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ARX Stock Forecast: Accelerant Holdings Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$20
+0.10% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Accelerant Holdings hold a median 12-month price target of $20 — +3.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 11 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile.

Market cap
$4.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
11 / 100
Median analyst target
$20
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.1%
1M
+44.9%
YTD
+19.8%
1Y
−34.0%
From 52W high
−34.8%
From 52W low
+109.3%
$9
$30
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ARX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Accelerant Holdings on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
11 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
95
Issuance
56
Size
27
Momentum
16
Growth
16
Accruals
14
Value
12
Volatility
10
Quality
1

Revisions (95): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Quality (1): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ARX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ARX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARXHigh $30Median $20Low $20

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
1 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $20Median $20High $30

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +3.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Aug 2026CitizensDowngradeMarket Perform—
13 Aug 2026William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform—
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$17 → $16
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$16 → $14
16 June 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
1 June 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
26 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
21 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
19 May 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
18 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
13 Apr 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
6 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
26 Mar 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
25 Mar 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
20 Mar 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
23 Feb 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
7 Jan 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
4 Dec 2025CitizensUpgradeMarket Outperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ARX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

ARX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+12.9%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Accelerant Holdings (ARX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
68.8×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / book
5.9×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
25.1×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
57.2%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
794.3%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
15.6%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Net margin
−127.5%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−222.0%

Higher than 6% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.5%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

ARX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance Brokers
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ARXAccelerant Holdings$4.3B
11
BWINThe Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.$4.6B
8
NPNeptune Insurance Holdings, Inc.$4.6B
26
CRVLCorVel Corp.$3.6B
44
GSHDGoosehead Insurance, Inc.$2.6B
48
LIFEEthos Technologies, Inc.$2.1B
25
TWFGTWFG, Inc.$1.6B
58

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Accelerant Holdings — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ARX news & analysis

After Golden Cross, Accelerant Holdings (ARX)'s Technical Outlook is Bright

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

Accelerant Holdings (ARX) reached a significant support level, and its 50-day simple moving average crossed above its 200-day moving average, forming a technical pattern known as a "golden cross." This development points to a bright technical outlook for the stock.

Why it matters — A golden cross is widely viewed by technical analysts as a bullish signal, so ARX watchers may take note of the improved technical positioning at a key support level.

Why Is Accelerant Going Private Just One Year After Its IPO?

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Aug 2026positive

Accelerant Holdings is being taken private just over a year after its IPO, through a $4 billion deal led by Thoma Bravo that capitalizes on the company's stronger operating results.

Why it matters — ARX watchers would care because the company is exiting the public market shortly after its listing, a significant corporate event that affects shareholders and the stock's public trading outlook.

Accelerant Holdings Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Accelerant Holdings - ARX

Business Wire · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC, led by former Louisiana Attorney General Charles C. Foti, Jr., has launched an investigation into the proposed sale of Accelerant Holdings (NYSE: ARX) to Thoma Bravo. The firm is examining whether the $20.25 per share cash consideration offered to shareholders and the process leading to it are adequate.

Why it matters — The investigation raises questions about the fairness of the proposed acquisition terms for Accelerant shareholders, so ARX watchers will track whether the deal price or process faces scrutiny or changes.

Stock Market Today, Aug. 13: Accelerant Holdings Surges 43% on All-Cash Buyout Offer

The Motley Fool · 13 Aug 2026positive

On Aug. 13, 2026, Accelerant Holdings' stock jumped 43% after the specialty insurance platform announced a $4 billion all-cash buyout offer and reported stronger-than-expected second-quarter results.

Why it matters — A $4 billion all-cash takeover offer and better-than-expected results represent a significant development for Accelerant Holdings investors.

Accelerant Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Premium Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026positive

Accelerant Holdings (ARX) reported second-quarter earnings that surpassed analyst estimates, driven by premium growth, higher fee revenues, and stronger performance in its Exchange Services segment.

Why it matters — The earnings beat signals that ARX's core growth drivers — premium expansion, fees, and Exchange Services — are performing well in the current period.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ARX stock

What is the ARX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Accelerant Holdings have a median 12-month price target of $20, with estimates ranging from $20 to $30. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ARX stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Accelerant Holdings, 1 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Accelerant Holdings 11 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ARX?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Accelerant Holdings ranks 11 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (95 of 100).

Will ARX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +3.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Accelerant Holdings 11 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ARX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Accelerant Holdings publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ARX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $20 to $30 over the next 12 months.

How has ARX stock performed over the past year?

Accelerant Holdings returned -34.0% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Accelerant Holdings do?

Accelerant Holdings Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares represent an ownership stake in a specialty insurance-focused holding company. Accelerant Holdings operates a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters, including managing general agents, with risk capital partners such as insurers and reinsurers.

What is the latest news on ARX?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 21 Aug 2026): "After Golden Cross, Accelerant Holdings (ARX)'s Technical Outlook is Bright". Accelerant Holdings (ARX) reached a significant support level, and its 50-day simple moving average crossed above its 200-day moving average, forming a technical pattern known as a "golden cross." This development points to a bright technical outlook for the stock.

Company

About Accelerant Holdings.

Accelerant Holdings Ltd Class A Ordinary Shares represent an ownership stake in a specialty insurance-focused holding company. Accelerant Holdings operates a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters, including managing general agents, with risk capital partners such as insurers and reinsurers. Its platform is designed to simplify and modernize the specialty insurance value chain by providing analytics, portfolio monitoring, and operational support around underwriting and risk selection. The company organizes its activities across exchange services, MGA operations, and underwriting segments, enabling it to serve small and medium-sized enterprises across diverse specialty insurance lines. Accelerant Holdings generates revenue primarily through fees linked to insurance premium volumes placed through its exchange and serviced for risk capital partners. Headquartered in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands, and founded in 2018, the firm today operates across North America, the United Kingdom, and the European Union, where it derives a significant portion of its business. In public markets, its Class A Ordinary Shares provide investors with exposure to the specialty insurance intermediation and risk-exchange space.

CEO Mr. Jeffrey Lee Radke · 862 employees · Cayman Islands · https://www.accelerant.ai