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UPS Stock Forecast: United Parcel Service, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$105
−0.99% on the day

The 29 Wall Street analysts covering United Parcel Service, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $118 — +12.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$88.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
80 / 100
Median analyst target
$118
Analysts covering
29
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
0.0%
1M
−8.1%
YTD
+8.6%
1Y
+26.0%
From 52W high
−11.2%
From 52W low
+32.6%
$79
$118
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

UPS stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores United Parcel Service, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
80 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
94
Value
93
Quality
82
Issuance
77
Revisions
72
Accruals
71
Momentum
58
Growth
31
Size
3

Volatility (94): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (31): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

UPS stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UPS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$70$80$90$100$110$120$130$140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26UPSHigh $135Median $118Low $76

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says29 analysts
14 Buy12 Hold3 Sell
Low $76Median $118High $135

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$110 → $115
29 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$115 → $117
29 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$135 → $130
29 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$114 → $115
29 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$118 → $120
29 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$123 → $124
21 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$130 → $133
21 July 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$111 → $117
21 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
15 July 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Perform—
15 July 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Perform—
9 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$127 → $132
9 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—
29 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
29 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
29 Apr 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
29 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
7 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. UPS appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

UPS analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.2%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
19.4×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

Price / book
5.9×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.4×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.6%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−52.9%

Higher than 9% of US stocks

Gross margin
13.0%

Higher than 12% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.1%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
5.1%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
29.6%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.2%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Dividend yield
6.3%

Higher than 86% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

UPS vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelIntegrated Freight & Logistics
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.$88.9B
80
FDXFedEx Corp.$78.7B
74
JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.$26.6B
99
EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc.$24.2B
98
FDXFFedEx Freight Holding Co., Inc.$22.5B
0
CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.$17.6B
78
LSTRLandstar System, Inc.$6.5B
93

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own United Parcel Service, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest UPS news & analysis

Can UPS Keep Improving Margins as Network Savings Reach $3 Billion?

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026positive

UPS is targeting approximately $3 billion in network savings by 2026, supported by stronger pricing, higher cash flow, and cost cuts that are helping maintain margins despite weaker package volumes.

Why it matters — Investors and analysts tracking UPS would care about the company's ability to sustain margin improvement through cost savings and pricing discipline even as package volumes remain soft.

Retail ETFs: Following the Selective Consumer

ETF Trends · 13 Aug 2026neutral

A report from ETF Trends notes that consumers remain resilient but are increasingly shifting spending toward value, convenience, and frequent everyday purchases. It discusses how retail ETFs can bridge exposure between consumer staples and discretionary sectors.

Why it matters — Shifting consumer spending patterns toward value and frequent everyday purchases could signal changes in package delivery volumes for UPS.

UPS: Buy This High Yield While It's Still Undervalued

Seeking Alpha · 11 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha highlights UPS as a value and income opportunity, noting a 6.3% yield, a forward P/E of 14.5, and improved operating margins from shifting away from low-margin Amazon volume. Q2 2026 revenue rose 7.6% and profit grew 12% year over year, supported by automation and healthcare logistics expansion.

Why it matters — A UPS watcher would care because the article points to strategic margin improvements and growing healthcare revenue that could support the company's valuation and dividend appeal.

UPS Announces Quarterly Dividend

Business Wire · 5 Aug 2026positive

UPS announced a regular quarterly dividend of $1.64 per share on all outstanding Class A and Class B shares, payable September 3, 2026, to shareowners of record on August 17, 2026. The company noted it has maintained or increased its dividend each year since going public in 1999.

Why it matters — The dividend announcement reflects UPS's stated commitment to returning capital to shareholders and its record of maintaining or raising dividends each year since 1999.

5 Relatively Secure And Cheap Dividend Stocks, Yields Up To 8% (August 2026)

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article in a monthly series highlights five large-cap, relatively safe dividend-paying companies trading at significant discounts to historical norms. It presents a primary list yielding 4.2%, plus two groups of dividend-growth stocks with yields up to 8%.

Why it matters — UPS watchers may monitor such dividend-focused coverage, as it is part of a monthly screening series that could feature or exclude large-cap income names like UPS.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about UPS stock

What is the UPS stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 29 Wall Street analysts covering United Parcel Service, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $118, with estimates ranging from $76 to $135. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is UPS stock a buy right now?

Of the 29 analysts covering United Parcel Service, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks United Parcel Service, Inc. 80 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank UPS?

As at 15 Aug 2026, United Parcel Service, Inc. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (94 of 100).

Will UPS stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 29 analysts implies +12.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks United Parcel Service, Inc. 80 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the UPS stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering United Parcel Service, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UPS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $76 to $135 over the next 12 months.

How has UPS stock performed over the past year?

United Parcel Service, Inc. returned +26.0% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does United Parcel Service, Inc. do?

United Parcel Service, Inc. is a global logistics and package delivery company that provides transportation, distribution, and supply chain services to businesses and consumers worldwide.

What is the latest news on UPS?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 13 Aug 2026): "Can UPS Keep Improving Margins as Network Savings Reach $3 Billion?". UPS is targeting approximately $3 billion in network savings by 2026, supported by stronger pricing, higher cash flow, and cost cuts that are helping maintain margins despite weaker package volumes.

Company

About United Parcel Service, Inc.

United Parcel Service, Inc. is a global logistics and package delivery company that provides transportation, distribution, and supply chain services to businesses and consumers worldwide. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, it operates extensive networks of ground vehicles, aircraft, and sorting facilities that support time-definite delivery of letters, documents, parcels, and palletized freight. The company’s U.S. Domestic Package operations focus on express and ground services across the United States, while its International Package segment serves customers in Europe, Asia, the Indian sub-continent, the Middle East, Africa, Canada, and Latin America. United Parcel Service, Inc. also offers supply chain solutions, including freight forwarding, contract logistics, and specialized services for healthcare, retail, and industrial clients, helping them manage inventory, transportation, and fulfilment more efficiently. Operating today in the Industrials sector and the integrated freight and logistics industry, United Parcel Service, Inc. plays a central role in global commerce by enabling reliable parcel delivery and end-to-end logistics solutions across a broad range of markets.

CEO Ms. Carol B. Tome · 460,000 employees · United States · https://www.ups.com