YUMYUMConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

YUM Stock Forecast: Yum! Brands, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$148
−1.82% on the day

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $175 — +18.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 54 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$41.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
54 / 100
Median analyst target
$175
Analysts covering
26
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.8%
1M
−6.4%
YTD
−1.2%
1Y
+2.8%
From 52W high
−11.6%
From 52W low
+8.7%
$136
$167
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

YUM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum! Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
54 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
100
Growth
90
Quality
84
Value
61
Momentum
57
Revisions
46
Issuance
43
Accruals
20
Size
6

Volatility (100): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (20): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

YUM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26YUMHigh $200Median $175Low $147

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says26 analysts
11 Buy15 Hold0 Sell
Low $147Median $175High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$170$160
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$165$170
13 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$175$178
13 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
16 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight
27 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
30 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
30 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
29 Apr 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
20 Apr 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform
15 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
24 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight
13 Feb 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
5 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
5 Feb 2026TD CowenReiteratesBuy
5 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
22 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral
20 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
8 Jan 2026Gordon HaskettUpgradeBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. YUM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

YUM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−1.7%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.2×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.7×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / book
−5.8×

Cheaper than 97% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.5×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.2%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
128.1%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Gross margin
45.4%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Operating margin
32.8%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Net margin
25.4%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−21.3%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Return on assets
22.7%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 45% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

YUM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.$41.0B
54
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.$41.8B
52
QSRRestaurant Brands International, Inc.$34.8B
63
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$25.6B
72
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$16.7B
89
SBUXStarbucks Corp.$123.4B
90
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$13.7B
65

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum! Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest YUM news & analysis

'Nobody wants it': Lettuce prices see record-setting plunge as cyclospora spooks consumers

CNBC · 12 Aug 2026negative

Lettuce prices posted their sharpest month-over-month decline on record in July, as a multistate cyclospora outbreak has caused diners to reconsider eating leafy greens.

Why it matters — Yum! Brands, whose KFC, Taco Bell, and Pizza Hut chains rely on lettuce as a key ingredient, could face reduced customer demand for menu items containing lettuce amid food-safety concerns.

YUM Investors Have Opportunity to Join Yum! Brands, Inc. Fraud Investigation with SBS Law

Business Wire · 8 Aug 2026negative

SBS Law announced that investors in Yum! Brands, Inc. have the opportunity to join a fraud investigation concerning the company. The notice targets YUM shareholders and outlines their eligibility to participate in the probe.

Why it matters — A fraud investigation involving Yum! Brands introduces potential legal and reputational risk that YUM watchers would want to monitor.

Cyclospora fears lead consumers to lose their appetite for salads

CNBC · 8 Aug 2026negative

Ongoing cyclospora outbreaks across the U.S. have led consumers to avoid greens, causing traffic to salad chains to decline and dollar sales of prepackaged salads to plummet, according to data from NielsenIQ reported by CNBC.

Why it matters — A widespread decline in consumer demand for salads and fresh greens could pressure restaurant sales and menu items at Yum Brands' chains, which rely on fresh produce in their offerings.

Yum! Brands Completes Sale of Pizza Hut China to Yum China Holdings

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026positive

Yum! Brands completed the sale of Pizza Hut in Mainland China to Yum China Holdings for $1.2 billion, representing one of two previously announced agreements to sell Pizza Hut for $2.7 billion in aggregate, subject to certain purchase price adjustments.

Why it matters — This transaction allows Yum! Brands to reduce its China exposure and complete its earlier announced divestiture of Pizza Hut China operations. The completion of the sale was announced by the company, continuing its previously announced plan. For YUM watchers, this marks a significant step in the company's stated strategic divestiture of a major subsidiary, though the excerpt is limited to the sale completion rather than its financial impact. The tone is positive as it reflects the successful and

YUM Drops 10.4% in a Month: Is This Sell-Off a Buying Opportunity?

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Aug 2026negative

YUM! Brands' stock dropped 10.4% over the past month, lowering its valuation. The article notes that Taco Bell's recovery, KFC's productivity, and Pizza Hut's sale are key factors for the company's next move.

Why it matters — A YUM watcher would care because the sharp decline raises questions about the company's valuation and whether underlying business drivers at Taco Bell, KFC, and Pizza Hut can support a turnaround.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about YUM stock

What is the YUM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $175, with estimates ranging from $147 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is YUM stock a buy right now?

Of the 26 analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc., 11 rate it a Buy, 15 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 54 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank YUM?

As at 13 Aug 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. ranks 54 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (100 of 100).

Will YUM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +18.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 54 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the YUM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Yum! Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $147 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has YUM stock performed over the past year?

Yum! Brands, Inc. returned +2.8% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Yum! Brands, Inc. do?

Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, franchises, and licenses a large system of branded restaurants worldwide.

What is the latest news on YUM?

The most recent item we track (CNBC, 12 Aug 2026): "'Nobody wants it': Lettuce prices see record-setting plunge as cyclospora spooks consumers". Lettuce prices posted their sharpest month-over-month decline on record in July, as a multistate cyclospora outbreak has caused diners to reconsider eating leafy greens.

Company

About Yum! Brands, Inc.

Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, franchises, and licenses a large system of branded restaurants worldwide. The company oversees well-known concepts including KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and The Habit Burger Grill, primarily focused on chicken, Mexican-inspired food, pizza, and better-burger offerings. Through a predominantly franchised model, Yum! Brands concentrates on brand management, menu innovation, marketing, and operational support, while franchisees handle most day-to-day restaurant operations. This structure positions the company as a major player in the consumer services and restaurant industry, with substantial presence across both developed and emerging markets. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, and founded in 1997, Yum! Brands today plays a central role in global quick-service dining, serving a wide range of customers through dine-in, takeaway, drive-thru, and delivery channels across numerous countries and territories.

CEO Mr. Christopher Lee Turner · 49,000 employees · United States · https://www.yum.com