EXPDIndustrials · Integrated Freight & LogisticsThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $180 — -5.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 98 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (46): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (9): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on EXPD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −5.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $200 → $214 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $210 → $220 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | $190 → $200 |
| 30 Sept 2026 | BNP Paribas | Initiates | Neutral | $180 |
| 29 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $160 → $165 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $150 → $160 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral | $200 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Sell | $148 → $176 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $191 → $210 |
| 21 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | $181 → $189 |
| 21 July 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Citizens | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Citizens | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $154 → $158 |
| 15 July 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. EXPD appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. returned +57.7% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 27% of US stocks
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 8% of US stocks
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 11% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. has a market value of $24.9B and an enterprise value of $24.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.0B. The latest quarter grew 32.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $921.3M, a 7.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.87.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $923.9M.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. spent $901.4M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 27.9×; forward P/E: 23.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.84%, paying out 23% of earnings.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. employs 20,389 people — $590K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc. | $24.9B | 98 |
| JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | $21.2B | 96 |
| FDXFFedEx Freight Holding Co., Inc. | $16.8B | 1 |
| CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $16.0B | 81 |
| FDXFedEx Corp. | $68.0B | 73 |
| UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | $78.7B | 81 |
| LSTRLandstar System, Inc. | $5.8B | 89 |
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Seeking Alpha published a transcript in which Expeditors International of Washington discussed distribution trends and strategies for unlocking growth in Canada.
Why it matters — The transcript provides EXPD watchers with company discussion of distribution trends and its approach to growth in Canada.
A Zacks Investment Research article presents Expeditors International as a top momentum stock for the long term and describes Zacks Style Scores as a way for investors to find stocks rated for their investing style.
Why it matters — EXPD watchers may note the article’s favorable momentum framing and its reference to Zacks’ stock-rating approach.
Seeking Alpha published a transcript titled “Incoterms Level Up: Managing Risk and Understanding Key Terms in Global Trade” concerning Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
Why it matters — The transcript’s focus on Incoterms and risk management may interest EXPD watchers following global trade practices.
Zacks notes that Expeditors (EXPD) is supported by resilient airfreight demand, rising customs activity, efficiency gains, and robust shareholder returns via dividends and other initiatives.
Why it matters — EXPD watchers would care because these demand trends and efficiency initiatives underpin the company's ongoing operations and shareholder value.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) published the prepared remarks transcript from a discussion titled "Denied Party Screening: Preparing for What Comes Next." The transcript covers the company's approach to denied party screening and preparation for upcoming changes in this area.
Why it matters — EXPD watchers would care because denied party screening is a regulatory compliance function central to the company's freight forwarding and logistics operations, and the transcript provides insight into how the company is preparing for related changes.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $180, with estimates ranging from $100 to $220. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. 98 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. ranks 98 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies -5.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. 98 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for EXPD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $100 to $220 over the next 12 months.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. returned +57.7% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Expeditors International of Washington Inc. is a global logistics and freight forwarding company that provides integrated supply chain services for importers and exporters.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 7 Oct 2026): "Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Discusses Distribution Trends and Strategies for Unlocking Growth in Canada Transcript". Seeking Alpha published a transcript in which Expeditors International of Washington discussed distribution trends and strategies for unlocking growth in Canada.
Expeditors International of Washington Inc. is a global logistics and freight forwarding company that provides integrated supply chain services for importers and exporters. The company coordinates airfreight and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, warehousing, distribution, order management, cargo insurance, and time-definite transportation, supported by a broad international network of offices and logistics professionals. It serves customers across industries such as retail, electronics, healthcare, automotive, high technology, and manufacturing, with services designed to move goods efficiently across borders and through complex trade requirements. Expeditors International of Washington Inc. operates as a non-asset-based logistics provider, purchasing transportation capacity from carriers and combining it with documentation, compliance, tracking, and delivery support to manage shipments end to end. Headquartered in Bellevue, Washington, the company plays an important role in global trade by linking carriers, shippers, and customs processes through a single logistics platform.
CEO Mr. Daniel R. Wall · 20,389 employees · United States · https://www.expeditors.com
