EATConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 23 Wall Street analysts covering Brinker International, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $275 — +36.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 86 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Brinker International, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Growth (44): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on EAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +36.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sept 2026 | Northcoast Research | Upgrade | Buy | $275 |
| 21 Sept 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $240 → $210 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Freedom Capital Markets | Maintains | Buy | $285 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | $300 |
| 18 Sept 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | $270 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Buy | $230 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $260 → $240 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $250 → $260 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Baird | Initiates | Outperform | $325 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Baird | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $166 → $240 |
| 14 Aug 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Aug 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $224 → $310 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 13 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $175 → $230 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $227 → $282 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. EAT appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Brinker International, Inc. returned +58.1% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 40% of US stocks
Cheaper than 61% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Brinker International, Inc. has a market value of $8.1B and an enterprise value of $10.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.8B. The latest quarter grew 5.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $487.0M, a 8.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.89.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $557.5M.
Brinker International, Inc. spent $443.9M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.8×; forward P/E: 13.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.79%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Brinker International, Inc. employs 20,096 people — $289K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Brinker International, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research highlights Brinker International (EAT) alongside BJRI, CBRL and BLMN as restaurant stocks adapting to industry headwinds through value offerings, menu innovation, technology and strategic expansion.
Why it matters — The piece positions EAT among peers managing industry challenges with proactive strategies, indicating resilience that EAT watchers should note.
Zacks Investment Research identifies EAT among four restaurant stocks that could benefit as U.S. restaurant sales surge, despite ongoing inflation and higher energy costs. The report highlights continued strength in the restaurant sector.
Why it matters — A positive sector outlook that names EAT as a potential beneficiary of rising restaurant sales is relevant to investors tracking the company's prospects.
A Zacks Investment Research article compares Cracker Barrel and Brinker International as restaurant stock investments, highlighting Brinker's Chili's momentum, margin gains and expansion plans against Cracker Barrel's turnaround strategy and improving guest metrics.
Why it matters — For a Brinker (EAT) watcher, this comparative analysis offers context on how the company's Chili's momentum and expansion plans stack up against a competitor's turnaround efforts.
Chili's is launching the "Suburban Collection," a merchandise line celebrating the brand's 50-plus years as a fixture of suburban culture, including its role in first dates, post-game dinners, birthdays, and parking lot gatherings. The announcement comes after the chain spent years upgrading its food, service, and atmosphere.
Why it matters — The merch launch reflects Chili's ongoing efforts to strengthen brand engagement and cultural connection, which could support customer loyalty and brand relevance for Brinker International.
Brinker International, through its Chili's brand, is focusing on chicken, kids' menus and desserts to sustain its traffic and sales momentum into fiscal 2027, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Why it matters — EAT watchers would care because these menu strategies are central to the company's efforts to extend its current sales and traffic growth into the next fiscal year.
The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Brinker International, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $275, with estimates ranging from $151 to $325. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 23 analysts covering Brinker International, Inc., 19 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Brinker International, Inc. 86 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Oct 2026, Brinker International, Inc. ranks 86 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 23 analysts implies +36.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Brinker International, Inc. 86 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Brinker International, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for EAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $151 to $325 over the next 12 months.
Brinker International, Inc. returned +58.1% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Brinker International Inc. is a casual dining restaurant company that owns, operates, and franchises the Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy brands.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 1 Oct 2026): "4 Restaurant Stocks Poised to Thrive Amid Industry Headwinds". Zacks Investment Research highlights Brinker International (EAT) alongside BJRI, CBRL and BLMN as restaurant stocks adapting to industry headwinds through value offerings, menu innovation, technology and strategic expansion.
Brinker International Inc. is a casual dining restaurant company that owns, operates, and franchises the Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy brands. The company serves guests through full-service restaurant concepts centered on American-style meals, cocktails, and family dining experiences. Its business is organized around the Chili’s and Maggiano’s segments, which support both company-operated locations and franchise operations across the United States and international markets. Brinker International Inc. plays an important role in the restaurant industry by combining branded dining experiences with a broad operating footprint that spans multiple countries and customer segments.
CEO Mr. Kevin D. Hochman · 20,096 employees · United States · https://brinker.com
