GWWIndustrials · Industrial DistributionThe 19 Wall Street analysts covering W.W. Grainger, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $1,353 — -6.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 82 of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores W.W. Grainger, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (100): The share price has been relatively steady.
Accruals (28): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (4): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GWW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −6.8% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $1,428 → $1,427 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $1,185 → $1,172 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 15 Sept 2026 | Wolfe Research | Assumes | Peer Perform | — |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $1,300 → $1,400 |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | $1,166 → $1,185 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Neutral | $1,250 → $1,260 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $1,350 → $1,375 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $1,460 → $1,428 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 16 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $1,337 → $1,460 |
| 16 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $1,355 |
| 14 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Peer Perform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Peer Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
GWW appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 5 Nov 2026, W.W. Grainger, Inc. returned +52.1% against +9.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 74% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
W.W. Grainger, Inc. has a market value of $70.3B and an enterprise value of $68.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $18.8B. The latest quarter grew 10.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $2.0B, a 10.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $39.22.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B, after $665.0M of capital spending.
W.W. Grainger, Inc. spent $999.0M on share buybacks and $495.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 38.0×; forward P/E: 29.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.67%, paying out 24% of earnings.
W.W. Grainger, Inc. employs 22,100 people — $853K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own W.W. Grainger, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
W.W. Grainger reported Q3 earnings above estimates, with double-digit sales growth, expanding margins and robust demand. The company raised its 2026 guidance.
Why it matters — The earnings beat and higher guidance reflect stronger sales and demand, along with improved margins.
Seeking Alpha published a transcript of W.W. Grainger, Inc.’s Q3 2026 earnings call.
Why it matters — The transcript provides GWW watchers with the company’s remarks during its quarterly earnings call.
W.W. Grainger reported quarterly earnings of $12.54 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $11.64. Earnings were $10.21 per share in the year-ago quarter.
Why it matters — GWW watchers may note that quarterly earnings exceeded the consensus estimate and were higher than a year earlier.
The Zacks item says W.W. Grainger’s Q3 top- and bottom-line results for the quarter ended September 2026 provide a view of performance, and frames key metrics against Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. The excerpt does not provide the comparison results.
Why it matters — Those metric comparisons offer GWW watchers additional context on quarterly performance beyond the headline revenue and earnings figures.
Grainger reported third-quarter 2026 sales of $5.2 billion and adjusted diluted EPS of $12.54. The company also increased its full-year 2026 earnings outlook, including an adjusted diluted EPS range of $47.00 to $48.00.
Why it matters — The results and higher earnings outlook provide GWW watchers with an update on the company’s quarterly performance and expectations for the full year.
The 19 Wall Street analysts covering W.W. Grainger, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $1,353, with estimates ranging from $1,100 to $1,500. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 19 analysts covering W.W. Grainger, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks W.W. Grainger, Inc. 82 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 5 Nov 2026, W.W. Grainger, Inc. ranks 82 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies -6.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks W.W. Grainger, Inc. 82 out of 100 as at 5 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering W.W. Grainger, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GWW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $1,100 to $1,500 over the next 12 months.
W.W. Grainger, Inc. returned +52.1% over the 12 months to 5 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
W.W. Grainger Inc.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 4 Nov 2026): "Grainger Beats Earnings Estimates in Q3, Hikes '26 Guidance". W.W. Grainger reported Q3 earnings above estimates, with double-digit sales growth, expanding margins and robust demand. The company raised its 2026 guidance.
W.W. Grainger Inc. is a broad-line industrial supply company that distributes maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and related services to businesses and institutions. W.W. Grainger Inc. serves customers across industries such as manufacturing, healthcare, commercial operations, government, and contractors with products including safety supplies, material handling equipment, plumbing and HVAC items, hand and power tools, electrical products, lighting, and cleaning maintenance supplies. The company also provides value-added services such as inventory management, technical support, and product sourcing through its digital platforms, branches, distribution centers, and sales representatives. Its current business is organized around two segments: High-Touch Solutions North America, which focuses on customer relationships and technical expertise, and Endless Assortment, which offers a broad online catalog for streamlined purchasing. Headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois, W.W. Grainger Inc. plays a key role in keeping industrial and workplace operations supplied and running efficiently.
CEO Mr. Donald G. Macpherson · 22,100 employees · United States · https://www.grainger.com
