YUMYUMConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

YUM Stock Forecast: Yum! Brands, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$153
+0.84% on the day

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $175 — +14.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 51 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$41.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
51 / 100
Median analyst target
$175
Analysts covering
26
Revenue$2.2B+12.3% y/y
Operating income$661.0M
Net income$853.0M
Free cash flow$407.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.2%
1M
+2.5%
YTD
+1.8%
1Y
+7.0%
From 52W high
−8.9%
From 52W low
+11.9%
$136
$167
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

YUM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum! Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
51 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
98
Growth
90
Quality
84
Value
58
Momentum
53
Revisions
47
Issuance
42
Accruals
20
Size
6

Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (20): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

YUM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26YUMHigh $200Median $175Low $147

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says26 analysts
11 Buy15 Hold0 Sell
Low $147Median $175High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
17 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$185$180
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$170$160
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$165$170
13 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$175$178
13 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
16 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight
27 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
30 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
30 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
29 Apr 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
20 Apr 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform
15 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
24 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
13 Feb 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
5 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
5 Feb 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy
5 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. YUM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

YUM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. returned +7.0% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

YUM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26YUMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

YUM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.1%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
14
Fundamentals

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.3×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.8×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / book
−5.9×

Cheaper than 97% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.7×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.2%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
128.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Gross margin
45.4%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Operating margin
32.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
25.4%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−21.3%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Return on assets
22.7%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 44% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. has a market value of $41.5B and an enterprise value of $54.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.2B, a 25.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.95.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B, after $404.0M of capital spending.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. spent $888.0M on share buybacks and $807.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 273.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.3×; forward P/E: 20.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.97%, paying out 37% of earnings.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. employs 49,000 people $178K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

YUM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.$41.5B
51
QSRRestaurant Brands International, Inc.$35.9B
63
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.$49.4B
54
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$25.2B
74
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$15.8B
88
SBUXStarbucks Corp.$121.4B
88
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$12.6B
64

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum! Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest YUM news & analysis

Yum! Brands, Inc. to Participate in the Barclays Annual Global Consumer Conference

Business Wire · 3 Sept 2026neutral

Yum! Brands, Inc. announced it will participate in the Barclays Annual Global Consumer Conference. The company is based in Louisville, Kentucky.

Why it matters — A Yum! watcher would care because participation in a major investor conference gives management a forum to communicate with analysts and investors.

Dropping the Dough: Yum! Brands Strategically Trims the Fat

MarketBeat · 3 Sept 2026negative

The fast-food industry is facing a severe reality check as menu price hikes are pricing out the core lower-income demographic, leading to a decline in foot traffic across the sector. Yum! Brands is strategically trimming its operations in response to this pressure.

Why it matters — A Yum! Brands watcher would care because declining foot traffic and pricing pressure among core fast-food customers could directly affect the company's sales across its major chains.

LongRange Capital Completes Acquisition of Pizza Hut from Yum! Brands

Business Wire · 1 Sept 2026neutral

LongRange Capital has completed its acquisition of Pizza Hut, excluding Mainland China, from Yum! Brands. Pizza Hut, founded in 1958, is a global restaurant leader with approximately $10 billion in system-wide sales.

Why it matters — The completion of this divestiture finalizes a major transaction that reshapes Yum! Brands' portfolio structure.

Yum! Brands Completes Sale of Pizza Hut to LongRange Capital

Business Wire · 1 Sept 2026neutral

Yum! Brands announced the completion of the sale of Pizza Hut Ex-China to LongRange Capital for approximately $1.5 billion, subject to adjustments, with the potential for an additional $75 million earn-out by 2030 based on future performance. This follows the previously announced sale of Pizza Hut in Mainland China.

Why it matters — Yum! watchers would care because this transaction completes a major divestiture that reshapes Yum! Brands' portfolio and its exposure to the Pizza Hut business.

Yum! Brands, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend of $0.75 Per Share

Business Wire · 28 Aug 2026neutral

Yum! Brands, Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.75 per share, as declared in a Business Wire release from Louisville, Kentucky.

Why it matters — YUM watchers would care because the declaration confirms the company's ongoing dividend payment to shareholders.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about YUM stock

What is the YUM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $175, with estimates ranging from $147 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is YUM stock a buy right now?

Of the 26 analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 51 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank YUM?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. ranks 51 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).

Will YUM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +14.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 51 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the YUM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Yum! Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $147 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has YUM stock performed over the past year?

Yum! Brands, Inc. returned +7.0% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Yum! Brands, Inc. do?

Yum! Brands Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, franchises, and licenses a portfolio of well-known food brands.

What is the latest news on YUM?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 3 Sept 2026): "Yum! Brands, Inc. to Participate in the Barclays Annual Global Consumer Conference". Yum! Brands, Inc. announced it will participate in the Barclays Annual Global Consumer Conference. The company is based in Louisville, Kentucky.

Company

About Yum! Brands, Inc.

Yum! Brands Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, franchises, and licenses a portfolio of well-known food brands. Its core businesses are organized around KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and The Habit Burger Grill, each serving distinct menu categories such as chicken, Mexican-inspired meals, pizza, and chargrilled burgers. The company’s model combines company-operated restaurants with a large franchised network, giving it a broad presence across the United States, China, and international markets. Yum! Brands Inc. plays a significant role in the restaurant industry by managing multiple brands under one corporate umbrella and supporting large-scale foodservice operations, marketing, and brand development. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, and incorporated in 1997, the company remains focused on quick-service dining and globally recognized restaurant concepts.

CEO Mr. Christopher Lee Turner · 49,000 employees · United States · https://www.yum.com