ULCCIndustrials · AirlinesThe 12 Wall Street analysts covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $7 — +17.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (91): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Volatility (13): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ULCC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.4% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $4.50 → $7.00 |
| 26 June 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 25 June 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 23 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 16 Mar 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Barclays | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Jan 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 12 Dec 2025 | UBS | Assumes | Neutral | $4.00 → $6.00 |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 4 Dec 2025 | Citigroup | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 26 Sept 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 25 Sept 2025 | Seaport Global | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 2 Sept 2025 | Deutsche Bank | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ULCC appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 88% of US stocks
Cheaper than 18% of US stocks
Cheaper than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US stocks
Higher than 5% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 20% of US stocks
Higher than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 31% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The article examines whether Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) qualifies as a top stock pick for momentum investors. It frames ULCC as a great choice for those seeking momentum opportunities.
Why it matters — A ULCC watcher would care because the piece assesses the carrier's appeal as a momentum investment candidate.
Zacks Investment Research highlighted Frontier Group (ULCC) as a stock that has shown strong momentum but remains reasonably priced, passing its "Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain" screen.
Why it matters — The article identifies ULCC as a momentum stock that may still offer value, which could draw attention from investors screening for growth at a reasonable price.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) published the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call via Seeking Alpha.
Why it matters — An earnings call transcript gives ULCC watchers direct access to management's commentary on the company's quarterly financial results and outlook.
Frontier Group reported second-quarter results that surpassed its earlier outlook, citing stronger revenue, more disciplined revenue management, and an improved competitive capacity environment.
Why it matters — The results indicate that Frontier's operational and pricing strategies are gaining traction, which ULCC watchers would see as a positive sign for the company's near-term performance.
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) released its Q2 earnings for the quarter ended June 2026, with the article noting that headline figures offer insight into performance and that it may be useful to compare key metrics against Wall Street estimates and year-ago actuals.
Why it matters — For ULCC watchers, comparing the company's quarterly metrics to analyst estimates and prior-year results helps gauge operational and financial performance trends.
The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $7, with estimates ranging from $4 to $9. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 12 analysts covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (91 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +17.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 32 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ULCC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $4 to $9 over the next 12 months.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. returned +43.6% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Frontier Group Holdings Inc. is an American airline holding company primarily engaged in the provision of commercial air transportation services.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 6 Aug 2026): "Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) is a Great Choice". The article examines whether Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) qualifies as a top stock pick for momentum investors. It frames ULCC as a great choice for those seeking momentum opportunities.
Frontier Group Holdings Inc. is an American airline holding company primarily engaged in the provision of commercial air transportation services. The company operates through its subsidiary, Frontier Airlines, which is known for being an ultra-low-cost carrier offering no-frills flight options to its passengers. The primary function of Frontier Group Holdings Inc. is to provide affordable air travel services by maintaining high operational efficiency and offering competitive pricing structures. Frontier Airlines caters to various segments, including leisure travelers, cost-conscious customers, and families, with a robust network that covers numerous destinations across the United States and select international locations. As part of the broader transportation and logistics industry, Frontier Group Holdings Inc. plays a pivotal role in expanding air travel accessibility, especially for budget-sensitive travelers, and contributes to the competitive dynamics of the airline market. Its focus on reducing operational costs and maximizing asset utilization underpins its business model, making it an integral component of the low-cost aviation sector.
CEO Mr. James G. Dempsey · 8,352 employees · United States · https://www.flyfrontier.com