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FDX Stock Forecast: FedEx Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$289
+0.00% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering FedEx Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $357 — +23.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 73 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$68.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
73 / 100
Median analyst target
$357
Analysts covering
28
Revenue$25.0B+12.5% y/y
Operating income$2.1B
Net income$1.6B
Free cash flow$1.8B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 May 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.4%
1M
−10.0%
YTD
+25.8%
1Y
+50.9%
From 52W high
−14.5%
From 52W low
+62.7%
$178
$338
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FDX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores FedEx Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
73 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
89
Momentum
87
Quality
83
Volatility
80
Growth
74
Accruals
56
Revisions
49
Issuance
40
Size
4

Value (89): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Issuance (40): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FDX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FDX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$200$300$400$500Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FDXHigh $479Median $357Low $160

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says28 analysts
20 Buy7 Hold1 Sell
Low $160Median $357High $479

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
28 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$350 → $351
9 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$323 → $350
9 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
8 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$460 → $400
8 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform—
15 July 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform$375
25 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$425 → $365
25 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
24 June 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$376 → $378
24 June 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
24 June 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
24 June 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$357 → $359
24 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
24 June 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$442 → $326
24 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$445 → $350
24 June 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
17 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
12 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsUnderweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FDX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

FDX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, FedEx Corp. returned +50.9% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FDX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FDXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FDX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−12.3%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

FedEx Corp. (FDX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
15.6×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 75% of US stocks

Price / book
2.2×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.3×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.5%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−3.1%

Higher than 33% of US stocks

Gross margin
22.7%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.1%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Net margin
4.7%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.8%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.0%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.7%

Higher than 76% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

FedEx Corp. (FDX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • FedEx Corp. has a market value of $68.4B and an enterprise value of $97.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $94.7B. The latest quarter grew 12.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $4.4B, a 4.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $18.51.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $5.1B, after $3.8B of capital spending.

  • FedEx Corp. spent $796.0M on share buybacks and $1.4B on dividends in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 240.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 15.6×; forward P/E: 13.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.69%, paying out 31% of earnings.

  • FedEx Corp. employs 300,000 people — $316K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 May 2026 · market figures as at 6 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FDX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelIntegrated Freight & Logistics
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FDXFedEx Corp.$68.4B
73
UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.$78.7B
81
EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc.$24.9B
98
JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.$21.2B
96
FDXFFedEx Freight Holding Co., Inc.$16.8B
1
CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.$16.0B
81
LSTRLandstar System, Inc.$5.8B
89

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own FedEx Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FDX news & analysis

FedEx Dataworks and Stripe to Join Forces to Reduce Friction in Global Commerce for SMBs

Business Wire · 6 Oct 2026positive

FedEx Dataworks and Stripe announced a long-term strategic collaboration to reduce friction in global commerce. Their first joint solution is planned for early 2027 and is intended to expand financing access for tens of thousands of small- and medium-sized businesses.

Why it matters — The collaboration connects FedEx’s global network with Stripe’s financial infrastructure to support financing access for SMBs.

3 Air-Freight & Cargo Stocks to Watch as Industry Prospects Improve

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026positive

Zacks highlights improving freight conditions and cost-cutting actions as favorable for the air-freight and cargo industry. The report names UPS, FedEx, and GXO as well-positioned to benefit from these tailwinds.

Why it matters — An FDX watcher would note that improving industry conditions and cost efforts are seen to position FedEx favorably, though the report is a general industry outlook rather than specific guidance.

America's Critical Supply Chain Is Breaking

24/7 Wall Street · 1 Oct 2026negative

The article reports that America's critical supply chain is breaking, highlighting the heavy dependence of the U.S. economy on trucks. Nearly everything consumers purchase, from groceries and household essentials to construction materials and electronics, relies on the nation's highways for at least part of its journey.

Why it matters — A breaking supply chain and strain on highway-based trucking would directly affect FedEx's ground and freight operations, which depend heavily on the integrity of the nation's transportation network.

FedEx orders 2,000 electric trucks from Harbinger in $300M deal

TechCrunch · 30 Sept 2026neutral

FedEx is ordering 2,000 electric trucks from EV startup Harbinger in a deal valued at $300 million. Harbinger, which already has trucks in production, plans to deliver all 2,000 vehicles by the end of next year.

Why it matters — A FedEx watcher would care because this order signals the company's continued investment in electrifying its delivery fleet.

FedEx Shareholders Back Directors, Pay Plan as CEO Highlights Record Cash Flow

MarketBeat · 28 Sept 2026positive

At its annual meeting, FedEx shareholders elected all 11 director nominees and approved the company's executive compensation proposal, while rejecting three shareholder proposals related to board leadership, special-meeting rights, and risks associated with transporting abortion drugs.

Why it matters — The shareholder vote signals board and pay-plan support for FedEx leadership, providing clarity on governance for investors tracking the company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FDX stock

What is the FDX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering FedEx Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $357, with estimates ranging from $160 to $479. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FDX stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering FedEx Corp., 20 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks FedEx Corp. 73 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FDX?

As at 6 Oct 2026, FedEx Corp. ranks 73 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (89 of 100).

Will FDX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +23.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks FedEx Corp. 73 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FDX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering FedEx Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FDX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $160 to $479 over the next 12 months.

How has FDX stock performed over the past year?

FedEx Corp. returned +50.9% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does FedEx Corp. do?

FedEx Corp. is a global transportation, e-commerce, and logistics company that provides integrated shipping and business services for consumers and organizations worldwide.

What is the latest news on FDX?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 6 Oct 2026): "FedEx Dataworks and Stripe to Join Forces to Reduce Friction in Global Commerce for SMBs". FedEx Dataworks and Stripe announced a long-term strategic collaboration to reduce friction in global commerce. Their first joint solution is planned for early 2027 and is intended to expand financing access for tens of thousands of small- and medium-sized businesses.

Company

About FedEx Corp.

FedEx Corp. is a global transportation, e-commerce, and logistics company that provides integrated shipping and business services for consumers and organizations worldwide. FedEx Corp. offers express package delivery, freight transportation, ground shipping, supply chain solutions, customs brokerage, and related support services across domestic and international markets. Its network connects air and ground operations with sorting, tracking, and delivery capabilities designed to move parcels, documents, and freight efficiently across a broad range of industries. The company serves businesses of all sizes, government customers, and individual shippers through a portfolio that supports time-sensitive delivery, cross-border trade, and end-to-end logistics management. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, FedEx Corp. plays a central role in global commerce by linking shippers, customers, and supply chains through its extensive transportation infrastructure.

CEO Mr. Rajesh Subramaniam · 300,000 employees · United States · https://www.fedex.com