ERIEFinancial Services · Insurance BrokersTicker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 23 of 100 as at 14 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Erie Indemnity Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (87): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Momentum (12): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ERIE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ERIE appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, Erie Indemnity Co. returned −23.5% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Cheaper than 40% of US stocks
Cheaper than 20% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 76% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Erie Indemnity Co. has a market value of $12.8B and an enterprise value of $12.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.2B. The latest quarter grew 2.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $577.0M, a 13.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.04.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $553.1M.
Erie Indemnity Co. spent $263.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 22.2×; forward P/E: 17.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.39%, paying out 65% of earnings.
Erie Indemnity Co. employs 6,667 people — $628K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Erie Indemnity Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Erie Indemnity (ERIE) was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) by Zacks Investment Research, reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which may lead the stock higher.
Why it matters — An upgrade to a Zacks #2 (Buy) ranking signals improved sentiment among analysts about ERIE's earnings outlook, which watchers may see as a positive indicator for the company.
24/7 Wall Street reports on financial stocks that kept raising dividends for investors through both the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic shock, noting that financial stocks are typically the first to crack during market panics but a handful maintained dividend growth.
Why it matters — A ERIE watcher would care because the piece examines which financial companies sustained dividend increases through major market downturns.
Erie Indemnity Company released its prepared remarks transcript for the second-quarter 2026 earnings call. The transcript details management's commentary on the company's financial and operational results for the period.
Why it matters — The prepared remarks provide direct insight into management's assessment of Erie Indemnity's Q2 2026 performance and strategic priorities.
Seeking Alpha notes Erie Indemnity shares have fallen ~33% over the past year despite steady operations and a low-risk commission model, with revenue growth constrained by its 25% management fee, slowing premium growth, falling policy retention, and pressure on incremental margins from higher agent compensation costs.
Why it matters — ERIE watchers would care because the article highlights structural limits on growth and margin pressure that could affect the company's long-term financial trajectory.
Erie Indemnity reported second-quarter earnings of $3.45 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.35 per share and rising from $3.34 per share in the same quarter last year.
Why it matters — The earnings beat and year-over-year growth signal better-than-expected quarterly performance for Erie Indemnity.
Of the 1 analysts covering Erie Indemnity Co., 1 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Erie Indemnity Co. 23 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Sept 2026, Erie Indemnity Co. ranks 23 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (87 of 100).
No analyst covering Erie Indemnity Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ERIE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.
Erie Indemnity Co. returned -23.5% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Erie Indemnity Company Class A Common Stock represents an equity interest in Erie Indemnity Company, a U.S. insurance services firm that serves as the managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Sept 2026): "Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why". Erie Indemnity (ERIE) was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) by Zacks Investment Research, reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects, which may lead the stock higher.
Erie Indemnity Company Class A Common Stock represents an equity interest in Erie Indemnity Company, a U.S. insurance services firm that serves as the managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange. Erie Indemnity’s core business centers on policy issuance and renewal support, underwriting administration, agent compensation, sales and advertising support, customer service, and information technology services. The company operates within the property and casualty insurance market and plays a central operational role in the exchange’s distribution and service infrastructure. Its services are closely tied to the day-to-day administration of insurance policies and the coordination of functions that support agents and policyholders. Headquartered in Erie, Pennsylvania, Erie Indemnity Company focuses on delivering the management capabilities that help sustain the exchange’s insurance operations across personal and commercial lines.
CEO Mr. Timothy Gerard NeCastro C.I.C., C.P.A. · 6,667 employees · United States · https://www.erieinsurance.com
