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DFHDFHConsumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

DFH Stock Forecast: Dream Finders Homes, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$9.60
+1.05% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 6 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile.

Market cap
$869.1M
Ticker Nerd rank
6 / 100
Median analyst target
—
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$1.1B−7.6% y/y
Operating income$26.0M
Net income$27.8M
Free cash flow−$107.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−11.8%
1M
−27.7%
YTD
−43.9%
1Y
−60.4%
From 52W high
−60.4%
From 52W low
+1.1%
$10
$24
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

DFH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Dream Finders Homes, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
6 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
54
Issuance
49
Size
45
Revisions
30
Quality
22
Accruals
19
Volatility
8
Growth
6
Momentum
5

Value (54): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Momentum (5): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

DFH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DFH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26DFH

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
0 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Jan 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Perform—
7 Jan 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Perform—
12 Nov 2025Zelman & AssocUpgradeOutperform—
10 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
18 Sept 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
16 Apr 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
27 Jan 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
19 Sept 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
13 May 2024Zelman & AssocUpgradeOutperform—
2 Apr 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
3 Nov 2023WedbushMaintainsNeutral—
18 Aug 2023B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
14 June 2023B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
6 Mar 2023B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
13 Jan 2023RBC CapitalDowngradeUnderperform—
22 Nov 2022RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
25 Aug 2022B of A SecuritiesUpgradeNeutral—
17 June 2022B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform—
24 May 2022RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
25 Apr 2022B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DFH appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

DFH vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Dream Finders Homes, Inc. returned −60.4% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

DFH vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26DFHS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

DFH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−20.5%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.8×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.2×

Cheaper than 92% of US stocks

Price / book
0.6×

Cheaper than 82% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.1×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−7.6%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−51.0%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Gross margin
14.5%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.4%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Net margin
3.5%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.4%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Return on assets
3.0%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Dream Finders Homes, Inc. has a market value of $869.1M and an enterprise value of $2.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.1B. The latest quarter shrank 7.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $147.3M, a 3.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.43.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$161.8M.

  • Dream Finders Homes, Inc. spent $57.2M on share buybacks and $13.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 90.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 6.8×; forward P/E: 12.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Dream Finders Homes, Inc. employs 1,911 people — $2.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 9 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

DFH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
DFHDream Finders Homes, Inc.$869.1M
6
BZHBeazer Homes USA, Inc.$913.2M
23
BXBLBoxabl, Inc.$770.4M
6
LGIHLGI Homes, Inc.$1.0B
26
LEGHLegacy Housing Corp.$675.6M
78
HOVHovnanian Enterprises, Inc.$623.2M
51
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.$2.7B
48

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Dream Finders Homes, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest DFH news & analysis

Beazer Homes Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Beazer Homes USA, Inc. - BZH

Business Wire · 24 Sept 2026negative

Law firm Kahn Swick & Foti is investigating the proposed all-cash sale of Beazer Homes to Dream Finders Homes, under which Beazer shareholders would receive $33.50 per share. The firm is examining whether the consideration and the sale process are adequate.

Why it matters — DFH watchers would care because this investor investigation could affect the timing, terms, or completion of Dream Finders Homes' proposed acquisition of Beazer Homes.

Mortgage Rates Are Keeping Buyers on the Sidelines. When They Finally Drop, Here Are 2 Homebuilder Stocks I'm Dying to Buy

The Motley Fool · 24 Sept 2026neutral

The article notes that high mortgage rates are straining home affordability and keeping buyers on the sidelines. It identifies NVR and Dream Finders Homes as struggling homebuilders that would benefit once mortgage rates eventually drop.

Why it matters — For DFH watchers, the piece highlights how current high mortgage rates are pressuring the company, while framing lower rates as a potentially favorable development for its business.

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. Announces Results of Consent Solicitation for Beazer Homes USA, Inc.'s 8.000% Senior Notes Due 2032

Business Wire · 18 Sept 2026neutral

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. announced the results of its amended and extended consent solicitation for the amendment of the indenture governing Beazer Homes USA, Inc.'s outstanding 8.000% Senior Notes due 2032, in connection with its proposed acquisition of Beazer.

Why it matters — The consent solicitation results are a procedural step in Dream Finders' proposed acquisition of Beazer, which DFH watchers would follow to gauge progress toward completing the deal.

Dream Finders Announces Results of Consent Solicitations for Beazer's 7.500% Senior Notes Due 2031 and 8.000% Senior Notes Due 2032 and Amendment and Extension of Consent Solicitation with Respect to 8.000% Senior Notes Due 2032

Business Wire · 16 Sept 2026neutral

Dream Finders Homes announced the results of its consent solicitation concerning proposed amendments to the indentures governing Beazer Homes USA's 7.500% Senior Notes due 2031 and 8.000% Senior Notes due 2032, and amended and extended the consent solicitation with respect to the 2032 Notes. The announcement was made via Business Wire from Jacksonville, Florida.

Why it matters — DFH watchers would care because these consent solicitations relate to notes tied to its transaction with Beazer, signaling the company's ongoing progress in finalising debt-related steps of that deal.

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. Announces Consent Solicitation for 7.500% Senior Notes Due 2031 and 8.000% Senior Notes Due 2032 of Beazer Homes USA, Inc.

Business Wire · 9 Sept 2026neutral

Dream Finders Homes announced a consent solicitation to holders of Beazer Homes' 7.500% Senior Notes due 2031 and 8.000% Senior Notes due 2032 for a proposed amendment, in connection with its planned acquisition of Beazer.

Why it matters — The consent solicitation is a routine procedural step in Dream Finders' proposed acquisition of Beazer, giving DFH watchers insight into the transaction's progress.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about DFH stock

Is DFH stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Dream Finders Homes, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Dream Finders Homes, Inc. 6 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank DFH?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Dream Finders Homes, Inc. ranks 6 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (54 of 100).

What is the DFH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Dream Finders Homes, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DFH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has DFH stock performed over the past year?

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. returned -60.4% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Dream Finders Homes, Inc. do?

Dream Finders Homes Inc Class A Common Stock represents the public equity of Dream Finders Homes, a U.S. homebuilder focused on designing, constructing, and selling residential properties.

What is the latest news on DFH?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 24 Sept 2026): "Beazer Homes Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Beazer Homes USA, Inc. - BZH". Law firm Kahn Swick & Foti is investigating the proposed all-cash sale of Beazer Homes to Dream Finders Homes, under which Beazer shareholders would receive $33.50 per share. The firm is examining whether the consideration and the sale process are adequate.

Company

About Dream Finders Homes, Inc.

Dream Finders Homes Inc Class A Common Stock represents the public equity of Dream Finders Homes, a U.S. homebuilder focused on designing, constructing, and selling residential properties. The company serves homebuyers across multiple segments, including entry-level, first-time move-up, second-time move-up, active adult, and custom homes. Its operations are organized around regional homebuilding businesses and a financial services segment that supports the home purchase process. Dream Finders Homes concentrates on for-sale housing markets in states and metropolitan areas across the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and other selected U.S. regions. The asset reflects a company that participates in the residential construction sector, where demand is tied to household formation, housing supply, and local market conditions. Based in Jacksonville, Florida, Dream Finders Homes is positioned as a national homebuilder with a broad community and product mix.

CEO Mr. Patrick O. Zalupski · 1,911 employees · United States · https://www.dreamfindershomes.com