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YUMCYUMCConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

YUMC Stock Forecast: Yum China Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$40
−2.39% on the day

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $61 — +52.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$13.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
89 / 100
Median analyst target
$61
Analysts covering
21
Revenue$3.1B+12.6% y/y
Operating income$360.0M
Net income$264.0M
Free cash flow$299.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.2%
1M
−10.7%
YTD
−14.7%
1Y
−4.9%
From 52W high
−29.7%
From 52W low
+0.1%
$40
$57
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

YUMC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum China Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
89 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
96
Volatility
95
Issuance
78
Quality
77
Revisions
76
Growth
75
Accruals
59
Momentum
47
Size
12

Value (96): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Momentum (47): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

YUMC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUMC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26YUMCHigh $77Median $61Low $52

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says21 analysts
20 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $52Median $61High $77

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +52.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 Jan 2026BWG GlobalUpgradePositive—
5 Nov 2024JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
6 Aug 2024MacquarieUpgradeOutperform—
6 Mar 2024HSBCMaintainsBuy—
4 Jan 2024JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
19 Dec 2023Deutsche BankInitiatesBuy—
19 Sept 2023HSBCMaintainsBuy—
12 Apr 2023OTR GlobalUpgradePositive—
1 Feb 2023JefferiesDowngradeHold—
24 Jan 2022OTR GlobalDowngradeMixed—
15 Sept 2021MacquarieDowngradeUnderperform—
6 Apr 2021Atlantic EquitiesInitiatesOverweight—
29 Oct 2020Credit SuisseInitiatesOutperform—
30 July 2020JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
29 Apr 2020B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
28 Oct 2019JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
6 Aug 2019DBS BankInitiatesBuy—
1 May 2019UBSMaintainsBuy—
30 Apr 2019B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
30 Apr 2019Bank of AmericaUpgradeBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. YUMC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

YUMC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Yum China Holdings, Inc. returned −4.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

YUMC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26YUMCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

YUMC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.5%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.6×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.1×

Cheaper than 67% of US stocks

Price / book
2.6×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.1×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.6%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
13.5%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Gross margin
17.1%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.5%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Net margin
7.8%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.8%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.1%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.9%

Higher than 60% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Yum China Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $13.5B and an enterprise value of $15.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.4B. The latest quarter grew 12.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 8.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.73.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $940.0M, after $638.0M of capital spending.

  • Yum China Holdings, Inc. spent $1.3B on share buybacks and $376.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 344.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.6×; forward P/E: 11.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.90%, paying out 39% of earnings.

  • Yum China Holdings, Inc. employs 130,000 people — $96K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

YUMC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$13.5B
89
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$10.3B
65
DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc.$9.8B
76
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$22.9B
84
EATBrinker International, Inc.$8.4B
86
BROSDutch Bros, Inc.$6.8B
32
CAVACava Group, Inc.$6.3B
35

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum China Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest YUMC news & analysis

Here's Why Yum China Holdings (YUMC) is a Strong Value Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Yum China Holdings as a strong value stock, recommending the use of its Style Scores to identify market-beating investment opportunities. The piece frames YUMC as a compelling pick within the value investing framework.

Why it matters — YUMC watchers would care because a positive value-stock assessment from a major research firm could raise the company's profile among value-oriented investors and influence how the market perceives its shares.

Top 25 Attractive Dividend Stocks For October 2026

Seeking Alpha · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha presents a screened list of 25 U.S. dividend growth stocks for October 2026, emphasizing fundamental growth, economic moats, and yields above 2.5%. The list highlights various subsets including high-yield, fast dividend growth, and most undervalued opportunities.

Why it matters — A YUMC watcher could assess whether the company fits such dividend-growth screens, given that Yum China is a dividend-paying stock, though this list focuses specifically on U.S. dividend stocks.

YUMC or CMG: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing Yum China Holdings (YUMC) with Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG), examining which of the two restaurant-sector stocks currently offers better value for value-focused investors. The piece frames YUMC as one of the sector's notable names being evaluated on valuation merits.

Why it matters — For YUMC watchers, this comparison situates the company's valuation relative to a major US restaurant peer, offering context on how analysts and investors assess its standing in the sector.

Should Value Investors Buy Yum China (YUMC) Stock?

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether value investors should buy Yum China (YUMC) stock, focusing on its Zacks Rank system and earnings estimate trends while also considering value, growth, and momentum factors.

Why it matters — A YUMC watcher would care because the piece discusses the company in the context of a widely followed stock-screening methodology and earnings estimate revisions.

Why one Buffett-inspired fund manager is betting big on Chinese stocks

Market Watch · 21 Sept 2026positive

Market Watch reports that RV Capital's Rob Vinall, a Buffett-inspired fund manager, is betting big on Chinese stocks. He finds low valuations and founder management attractive in the Chinese market.

Why it matters — A prominent value-oriented investor's positive stance on Chinese equities may signal broader investor interest that could affect how Chinese consumer names like YUMC are viewed.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about YUMC stock

What is the YUMC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $61, with estimates ranging from $52 to $77. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is YUMC stock a buy right now?

Of the 21 analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc., 20 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum China Holdings, Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank YUMC?

As at 2 Oct 2026, Yum China Holdings, Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (96 of 100).

Will YUMC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +52.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum China Holdings, Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the YUMC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUMC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $52 to $77 over the next 12 months.

How has YUMC stock performed over the past year?

Yum China Holdings, Inc. returned -4.9% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Yum China Holdings, Inc. do?

Yum China Holdings, Inc. is a restaurant company focused on operating, franchising, and licensing quick-service and casual dining brands across mainland China.

What is the latest news on YUMC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 2 Oct 2026): "Here's Why Yum China Holdings (YUMC) is a Strong Value Stock". Zacks Investment Research highlights Yum China Holdings as a strong value stock, recommending the use of its Style Scores to identify market-beating investment opportunities. The piece frames YUMC as a compelling pick within the value investing framework.

Company

About Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Yum China Holdings, Inc. is a restaurant company focused on operating, franchising, and licensing quick-service and casual dining brands across mainland China. Its core business centers on well-known concepts such as KFC and Pizza Hut, supported by other brands including Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, Huang Ji Huang, and East Dawning. The company serves customers through dine-in, takeaway, delivery, and digital ordering channels, making it a broad-based foodservice platform rather than a single-brand operator. Yum China also manages supporting services such as supply chain, e-commerce, and delivery operations that help connect its restaurant network to consumers in urban and regional markets. Headquartered in Shanghai, Yum China plays a significant role in China’s modern restaurant industry through its large store footprint, diverse menu offerings, and focus on everyday dining occasions.

CEO Ms. Joey Wat · 130,000 employees · China · https://www.yumchina.com