YUMYUMConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

YUM Stock Forecast: Yum! Brands, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Nov 2026
$157
−0.37% on the day

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $172 — +9.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 70 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$42.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
70/ 100
Median analyst target
$172
Analysts covering
26
Revenue$2.2B+12.3% y/y
Operating income$661.0M
Net income$853.0M
Free cash flow$407.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+5.0%
1M
+15.3%
YTD
+5.3%
1Y
+14.8%
From 52W high
−5.8%
From 52W low
+15.7%
$136
$167
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

YUM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum! Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
70/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
99
Volatility
98
Quality
91
Growth
88
Momentum
60
Value
60
Revisions
39
Accruals
25
Size
6

Issuance (99): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

YUM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26YUMHigh $200Median $172Low $147

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says26 analysts
12 Buy14 Hold0 Sell
Low $147Median $172High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Nov 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$177 → $180
21 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$176 → $163
7 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$180 → $177
7 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
6 Oct 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$180 → $155
6 Oct 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
29 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$160 → $150
29 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
24 Sept 2026Argus ResearchDowngradeHold—
24 Sept 2026Argus ResearchDowngradeHold—
16 Sept 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$174 → $165
16 Sept 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
16 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy$162
16 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy—
10 Sept 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight$165 → $175
10 Sept 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
17 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy—
17 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$185 → $180
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$170 → $160

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

YUM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

YUM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Nov 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. returned +14.8% against +11.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

YUM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
9095100105110115120125Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26YUMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

YUM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−6.1%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.8×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.9×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Price / book
−6.1×

Cheaper than 97% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
18.1×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.2%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
128.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Gross margin
45.4%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Operating margin
32.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
25.4%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−21.3%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Return on assets
22.7%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.9%

Higher than 78% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. has a market value of $42.8B and an enterprise value of $55.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.2B, a 25.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.95.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B, after $404.0M of capital spending.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. spent $888.0M on share buybacks and $807.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 273.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 19.8×; forward P/E: 23.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.91%, paying out 37% of earnings.

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. employs 49,000 people — $178K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

YUM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
YUMYum! Brands, Inc.$42.8B70
CMGChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.$42.7B42
QSRRestaurant Brands International, Inc.$33.6B55
DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc.$25.1B67
YUMCYum China Holdings, Inc.$16.9B73
SBUXStarbucks Corp.$119.1B78
TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc.$12.2B54

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum! Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest YUM news & analysis

Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 3 Nov 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Yum! Brands, Inc.’s Q3 2026 earnings call. The provided text contains no details about the call’s discussion or results.

Why it matters — YUM watchers may consult the transcript for management commentary, but no specific business information is included in the excerpt.

YUM Stock Up on Q3 Earnings Beat, Revenues Miss on Taco Bell Weakness

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Nov 2026neutral

Yum! Brands beat Q3 earnings estimates, with KFC's global expansion supporting growth. Revenues missed expectations as weakness in Taco Bell's U.S. sales weighed on results.

Why it matters — YUM watchers may note the contrast between KFC's growth contribution and Taco Bell's U.S. sales weakness.

Yum Says Taco Bell Sales Are Improving After Cyclospora Outbreak Fallout

WSJ · 3 Nov 2026positive

Yum! Brands Chief Executive Chris Turner said Taco Bell has been outperforming the broader quick-service restaurant industry since the end of September, following fallout from a Cyclospora outbreak.

Why it matters — The update offers YUM watchers information about Taco Bell’s sales performance after the outbreak fallout.

Yum Brands (YUM) Surpasses Q3 Earnings Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Nov 2026positive

Yum Brands reported quarterly earnings of $1.56 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.47. Earnings were $1.58 per share a year earlier.

Why it matters — YUM watchers may note that quarterly earnings exceeded the consensus estimate, while remaining below the year-ago level.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about YUM stock

What is the YUM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $172, with estimates ranging from $147 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is YUM stock a buy right now?

Of the 26 analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 70 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank YUM?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. ranks 70 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (99 of 100).

Will YUM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +9.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 70 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the YUM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Yum! Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $147 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has YUM stock performed over the past year?

Yum! Brands, Inc. returned +14.8% over the 12 months to 3 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Yum! Brands, Inc. do?

Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, and franchises a portfolio of well-known dining brands.

What is the latest news on YUM?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 3 Nov 2026): "Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Yum! Brands, Inc.’s Q3 2026 earnings call. The provided text contains no details about the call’s discussion or results.

Company

About Yum! Brands, Inc.

Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, and franchises a portfolio of well-known dining brands. Its current brand portfolio includes KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill, serving distinct categories such as fried and grilled chicken, Mexican-inspired food, pizza, burgers, sandwiches, and related menu offerings. The company’s primarily franchise-based model supports restaurant operations across diverse international markets, with local franchisees managing many locations under standardized brand systems, operating procedures, and marketing platforms. Yum! Brands also supports digital ordering, delivery, restaurant technology, and customer engagement capabilities that connect its brands with consumers through modern food-service channels. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, the company operates across the United States, China, and numerous other countries and territories. Its broad brand coverage and international franchise network give Yum! Brands a significant role in the global quick-service restaurant industry, linking large-scale food-service operations with local market execution.

CEO Mr. Christopher Lee Turner · 49,000 employees · United States · https://www.yum.com