CMGConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 34 Wall Street analysts covering Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $44 — +31.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (83): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Momentum (15): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CMG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +31.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $45 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Argus Research | Maintains | Buy | $40 → $45 |
| 31 July 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Neutral | $35 → $36 |
| 30 July 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | $45 |
| 30 July 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $45 → $50 |
| 30 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $45 → $47 |
| 30 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $37 → $39 |
| 30 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $42 → $39 |
| 30 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $36 → $40 |
| 30 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Buy | $44 |
| 13 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $46 → $45 |
| 13 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 13 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $40 → $41 |
| 5 June 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 3 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 May 2026 | Argus Research | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CMG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 27% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 6% of US stocks
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
A cyclospora outbreak and salmonella flare-up are putting food safety at restaurants to the test in the US. The incidents led consumers to cut back on eating out and pushed food brands to review their supply chains.
Why it matters — A CMG watcher would care because food-safety outbreaks can weigh on restaurant demand and draw scrutiny to restaurant supply chains.
Seeking Alpha reiterated a Buy rating on Chipotle Mexican Grill, citing strong financials, aggressive buybacks, and expansion plans despite mixed Q2 results that showed revenue growth and higher comp sales but margin compression from consumer caution and macro headwinds.
Why it matters — CMG watchers would care because the analysis highlights the tension between near-term consumer weakness and the company's long-term growth drivers, including plans for 350–370 new openings and a debt-free balance sheet.
Chipotle reported Q2 traffic gains and issued a low-single-digit comparable sales outlook for 2026, signaling a potential recovery. However, softer Q3 trends may test the company's momentum.
Why it matters — CMG watchers would care because the 2026 comp outlook and Q2 performance offer clues on whether the chain's recent growth challenges are easing, while Q3 trends could indicate the durability of any turnaround.
Chipotle Mexican Grill announced the opening of its first restaurant in Saudi Arabia later this month, located at Sidra in Riyadh. The entry into the Kingdom continues the brand's Middle East expansion through a partnership with franchise operator Alshaya Group.
Why it matters — The Saudi Arabia debut marks Chipotle's further international expansion into a new market via its franchise partner Alshaya Group.
Computer Modelling Group reported first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue declined, as growth from recent acquisitions was offset by lower organic revenue and a planned reduction in non-core professional services work. Management reaffirmed its full-year outlook for stable organic recurring revenue and no reduction in adjusted EBITDA from fiscal 2026.
Why it matters — This item reports on the TSE-listed company's quarterly results and management's reaffirmed outlook, which is relevant context for anyone tracking the CMG ticker.
The 34 Wall Street analysts covering Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $44, with estimates ranging from $36 to $52. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 34 analysts covering Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., 25 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Aug 2026, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (83 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 34 analysts implies +31.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CMG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $36 to $52 over the next 12 months.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. returned -22.4% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a public fast-casual restaurant company specializing in Mexican-inspired food served through a streamlined, quick-service format.
The most recent item we track (Bloomberg Technology, 14 Aug 2026): "Cyclospora Outbreak Puts Food Safety to the Test". A cyclospora outbreak and salmonella flare-up are putting food safety at restaurants to the test in the US. The incidents led consumers to cut back on eating out and pushed food brands to review their supply chains.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is a public fast-casual restaurant company specializing in Mexican-inspired food served through a streamlined, quick-service format. The brand focuses on a simple, customizable menu built around burritos, bowls, tacos, quesadillas, and salads, allowing customers to choose from a range of proteins, toppings, and sides prepared in front of them. Chipotle emphasizes responsibly sourced, high-quality ingredients, avoiding artificial colors, flavors, and preservatives, and positions its offering as real food that combines convenience with quality. The company generates revenue primarily from dine-in, takeout, catering, and digital orders, including app and web-based channels that support pickup and delivery. Headquartered in Newport Beach, California, Chipotle operates thousands of company-owned restaurants across the United States and in international markets such as Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and parts of the Middle East. In the consumer services and restaurant sector, Chipotle is a prominent player in the fast-casual segment, influencing industry standards for operational simplicity, menu focus, and ingredient sourcing.
CEO Mr. Scott Boatwright · 140,000 employees · United States · https://www.chipotle.com