YUMYUMConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

YUM Stock Forecast: Yum! Brands, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$147
−0.25% on the day

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $175 — +19.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$40.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
53 / 100
Median analyst target
$175
Analysts covering
26
Revenue$2.2B+12.3% y/y
Operating income$661.0M
Net income$853.0M
Free cash flow$407.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.5%
1M
+0.2%
YTD
−1.6%
1Y
+3.9%
From 52W high
−12.0%
From 52W low
+8.2%
$136
$167
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

YUM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum! Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
53 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
98
Growth
90
Quality
84
Momentum
58
Value
57
Revisions
47
Issuance
42
Accruals
20
Size
6

Volatility (98): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (20): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

YUM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26YUMHigh $200Median $175Low $147

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says26 analysts
13 Buy13 Hold0 Sell
Low $147Median $175High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +19.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$180 → $177
6 Oct 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$180 → $155
29 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$160 → $150
29 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
24 Sept 2026Argus ResearchDowngradeHold—
24 Sept 2026Argus ResearchDowngradeHold—
16 Sept 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$174 → $165
16 Sept 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
16 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy$162
16 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy—
10 Sept 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight$165 → $175
10 Sept 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
17 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy—
17 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$185 → $180
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$170 → $160
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$165 → $170
31 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
13 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$175 → $178
13 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. YUM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

YUM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. returned +3.9% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

YUM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100105110115120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26YUMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

YUM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−5.8%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.5×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.6×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / book
−5.7×

Cheaper than 97% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.2×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.2%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
128.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Gross margin
45.4%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Operating margin
32.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
25.4%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−21.3%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Return on assets
22.7%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 79% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. has a market value of $40.1B and an enterprise value of $52.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.2B, a 25.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.95.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B, after $404.0M of capital spending.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. spent $888.0M on share buybacks and $807.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 273.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.5×; forward P/E: 21.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.04%, paying out 37% of earnings.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. employs 49,000 people — $178K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

YUM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.$40.1B
53
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.$39.1B
58
QSRRestaurant Brands International, Inc.$32.9B
65
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$23.9B
66
SBUXStarbucks Corp.$106.0B
87
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$15.3B
86
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$11.0B
62

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum! Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest YUM news & analysis

Yum Brands faces weaker Taco Bell sales as Pizza Hut exit cuts earnings outlook

Proactive Investors · 14 Oct 2026negative

Jefferies cut its earnings forecasts for Yum! Brands, citing weaker Taco Bell sales and the disposal of Pizza Hut as factors weighing on its outlook.

Why it matters — The revised forecasts reflect pressure on YUM’s earnings outlook from Taco Bell sales and the Pizza Hut exit.

YUM vs. DPZ: Which Dividend Stock Actually Delivers for Retirement Investors?

24/7 Wall Street · 7 Oct 2026neutral

24/7 Wall Street compares YUM and Domino’s as dividend stocks, saying one has delivered stronger dividend growth while lagging on share-price stability. The excerpt does not specify which company leads in either measure.

Why it matters — The comparison highlights dividend growth and share-price stability as factors for YUM investors assessing its retirement-investment profile.

KFC® Puts a Snackable Spin on its Iconic Bucket with $3.49* Go Buckets

PRNewsWire · 5 Oct 2026positive

KFC has introduced Go Buckets, a new on-the-go snacking offering that pairs a choice of its chicken with fries or wedges, priced from $3.49. Billed as the first KFC bucket designed to fit in a standard car cupholder, it expands the brand into snacking occasions beyond the traditional meal.

Why it matters — A YUM watcher would care because this new, affordable snacking product could broaden KFC's daypart and occasion coverage and potentially drive incremental sales.

KFC debuts Open House restaurant in Texas to test new customer experiences

CNBC · 24 Sept 2026positive

KFC is debuting a new "Open House" restaurant concept this Saturday in McKinney, Texas, which will test expanded menu offerings including breakfast—a new venture for the fast-food chain.

Why it matters — This concept test could signal new growth opportunities for Yum Brands' KFC unit through expanded offerings and novel customer experiences.

This Yum Brands Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Thursday

Benzinga · 24 Sept 2026negative

Benzinga reported that a Wall Street analyst changed their outlook on Yum Brands, moving away from a bullish stance. The item lists Yum Brands among the top analyst downgrades for Thursday.

Why it matters — YUM watchers would care because a shift to a less bullish analyst rating reflects a change in sentiment that may influence how shares are viewed.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about YUM stock

What is the YUM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $175, with estimates ranging from $147 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is YUM stock a buy right now?

Of the 26 analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc., 13 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank YUM?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (98 of 100).

Will YUM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +19.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 53 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the YUM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Yum! Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $147 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has YUM stock performed over the past year?

Yum! Brands, Inc. returned +3.9% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Yum! Brands, Inc. do?

Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, and franchises a portfolio of well-known dining brands.

What is the latest news on YUM?

The most recent item we track (Proactive Investors, 14 Oct 2026): "Yum Brands faces weaker Taco Bell sales as Pizza Hut exit cuts earnings outlook". Jefferies cut its earnings forecasts for Yum! Brands, citing weaker Taco Bell sales and the disposal of Pizza Hut as factors weighing on its outlook.

Company

About Yum! Brands, Inc.

Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, and franchises a portfolio of well-known dining brands. Its current brand portfolio includes KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill, serving distinct categories such as fried and grilled chicken, Mexican-inspired food, pizza, burgers, sandwiches, and related menu offerings. The company’s primarily franchise-based model supports restaurant operations across diverse international markets, with local franchisees managing many locations under standardized brand systems, operating procedures, and marketing platforms. Yum! Brands also supports digital ordering, delivery, restaurant technology, and customer engagement capabilities that connect its brands with consumers through modern food-service channels. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, the company operates across the United States, China, and numerous other countries and territories. Its broad brand coverage and international franchise network give Yum! Brands a significant role in the global quick-service restaurant industry, linking large-scale food-service operations with local market execution.

CEO Mr. Christopher Lee Turner · 49,000 employees · United States · https://www.yum.com