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EATEATConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

EAT Stock Forecast: Brinker International, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 22 Oct 2026
$190
+1.09% on the day

The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Brinker International, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $268 — +40.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 90 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$7.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
90/ 100
Median analyst target
$268
Analysts covering
23
Revenue$1.5B+5.1% y/y
Operating income$172.1M
Net income$131.1M
Free cash flow$159.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−7.2%
1M
−8.1%
YTD
+32.5%
1Y
+44.0%
From 52W high
−25.1%
From 52W low
+85.9%
$102
$254
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

EAT stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Brinker International, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Oct 2026
90/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
98
Value
90
Revisions
87
Momentum
72
Issuance
68
Accruals
63
Volatility
59
Growth
46
Size
17

Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Growth (46): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

EAT stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on EAT, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250$300Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26EATHigh $310Median $268Low $151

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says23 analysts
20 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $151Median $268High $310

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +40.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$282 → $270
16 Oct 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeStrong Buy$270 → $260
16 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$270 → $250
14 Oct 2026JefferiesUpgradeBuy$230 → $255
22 Sept 2026Northcoast ResearchUpgradeBuy$275
22 Sept 2026Northcoast ResearchUpgradeBuy—
21 Sept 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$240 → $210
21 Sept 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
18 Sept 2026Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainsBuy$285
18 Sept 2026Freedom Capital MarketsMaintainsBuy—
18 Sept 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight$300
18 Sept 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
18 Sept 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy—
18 Sept 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy$270
16 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy$230
16 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy—
11 Sept 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$260 → $240
11 Sept 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
10 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
10 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$250 → $260

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

EAT appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.
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Performance

EAT vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 22 Oct 2026, Brinker International, Inc. returned +44.0% against +15.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

EAT vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26EATS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

EAT analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.4%
Analysts raising
8
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.0×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / book
17.9×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.2×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
5.1%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
22.5%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Gross margin
18.8%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.3%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Net margin
8.4%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
119.6%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.3%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 68% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Brinker International, Inc. has a market value of $7.9B and an enterprise value of $9.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.8B. The latest quarter grew 5.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $487.0M, a 8.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.89.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $557.5M.

  • Brinker International, Inc. spent $443.9M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 42.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.0×; forward P/E: 12.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.81%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Brinker International, Inc. employs 20,096 people — $289K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 22 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

EAT vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
EATBrinker International, Inc.$7.9B90
BROSDutch Bros, Inc.$7.3B35
CAVACava Group, Inc.$6.4B33
DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc.$10.5B64
JMKEJersey Mike's Subs, Inc.$5.6B0
CAKECheesecake Factory, Inc.$5.6B92
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$11.4B54

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Brinker International, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest EAT news & analysis

Restaurant earnings will test whether owning more brands pays off

CNBC · 23 Oct 2026neutral

Shares of restaurant groups with multiple brands, including Brinker and Darden, are outperforming single-chain stocks such as McDonald’s and Chipotle. Quarterly earnings reports beginning next week are expected to show how these trends are playing out.

Why it matters — Brinker’s results may offer a view into whether the recent relative strength of multi-brand restaurant companies is reflected in operating performance.

Brinker International (EAT) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research says Brinker International has what it describes as the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The headline says Wall Street expects earnings growth.

Why it matters — EAT watchers may note the article’s expectations ahead of the company’s upcoming earnings report.

Brinker International Looks Tastier Than Ever (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 21 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha upgraded Brinker International to ‘buy,’ citing growth, valuation and management execution. Over three years, revenue rose from $4.42 billion to $5.81 billion and net profit from $155.3 million to $487 million, while net debt and leverage declined; the excerpt says growth was driven mainly by Chili’s.

Why it matters — EAT watchers may note the reported profit growth, lower debt and leverage, and operational investments as key points behind the rating upgrade.

Brinker International: A New Era Of Growth

Seeking Alpha · 21 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha rates Brinker International “Buy,” citing value platforms such as 3-For-Me and Triple Dipper as drivers of higher traffic, average unit volumes, and restaurant-level margins. It reports margins rose from 11.2% to 17.8% over three years and average unit volumes increased from $3.3 million to $5 million.

Why it matters — EAT watchers may note the article’s emphasis on operating improvements and continued average unit volume expansion.

Brinker International (EAT) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note

Zacks Investment Research · 19 Oct 2026negative

Brinker International (EAT) closed at $197.89 in the latest trading session, down 3.06% from the prior day, despite broader market gains noted in the headline.

Why it matters — EAT watchers may note the stock's daily decline and closing price as a snapshot of its latest trading performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about EAT stock

What is the EAT stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Brinker International, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $268, with estimates ranging from $151 to $310. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is EAT stock a buy right now?

Of the 23 analysts covering Brinker International, Inc., 20 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Brinker International, Inc. 90 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank EAT?

As at 22 Oct 2026, Brinker International, Inc. ranks 90 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).

Will EAT stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 23 analysts implies +40.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Brinker International, Inc. 90 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the EAT stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Brinker International, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for EAT are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $151 to $310 over the next 12 months.

How has EAT stock performed over the past year?

Brinker International, Inc. returned +44.0% over the 12 months to 22 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Brinker International, Inc. do?

Brinker International Inc. is a casual dining restaurant company that owns, operates, and franchises the Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy brands.

What is the latest news on EAT?

The most recent item we track (CNBC, 23 Oct 2026): "Restaurant earnings will test whether owning more brands pays off". Shares of restaurant groups with multiple brands, including Brinker and Darden, are outperforming single-chain stocks such as McDonald’s and Chipotle. Quarterly earnings reports beginning next week are expected to show how these trends are playing out.

Company

About Brinker International, Inc.

Brinker International Inc. is a casual dining restaurant company that owns, operates, and franchises the Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy brands. The company serves guests through full-service restaurant concepts centered on American-style meals, cocktails, and family dining experiences. Its business is organized around the Chili’s and Maggiano’s segments, which support both company-operated locations and franchise operations across the United States and international markets. Brinker International Inc. plays an important role in the restaurant industry by combining branded dining experiences with a broad operating footprint that spans multiple countries and customer segments.

CEO Mr. Kevin D. Hochman · 20,096 employees · United States · https://brinker.com