ALKIndustrials · AirlinesThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering Alaska Air Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $63 — +25.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 27 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Alaska Air Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (70): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Growth (22): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Alaska Air Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Sell | $47 → $37 |
| 24 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $94 → $92 |
| 22 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $70 → $65 |
| 7 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | $50 → $70 |
| 2 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $55 → $63 |
| 2 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 2 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $58 → $69 |
| 2 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $51 → $59 |
| 1 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $60 → $65 |
| 1 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 June 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 25 June 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 23 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Sell | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Positive | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 8% of US stocks
Cheaper than 87% of US stocks
Cheaper than 57% of US stocks
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 7% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALK appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Alaska Air is pursuing a strategy focused on premium travel, loyalty programs, long-haul expansion and fleet upgrades to enhance revenue quality, while facing execution demands.
Why it matters — For Alaska Air watchers, these strategic bets signal the company's direction on improving revenue mix and competitiveness through higher-margin offerings and modernized aircraft.
The article discusses Alaska Air's integration of Hawaiian Airlines, noting that the move expands its network, loyalty program reach, and premium offerings while highlighting that costs and execution will determine long-term outcomes for investors.
Why it matters — An ALK watcher would care because the success of this integration directly affects the company's competitive position, operating costs, and long-term growth trajectory.
Zacks.com reports that Alaska Air Group (ALK) has been heavily watched by investors, prompting an analysis of the stock's outlook.
Why it matters — For ALK watchers, the article indicates heightened investor attention on the stock, which could influence market perception and trading activity.
The FAA announced that major US airlines must retrofit planes by the end of 2030 to address potential wireless interference following a new spectrum auction, and carriers will be eligible for up to $2.2 billion in government rebates to cover the costs.
Why it matters — As a major US carrier, Alaska Air would face compliance costs for retrofitting its fleet but could benefit from the federal rebate program to offset those expenses.
A rapid rise in jet fuel prices is forcing U.S. airlines to revise earnings forecasts, as higher fuel costs outpace revenue gains from strong travel demand.
Why it matters — Rising jet fuel costs directly pressure Alaska Air Group's operating expenses and profitability, potentially forcing the company to adjust its earnings outlook.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Alaska Air Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $63, with estimates ranging from $37 to $92. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering Alaska Air Group, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. 27 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 1 Aug 2026, Alaska Air Group, Inc. ranks 27 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (70 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +25.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. 27 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Alaska Air Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $37 to $92 over the next 12 months.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. returned -2.3% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Alaska Air Group Inc. is a U.S.-based airline holding company that provides passenger and cargo air transportation services through its Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional segments.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 31 July 2026): "Alaska Air Bets on Loyalty, Long-Haul Growth and Major Fleet Upgrades". Alaska Air is pursuing a strategy focused on premium travel, loyalty programs, long-haul expansion and fleet upgrades to enhance revenue quality, while facing execution demands.
Alaska Air Group Inc. is a U.S.-based airline holding company that provides passenger and cargo air transportation services through its Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional segments. The Alaska Airlines segment focuses on scheduled jet service across the United States and to select international leisure destinations, including parts of Mexico and Costa Rica, serving both business and leisure travelers. Hawaiian Airlines offers scheduled flights within Hawaii, between Hawaii and the U.S. mainland, and to select international markets, emphasizing passenger and cargo transport on Boeing and Airbus aircraft. The Regional segment, operated through Horizon Air and third-party carriers under capacity purchase agreements, concentrates on shorter-haul routes within the U.S. and Canada using Embraer E175 aircraft. Alaska Air Group Inc. generates revenue primarily from passenger tickets, ancillary services, and its Mileage Plan loyalty program, positioning the company as a significant player in the North American commercial aviation market. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington, and founded in 1985, it operates within the broader airlines industry of the transportation sector.
CEO Mr. Benito Minicucci · 31,596 employees · United States · https://www.alaskaair.com