ERIEERIEFinancial Services · Insurance Brokers

ERIE Stock Forecast: Erie Indemnity Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$256
+0.06% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 21 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile.

Market cap
$13.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
21 / 100
Median analyst target
Analysts covering
1
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.4%
1M
+7.3%
YTD
−9.2%
1Y
−29.0%
From 52W high
−29.0%
From 52W low
+24.3%
$206
$361
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ERIE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Erie Indemnity Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
21 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
87
Issuance
74
Revisions
47
Volatility
45
Growth
42
Accruals
17
Value
15
Size
14
Momentum
8

Quality (87): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (8): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ERIE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ERIE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$250$300$350Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ERIE

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says1 analysts
1 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ERIE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

ERIE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Erie Indemnity Co. (ERIE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
23.3×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.2×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / book
5.4×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.7×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.8%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
3.2%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
19.1%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
14.0%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
24.8%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.1%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.3%

Higher than 52% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

ERIE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance Brokers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ERIEErie Indemnity Co.$13.4B
21
BROBrown & Brown, Inc.$23.9B
18
WTWWillis Towers Watson plc$31.2B
48
BWINThe Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.$4.5B
8
NPNeptune Insurance Holdings, Inc.$4.4B
21
ARXAccelerant Holdings$4.3B
10
CRVLCorVel Corp.$3.4B
43

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Erie Indemnity Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ERIE news & analysis

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Prepared Remarks Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 31 July 2026neutral

Erie Indemnity Company released its prepared remarks transcript for the second-quarter 2026 earnings call. The transcript details management's commentary on the company's financial and operational results for the period.

Why it matters — The prepared remarks provide direct insight into management's assessment of Erie Indemnity's Q2 2026 performance and strategic priorities.

Erie Indemnity: A Steady Business With Limited Growth

Seeking Alpha · 31 July 2026negative

Seeking Alpha notes Erie Indemnity shares have fallen ~33% over the past year despite steady operations and a low-risk commission model, with revenue growth constrained by its 25% management fee, slowing premium growth, falling policy retention, and pressure on incremental margins from higher agent compensation costs.

Why it matters — ERIE watchers would care because the article highlights structural limits on growth and margin pressure that could affect the company's long-term financial trajectory.

Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 30 July 2026positive

Erie Indemnity reported second-quarter earnings of $3.45 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.35 per share and rising from $3.34 per share in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The earnings beat and year-over-year growth signal better-than-expected quarterly performance for Erie Indemnity.

Erie Indemnity Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

PRNewsWire · 30 July 2026neutral

Erie Indemnity Company reported financial results for the second quarter and first six months of 2026, with net income per diluted share of $3.45 for the quarter and $6.32 for the six-month period ending June 30, 2026.

Why it matters — The earnings report provides a direct look at Erie Indemnity's financial performance for the recent quarter and year-to-date, which is a key indicator for shareholders and analysts tracking the company.

Best Dividend Aristocrats For August 2026

Seeking Alpha · 29 July 2026neutral

An article highlighted that the Dividend Aristocrats index (NOBL) has outperformed the S&P 500 in 2026, returning 12.9% versus 7.88%, with dividend growth among Aristocrats averaging 4.10%. The piece also noted that 25 Dividend Aristocrats appear undervalued with potential long-term returns of at least 10%.

Why it matters — Erie Indemnity Co. is a member of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats, so broader trends and sentiment around the Aristocrat cohort are relevant to ERIE as a constituent.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ERIE stock

Is ERIE stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering Erie Indemnity Co., 1 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Erie Indemnity Co. 21 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ERIE?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Erie Indemnity Co. ranks 21 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (87 of 100).

What is the ERIE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Erie Indemnity Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ERIE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has ERIE stock performed over the past year?

Erie Indemnity Co. returned -29.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Erie Indemnity Co. do?

Erie Indemnity Company is a financial services company that serves as the management company for Erie Insurance Exchange, a reciprocal property and casualty insurance organization. Rather than underwriting insurance risk itself, Erie Indemnity provides sales, underwriting, policy issuance, administrative, and service support functions that help coordinate the Exchange’s operations.

What is the latest news on ERIE?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 31 July 2026): "Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Prepared Remarks Transcript". Erie Indemnity Company released its prepared remarks transcript for the second-quarter 2026 earnings call. The transcript details management's commentary on the company's financial and operational results for the period.

Company

About Erie Indemnity Co.

Erie Indemnity Company is a financial services company that serves as the management company for Erie Insurance Exchange, a reciprocal property and casualty insurance organization. Rather than underwriting insurance risk itself, Erie Indemnity provides sales, underwriting, policy issuance, administrative, and service support functions that help coordinate the Exchange’s operations. The company also operates through wholly owned insurance subsidiaries that write a broad range of personal and commercial property and casualty coverages, including auto, home, and business insurance. In addition, it maintains an affiliated interest in Erie Family Life Insurance Company, extending its involvement into life insurance. Based in Erie, Pennsylvania, Erie Indemnity plays a central role in the Erie Insurance Group by supporting the infrastructure, distribution, and servicing capabilities behind its insurance products.

CEO Mr. Timothy Gerard NeCastro C.I.C., CPA · 6,667 employees · United States · https://www.erieinsurance.com