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GRBK Stock Forecast: Green Brick Partners, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$71
−0.28% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Green Brick Partners, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $62 — -12.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
56 / 100
Median analyst target
$62
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$493.8M−10.1% y/y
Operating income$96.5M
Net income$78.8M
Free cash flow−$9.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.8%
1M
−1.6%
YTD
+13.0%
1Y
+2.1%
From 52W high
−12.2%
From 52W low
+15.5%
$61
$81
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GRBK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Green Brick Partners, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
56 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
86
Revisions
84
Volatility
78
Momentum
65
Quality
63
Value
43
Size
30
Growth
18
Accruals
18

Issuance (86): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GRBK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GRBK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$65$70$75$80Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GRBKHigh $62Median $62Low $62

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
0 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $62Median $62High $62

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −12.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 May 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Perform—
17 June 2025Texas Capital SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
10 Mar 2025Citizens Capital MarketsReiteratesMarket Perform—
3 Dec 2024JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Perform—
2 Aug 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
3 May 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
3 May 2024WedbushMaintainsNeutral—
2 May 2024WedbushReiteratesNeutral—
4 Mar 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
1 Mar 2024WedbushReiteratesNeutral—
3 Aug 2023WedbushReiteratesNeutral—
26 June 2023B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
4 May 2023B. Riley SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
22 Nov 2022JP MorganUpgradeNeutral—
18 Oct 2022B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
19 Aug 2022JMP SecuritiesDowngradeMarket Perform—
8 Aug 2022WedbushDowngradeNeutral—
12 July 2022JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
16 June 2022B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
13 Apr 2022JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GRBK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GRBK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Green Brick Partners, Inc. returned +2.1% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GRBK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GRBKS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GRBK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+13.6%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.7×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.5×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / book
1.6×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.0×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−8.7%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−9.5%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Gross margin
30.6%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.5%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
14.8%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.4%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.4%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Green Brick Partners, Inc. has a market value of $3.1B and an enterprise value of $3.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter shrank 8.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $314.9M, a 15.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.64.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $111.6M.

  • Green Brick Partners, Inc. spent $39.7M on share buybacks and $2.9M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 43.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.7×; forward P/E: 10.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Green Brick Partners, Inc. employs 620 people — $3.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GRBK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.$3.1B
56
KBHKB Home$3.3B
48
MHOM/I Homes, Inc.$3.8B
43
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.$4.4B
49
MTHMeritage Homes Corp.$4.5B
31
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.$4.7B
75
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.$6.3B
71

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Green Brick Partners, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GRBK news & analysis

GHO Homes Continues Streak with Sixth Consecutive Builder of the Year Award

Business Wire · 26 Aug 2026positive

GHO Homes, a subsidiary of Green Brick Partners, received the Builder of the Year award from the Treasure Coast Community Choice Awards for the sixth consecutive year. The award is driven entirely by public nominations and votes, reflecting community trust in the region.

Why it matters — For GRBK watchers, the repeated community-recognized award underscores the sustained reputation and strong local standing of one of the company's homebuilding subsidiaries on the Treasure Coast.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

Green Brick Partners, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the transcript of that call.

Why it matters — A GRBK watcher would want to review the transcript for management's commentary on the company's quarterly performance and outlook.

Green Brick Partners Announces the Promotion of Jed Dolson to Co-CEO

Business Wire · 30 July 2026positive

Green Brick Partners announced that Chief Operating Officer and President Jed Dolson will be promoted to Co-Chief Executive Officer on October 15, 2026, as part of the company's long-term succession planning process.

Why it matters — This signals a planned leadership transition from within the company, reflecting the board's confidence in Dolson's long tenure and increasing roles at Green Brick Partners.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 29 July 2026positive

Green Brick Partners reported second quarter 2026 results with net income of $74 million ($1.70 per diluted share), net new home orders of 1,079 (up 19% year over year), and home closing revenue of $471 million.

Why it matters — The 19% year-over-year increase in net new home orders signals growing demand for GRBK's homes entering the second half of 2026.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GRBK stock

What is the GRBK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Green Brick Partners, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $62, with estimates ranging from $62 to $62. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GRBK stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Green Brick Partners, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Green Brick Partners, Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GRBK?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Green Brick Partners, Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (86 of 100).

Will GRBK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies -12.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Green Brick Partners, Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GRBK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Green Brick Partners, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GRBK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $62 to $62 over the next 12 months.

How has GRBK stock performed over the past year?

Green Brick Partners, Inc. returned +2.1% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Green Brick Partners, Inc. do?

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a diversified homebuilding and land development company focused on residential communities in Texas, Georgia, and Florida.

What is the latest news on GRBK?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 26 Aug 2026): "GHO Homes Continues Streak with Sixth Consecutive Builder of the Year Award". GHO Homes, a subsidiary of Green Brick Partners, received the Builder of the Year award from the Treasure Coast Community Choice Awards for the sixth consecutive year. The award is driven entirely by public nominations and votes, reflecting community trust in the region.

Company

About Green Brick Partners, Inc.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a diversified homebuilding and land development company focused on residential communities in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates through builder operations and land development segments, managing land acquisition, development, entitlements, design, construction, marketing, and home sales. Its portfolio includes single-family homes, townhomes, and master-planned neighborhoods, supported by related services such as mortgage, title, and insurance. The company works through several subsidiary homebuilders and serves local housing markets with finished lots, construction financing, and development expertise. Based in Plano, Texas, Green Brick Partners, Inc. plays a significant role in the U.S. residential real estate market by combining homebuilding and land development within a single operating platform.

CEO Mr. James R. Brickman · 620 employees · United States · https://www.greenbrickpartners.com