TICKERNERD
Menu
ARXARXFinancial Services · Insurance Brokers

ARX Stock Forecast: Accelerant Holdings Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$12
+1.18% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Accelerant Holdings hold a median 12-month price target of $18 — +49.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 7 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$2.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
7 / 100
Median analyst target
$18
Analysts covering
10
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−17.7%
1M
−12.7%
YTD
−26.5%
1Y
−55.2%
From 52W high
−60.0%
From 52W low
+28.4%
$9
$30
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ARX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Accelerant Holdings on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
7 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
82
Issuance
41
Size
33
Growth
16
Value
15
Accruals
13
Volatility
12
Momentum
8
Quality
2

Revisions (82): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Quality (2): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Accelerant Holdings — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

ARX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ARX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARXHigh $30Median $18Low $14

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says10 analysts
9 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $14Median $18High $30

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +49.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$17 → $16
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$16 → $14
16 June 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
1 June 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
26 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
21 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
19 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
18 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
13 Apr 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
6 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 Mar 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
25 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
20 Mar 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
23 Feb 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
7 Jan 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
4 Dec 2025CitizensUpgradeMarket Outperform—
17 Nov 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 Nov 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
31 Oct 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
8 Oct 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

ARX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+9.0%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Accelerant Holdings (ARX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
68.8×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.7×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / book
3.8×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.1×

Cheaper than 28% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
59.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
63.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
−2.2%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Net margin
−150.6%

Higher than 4% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−243.2%

Higher than 6% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.4%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

ARX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance Brokers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ARXAccelerant Holdings$2.6B
7
GSHDGoosehead Insurance, Inc.$2.2B
43
CRVLCorVel Corp.$3.1B
47
BWINBaldwin Insurance Group, Inc.$4.0B
7
NPNeptune Insurance Holdings, Inc.$4.4B
4
TWFGTWFG, Inc.$1.5B
46
LIFEEthos Technologies, Inc.$1.3B
9
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ARX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest ARX news & analysis

Strength Seen in Accelerant Holdings (ARX): Can Its 6.1% Jump Turn into More Strength?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Aug 2026neutral

Accelerant Holdings (ARX) was a notable mover last session, rising 6.1% on higher-than-average trading volume. Zacks notes that the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions may not support the stock continuing higher in the near term.

Why it matters — ARX watchers would care because the article highlights both the stock's recent price jump and a potentially unfavorable earnings-estimate revision trend that could limit near-term momentum.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ARX stock

What is the ARX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Accelerant Holdings have a median 12-month price target of $18, with estimates ranging from $14 to $30. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ARX stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Accelerant Holdings, 9 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Accelerant Holdings 7 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ARX?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Accelerant Holdings ranks 7 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (82 of 100).

Will ARX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +49.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Accelerant Holdings 7 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ARX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Accelerant Holdings publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ARX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $14 to $30 over the next 12 months.

How has ARX stock performed over the past year?

Accelerant Holdings returned -55.2% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Accelerant Holdings do?

Accelerant Holdings Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares represent an ownership stake in a specialty insurance-focused holding company. Accelerant Holdings operates a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters, including managing general agents, with risk capital partners such as insurers and reinsurers.

What is the latest news on ARX?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 3 Aug 2026): "Strength Seen in Accelerant Holdings (ARX): Can Its 6.1% Jump Turn into More Strength?". Accelerant Holdings (ARX) was a notable mover last session, rising 6.1% on higher-than-average trading volume. Zacks notes that the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions may not support the stock continuing higher in the near term.

Company

About Accelerant Holdings.

Accelerant Holdings Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares represent an ownership stake in a specialty insurance-focused holding company. Accelerant Holdings operates a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters, including managing general agents, with risk capital partners such as insurers and reinsurers. Its platform is designed to simplify and modernize the specialty insurance value chain by providing analytics, portfolio monitoring, and operational support around underwriting and risk selection. The company organizes its activities across exchange services, MGA operations, and underwriting segments, enabling it to serve small and medium-sized enterprises across diverse specialty insurance lines. Accelerant Holdings generates revenue primarily through fees linked to insurance premium volumes placed through its exchange and serviced for risk capital partners. Headquartered in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands, and founded in 2018, the firm today operates across North America, the United Kingdom, and the European Union, where it derives a significant portion of its business. In public markets, its Class A Ordinary Shares provide investors with exposure to the specialty insurance intermediation and risk-exchange space.

CEO Mr. Jeffrey Lee Radke · 862 employees · Cayman Islands · https://www.accelerant.ai