GRBKConsumer Cyclical · Residential ConstructionThe 3 Wall Street analysts covering Green Brick Partners, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $62 — -6.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Green Brick Partners, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (85): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (18): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GRBK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −6.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 19 May 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 17 June 2025 | Texas Capital Securities | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 10 Mar 2025 | Citizens Capital Markets | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 3 Dec 2024 | JMP Securities | Reiterates | Market Perform | — |
| 2 Aug 2024 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 May 2024 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 3 May 2024 | Wedbush | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 2 May 2024 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 4 Mar 2024 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 Mar 2024 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 3 Aug 2023 | Wedbush | Reiterates | Neutral | — |
| 26 June 2023 | B. Riley Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 4 May 2023 | B. Riley Securities | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 22 Nov 2022 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 18 Oct 2022 | B. Riley Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 19 Aug 2022 | JMP Securities | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 8 Aug 2022 | Wedbush | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 12 July 2022 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 16 June 2022 | B. Riley Securities | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
GRBK appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Green Brick Partners, Inc. returned +4.9% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 61% of US stocks
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Green Brick Partners, Inc. has a market value of $2.6B and an enterprise value of $3.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter shrank 8.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $314.9M, a 15.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.64.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $111.6M.
Green Brick Partners, Inc. spent $39.7M on share buybacks and $2.9M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.0×; forward P/E: 10.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Green Brick Partners, Inc. employs 620 people — $3.2M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Green Brick Partners, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Green Brick Partners’ Q3 2026 earnings call, held October 29, 2026, featuring company executives and analyst participants.
Why it matters — The transcript provides GRBK watchers with a record of the company’s quarterly call, though the excerpt contains no discussion of results or outlook.
Green Brick Partners reported third-quarter 2026 net income attributable to the company of $59 million, or $1.35 per diluted share, compared with $78 million, or $1.77 per diluted share, a year earlier. Net new home orders were 926, up 3% year over year.
Why it matters — The report gives GRBK watchers an update on quarterly earnings and new-home order trends.
Green Brick Partners, Inc. announced it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results after market close on October 28, 2026, followed by an earnings conference call hosted by CEO Jim Brickman at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on October 29, 2026. The call will be webcast on the company's website.
Why it matters — GRBK watchers will want to note the scheduled date and time for the company's upcoming third quarter earnings release and call.
Green Brick Partners and HFI Capital Management celebrated a milestone at Rainwater Crossing in Celina, Texas, with the opening of Whispering Grove, a two-acre entrance park featuring landscaping, gathering spaces, walking paths, and a reflection pond. The park also includes Scout's Tree, a 35-foot-tall sculpture by Dallas artists Brad Ol.
Why it matters — This marks progress on one of Green Brick Partners' residential community developments, offering a tangible update on its project activity in the Texas market.
Home builder stocks have declined amid rising mortgage rates, which have climbed to 7%. However, a valuation signal for the sector has historically been followed by strong returns, according to a Barrons report.
Why it matters — As a home builder, GRBK is part of the sector affected by mortgage rates, and the report highlights a historical valuation signal that has preceded strong returns for home-builder stocks.
The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Green Brick Partners, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $62, with estimates ranging from $62 to $62. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 3 analysts covering Green Brick Partners, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Green Brick Partners, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, Green Brick Partners, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (85 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies -6.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Green Brick Partners, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Green Brick Partners, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GRBK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $62 to $62 over the next 12 months.
Green Brick Partners, Inc. returned +4.9% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a diversified homebuilding and land development company focused on residential communities in Texas, Georgia, and Florida.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 29 Oct 2026): "Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Green Brick Partners’ Q3 2026 earnings call, held October 29, 2026, featuring company executives and analyst participants.
Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a diversified homebuilding and land development company focused on residential communities in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates through builder operations and land development segments, managing land acquisition, development, entitlements, design, construction, marketing, and home sales. Its portfolio includes single-family homes, townhomes, and master-planned neighborhoods, supported by related services such as mortgage, title, and insurance. The company works through several subsidiary homebuilders and serves local housing markets with finished lots, construction financing, and development expertise. Based in Plano, Texas, Green Brick Partners, Inc. plays a significant role in the U.S. residential real estate market by combining homebuilding and land development within a single operating platform.
CEO Mr. James R. Brickman · 620 employees · United States · https://www.greenbrickpartners.com
