ULCCIndustrials · AirlinesThe 12 Wall Street analysts covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $6 — +8.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 22 of 100 as at 26 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (61): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Volatility (14): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ULCC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $7.00 → $6.00 |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 28 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $5.00 → $6.00 |
| 24 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 Sept 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $7.00 → $6.00 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $7.00 → $5.00 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $4.50 → $7.00 |
| 7 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 26 June 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 25 June 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 23 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Mar 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Barclays | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Jan 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
ULCC appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 27 Oct 2026, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. returned +27.1% against +13.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 88% of US stocks
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Cheaper than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 4% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $1.1B and an enterprise value of $5.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.2B. The latest quarter grew 37.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$386.0M, a −9.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.68.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$126.0M, after $49.0M of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: 11.5×; forward P/E: 19.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. employs 8,352 people — $497K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks says Frontier Group (ULCC) lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The headline raises the question of whether the company will report negative earnings next week.
Why it matters — ULCC watchers may note the article’s cautious framing ahead of the upcoming earnings report.
Frontier Group Holdings said it will release third-quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on October 28, 2026. Management will host a live webcast with analysts at 11:00 a.m. ET that day to discuss the results.
Why it matters — The announcement gives ULCC watchers the timing and format for the company’s upcoming quarterly results and management discussion.
Frontier Airlines Chairman Bill Franke told CNBC that he now sees value in offering roomier, higher-quality seats and premium upgrades for the airline's U.S. operations, while noting that a more traditional budget model still works in emerging markets.
Why it matters — ULCC watchers would care because the chairman's stance signals a potential strategic shift at Frontier toward adding premium seating options in the U.S. market.
Frontier Airlines announced the launch of Cancel for Any Reason, powered by HTS (Hopper Technology Solutions), which allows customers to cancel up to 24 hours before departure and receive a refund. The product aims to give travelers greater flexibility when booking.
Why it matters — The new flexible booking option could enhance Frontier's customer appeal and competitiveness in the low-cost airline market.
Frontier CEO Jimmy Dempsey is working to strengthen the airline by improving its operations and introducing premium perks. The effort aims to position Frontier to capture market share in the wake of Spirit Airlines' struggles.
Why it matters — A ULCC watcher would care because Frontier's operational improvements and move into premium offerings could reshape its competitive positioning among ultra-low-cost carriers.
The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $6, with estimates ranging from $4 to $9. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 12 analysts covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 22 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 26 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 26 Oct 2026, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 22 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (61 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +8.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 22 out of 100 as at 26 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ULCC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4 to $9 over the next 12 months.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. returned +27.1% over the 12 months to 27 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is the holding company behind Frontier Airlines, an ultra-low-cost passenger carrier focused on providing low-fare air travel across the United States, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 21 Oct 2026): "Will Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) Report Negative Earnings Next Week? What You Should Know". Zacks says Frontier Group (ULCC) lacks the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The headline raises the question of whether the company will report negative earnings next week.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is the holding company behind Frontier Airlines, an ultra-low-cost passenger carrier focused on providing low-fare air travel across the United States, Mexico, Latin America, and the Caribbean. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. serves leisure travelers through a highly direct sales model that relies on its website, mobile app, and contact centers, supporting a streamlined booking experience and unbundled service offerings. The company operates an Airbus single-aisle fleet designed for short- and medium-haul routes, with a network centered on nonstop flights to a broad mix of domestic and international destinations. Based in Denver, Colorado, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. plays a significant role in the airline industry by targeting price-sensitive travelers and emphasizing operational efficiency, route density, and ancillary services within the ultra-low-cost segment.
CEO Mr. James G. Dempsey · 8,352 employees · United States · https://www.flyfrontier.com
