UPSIndustrials · Integrated Freight & LogisticsThe 29 Wall Street analysts covering United Parcel Service, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $118 — +27.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 81 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores United Parcel Service, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (94): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Growth (31): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on UPS, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $110 → $115 |
| 29 July 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $115 → $117 |
| 29 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | $135 → $130 |
| 29 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $114 → $115 |
| 29 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $118 → $120 |
| 29 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $123 → $124 |
| 21 July 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | $130 → $133 |
| 21 July 2026 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 21 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | $111 → $117 |
| 21 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Citizens | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
| 15 July 2026 | Citizens | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $127 → $132 |
| 9 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | In-Line | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. UPS appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, United Parcel Service, Inc. returned +14.3% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Cheaper than 71% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 46% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 12% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
United Parcel Service, Inc. has a market value of $79.2B and an enterprise value of $103.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $89.9B. The latest quarter grew 7.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $4.6B, a 5.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.38.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.5B, after $3.4B of capital spending.
United Parcel Service, Inc. spent $0.0 on share buybacks and $5.4B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.3×; forward P/E: 11.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 7.05%, paying out 122% of earnings.
United Parcel Service, Inc. employs 460,000 people — $196K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | $79.2B | 81 |
| FDXFedEx Corp. | $68.0B | 73 |
| EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc. | $24.9B | 98 |
| JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | $21.2B | 96 |
| FDXFFedEx Freight Holding Co., Inc. | $16.8B | 1 |
| CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $16.0B | 81 |
| LSTRLandstar System, Inc. | $5.8B | 89 |
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own United Parcel Service, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
24/7 Wall Street highlights five high-yield dividend stocks whose payouts face potential warning signs involving coverage, cash flow, or debt. The excerpt does not identify whether UPS is among the stocks discussed.
Why it matters — UPS watchers may find the article relevant to dividend sustainability, but the excerpt provides no UPS-specific details.
UPS said it is hiring 100,000 seasonal employees in hundreds of U.S. locations for the upcoming holiday shipping season. The seasonal hires will join a global workforce of about 460,000, according to the company.
Why it matters — The seasonal hiring plan provides a measure of UPS's staffing for expected holiday shipping demand.
The article says UPS has a 7% dividend yield and has kept its dividend steady for seven straight payments, but questions the cash flow behind that income story.
Why it matters — UPS watchers may want to understand the source of cash supporting the dividend, which the article presents as a concern.
United Parcel Service said it is hiring 100,000 seasonal employees across hundreds of U.S. locations ahead of this year’s holiday shipping season.
Why it matters — The hiring plan indicates UPS is preparing its workforce for seasonal shipping demand.
UPS says it is entering the 2026 holiday shipping season with expanded shipping options, including precise shipment tracking and enhanced package protection. The company highlights RFID-powered technology for more precise, real-time tracking across its logistics network.
Why it matters — The update describes service features UPS is emphasizing as it prepares for a busy seasonal shipping period.
The 29 Wall Street analysts covering United Parcel Service, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $118, with estimates ranging from $76 to $135. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 29 analysts covering United Parcel Service, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks United Parcel Service, Inc. 81 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, United Parcel Service, Inc. ranks 81 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 29 analysts implies +27.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks United Parcel Service, Inc. 81 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering United Parcel Service, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for UPS are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $76 to $135 over the next 12 months.
United Parcel Service, Inc. returned +14.3% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B Common Stock represents ownership in United Parcel Service, a global package delivery and logistics company.
The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 7 Oct 2026): "5 High-Yield Dividend Stocks Where the Payout Math Is Flashing Warning Signs". 24/7 Wall Street highlights five high-yield dividend stocks whose payouts face potential warning signs involving coverage, cash flow, or debt. The excerpt does not identify whether UPS is among the stocks discussed.
United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B Common Stock represents ownership in United Parcel Service, a global package delivery and logistics company. The business provides time-definite shipping, ground transportation, air freight, and international delivery services for consumers, small businesses, large enterprises, and public-sector customers. Its operations are centered on parcel movement, supply chain coordination, and end-to-end logistics support across domestic and cross-border markets. UPS also serves industries such as retail, healthcare, technology, industrials, and e-commerce through integrated transportation and distribution solutions. The company’s service network includes pickup, sorting, linehaul transportation, customs brokerage, and last-mile delivery, making it an important participant in global commerce and the movement of goods. United Parcel Service, Inc. is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
CEO Ms. Carol B. Tome · 460,000 employees · United States · https://www.ups.com
