DRIConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 28 Wall Street analysts covering Darden Restaurants, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $235 — +7.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 67 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Darden Restaurants, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.
Revisions (48): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.
Size (8): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DRI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +7.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sept 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $225 → $220 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $235 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $248 → $247 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Freedom Capital Markets | Maintains | Buy | $255 → $260 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Guggenheim | Reiterates | Buy | $235 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $235 → $245 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Equal-Weight | $220 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Hold | $215 |
| 21 Sept 2026 | Freedom Capital Markets | Maintains | Buy | $255 |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 16 Sept 2026 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Buy | $240 |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $235 → $245 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $236 → $255 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $245 → $248 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $216 → $220 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $228 → $237 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
DRI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 3 Nov 2026, Darden Restaurants, Inc. returned +27.4% against +11.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Cheaper than 7% of US stocks
Cheaper than 22% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. has a market value of $24.8B and an enterprise value of $33.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $13.2B. The latest quarter grew 5.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.2B, a 9.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.38.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $1.1B, after $26.4M of capital spending.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. spent $671.7M on share buybacks and $693.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.
Trailing P/E: 21.3×; forward P/E: 17.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.95%, paying out 59% of earnings.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. employs 209,931 people — $63K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Darden Restaurants, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research compares Wendy’s (WEN) and Darden Restaurants (DRI) as potential value options in the Retail - Restaurants sector.
Why it matters — The item frames DRI in a value comparison with Wendy’s but the excerpt provides no conclusion or valuation details.
Restaurant companies, including Darden, are set to report quarterly earnings next week. Their results may show how the trend favoring multi-brand restaurant companies is playing out.
Why it matters — Darden watchers will be looking for its earnings to indicate whether a portfolio of restaurant brands is benefiting the company amid that trend.
The article compares McDonald’s, Darden, and Yum! Brands as restaurant companies that generate shareholder income through dividends, highlighting that only one continued raising its dividend when dining rooms closed and customers disappeared.
Why it matters — A DRI watcher may want to note the article’s comparison of Darden’s dividend record with those of McDonald’s and Yum! Brands during the period described.
Four Corners Property Trust announced a master agreement with Darden Restaurants and certain affiliates covering all 66 Olive Garden and LongHorn leases previously identified as maturing in 2027. The headline states that extensions were announced for 100% of those leases.
Why it matters — A DRI watcher may note the announced extensions involving Darden’s Olive Garden and LongHorn lease arrangements.
The article compares Darden and McDonald’s as income investments, noting that their dividends are nearly identical but their payout histories differed during downturns. It says one cut its dividend substantially while the other continued raising it, without identifying which company in the excerpt.
Why it matters — Darden investors may want to consider the companies’ contrasting dividend records when assessing DRI’s income profile.
The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Darden Restaurants, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $235, with estimates ranging from $163 to $276. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 28 analysts covering Darden Restaurants, Inc., 18 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Darden Restaurants, Inc. 67 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Darden Restaurants, Inc. ranks 67 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +7.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Darden Restaurants, Inc. 67 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Darden Restaurants, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DRI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $163 to $276 over the next 12 months.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. returned +27.4% over the 12 months to 3 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. is a full-service restaurant company that owns and operates a portfolio of well-known dining brands across the United States and Canada.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 Oct 2026): "WEN vs. DRI: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?". Zacks Investment Research compares Wendy’s (WEN) and Darden Restaurants (DRI) as potential value options in the Retail - Restaurants sector.
Darden Restaurants, Inc. is a full-service restaurant company that owns and operates a portfolio of well-known dining brands across the United States and Canada. Its restaurant family includes Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddar’s Scratch Kitchen, Yard House, Ruth’s Chris Steak House, The Capital Grille, Chuy’s, Seasons 52, Eddie V’s, and Bahama Breeze, serving a broad mix of casual, polished casual, and fine-dining occasions. The company focuses on dine-in service, takeout, beverages, bar offerings, catering, and gift cards, supported by a multi-brand operating model designed to serve different customer preferences and dining experiences. Darden Restaurants plays an important role in the North American full-service dining market by combining scale, brand recognition, and operational consistency across a diverse restaurant portfolio. Headquartered in Orlando, Florida, Darden Restaurants remains one of the largest operators in the full-service restaurant sector.
CEO Mr. Ricardo Cardenas CPA · 209,931 employees · United States · https://www.darden.com
