service and health-conscious fast-casual restaurant market.
CEO Mr. Brett Schulman · 13,480 employees · United States · https://cava.com