YUMCYUMCConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

YUMC Stock Forecast: Yum China Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$48
+0.74% on the day

The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $61 — +28.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$16.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
89 / 100
Median analyst target
$61
Analysts covering
23
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.3%
1M
+9.9%
YTD
+0.9%
1Y
+7.5%
From 52W high
−16.9%
From 52W low
+18.4%
$40
$57
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

YUMC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum China Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
89 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
97
Value
94
Issuance
79
Revisions
78
Quality
77
Growth
74
Accruals
59
Momentum
44
Size
12

Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (44): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

YUMC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUMC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26YUMCHigh $77Median $61Low $52

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says23 analysts
22 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $52Median $61High $77

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 Jan 2026BWG GlobalUpgradePositive
5 Nov 2024JP MorganUpgradeOverweight
6 Aug 2024MacquarieUpgradeOutperform
6 Mar 2024HSBCMaintainsBuy
4 Jan 2024JP MorganDowngradeNeutral
19 Dec 2023Deutsche BankInitiatesBuy
19 Sept 2023HSBCMaintainsBuy
12 Apr 2023OTR GlobalUpgradePositive
1 Feb 2023JefferiesDowngradeHold
24 Jan 2022OTR GlobalDowngradeMixed
15 Sept 2021MacquarieDowngradeUnderperform
6 Apr 2021Atlantic EquitiesInitiatesOverweight
29 Oct 2020Credit SuisseInitiatesOutperform
30 July 2020JefferiesMaintainsBuy
29 Apr 2020B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
28 Oct 2019JefferiesInitiatesBuy
6 Aug 2019DBS BankInitiatesBuy
1 May 2019UBSMaintainsBuy
30 Apr 2019B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy
30 Apr 2019Bank of AmericaUpgradeBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. YUMC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

YUMC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.8%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
17.3×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / book
3.1×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.5×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.6%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
13.5%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Gross margin
17.1%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.5%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Net margin
7.8%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.8%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Return on assets
8.1%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.4%

Higher than 55% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

YUMC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$16.3B
89
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$13.7B
65
DPZDomino's Pizza, Inc.$11.5B
74
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$25.8B
72
EATBrinker International, Inc.$10.6B
89
BROSDutch Bros, Inc.$9.1B
36
CAVACava Group, Inc.$8.7B
31

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum China Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest YUMC news & analysis

4 Stocks to Buy as Restaurant Industry Continues to Make Steady Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted YUMC as one of four restaurant stocks positioned to benefit as industry sales rise, value dining gains traction, and chains adapt to consumer demand.

Why it matters — The mention indicates YUMC is viewed as well-placed within a recovering restaurant industry, which could signal favorable conditions for the company's operations.

Yum! Brands Completes Sale of Pizza Hut China to Yum China Holdings

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026positive

Yum! Brands announced the completion of the sale of Pizza Hut in Mainland China to Yum China Holdings for $1.2 billion. The transaction represents one of two previously announced definitive agreements to sell Pizza Hut for $2.7 billion in aggregate, subject to certain purchase price adjustments.

Why it matters — For YUMC watchers, the completion of this transaction expands Yum China's portfolio with the Pizza Hut China business in its mainland China operations.

Yum China Completes the Acquisition of Ownership of the Pizza Hut Brand in Mainland China

PRNewsWire · 7 Aug 2026positive

Yum China Holdings, Inc. announced it has completed the acquisition of the ownership of the Pizza Hut brand in Mainland China from Yum! Brands, Inc. The announcement was made on August 7, 2026.

Why it matters — This acquisition gives Yum China full ownership of the Pizza Hut brand in its key Mainland China market, potentially strengthening its control over one of its major brands.

YUM's $2.7 Billion Pizza Hut Exit Could Unlock the Next Growth Phase

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Aug 2026neutral

YUM! Brands is exiting Pizza Hut in a $2.7 billion deal, a move that could streamline its portfolio, reduce debt, and allow it to focus on faster-growing KFC and Taco Bell brands.

Why it matters — YUMC watchers may track this because it concerns the parent brand Pizza Hut, though the reported strategy centers on YUM's global, non-China businesses.

3 Reasons Growth Investors Will Love Yum China (YUMC)

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Yum China as a stock well positioned to outperform the market, citing above-average growth in its financials. The article presents three reasons growth-focused investors may favor the company.

Why it matters — YUMC watchers would care because the piece points to above-average financial growth as a positive signal for the company's market performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about YUMC stock

What is the YUMC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 23 Wall Street analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $61, with estimates ranging from $52 to $77. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is YUMC stock a buy right now?

Of the 23 analysts covering Yum China Holdings, Inc., 22 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum China Holdings, Inc. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank YUMC?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Yum China Holdings, Inc. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).

Will YUMC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 23 analysts implies +28.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum China Holdings, Inc. 89 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the YUMC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Yum China Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUMC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $52 to $77 over the next 12 months.

How has YUMC stock performed over the past year?

Yum China Holdings, Inc. returned +7.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Yum China Holdings, Inc. do?

Yum China Holdings Inc. is a prominent operator of restaurant chains in China, helming renowned brands such as KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell within the region.

What is the latest news on YUMC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 12 Aug 2026): "4 Stocks to Buy as Restaurant Industry Continues to Make Steady Growth". Zacks Investment Research highlighted YUMC as one of four restaurant stocks positioned to benefit as industry sales rise, value dining gains traction, and chains adapt to consumer demand.

Company

About Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Yum China Holdings Inc. is a prominent operator of restaurant chains in China, helming renowned brands such as KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell within the region. As a leading player in the quick-service and casual dining sector, the company's primary function is to deliver diverse, fast, and convenient dining experiences to a large and growing customer base across the People's Republic of China. Yum China has made significant strides in adapting its global brand offerings to local tastes, preferences, and cultural nuances to enhance brand appeal and align with the dynamic Chinese market. Notable features of Yum China's operations include its strategic adoption of digital technologies, such as mobile apps and delivery platforms, which enhance customer engagement and streamline service delivery. The company's expansive restaurant network significantly impacts the foodservice industry, influencing dining trends and shaping the future landscape of quick-serving restaurants in Asia. By leveraging its robust operations and innovative approaches, Yum China plays a crucial role in the global fast food industry, serving one of the world's most populous regions with tailored food solutions.

CEO Ms. Joey Wat · 130,000 employees · China · https://www.yumchina.com