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BWIN Stock Forecast: The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$32
+0.13% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +2.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 8 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile.

Market cap
$4.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
8 / 100
Median analyst target
$33
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$488.1M+30.4% y/y
Operating income$4.0M
Net income−$56.0M
Free cash flow$30.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.3%
1M
+7.2%
YTD
+32.5%
1Y
+10.0%
From 52W high
−2.0%
From 52W low
+93.0%
$17
$32
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BWIN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
8 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
58
Growth
48
Momentum
41
Quality
28
Size
24
Volatility
14
Accruals
11
Issuance
10
Value
8

Revisions (58): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Value (8): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BWIN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BWIN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$15$20$25$30$35$40Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BWINHigh $37Median $33Low $31

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
2 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $31Median $33High $37

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +2.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Oct 2026UBSDowngradeNeutral$37 → $33
1 Oct 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral$30 → $32
15 Sept 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
15 Sept 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$26 → $33
14 Sept 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
14 Sept 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
3 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$35 → $37
3 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
3 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
3 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$27 → $28
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$28 → $30
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$24 → $27
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$26 → $31
23 June 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
22 June 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
9 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
5 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BWIN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BWIN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. returned +10.0% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BWIN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BWINS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BWIN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.1%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−63.7×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.6×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Price / book
3.5×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
51.5×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
30.1%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−83.2%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.1%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.0%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Net margin
−4.7%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−10.7%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.9%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. has a market value of $4.5B and an enterprise value of $6.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B. The latest quarter grew 30.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$131.8M, a −7.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.04.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $43.7M, after $47.1M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 139.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: −63.7×; forward P/E: 12.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. employs 5,000 people — $344K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 9 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BWIN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance Brokers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BWINThe Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.$4.5B
8
ARXAccelerant Holdings$4.2B
18
NPNeptune Insurance Holdings, Inc.$3.9B
23
CRVLCorVel Corp.$3.9B
47
LIFEEthos Technologies, Inc.$2.3B
24
RYANRyan Specialty Holdings, Inc.$10.0B
61
ERIEErie Indemnity Co.$10.6B
24

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BWIN news & analysis

Kanguro Insurance Partners with MSI to Automate Insurance Compliance for Multifamily Communities

PRNewsWire · 30 Sept 2026neutral

Kanguro Insurance has partnered with MSI to integrate its LeaseTrack technology into its platform, automating compliance tracking and expanding access to bilingual embedded insurance for renters in multifamily communities. The partnership was announced via a press release from Miami.

Why it matters — BWIN watchers would care because this reflects industry trends toward automated, embedded insurance solutions for multifamily housing, an area in which BWIN operates.

Juniper Re Licenses KatRisk Severe Convective Storm and Wildfire Models

GlobeNewsWire · 24 Sept 2026positive

Juniper Re has licensed KatRisk's severe convective storm and wildfire models, expanding its catastrophe modeling capabilities with differentiated views of these complex perils. The partnership broadens Juniper Re's ability to assess two increasingly significant and intricate risk categories.

Why it matters — BWIN watchers would care because expanded catastrophe modeling for severe convective storms and wildfires reflects growing industry focus on these perils, which directly ties into insurance and reinsurance risk assessment.

BRODSKY & SMITH SHAREHOLDER UPDATE: Notifying Investors of the Following Investigations: Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq – PRTH), MISTRAS Group, Inc. (NYSE – MG), The Baldwin Group, Inc. (Nasdaq – BWIN), Utz Brands, Inc. (NYSE – UTZ)

GlobeNewsWire · 22 Sept 2026negative

Brodsky & Smith issued a shareholder update reminding investors of investigations it is conducting, including one involving The Baldwin Group, Inc. (Nasdaq – BWIN). The firm invited BWIN shareholders to contact it at no cost to discuss the investigation.

Why it matters — BWIN has been named in a law firm's shareholder investigation notice, which signals potential legal scrutiny that a BWIN watcher would want to monitor.

Baldwin Group Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of The Baldwin Group, Inc. - BWIN

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026negative

Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC is investigating the proposed sale of The Baldwin Group, Inc. (BWIN) to Sequence Holdings and DFO Management, under which shareholders would receive $32.50 in cash per share. The law firm is seeking to determine whether this consideration and the process leading to it are adequate.

Why it matters — A law firm investigation of the sale price and process could indicate shareholder concerns about the proposed acquisition terms.

THE BALDWIN GROUP (BWIN): Kaskela Law Announces Probe into Adequacy of $32.50 Per Share Buyout Price – Fair or Inadequately Low for Baldwin's Shareholders?

Business Wire · 16 Sept 2026neutral

Kaskela Law announced it is investigating whether the $32.50 per share cash buyout price for The Baldwin Group is adequate and whether shareholders may be able to obtain a higher price. Baldwin reported on September 14, 2026 that it would be acquired by Sequence Holdings and DFO Management at that price.

Why it matters — A BWIN watcher would care because the probe raises questions about the fairness of the acquisition price shareholders are set to receive.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BWIN stock

What is the BWIN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $31 to $37. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BWIN stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. 8 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BWIN?

As at 8 Oct 2026, The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. ranks 8 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (58 of 100).

Will BWIN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +2.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. 8 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BWIN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BWIN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $31 to $37 over the next 12 months.

How has BWIN stock performed over the past year?

The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. returned +10.0% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. do?

The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc., an independent insurance distribution firm that provides insurance and risk management solutions in the United States.

What is the latest news on BWIN?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 30 Sept 2026): "Kanguro Insurance Partners with MSI to Automate Insurance Compliance for Multifamily Communities". Kanguro Insurance has partnered with MSI to integrate its LeaseTrack technology into its platform, automating compliance tracking and expanding access to bilingual embedded insurance for renters in multifamily communities. The partnership was announced via a press release from Miami.

Company

About The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc., an independent insurance distribution firm that provides insurance and risk management solutions in the United States. The company serves businesses, high-net-worth individuals, families, and personal clients through offerings that include commercial risk management, employee benefits, private risk management, personal insurance, and specialty underwriting services. Its business is organized around Insurance Advisory Solutions, Underwriting, Capacity & Technology Solutions, and Mainstreet Insurance Solutions, combining advisory, distribution, and technology-enabled insurance capabilities. The Baldwin Insurance Group plays a role in the financial services market by connecting clients with coverage solutions across commercial, specialty, and personal insurance categories.

CEO Mr. Trevor Lowry Baldwin · 5,000 employees · United States · https://www.baldwin.com