ERIEERIEFinancial Services · Insurance Brokers

ERIE Stock Forecast: Erie Indemnity Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 29 Oct 2026
$251
+1.79% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 33 of 100 as at 28 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$12.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
33/ 100
Median analyst target
—
Analysts covering
1
Revenue$1.3B+1.7% y/y
Net income$180.3M
Free cash flow$173.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.3%
1M
+13.4%
YTD
−10.5%
1Y
−15.0%
From 52W high
−17.2%
From 52W low
+22.5%
$205
$303
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ERIE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Erie Indemnity Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 28 Oct 2026
33/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
88
Issuance
75
Volatility
69
Revisions
63
Growth
45
Momentum
19
Accruals
17
Value
15
Size
14

Quality (88): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Value (15): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (14): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

ERIE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ERIE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$220$240$260$280$300Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ERIE

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says1 analysts
1 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

ERIE appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

ERIE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 29 Oct 2026, Erie Indemnity Co. returned −15.0% against +13.1% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ERIE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ERIES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ERIE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.3%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Erie Indemnity Co. (ERIE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.1×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.1×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / book
5.2×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.2×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
2.8%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
3.2%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
19.1%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
14.0%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
24.8%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.1%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.4%

Higher than 82% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Erie Indemnity Co. (ERIE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Erie Indemnity Co. has a market value of $12.9B and an enterprise value of $12.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.2B. The latest quarter grew 2.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $577.0M, a 13.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $11.04.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $553.1M.

  • Erie Indemnity Co. spent $263.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 52.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 22.1×; forward P/E: 17.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.39%, paying out 52% of earnings.

  • Erie Indemnity Co. employs 6,667 people — $628K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 29 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ERIE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance Brokers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ERIEErie Indemnity Co.$12.9B33
RYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc.$11.2B56
BROBrown & Brown, Inc.$22.3B25
BWINThe Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.$4.6B16
WTWWillis Towers Watson Plc$30.3B41
ARXAccelerant Holdings$4.2B22
CRVLCorVel Corp.$4.2B52

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Erie Indemnity Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ERIE news & analysis

Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026positive

Erie Indemnity reported quarterly earnings of $3.48 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.41. Earnings were $3.50 per share a year earlier.

Why it matters — ERIE watchers may note the reported earnings exceeded the consensus estimate while coming in slightly below the year-ago level.

Erie Indemnity Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

PRNewsWire · 29 Oct 2026neutral

Erie Indemnity Company reported financial results for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2026. Net income per diluted share was $3.48 for the quarter and $9.80 for the nine-month period.

Why it matters — The report provides ERIE watchers with the company’s latest quarterly and year-to-date earnings-per-share figures.

Best Dividend Aristocrats For November 2026

Seeking Alpha · 29 Oct 2026neutral

Dividend Aristocrats rebounded sharply in October after underperforming SPY in September, narrowing their year-to-date performance gap. NOBL and the average Aristocrat returned 13.13% and 13.35% year to date, respectively, versus 14.15% for SPY; the average 2026 dividend increase rose to 4.55%.

Why it matters — The item provides context on dividend growth and performance among Aristocrats, which may be relevant to an ERIE watcher assessing dividend-focused stocks.

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week Of October 18

Seeking Alpha · 16 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity among Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including companies that changed dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Why it matters — The excerpt does not specify whether Erie Indemnity was included or describe any ERIE-specific dividend activity, so it offers no direct update for ERIE watchers.

Erie Indemnity to host third quarter 2026 pre-recorded conference call and webcast

PRNewsWire · 12 Oct 2026neutral

Erie Indemnity will host a pre-recorded audio webcast for the financial community on Friday, October 30, 2026, at 10 a.m. Eastern Time, to present its third-quarter 2026 financial results.

Why it matters — ERIE watchers can note the scheduled webcast for the company’s third-quarter financial results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ERIE stock

Is ERIE stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering Erie Indemnity Co., 1 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Erie Indemnity Co. 33 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 28 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ERIE?

As at 28 Oct 2026, Erie Indemnity Co. ranks 33 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (88 of 100).

What is the ERIE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Erie Indemnity Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ERIE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has ERIE stock performed over the past year?

Erie Indemnity Co. returned -15.0% over the 12 months to 29 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Erie Indemnity Co. do?

Erie Indemnity Company Class A Common Stock represents an equity interest in Erie Indemnity Company, a U.S. insurance services firm that serves as the managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange.

What is the latest news on ERIE?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 29 Oct 2026): "Erie Indemnity (ERIE) Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates". Erie Indemnity reported quarterly earnings of $3.48 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.41. Earnings were $3.50 per share a year earlier.

Company

About Erie Indemnity Co.

Erie Indemnity Company Class A Common Stock represents an equity interest in Erie Indemnity Company, a U.S. insurance services firm that serves as the managing attorney-in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange. Erie Indemnity’s core business centers on policy issuance and renewal support, underwriting administration, agent compensation, sales and advertising support, customer service, and information technology services. The company operates within the property and casualty insurance market and plays a central operational role in the exchange’s distribution and service infrastructure. Its services are closely tied to the day-to-day administration of insurance policies and the coordination of functions that support agents and policyholders. Headquartered in Erie, Pennsylvania, Erie Indemnity Company focuses on delivering the management capabilities that help sustain the exchange’s insurance operations across personal and commercial lines.

CEO Mr. Timothy Gerard NeCastro C.I.C., CPA · 6,667 employees · United States · https://www.erieinsurance.com