YUMCConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 21 Wall Street analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $61 — +36.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 85 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum China Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (96): The share price has been relatively steady.
Momentum (57): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUMC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +36.3% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | BWG Global | Upgrade | Positive | — |
| 5 Nov 2024 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 6 Aug 2024 | Macquarie | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 6 Mar 2024 | HSBC | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 Jan 2024 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 19 Dec 2023 | Deutsche Bank | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 19 Sept 2023 | HSBC | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Apr 2023 | OTR Global | Upgrade | Positive | — |
| 1 Feb 2023 | Jefferies | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 24 Jan 2022 | OTR Global | Downgrade | Mixed | — |
| 15 Sept 2021 | Macquarie | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 6 Apr 2021 | Atlantic Equities | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 29 Oct 2020 | Credit Suisse | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 30 July 2020 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 Apr 2020 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 Oct 2019 | Jefferies | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2019 | DBS Bank | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 1 May 2019 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 Apr 2019 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 30 Apr 2019 | Bank of America | Upgrade | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
YUMC appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 22 Oct 2026, Yum China Holdings, Inc. returned +1.3% against +15.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Yum China Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $15.0B and an enterprise value of $16.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.4B. The latest quarter grew 12.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 8.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.73.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $940.0M, after $638.0M of capital spending.
Yum China Holdings, Inc. spent $1.3B on share buybacks and $376.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 16.3×; forward P/E: 13.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.61%, paying out 39% of earnings.
Yum China Holdings, Inc. employs 130,000 people — $96K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum China Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Yum China said its board will consider declaring and paying a quarterly dividend. If approved, the declaration is expected by board resolution on or around November 3, 2026, and will be promptly disclosed.
Why it matters — YUMC watchers may note that a possible quarterly dividend is under board consideration, but no decision has been announced.
Yum China announced that Lavazza has opened its fifth Hong Kong store, less than a year after opening its first location in Central. The company plans to expand to around 10 stores in the coming months.
Why it matters — The update highlights the expansion of Yum China's Lavazza store presence in Hong Kong.
Yum China said it will report unaudited third-quarter 2026 results before U.S. markets open on November 3, following Hong Kong trading hours that day. Management will hold an earnings conference call at 7:00 a.m.
Why it matters — YUMC watchers can note the scheduled date and call time for the company’s quarterly financial update.
Zacks Investment Research compares Yum China Holdings and Chipotle Mexican Grill as restaurant stocks, framing the article around which may be the better value for investors seeking undervalued stocks.
Why it matters — The comparison puts YUMC in the context of a valuation-focused look at a peer, but the excerpt provides no conclusion on which stock is the better value.
Zacks Investment Research says its Zacks Rank system focuses on earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also monitoring value, growth, and momentum trends. The excerpt does not provide a specific assessment of Yum China.
Why it matters — YUMC watchers get context on the investment factors Zacks says it considers, but no company-specific conclusion is included.
The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $61, with estimates ranging from $56 to $77. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 21 analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc., 20 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum China Holdings, Inc. 85 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Oct 2026, Yum China Holdings, Inc. ranks 85 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +36.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum China Holdings, Inc. 85 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUMC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $56 to $77 over the next 12 months.
Yum China Holdings, Inc. returned +1.3% over the 12 months to 22 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Yum China Holdings, Inc. is a restaurant company focused on operating, franchising, and licensing quick-service and casual dining brands across mainland China.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 21 Oct 2026): "Yum China Announces Disclosure under Hong Kong Stock Exchange Rules in Relation to a Possible Quarterly Dividend". Yum China said its board will consider declaring and paying a quarterly dividend. If approved, the declaration is expected by board resolution on or around November 3, 2026, and will be promptly disclosed.
Yum China Holdings, Inc. is a restaurant company focused on operating, franchising, and licensing quick-service and casual dining brands across mainland China. Its core business centers on well-known concepts such as KFC and Pizza Hut, supported by other brands including Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, Huang Ji Huang, and East Dawning. The company serves customers through dine-in, takeaway, delivery, and digital ordering channels, making it a broad-based foodservice platform rather than a single-brand operator. Yum China also manages supporting services such as supply chain, e-commerce, and delivery operations that help connect its restaurant network to consumers in urban and regional markets. Headquartered in Shanghai, Yum China plays a significant role in China’s modern restaurant industry through its large store footprint, diverse menu offerings, and focus on everyday dining occasions.
CEO Ms. Joey Wat · 130,000 employees · China · https://www.yumchina.com
