YUMConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 27 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $175 — +27.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum! Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (99): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (20): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sept 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $174 → $165 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Buy | $162 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | $165 → $175 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | $185 → $180 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $170 → $160 |
| 31 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $165 → $170 |
| 13 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $175 → $178 |
| 13 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 3 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 27 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Apr 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | — |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. YUM appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. returned −6.3% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Cheaper than 28% of US stocks
Cheaper than 97% of US stocks
Cheaper than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 46% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Yum! Brands, Inc. has a market value of $38.0B and an enterprise value of $50.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $2.2B, a 25.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.95.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B, after $404.0M of capital spending.
Yum! Brands, Inc. spent $888.0M on share buybacks and $807.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.6×; forward P/E: 20.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.14%, paying out 37% of earnings.
Yum! Brands, Inc. employs 49,000 people — $178K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum! Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
KFC is debuting a new "Open House" restaurant concept this Saturday in McKinney, Texas, which will test expanded menu offerings including breakfast—a new venture for the fast-food chain.
Why it matters — This concept test could signal new growth opportunities for Yum Brands' KFC unit through expanded offerings and novel customer experiences.
Benzinga reported that a Wall Street analyst changed their outlook on Yum Brands, moving away from a bullish stance. The item lists Yum Brands among the top analyst downgrades for Thursday.
Why it matters — YUM watchers would care because a shift to a less bullish analyst rating reflects a change in sentiment that may influence how shares are viewed.
KFC has debuted a new restaurant format called Open House in McKinney, described as a modern expression of the brand that blends a current menu, approachable value, modern design, and genuine hospitality. The format is designed to serve guests, learn what works, and identify ideas that could benefit KFC's more than 3,500 U.S. restaurants.
Why it matters — A Yum watcher would care because KFC, one of Yum's major brands, is testing a new restaurant concept that could inform improvements across its large U.S. footprint.
McDonald's shares fell sharply in Wednesday trading after the company detailed a multi-year strategy at its Investor Day, centered on an $8.5 billion franchisee support commitment running through 2036. Meanwhile, Wendy's dipped and Yum! Brands held steady.
Why it matters — A Yum! Brands watcher would care because rival fast-food chains' investor-day moves and their impact on relative stock performance can factor into the competitive landscape for quick-service restaurant operators.
A Seeking Alpha article presents Yum! Brands as a compelling opportunity in the quick-service restaurant space, noting its more than 40,000 restaurants worldwide, with KFC and Taco Bell each accounting for roughly 40% of companywide sales. It highlights nine consecutive years of dividend increases and a five-year dividend growth rate of 8.6%, while noting a decent financial position with an interest coverage ratio of approximately 5.
Why it matters — The article draws positive attention to Yum's strong dividend track record and diversified brand portfolio, which would be relevant to investors tracking the company's growth and financial health.
The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $175, with estimates ranging from $147 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 27 analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 23 Sept 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies +27.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Yum! Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $147 to $200 over the next 12 months.
Yum! Brands, Inc. returned -6.3% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Yum! Brands Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, franchises, and licenses a portfolio of well-known food brands.
The most recent item we track (CNBC, 24 Sept 2026): "KFC debuts Open House restaurant in Texas to test new customer experiences". KFC is debuting a new "Open House" restaurant concept this Saturday in McKinney, Texas, which will test expanded menu offerings including breakfast—a new venture for the fast-food chain.
Yum! Brands Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, franchises, and licenses a portfolio of well-known food brands. Its core businesses are organized around KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and The Habit Burger Grill, each serving distinct menu categories such as chicken, Mexican-inspired meals, pizza, and chargrilled burgers. The company’s model combines company-operated restaurants with a large franchised network, giving it a broad presence across the United States, China, and international markets. Yum! Brands Inc. plays a significant role in the restaurant industry by managing multiple brands under one corporate umbrella and supporting large-scale foodservice operations, marketing, and brand development. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, and incorporated in 1997, the company remains focused on quick-service dining and globally recognized restaurant concepts.
CEO Mr. Christopher Lee Turner · 49,000 employees · United States · https://www.yum.com
