TXRHConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 28 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Roadhouse, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $220 — +6.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 65 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Texas Roadhouse, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.
Growth (39): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TXRH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 12 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $192 → $208 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | $200 → $220 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $193 → $209 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $210 → $235 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $180 → $205 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $205 → $230 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $220 → $230 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $210 → $235 |
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $190 → $230 |
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 23 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $190 → $200 |
| 23 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 16 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $200 → $220 |
| 16 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Buy | $200 → $212 |
| 9 July 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 27 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 May 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 18 May 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 15 May 2026 | RBC Capital | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TXRH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 12% of US stocks
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 35% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Texas Roadhouse, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research compared BJ's Restaurants and Texas Roadhouse to assess which stock offers better value for investors interested in the restaurant sector.
Why it matters — TXRH watchers would care because the article evaluates Texas Roadhouse's relative value compared to a peer in the restaurant industry.
A Texas Roadhouse director disposed of 3,000 shares of the company's stock, valued at approximately $625,000 as of the August 11, 2026 transaction date. The sale reduced the director's total equity holdings by 10%.
Why it matters — TXRH watchers track insider transactions as a potential signal about how company leadership views the stock's valuation.
Zacks Investment Research published a piece examining whether Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) qualifies as a top stock pick for momentum investors. The article poses the question of whether the company has what it takes to be a strong momentum stock.
Why it matters — TXRH watchers would care because the report assesses the company's momentum characteristics, which can inform how the stock is perceived among investors.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) among four restaurant stocks poised to benefit as industry sales rise, value dining gains traction, and chains adapt to consumer demand.
Why it matters — The article positions TXRH as a restaurant stock well-positioned amid industry trends, which may influence investor perceptions of the company's competitive standing.
Zacks Investment Research published an analysis titled "Here is Why Growth Investors Should Buy Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) Now," noting that Texas Roadhouse possesses solid growth attributes. The article suggests these attributes could help the company outperform the broader market.
Why it matters — The piece highlights TXRH's growth characteristics, giving investors a reason to monitor whether the company's expansion momentum continues.
The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Texas Roadhouse, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $220, with estimates ranging from $125 to $276. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 28 analysts covering Texas Roadhouse, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Texas Roadhouse, Inc. 65 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 15 Aug 2026, Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ranks 65 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +6.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Texas Roadhouse, Inc. 65 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Texas Roadhouse, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TXRH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $125 to $276 over the next 12 months.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. returned +21.7% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Texas Roadhouse Inc. is a full-service casual dining restaurant company focused on hand-cut steaks, ribs, chicken, seafood, and other American-style menu items served in a lively, Western-themed setting.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Aug 2026): "BJRI vs. TXRH: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?". Zacks Investment Research compared BJ's Restaurants and Texas Roadhouse to assess which stock offers better value for investors interested in the restaurant sector.
Texas Roadhouse Inc. is a full-service casual dining restaurant company focused on hand-cut steaks, ribs, chicken, seafood, and other American-style menu items served in a lively, Western-themed setting. The company operates under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubba’s 33, and Jaggers brands, giving it a broad presence across steakhouse dining, sports-bar casual dining, and quick-service style restaurant formats. Texas Roadhouse Inc. serves guests through company-owned and franchised restaurants in the United States and international markets, with an emphasis on made-from-scratch sides, fresh-baked bread, and large-portion meals. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, the company plays a significant role in the casual dining segment by combining a recognizable brand experience with a menu built around core comfort-food offerings.
CEO Mr. Gerald L. Morgan · 101,000 employees · United States · https://www.texasroadhouse.com