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FERGFERGIndustrials · Industrial Distribution

FERG Stock Forecast: Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 16 Oct 2026
$232
+1.25% on the day

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $288 — +24.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 6 of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$44.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
6 / 100
Median analyst target
$288
Analysts covering
24
Revenue$8.8B+3.0% y/y
Operating income$895.0M
Net income$666.0M
Free cash flow−$198.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+5.3%
1M
+8.1%
YTD
+5.6%
1Y
−0.2%
From 52W high
−12.8%
From 52W low
+8.1%
$214
$266
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FERG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Oct 2026
6 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
78
Volatility
76
Revisions
64
Value
9
Accruals
8
Size
6
Growth
5
Quality
4
Issuance
2

Momentum (78): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Issuance (2): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FERG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FERG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$220$240$260$280$300$320$340Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FERGHigh $325Median $288Low $235

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says24 analysts
15 Buy9 Hold0 Sell
Low $235Median $288High $325

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$290 → $286
15 Sept 2026Wolfe ResearchAssumesPeer Perform—
11 Aug 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$285 → $288
11 Aug 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
11 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
11 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$297 → $313
11 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
11 Aug 2026BernsteinMaintainsOutperform$310 → $325
11 Aug 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$280 → $288
11 Aug 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
11 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
11 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$281 → $290
11 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
11 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$252 → $256
11 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$285 → $295
11 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
17 July 2026Zelman & AssocUpgradeOutperform—
7 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeNeutral$315 → $265
7 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeNeutral—
8 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FERG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

FERG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 16 Oct 2026, Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. returned −0.2% against +16.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FERG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
9095100105110115120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FERGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FERG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.9%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. (FERG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.6×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / book
7.2×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.5×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.6%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
5.0%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Gross margin
31.0%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.2%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Net margin
6.3%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
—
Return on assets
—
Dividend yield
1.5%

Higher than 76% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. (FERG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. has a market value of $44.3B and an enterprise value of $50.7B.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $10.45.

  • Shares outstanding: 193.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 22.6×; forward P/E: 18.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.55%, paying out 34% of earnings.

  • Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. employs 35,000 people.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 16 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FERG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelIndustrial Distribution
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FERGFerguson Enterprises, Inc.$44.3B
6
FASTFastenal Co.$57.8B
74
GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.$63.7B
76
WCCWESCO International, Inc.$16.9B
76
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.$12.6B
95
WSOWatsco, Inc.$12.2B
41
QXOQXO, Inc.$11.6B
7

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FERG news & analysis

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week October 4

Seeking Alpha · 2 Oct 2026neutral

A weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, covering companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates for the week of October 4. Ferguson Enterprises is listed among the dividend stocks tracked in this digest.

Why it matters — A FERG watcher would monitor this weekly roundup to track any dividend changes or upcoming ex-dividend dates involving the company.

These 3 Boring Stocks Have One Thing in Common: Demand That Cannot Wait

24/7 Wall Street · 26 Sept 2026positive

The article highlights a group of "boring" stocks whose products address urgent, non-deferrable demand — like a busted furnace in January or a cracked water main — that does not wait for broader economic conditions.

Why it matters — FERG watchers would care because it points to steady, recession-resistant demand for essential building and infrastructure products, a key driver of Ferguson's business.

Ferguson plc (FERG) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Sept 2026positive

Ferguson plc (FERG) was upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade may support the stock in the near term.

Why it matters — A buy-rank upgrade signals improved expectations for Ferguson's earnings outlook, which could influence investor perception of the stock.

Wolseley Canada Announces Andy Mallon as Chief Financial Officer

GlobeNewsWire · 2 Sept 2026neutral

Wolseley Canada announced the appointment of Andy Mallon as Chief Financial Officer, effective September 9, 2026. The announcement was made from the company's Burlington, Ontario headquarters.

Why it matters — Wolseley Canada is part of the Ferguson Enterprises group, so a change in its CFO leadership is of interest to Ferguson watchers.

Ferguson Completes Acquisition of FloWorks

Business Wire · 1 Sept 2026positive

Ferguson announced it has completed its acquisition of FWI Holdings, Inc. (FloWorks), an industrial distributor and service provider of technical valves and flow control solutions, from Wynnchurch Capital L.P. The deal officially closed on August 31 after satisfaction of the closing conditions.

Why it matters — The completed acquisition expands Ferguson's industrial distribution and flow control capabilities in the construction markets it serves.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FERG stock

What is the FERG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $288, with estimates ranging from $235 to $325. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FERG stock a buy right now?

Of the 24 analysts covering Ferguson Enterprises, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. 6 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FERG?

As at 15 Oct 2026, Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. ranks 6 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (78 of 100).

Will FERG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +24.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. 6 out of 100 as at 15 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FERG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FERG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $235 to $325 over the next 12 months.

How has FERG stock performed over the past year?

Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. returned -0.2% over the 12 months to 16 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ferguson Enterprises, Inc. do?

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is a North American value-added distributor of essential water and air solutions.

What is the latest news on FERG?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 2 Oct 2026): "Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week October 4". A weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, covering companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates for the week of October 4. Ferguson Enterprises is listed among the dividend stocks tracked in this digest.

Company

About Ferguson Enterprises, Inc.

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. is a North American value-added distributor of essential water and air solutions. The company supplies plumbing, heating, ventilation and air conditioning, waterworks, appliances, lighting, pipes, valves, fittings, and water and wastewater products to professional contractors, builders, facility managers, utilities, and other specialized customers. Its business supports repair, maintenance, improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure projects across residential and non-residential markets. Ferguson Enterprises Inc. operates through a broad network of branches, distribution centers, showrooms, counter service locations, and e-commerce channels, helping customers source technical products and project supplies efficiently. With operations centered in the United States and Canada, the company plays a key role in the building products supply chain by connecting manufacturers with trade professionals who need reliable access to jobsite materials and support.

CEO Mr. Kevin M. Murphy · 35,000 employees · United States · https://www.corporate.ferguson.com