CPACPAIndustrials · Airlines

CPA Stock Forecast: Copa Holdings SA Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$131
−2.89% on the day

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Copa Holdings SA hold a median 12-month price target of $185 — +41.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 67 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
67 / 100
Median analyst target
$185
Analysts covering
15
Revenue$1.1B+25.7% y/y
Operating income$91.7M
Net income$68.2M
Free cash flow−$55.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.8%
1M
+2.8%
YTD
+12.7%
1Y
+7.6%
From 52W high
−15.5%
From 52W low
+24.7%
$105
$155
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CPA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Copa Holdings SA on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
67 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
92
Value
84
Quality
81
Momentum
75
Growth
63
Accruals
50
Revisions
44
Issuance
38
Size
21

Volatility (92): The share price has been relatively steady.

Issuance (38): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (21): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CPA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CPA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160$180$200$220Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CPAHigh $205Median $185Low $152

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says15 analysts
13 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $152Median $185High $205

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +41.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 Aug 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$195 → $185
11 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
11 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$195 → $185
14 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy$190 → $195
14 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsStrong Buy—
25 June 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$175 → $200
25 June 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
18 June 2026JefferiesInitiatesBuy$185
18 June 2026JefferiesInitiatesBuy—
3 June 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
26 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
15 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
15 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
13 Apr 2026Goldman SachsUpgradeBuy—
27 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
24 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
18 Mar 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
17 Mar 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
12 Mar 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
12 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CPA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CPA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Copa Holdings SA returned +7.6% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CPA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CPAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CPA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.2%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Copa Holdings SA (CPA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
8.9×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / book
1.9×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.2×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
25.7%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−54.2%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Gross margin
21.0%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.7%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
15.7%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
23.1%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.3%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.1%

Higher than 93% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Copa Holdings SA (CPA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Copa Holdings SA has a market value of $5.5B and an enterprise value of $6.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.0B. The latest quarter grew 25.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $626.6M, a 15.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $15.21.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$77.0M.

  • Copa Holdings SA spent $45.0M on share buybacks and $273.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 40.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 8.9×; forward P/E: 7.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.06%, paying out 44% of earnings.

  • Copa Holdings SA employs 8,565 people — $466K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CPA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAirlines
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CPACopa Holdings SA$5.5B
67
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.$4.0B
25
AALAmerican Airlines Group, Inc.$7.8B
50
SKYWSkyWest, Inc.$3.6B
78
ALGTAllegiant Travel Co.$1.8B
47
LUVSouthwest Airlines Co.$19.3B
76
ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.$1.1B
26

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Copa Holdings SA — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CPA news & analysis

LATAM Airlines September 2026 Traffic Improves Year Over Year

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Oct 2026neutral

LATAM Airlines reported 6.2% traffic growth and 7.7% capacity expansion in September 2026. Its load factor fell because capacity growth outpaced demand.

Why it matters — The update provides a peer-airline traffic and capacity comparison that may be relevant to watchers of Copa Holdings.

Copa Holdings' September 2026 Traffic Improves Year Over Year

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Oct 2026positive

Copa Holdings reported September 2026 traffic up 17.1% year over year, exceeding capacity growth of 15.7%. Its load factor reached 87.9%.

Why it matters — The figures give CPA watchers an update on traffic growth relative to capacity and aircraft occupancy.

Copa Holdings (CPA) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Oct 2026positive

Copa Holdings (CPA) shares closed at $135.51 in the most recent trading day, up 2.29% from the previous session, outperforming the broader market. The move is reported by Zacks Investment Research.

Why it matters — A price gain exceeding market returns is notable for CPA watchers tracking the stock's recent trading performance.

Copa Holdings (CPA) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026negative

Copa Holdings shares closed at $131.07 in the latest trading session, falling 1.98% from the previous day, a decline steeper than that of the broader market. The report highlights the stock's underperformance in that session without additional context.

Why it matters — A dip larger than the market's signals near-term weakness in Copa Holdings' stock that CPA watchers would track as a data point on its trading performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CPA stock

What is the CPA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 15 Wall Street analysts covering Copa Holdings SA have a median 12-month price target of $185, with estimates ranging from $152 to $205. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CPA stock a buy right now?

Of the 15 analysts covering Copa Holdings SA, 13 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Copa Holdings SA 67 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CPA?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Copa Holdings SA ranks 67 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (92 of 100).

Will CPA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +41.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Copa Holdings SA 67 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CPA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Copa Holdings SA publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CPA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $152 to $205 over the next 12 months.

How has CPA stock performed over the past year?

Copa Holdings SA returned +7.6% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Copa Holdings SA do?

Copa Holdings, S.A. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Copa Holdings, S.A., a Panama-based airline group focused on passenger and cargo air transportation across the Americas and the Caribbean.

What is the latest news on CPA?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 12 Oct 2026): "LATAM Airlines September 2026 Traffic Improves Year Over Year". LATAM Airlines reported 6.2% traffic growth and 7.7% capacity expansion in September 2026. Its load factor fell because capacity growth outpaced demand.

Company

About Copa Holdings SA.

Copa Holdings, S.A. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Copa Holdings, S.A., a Panama-based airline group focused on passenger and cargo air transportation across the Americas and the Caribbean. Through its subsidiaries, the company operates scheduled international flights and related logistics services, connecting key markets in North America, Central America, South America, and the Caribbean. Its business centers on commercial aviation, including passenger transport, cargo handling, and mail services, supported by a network designed to serve both leisure and business travel demand. Copa Holdings also plays a significant role in regional connectivity by linking secondary and major destinations through its Panama City hub. The Class A shares are part of the company’s public equity structure and provide market exposure to the airline industry through a Latin American carrier with a broad operating footprint.

CEO Mr. Pedro Heilbron · 8,565 employees · Panama · https://copa.gcs-web.com