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ALK Stock Forecast: Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$41
−0.46% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Alaska Air Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $61 — +47.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 26 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$4.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
26 / 100
Median analyst target
$61
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$4.1B+9.7% y/y
Operating income−$126.0M
Net income−$76.0M
Free cash flow$0.0
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.9%
1M
−17.5%
YTD
−17.7%
1Y
−33.8%
From 52W high
−35.2%
From 52W low
+21.1%
$34
$64
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ALK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Alaska Air Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
26 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
70
Accruals
58
Issuance
57
Volatility
50
Quality
39
Revisions
32
Momentum
29
Size
25
Growth
22

Value (70): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Growth (22): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ALK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70$80$90$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ALKHigh $92Median $61Low $37

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
15 Buy0 Hold1 Sell
Low $37Median $61High $92

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +47.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 Aug 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform$60 → $52
24 Aug 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$59 → $46
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell$47 → $37
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell—
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$94 → $92
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$70 → $65
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$50 → $70
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$55 → $63
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
2 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$58 → $69
2 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$51 → $59
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$60 → $65
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
26 June 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell—
25 June 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ALK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Alaska Air Group, Inc. returned −33.8% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ALK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ALKS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ALK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
94.1×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 89% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.5×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.7%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.7%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
7.2%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Operating margin
−2.9%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Net margin
−1.2%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−4.6%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.7%

Higher than 73% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Alaska Air Group, Inc. has a market value of $4.5B and an enterprise value of $9.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $14.8B. The latest quarter grew 9.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$175.0M, a −1.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.57.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$350.0M.

  • Alaska Air Group, Inc. spent $285.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 111.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 94.1×; forward P/E: 7.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.69%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Alaska Air Group, Inc. employs 31,596 people — $467K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ALK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAirlines
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.$4.5B
26
CPACopa Holdings SA$5.3B
73
SKYWSkyWest, Inc.$3.7B
81
AALAmerican Airlines Group, Inc.$8.7B
56
ALGTAllegiant Travel Co.$2.0B
62
JBLUJetBlue Airways Corp.$1.7B
36
ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.$1.3B
34

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Alaska Air Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ALK news & analysis

UNITE HERE Locals 11 and 2 File Complaint Calling on Alaska Air Group to Enforce Supplier Labor Code at Flying Food Group

Business Wire · 1 Sept 2026negative

On September 1, UNITE HERE Locals 11 and 2 filed a formal complaint asking Alaska Air Group to enforce its Supplier Code of Conduct against inflight caterer Flying Food Group, which serves Alaska subsidiary Hawaiian Airlines at Los Angeles International Airport and previously served San Francisco International Airport. The complaint requests Alaska to stop sourcing from FFG until it complies.

Why it matters — Alaska Air Group faces a labor-related complaint involving a supplier to its Hawaiian Airlines subsidiary, potentially affecting its catering operations and supplier-compliance reputation.

Here's Why Alaska Air Group (ALK) Fell More Than Broader Market

Zacks Investment Research · 31 Aug 2026negative

On the latest trading day, Alaska Air Group (ALK) shares settled at $41.33, a decline of -2.34% from the previous close. The stock fell more than the broader market.

Why it matters — The decline signals that ALK underperformed the broader market on the day, which watchers would note as a negative trading signal for the stock.

Alaska Airlines Partners With Sam Darnold to Boost Global Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Aug 2026positive

Alaska Airlines has partnered with Sam Darnold to boost its hometown brand as it introduces new routes and premium perks in support of global expansion. The partnership is part of the airline's broader growth efforts.

Why it matters — The brand partnership and expansion of routes and premium offerings signal Alaska Airlines' focus on growing its global presence and strengthening its hometown identity.

Alaska Air's CEO Buys 25,000 Shares Amid a 28% Decline in the Stock Price. Here's a Deeper Look at the Transaction.

The Motley Fool · 22 Aug 2026positive

Alaska Air Group CEO Benito Minicucci purchased 25,000 shares at a weighted average price of $40.06, a total investment of about $1 million. The transaction increased his direct equity position in the company by 11% and came amid a 28% decline in the stock price.

Why it matters — An Alaska Air watcher would note that an 11% expansion of the CEO's direct equity stake is an insider signal about management's view of the company following a sharp stock decline.

Alaska Airlines Expands Seattle Network With Athens, Paris Routes

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

Alaska Airlines announced it will add nonstop flights from Seattle to Athens and Paris in 2027, expanding its intercontinental network and global gateway ambitions.

Why it matters — An Alaska Air Group watcher would care because this route expansion signals growth in the company's international network from its Seattle hub.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ALK stock

What is the ALK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Alaska Air Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $61, with estimates ranging from $37 to $92. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ALK stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Alaska Air Group, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. 26 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ALK?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Alaska Air Group, Inc. ranks 26 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (70 of 100).

Will ALK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +47.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. 26 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ALK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Alaska Air Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $37 to $92 over the next 12 months.

How has ALK stock performed over the past year?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. returned -33.8% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Alaska Air Group, Inc. do?

Alaska Air Group Inc. is an airline holding company that operates scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation through its Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional segments.

What is the latest news on ALK?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 1 Sept 2026): "UNITE HERE Locals 11 and 2 File Complaint Calling on Alaska Air Group to Enforce Supplier Labor Code at Flying Food Group". On September 1, UNITE HERE Locals 11 and 2 filed a formal complaint asking Alaska Air Group to enforce its Supplier Code of Conduct against inflight caterer Flying Food Group, which serves Alaska subsidiary Hawaiian Airlines at Los Angeles International Airport and previously served San Francisco International Airport. The complaint requests Alaska to stop sourcing from FFG until it complies.

Company

About Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Alaska Air Group Inc. is an airline holding company that operates scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation through its Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional segments. Alaska Airlines serves a broad network across the United States and select destinations in Latin America and the Pacific, while the Regional segment provides shorter-haul service through Horizon Air and other partner carriers. The company also supports freight and mail transportation, airport and ground services, and related aviation operations through its subsidiaries. Alaska Air Group serves both leisure and business travelers and plays a key role in connecting major metropolitan markets with regional and long-haul routes. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington and founded in 1932, Alaska Air Group remains a significant participant in North American commercial aviation.

CEO Mr. Benito Minicucci · 31,596 employees · United States · https://www.alaskaair.com