KBHConsumer Cyclical · Residential ConstructionThe 15 Wall Street analysts covering KB Home hold a median 12-month price target of $57 — +18.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 37 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores KB Home on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (80): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (7): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on KBH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sept 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $56 → $55 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $52 → $50 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Outperform | $77 |
| 25 June 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 25 June 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $56 → $57 |
| 24 June 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Outperform | $77 |
| 24 June 2026 | Citizens | Reiterates | Market Outperform | — |
| 24 June 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | $53 |
| 24 June 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Sector Perform | — |
| 24 June 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 24 June 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $50 → $56 |
| 24 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $63 → $66 |
| 24 June 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | $50 → $52 |
| 24 June 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 4 May 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Seaport Global | Downgrade | Sell | — |
| 25 Mar 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 25 Mar 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. KBH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, KB Home returned −22.3% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 81% of US stocks
Cheaper than 79% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 6% of US stocks
Higher than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
KB Home has a market value of $3.0B and an enterprise value of $4.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $5.5B. The latest quarter shrank 27.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $272.1M, a 4.9% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.11.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $359.5M, after $48.6M of capital spending.
KB Home spent $421.4M on share buybacks and $64.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.
Trailing P/E: 11.8×; forward P/E: 11.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.06%, paying out 24% of earnings.
KB Home employs 2,118 people — $2.6M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own KB Home — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Home sales fell below 4 million, with economist Julia Coronado attributing the decline to the pain of bringing inflation down. The comment was made on Marketplace on September 21.
Why it matters — Lower home sales activity could affect demand for new homes, which is relevant to a homebuilder such as KB Home.
Pre-markets are seeing some near-term profit-taking following a strong week for the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Attention turns to a speech by Fed Governor Michael Barr amid renewed momentum in AI stocks and a quiet stretch for economic reports and earnings.
Why it matters — A KB Home watcher would care because the Fed Governor's speech and broader market conditions can influence interest rates and housing demand.
On Wednesday's First Moves, KB Home (KBH) earnings were highlighted as continuing to face pain from persistent headwinds in the housing market. The segment also covered a restaurant company's earnings beat and 2027 guidance, and RCL's acquisition of a 50% stake in Sandals.
Why it matters — KBH watchers would care because the report indicates KB Home continues to experience earnings pressure due to ongoing housing market headwinds.
KB Home reported upbeat financial results for the third quarter on Tuesday. Following the results, several analysts slashed their forecasts on the company.
Why it matters — Analyst forecast cuts after KB Home's third-quarter results are directly relevant to investors tracking the company's outlook.
Seeking Alpha rates KB Home a Hold, citing persistent affordability pressures and elevated mortgage rates that constrain demand, especially among first-time buyers. The company saw a 20% year-over-year revenue decline and margin compression, though its shift to build-to-order and a 3% backlog increase to $3.05B provide some near-term stability.
Why it matters — A KBH watcher would note that while the company's build-to-order model and growing backlog help stabilize the near term, high mortgage rates and weak transaction volumes are expected to keep challenging its 2027 outlook.
The 15 Wall Street analysts covering KB Home have a median 12-month price target of $57, with estimates ranging from $43 to $77. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 15 analysts covering KB Home, 3 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks KB Home 37 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 23 Sept 2026, KB Home ranks 37 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (80 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +18.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks KB Home 37 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering KB Home publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for KBH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $43 to $77 over the next 12 months.
KB Home returned -22.3% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
KB Home is a U.S. homebuilding company that designs, builds, and sells new residential communities for a range of buyers.
The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 23 Sept 2026): "‘This Is the Pain That Comes With Bringing Inflation Down': Home Sales Drop Below 4 Million". Home sales fell below 4 million, with economist Julia Coronado attributing the decline to the pain of bringing inflation down. The comment was made on Marketplace on September 21.
KB Home is a U.S. homebuilding company that designs, builds, and sells new residential communities for a range of buyers. Its product lineup includes attached and detached single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums, with offerings commonly aimed at first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers. The company focuses on personalized homebuying, allowing customers to choose layouts and features that fit different needs and budgets. KB Home also supports homebuyers with related services such as insurance, title services in certain areas, and mortgage banking through a joint venture. Operating across multiple U.S. markets, KB Home plays a significant role in the residential construction sector by supplying newly built homes in both established and developing communities.
CEO Mr. Robert V. McGibney · 2,118 employees · United States · https://www.kbhome.com
