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GRBK Stock Forecast: Green Brick Partners, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$60
−2.58% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Green Brick Partners, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $62 — +3.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 46 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$2.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
46 / 100
Median analyst target
$62
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$493.8M−10.1% y/y
Operating income$96.5M
Net income$78.8M
Free cash flow−$9.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.8%
1M
−12.7%
YTD
−4.1%
1Y
−9.7%
From 52W high
−25.4%
From 52W low
0.0%
$60
$81
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GRBK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Green Brick Partners, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
46 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
86
Volatility
85
Quality
68
Revisions
59
Value
53
Momentum
48
Size
32
Growth
18
Accruals
18

Issuance (86): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GRBK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GRBK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$65$70$75$80Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GRBKHigh $62Median $62Low $62

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
0 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $62Median $62High $62

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +3.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 May 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Perform—
19 May 2026CitizensReiteratesMarket Perform—
17 June 2025Texas Capital SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
10 Mar 2025Citizens Capital MarketsReiteratesMarket Perform—
3 Dec 2024JMP SecuritiesReiteratesMarket Perform—
2 Aug 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
3 May 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
3 May 2024WedbushMaintainsNeutral—
2 May 2024WedbushReiteratesNeutral—
4 Mar 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
1 Mar 2024WedbushReiteratesNeutral—
3 Aug 2023WedbushReiteratesNeutral—
26 June 2023B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—
4 May 2023B. Riley SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
22 Nov 2022JP MorganUpgradeNeutral—
18 Oct 2022B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
19 Aug 2022JMP SecuritiesDowngradeMarket Perform—
8 Aug 2022WedbushDowngradeNeutral—
12 July 2022JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
16 June 2022B. Riley SecuritiesDowngradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GRBK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GRBK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Green Brick Partners, Inc. returned −9.7% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GRBK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GRBKS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GRBK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.9%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
9.3×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 62% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 57% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.8×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−8.7%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−9.5%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Gross margin
30.6%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.5%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
14.8%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.4%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Return on assets
9.4%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Green Brick Partners, Inc. has a market value of $2.7B and an enterprise value of $2.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.0B. The latest quarter shrank 8.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $314.9M, a 15.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.64.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $111.6M.

  • Green Brick Partners, Inc. spent $39.7M on share buybacks and $2.9M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 43.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 9.3×; forward P/E: 10.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Green Brick Partners, Inc. employs 620 people — $3.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GRBK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelResidential Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GRBKGreen Brick Partners, Inc.$2.7B
46
KBHKB Home$2.6B
23
MHOM/I Homes, Inc.$3.2B
43
MTHMeritage Homes Corp.$3.9B
34
CVCOCavco Industries, Inc.$4.0B
57
SKYChampion Homes, Inc.$4.2B
81
IBPInstalled Building Products, Inc.$4.9B
62

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Green Brick Partners, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GRBK news & analysis

Green Brick Partners, Inc. Announces Dates For 8-K Filing and Earnings Call

Business Wire · 1 Oct 2026neutral

Green Brick Partners, Inc. announced it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results after market close on October 28, 2026, followed by an earnings conference call hosted by CEO Jim Brickman at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on October 29, 2026. The call will be webcast on the company's website.

Why it matters — GRBK watchers will want to note the scheduled date and time for the company's upcoming third quarter earnings release and call.

Rainwater Crossing Celebrates Opening of Whispering Grove and Unveiling of Scout's Tree

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026positive

Green Brick Partners and HFI Capital Management celebrated a milestone at Rainwater Crossing in Celina, Texas, with the opening of Whispering Grove, a two-acre entrance park featuring landscaping, gathering spaces, walking paths, and a reflection pond. The park also includes Scout's Tree, a 35-foot-tall sculpture by Dallas artists Brad Ol.

Why it matters — This marks progress on one of Green Brick Partners' residential community developments, offering a tangible update on its project activity in the Texas market.

As Mortgage Rates Hit 7%, Home Builders Flash a Buy Signal

Barrons · 11 Sept 2026positive

Home builder stocks have declined amid rising mortgage rates, which have climbed to 7%. However, a valuation signal for the sector has historically been followed by strong returns, according to a Barrons report.

Why it matters — As a home builder, GRBK is part of the sector affected by mortgage rates, and the report highlights a historical valuation signal that has preceded strong returns for home-builder stocks.

GHO Homes Continues Streak with Sixth Consecutive Builder of the Year Award

Business Wire · 26 Aug 2026positive

GHO Homes, a subsidiary of Green Brick Partners, received the Builder of the Year award from the Treasure Coast Community Choice Awards for the sixth consecutive year. The award is driven entirely by public nominations and votes, reflecting community trust in the region.

Why it matters — For GRBK watchers, the repeated community-recognized award underscores the sustained reputation and strong local standing of one of the company's homebuilding subsidiaries on the Treasure Coast.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

Green Brick Partners, Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the transcript of that call.

Why it matters — A GRBK watcher would want to review the transcript for management's commentary on the company's quarterly performance and outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GRBK stock

What is the GRBK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Green Brick Partners, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $62, with estimates ranging from $62 to $62. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GRBK stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Green Brick Partners, Inc., 0 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Green Brick Partners, Inc. 46 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GRBK?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Green Brick Partners, Inc. ranks 46 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (86 of 100).

Will GRBK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +3.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Green Brick Partners, Inc. 46 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GRBK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Green Brick Partners, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GRBK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $62 to $62 over the next 12 months.

How has GRBK stock performed over the past year?

Green Brick Partners, Inc. returned -9.7% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Green Brick Partners, Inc. do?

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a diversified homebuilding and land development company focused on residential communities in Texas, Georgia, and Florida.

What is the latest news on GRBK?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 1 Oct 2026): "Green Brick Partners, Inc. Announces Dates For 8-K Filing and Earnings Call". Green Brick Partners, Inc. announced it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results after market close on October 28, 2026, followed by an earnings conference call hosted by CEO Jim Brickman at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on October 29, 2026. The call will be webcast on the company's website.

Company

About Green Brick Partners, Inc.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a diversified homebuilding and land development company focused on residential communities in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates through builder operations and land development segments, managing land acquisition, development, entitlements, design, construction, marketing, and home sales. Its portfolio includes single-family homes, townhomes, and master-planned neighborhoods, supported by related services such as mortgage, title, and insurance. The company works through several subsidiary homebuilders and serves local housing markets with finished lots, construction financing, and development expertise. Based in Plano, Texas, Green Brick Partners, Inc. plays a significant role in the U.S. residential real estate market by combining homebuilding and land development within a single operating platform.

CEO Mr. James R. Brickman · 620 employees · United States · https://www.greenbrickpartners.com