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YUMCYUMCConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

YUMC Stock Forecast: Yum China Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Sept 2026
$44
−0.21% on the day

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $61 — +39.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$14.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
89 / 100
Median analyst target
$61
Analysts covering
22
Revenue$3.1B+12.6% y/y
Operating income$360.0M
Net income$264.0M
Free cash flow$299.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
−8.4%
YTD
−7.0%
1Y
−0.7%
From 52W high
−23.4%
From 52W low
+9.2%
$40
$57
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

YUMC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum China Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Sept 2026
89 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
96
Volatility
94
Issuance
79
Quality
77
Revisions
77
Growth
74
Accruals
59
Momentum
49
Size
12

Value (96): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Momentum (49): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

YUMC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUMC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26YUMCHigh $77Median $61Low $52

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says22 analysts
21 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $52Median $61High $77

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +39.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 Jan 2026BWG GlobalUpgradePositive—
5 Nov 2024JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
6 Aug 2024MacquarieUpgradeOutperform—
6 Mar 2024HSBCMaintainsBuy—
4 Jan 2024JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
19 Dec 2023Deutsche BankInitiatesBuy—
19 Sept 2023HSBCMaintainsBuy—
12 Apr 2023OTR GlobalUpgradePositive—
1 Feb 2023JefferiesDowngradeHold—
24 Jan 2022OTR GlobalDowngradeMixed—
15 Sept 2021MacquarieDowngradeUnderperform—
6 Apr 2021Atlantic EquitiesInitiatesOverweight—
29 Oct 2020Credit SuisseInitiatesOutperform—
30 July 2020JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
29 Apr 2020B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
28 Oct 2019JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
6 Aug 2019DBS BankInitiatesBuy—
1 May 2019UBSMaintainsBuy—
30 Apr 2019B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
30 Apr 2019Bank of AmericaUpgradeBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. YUMC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

YUMC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Yum China Holdings, Inc. returned −0.7% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

YUMC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26YUMCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

YUMC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.0%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.0×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / book
2.9×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.8×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.6%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
13.5%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Gross margin
17.1%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.5%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Net margin
7.8%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.8%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.1%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 59% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Yum China Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $14.8B and an enterprise value of $16.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.4B. The latest quarter grew 12.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 8.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.73.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $940.0M, after $638.0M of capital spending.

  • Yum China Holdings, Inc. spent $1.3B on share buybacks and $376.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 344.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 16.0×; forward P/E: 12.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.66%, paying out 39% of earnings.

  • Yum China Holdings, Inc. employs 130,000 people — $96K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

YUMC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$14.8B
89
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$12.5B
65
DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc.$11.3B
75
EATBrinker International, Inc.$9.6B
86
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$24.8B
73
BROSDutch Bros, Inc.$8.1B
34
CAVACava Group, Inc.$7.1B
29

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum China Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest YUMC news & analysis

YUMC or CMG: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research examines Yum China Holdings (YUMC) and Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) as candidate value stocks in the Retail - Restaurants sector, comparing which offers better value to investors at this time.

Why it matters — This comparison frames how value-oriented investors are currently evaluating YUMC against a major restaurant-sector peer, offering context on its perceived investment appeal.

Are Investors Undervaluing Yum China (YUMC) Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article asking whether investors are undervaluing Yum China (YUMC), focusing on its Zacks Rank system that emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions while also tracking value, growth, and momentum trends.

Why it matters — The piece signals that analysts are evaluating YUMC's current valuation and ranking, which YUMC watchers would follow for insights into how the company is viewed on earnings-estimate and growth metrics.

Top 25 High-Growth Dividend Stocks For September 2026

Seeking Alpha · 2 Sept 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published its September 2026 Top 25 High-Growth Dividend Stocks list, which targets quality companies trading below intrinsic value with strong long-term return potential. The list groups stocks into Deep Value, Growth At A Price, and Balanced Opportunities categories based on valuation and growth profiles.

Why it matters — A YUMC watcher would care because the list's inclusion criteria and valuation framework could indicate whether Yum China is viewed as a high-growth dividend opportunity.

Wall Street Analysts Predict a 25.63% Upside in Yum China (YUMC): Here's What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that the mean of Wall Street analysts' price targets for Yum China (YUMC) points to a 25.6% upside in the stock. The article notes that while this metric has not historically proven highly effective, strong agreement among analysts in raising earnings estimates suggests upside potential.

Why it matters — For YUMC watchers, the report highlights analysts' consensus expectation of upside and rising earnings estimates, providing insight into how Wall Street views the stock's prospects.

Yum China (YUMC) is an Incredible Growth Stock: 3 Reasons Why

Zacks Investment Research · 25 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article describing Yum China as possessing solid growth attributes that could help the company outperform the market. The piece highlights three reasons why YUMC is characterized as an incredible growth stock.

Why it matters — The article presents a favorable view of YUMC's growth prospects, which could shape investor perception of the company's potential.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about YUMC stock

What is the YUMC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 22 Wall Street analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $61, with estimates ranging from $52 to $77. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is YUMC stock a buy right now?

Of the 22 analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc., 21 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum China Holdings, Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank YUMC?

As at 5 Sept 2026, Yum China Holdings, Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (96 of 100).

Will YUMC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 22 analysts implies +39.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum China Holdings, Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the YUMC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUMC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $52 to $77 over the next 12 months.

How has YUMC stock performed over the past year?

Yum China Holdings, Inc. returned -0.7% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Yum China Holdings, Inc. do?

Yum China Holdings, Inc. is a restaurant company focused on operating, franchising, and licensing quick-service and casual dining brands across mainland China.

What is the latest news on YUMC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Sept 2026): "YUMC or CMG: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?". Zacks Investment Research examines Yum China Holdings (YUMC) and Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) as candidate value stocks in the Retail - Restaurants sector, comparing which offers better value to investors at this time.

Company

About Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Yum China Holdings, Inc. is a restaurant company focused on operating, franchising, and licensing quick-service and casual dining brands across mainland China. Its core business centers on well-known concepts such as KFC and Pizza Hut, supported by other brands including Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, Huang Ji Huang, and East Dawning. The company serves customers through dine-in, takeaway, delivery, and digital ordering channels, making it a broad-based foodservice platform rather than a single-brand operator. Yum China also manages supporting services such as supply chain, e-commerce, and delivery operations that help connect its restaurant network to consumers in urban and regional markets. Headquartered in Shanghai, Yum China plays a significant role in China’s modern restaurant industry through its large store footprint, diverse menu offerings, and focus on everyday dining occasions.

CEO Ms. Joey Wat · 130,000 employees · China · https://www.yumchina.com