YUMConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $172 — +3.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 70 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Yum! Brands, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (99): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (25): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on YUM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +3.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $177 → $180 |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | $176 → $163 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $180 → $177 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $180 → $155 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $160 → $150 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Argus Research | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | Argus Research | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | $174 → $165 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Buy | $162 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | $165 → $175 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | $185 → $180 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $170 → $160 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
YUM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL
AI chips
NVDAAVGOAMDMU
AI networking and serversIn full
ANETDELLLITECRDO
Data centre power
VRTCEGGEVVST
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. returned +13.4% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 38% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Cheaper than 97% of US stocks
Cheaper than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 99% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Yum! Brands, Inc. has a market value of $42.8B and an enterprise value of $55.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $2.2B, a 25.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.95.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B, after $404.0M of capital spending.
Yum! Brands, Inc. spent $888.0M on share buybacks and $807.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 19.8×; forward P/E: 23.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.91%, paying out 37% of earnings.
Yum! Brands, Inc. employs 49,000 people — $178K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Yum! Brands, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research notes that Yum’s headline Q3 results for the quarter ended September 2026 provide a view of its performance. The item says key metrics can also be compared with Wall Street estimates and year-ago actuals.
Why it matters — These comparisons offer YUM watchers additional context for assessing the quarter’s reported performance.
Yum! Brands reported mixed earnings: Taco Bell’s same-store sales fell 4% amid a foodborne illness outbreak, with recovery described as swift and long-term damage appearing minimal. KFC posted 8% system sales growth from international expansion and new stores, while U.S. performance remained weak and margin pressures persisted.
Why it matters — The contrasting brand results and ongoing U.S. weakness and margin pressure provide important context for assessing Yum! Brands’ performance.
Yum! Brands’ third-quarter results reflected the completed divestiture of Pizza Hut and an industry-wide food safety issue that pressured Taco Bell’s U.S. sales during the summer. The company said it is entering a new phase focused on its remaining brands and its “Raise the B.A.R.”
Why it matters — The divestiture and Taco Bell sales pressure are key context for understanding the company’s results and its focus going forward.
Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Yum! Brands, Inc.’s Q3 2026 earnings call. The provided text contains no details about the call’s discussion or results.
Why it matters — YUM watchers may consult the transcript for management commentary, but no specific business information is included in the excerpt.
Yum! Brands beat Q3 earnings estimates, with KFC's global expansion supporting growth. Revenues missed expectations as weakness in Taco Bell's U.S. sales weighed on results.
Why it matters — YUM watchers may note the contrast between KFC's growth contribution and Taco Bell's U.S. sales weakness.
The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $172, with estimates ranging from $147 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 26 analysts covering Yum! Brands, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 70 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Yum! Brands, Inc. ranks 70 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +3.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Yum! Brands, Inc. 70 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Yum! Brands, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for YUM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $147 to $200 over the next 12 months.
Yum! Brands, Inc. returned +13.4% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, and franchises a portfolio of well-known dining brands.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 4 Nov 2026): "Yum (YUM) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say". Zacks Investment Research notes that Yum’s headline Q3 results for the quarter ended September 2026 provide a view of its performance. The item says key metrics can also be compared with Wall Street estimates and year-ago actuals.
Yum! Brands, Inc. is a global quick-service restaurant company that develops, operates, and franchises a portfolio of well-known dining brands. Its current brand portfolio includes KFC, Taco Bell, Pizza Hut, and Habit Burger & Grill, serving distinct categories such as fried and grilled chicken, Mexican-inspired food, pizza, burgers, sandwiches, and related menu offerings. The company’s primarily franchise-based model supports restaurant operations across diverse international markets, with local franchisees managing many locations under standardized brand systems, operating procedures, and marketing platforms. Yum! Brands also supports digital ordering, delivery, restaurant technology, and customer engagement capabilities that connect its brands with consumers through modern food-service channels. Headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky, the company operates across the United States, China, and numerous other countries and territories. Its broad brand coverage and international franchise network give Yum! Brands a significant role in the global quick-service restaurant industry, linking large-scale food-service operations with local market execution.
CEO Mr. Christopher Lee Turner · 49,000 employees · United States · https://www.yum.com
