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ULCC Stock Forecast: Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 5 Oct 2026
$6.11
−1.29% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $6 — -1.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 31 of 100 as at 5 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$1.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
31 / 100
Median analyst target
$6.00
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$1.3B+37.7% y/y
Operating income−$97.0M
Net income−$90.0M
Free cash flow$138.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.5%
1M
+2.5%
YTD
+29.7%
1Y
+33.4%
From 52W high
−24.2%
From 52W low
+97.1%
$3.10
$8.06
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ULCC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Oct 2026
31 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
86
Momentum
65
Accruals
49
Size
40
Value
31
Issuance
29
Growth
25
Quality
18
Volatility
13

Revisions (86): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (13): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ULCC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ULCC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00$9.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ULCCHigh $9.00Median $6.00Low $4.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
0 Buy9 Hold3 Sell
Low $4.00Median $6.00High $9.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −1.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
28 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$5.00 → $6.00
24 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$7.00 → $6.00
11 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight$7.00 → $5.00
11 Sept 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$4.50 → $7.00
7 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
26 June 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
25 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
23 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
14 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
6 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
4 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
20 Mar 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
16 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
2 Mar 2026BarclaysDowngradeUnderweight—
9 Jan 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
6 Jan 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform—
12 Dec 2025UBSAssumesNeutral$4.00 → $6.00
8 Dec 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
4 Dec 2025CitigroupInitiatesNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ULCC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ULCC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 5 Oct 2026, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. returned +33.4% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ULCC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ULCCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ULCC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.5×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 87% of US stocks

Price / book
10.4×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−12.1×

Cheaper than 86% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
37.7%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
37.7%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Gross margin
−0.5%

Higher than 4% of US stocks

Operating margin
−9.2%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Net margin
−9.3%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−120.2%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Return on assets
−5.2%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $1.4B and an enterprise value of $5.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.2B. The latest quarter grew 37.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$386.0M, a −9.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.68.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$126.0M, after $49.0M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 230.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.5×; forward P/E: 15.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. employs 8,352 people — $497K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ULCC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAirlines
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ULCCFrontier Group Holdings, Inc.$1.4B
31
JBLUJetBlue Airways Corp.$1.5B
22
ALGTAllegiant Travel Co.$2.0B
45
RJETRepublic Airways Holdings, Inc.$798.9M
6
SKYWSkyWest, Inc.$3.7B
77
ALKAlaska Air Group, Inc.$4.4B
24
CPACopa Holdings SA$5.6B
66

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ULCC news & analysis

Budget airline king Bill Franke warms to first-class seats and premium upgrades

CNBC · 20 Sept 2026neutral

Frontier Airlines Chairman Bill Franke told CNBC that he now sees value in offering roomier, higher-quality seats and premium upgrades for the airline's U.S. operations, while noting that a more traditional budget model still works in emerging markets.

Why it matters — ULCC watchers would care because the chairman's stance signals a potential strategic shift at Frontier toward adding premium seating options in the U.S. market.

Frontier Airlines Introduces Cancel for Any Reason Product Powered by HTS (Hopper Technology Solutions)

PRNewsWire · 16 Sept 2026positive

Frontier Airlines announced the launch of Cancel for Any Reason, powered by HTS (Hopper Technology Solutions), which allows customers to cancel up to 24 hours before departure and receive a refund. The product aims to give travelers greater flexibility when booking.

Why it matters — The new flexible booking option could enhance Frontier's customer appeal and competitiveness in the low-cost airline market.

The Airline CEO Filling a Spirit-Sized Hole in the Market

WSJ · 1 Sept 2026neutral

Frontier CEO Jimmy Dempsey is working to strengthen the airline by improving its operations and introducing premium perks. The effort aims to position Frontier to capture market share in the wake of Spirit Airlines' struggles.

Why it matters — A ULCC watcher would care because Frontier's operational improvements and move into premium offerings could reshape its competitive positioning among ultra-low-cost carriers.

Fast-paced Momentum Stock Frontier Group (ULCC) Is Still Trading at a Bargain

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Frontier Group (ULCC) as a stock that has shown strong momentum but remains reasonably priced, passing its "Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain" screen.

Why it matters — The article identifies ULCC as a momentum stock that may still offer value, which could draw attention from investors screening for growth at a reasonable price.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ULCC stock

What is the ULCC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $6, with estimates ranging from $4 to $9. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ULCC stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 31 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ULCC?

As at 5 Oct 2026, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 31 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (86 of 100).

Will ULCC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies -1.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 31 out of 100 as at 5 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ULCC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ULCC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4 to $9 over the next 12 months.

How has ULCC stock performed over the past year?

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. returned +33.4% over the 12 months to 5 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. do?

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is the holding company behind Frontier Airlines, an ultra-low-cost passenger carrier focused on providing low-fare air travel across the United States, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean.

What is the latest news on ULCC?

The most recent item we track (CNBC, 20 Sept 2026): "Budget airline king Bill Franke warms to first-class seats and premium upgrades". Frontier Airlines Chairman Bill Franke told CNBC that he now sees value in offering roomier, higher-quality seats and premium upgrades for the airline's U.S. operations, while noting that a more traditional budget model still works in emerging markets.

Company

About Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is the holding company behind Frontier Airlines, an ultra-low-cost passenger carrier focused on providing low-fare air travel across the United States, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. serves leisure travelers through a highly direct sales model that relies on its website, mobile app, and contact centers, supporting a streamlined booking experience and unbundled service offerings. The company operates an Airbus single-aisle fleet designed for short- and medium-haul routes, with a network centered on nonstop flights to a broad mix of domestic and international destinations. Based in Denver, Colorado, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. plays a significant role in the airline industry by targeting price-sensitive travelers and emphasizing operational efficiency, route density, and ancillary services within the ultra-low-cost segment.

CEO Mr. James G. Dempsey · 8,352 employees · United States · https://www.flyfrontier.com