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ALK Stock Forecast: Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$40
+0.57% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Alaska Air Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $61 — +51.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 25 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$4.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
25 / 100
Median analyst target
$61
Analysts covering
16
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−12.1%
1M
−11.1%
YTD
−19.7%
1Y
−26.4%
From 52W high
−36.7%
From 52W low
+18.2%
$34
$64
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ALK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Alaska Air Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
25 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
69
Volatility
66
Accruals
58
Issuance
58
Quality
39
Revisions
31
Size
25
Growth
21
Momentum
20

Value (69): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Momentum (20): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ALK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70$80$90$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ALKHigh $92Median $61Low $37

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says16 analysts
15 Buy0 Hold1 Sell
Low $37Median $61High $92

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +51.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
24 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell$47 → $37
24 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$94 → $92
22 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$70 → $65
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$50 → $70
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$55 → $63
2 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
2 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$58 → $69
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$51 → $59
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$60 → $65
1 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
26 June 2026CitigroupMaintainsSell—
25 June 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
23 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
26 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2026CitigroupDowngradeSell—
22 Apr 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
22 Apr 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

ALK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
94.1×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 89% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.8×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.7%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
9.7%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
7.2%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Operating margin
−2.9%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Net margin
−1.2%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−4.6%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.6%

Higher than 73% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

ALK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAirlines
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.$4.7B
25
SKYWSkyWest, Inc.$3.9B
83
CPACopa Holdings SA$5.4B
75
AALAmerican Airlines Group, Inc.$9.1B
54
ALGTAllegiant Travel Co.$2.2B
60
JBLUJetBlue Airways Corp.$1.8B
34
ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.$1.4B
32

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Alaska Air Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ALK news & analysis

Alaska Air's CEO Buys 25,000 Shares Amid a 28% Decline in the Stock Price. Here's a Deeper Look at the Transaction.

The Motley Fool · 22 Aug 2026positive

Alaska Air Group CEO Benito Minicucci purchased 25,000 shares at a weighted average price of $40.06, a total investment of about $1 million. The transaction increased his direct equity position in the company by 11% and came amid a 28% decline in the stock price.

Why it matters — An Alaska Air watcher would note that an 11% expansion of the CEO's direct equity stake is an insider signal about management's view of the company following a sharp stock decline.

Alaska Airlines Expands Seattle Network With Athens, Paris Routes

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

Alaska Airlines announced it will add nonstop flights from Seattle to Athens and Paris in 2027, expanding its intercontinental network and global gateway ambitions.

Why it matters — An Alaska Air Group watcher would care because this route expansion signals growth in the company's international network from its Seattle hub.

Alaska Air (ALK) Down 7.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Aug 2026negative

Zacks reports that Alaska Air (ALK) stock has fallen 7.1% in the 30 days since its last earnings report, and discusses whether the stock can rebound going forward.

Why it matters — An ALK watcher would care because the post-earnings share price decline reflects investor reaction to the company's latest results and raises questions about near-term stock performance.

Three stocks to watch after Bessent's Treasury buybacks announcement

Invezz · 20 Aug 2026neutral

The US Treasury Department announced on August 19 that it will at least double its liquidity-support buybacks for 10- to 30-year debt, a mid-cycle move by Secretary Scott Bessent that came as outstanding public debt crossed $40 trillion for the first time.

Why it matters — Changes in long-term Treasury buybacks can influence borrowing costs and broader market conditions relevant to an airline like Alaska Air Group.

ALK appoints Jacob Glenting as head of Global R&D

GlobeNewsWire · 20 Aug 2026neutral

ALK has appointed Jacob Glenting as Executive Vice President and head of Global R&D, effective 1 September 2026, filling a position vacant since February 2026. Glenting is currently EVP of Corporate, Portfolio & Product Strategy and has been on the Executive Leadership Team since 2024, having previously headed ALK's international commercial operations.

Why it matters — ALK watchers would care because this fills a long-vacant senior R&D leadership role, signalling the company's executive structure and research leadership roadmap.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ALK stock

What is the ALK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Alaska Air Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $61, with estimates ranging from $37 to $92. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ALK stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Alaska Air Group, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. 25 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ALK?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Alaska Air Group, Inc. ranks 25 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (69 of 100).

Will ALK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +51.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. 25 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ALK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Alaska Air Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $37 to $92 over the next 12 months.

How has ALK stock performed over the past year?

Alaska Air Group, Inc. returned -26.4% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Alaska Air Group, Inc. do?

Alaska Air Group Inc. is a U.S.-based airline holding company that provides passenger and cargo air transportation services through its Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional segments.

What is the latest news on ALK?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 22 Aug 2026): "Alaska Air's CEO Buys 25,000 Shares Amid a 28% Decline in the Stock Price. Here's a Deeper Look at the Transaction.". Alaska Air Group CEO Benito Minicucci purchased 25,000 shares at a weighted average price of $40.06, a total investment of about $1 million. The transaction increased his direct equity position in the company by 11% and came amid a 28% decline in the stock price.

Company

About Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Alaska Air Group Inc. is a U.S.-based airline holding company that provides passenger and cargo air transportation services through its Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional segments. The Alaska Airlines segment focuses on scheduled jet service across the United States and to select international leisure destinations, including parts of Mexico and Costa Rica, serving both business and leisure travelers. Hawaiian Airlines offers scheduled flights within Hawaii, between Hawaii and the U.S. mainland, and to select international markets, emphasizing passenger and cargo transport on Boeing and Airbus aircraft. The Regional segment, operated through Horizon Air and third-party carriers under capacity purchase agreements, concentrates on shorter-haul routes within the U.S. and Canada using Embraer E175 aircraft. Alaska Air Group Inc. generates revenue primarily from passenger tickets, ancillary services, and its Mileage Plan loyalty program, positioning the company as a significant player in the North American commercial aviation market. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington, and founded in 1985, it operates within the broader airlines industry of the transportation sector.

CEO Mr. Benito Minicucci · 31,596 employees · United States · https://www.alaskaair.com