TICKERNERD
Menu
FASTFASTIndustrials · Industrial Distribution

FAST Stock Forecast: Fastenal Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$51
+0.04% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Fastenal Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $47 — -8.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 78 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$58.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
78 / 100
Median analyst target
$47
Analysts covering
18
Revenue$2.4B+14.7% y/y
Operating income$501.8M
Net income$382.8M
Free cash flow$201.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.1%
1M
+9.7%
YTD
+29.9%
1Y
+4.0%
From 52W high
−2.1%
From 52W low
+33.2%
$39
$52
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FAST stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Fastenal Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
78 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
99
Quality
92
Issuance
88
Revisions
80
Momentum
74
Growth
63
Value
36
Accruals
35
Size
5

Volatility (99): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (35): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (5): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FAST stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FAST, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$45$50$55$60Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FASTHigh $59Median $47Low $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says18 analysts
6 Buy7 Hold5 Sell
Low $40Median $47High $59

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −8.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
16 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$47 → $46
16 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$48 → $52
15 July 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$46
13 July 2026Rothschild & CoInitiatesBuy$55
8 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$45 → $48
8 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$46 → $47
16 June 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesNeutral—
3 June 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
17 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 Apr 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
6 Mar 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
6 Mar 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 Jan 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
15 Dec 2025JefferiesUpgradeBuy—
13 Nov 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Nov 2025Wolfe ResearchDowngradeUnderperform—
12 Nov 2025BernsteinInitiatesUnderperform—
14 Oct 2025BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FAST appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

FAST vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, Fastenal Co. returned +4.0% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FAST vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FASTS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FAST analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.0%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Fastenal Co. (FAST) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
44.4×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.8×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / book
14.6×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
30.2×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
14.7%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
15.9%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Gross margin
44.6%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Operating margin
21.0%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Net margin
15.5%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
34.3%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Return on assets
21.5%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 46% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Fastenal Co. (FAST) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Fastenal Co. has a market value of $58.8B and an enterprise value of $59.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $8.7B. The latest quarter grew 14.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.4B, a 15.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.18.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B, after $230.5M of capital spending.

  • Fastenal Co. spent $1.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.1B.

  • Trailing P/E: 44.4×; forward P/E: 37.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.00%, paying out 79% of earnings.

  • Fastenal Co. employs 22,230 people — $394K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Aug 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FAST vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelIndustrial Distribution
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FASTFastenal Co.$58.8B
78
GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.$62.8B
75
FERGFerguson Enterprises, Inc.$47.0B
6
WCCWESCO International, Inc.$17.0B
76
QXOQXO, Inc.$14.3B
9
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc.$12.9B
95
WSOWatsco, Inc.$12.7B
40

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Fastenal Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FAST news & analysis

Can Fastenal's 44.6% FMI Sales Mix Unlock More Operating Leverage?

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026positive

Fastenal's FMI (Fastenal Managed Inventory) sales rose 16.4% to $1.08 billion, reaching 44.6% of second-quarter revenues. The growth is attributed to automation and fixed-cost leverage supporting operating efficiency.

Why it matters — A FAST watcher would care because the rising FMI sales mix may indicate the company is gaining operating leverage through automation and fixed-cost efficiencies.

Is Fastenal (FAST) Outperforming Other Industrial Products Stocks This Year?

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing Fastenal's year-to-date performance with that of Kubota Corp. and the broader industrial products sector. The piece examines how both companies have fared relative to their sector so far this year.

Why it matters — The comparison offers Fastenal watchers a benchmark for how the company's stock performance stacks up against a peer and its sector over the year.

Fastenal Stock Climbs 14% in a Month: Buy the High Now or Wait?

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks reports that Fastenal (FAST) stock has climbed 14% over the past month, driven by strong sales, technology gains, and share growth. The report notes that margin and valuation pressures could limit further upside.

Why it matters — FAST watchers would note the recent rally was underpinned by operational gains while margin and valuation pressures present potential headwinds to future performance.

Fastenal (FAST) Up 15.1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Fastenal reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 15.1% since that report. The article questions whether the stock can continue its upward momentum.

Why it matters — A Fastenal watcher would care because the article examines whether the stock's post-earnings gains are sustainable.

Insider Dumps 3,000 Shares of Well-Known Industrial Stock, According to Recent SEC Filing

The Motley Fool · 31 July 2026neutral

A Fastenal director exercised stock options and simultaneously sold 3,000 shares for approximately $147,000 on July 28, 2026, reducing their total equity holdings by 4%.

Why it matters — Insider selling, even when tied to an option exercise, can signal a lack of confidence or be a routine portfolio move, so Fastenal watchers monitor such transactions for potential shifts in executive sentiment.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FAST stock

What is the FAST stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Fastenal Co. have a median 12-month price target of $47, with estimates ranging from $40 to $59. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is FAST stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering Fastenal Co., 6 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 5 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Fastenal Co. 78 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FAST?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Fastenal Co. ranks 78 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (99 of 100).

Will FAST stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies -8.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Fastenal Co. 78 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the FAST stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Fastenal Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FAST are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $59 over the next 12 months.

How has FAST stock performed over the past year?

Fastenal Co. returned +4.0% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Fastenal Co. do?

Fastenal Co. is a wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies headquartered in Winona, Minnesota, founded in 1967 in the United States.

What is the latest news on FAST?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 21 Aug 2026): "Can Fastenal's 44.6% FMI Sales Mix Unlock More Operating Leverage?". Fastenal's FMI (Fastenal Managed Inventory) sales rose 16.4% to $1.08 billion, reaching 44.6% of second-quarter revenues. The growth is attributed to automation and fixed-cost leverage supporting operating efficiency.

Company

About Fastenal Co.

Fastenal Co. is a wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies headquartered in Winona, Minnesota, founded in 1967 in the United States. The company’s core business centers on fasteners such as bolts, nuts, screws, studs, and related washers, which are used in manufactured products, construction projects, and maintenance and repair operations. Beyond fasteners, Fastenal Co. offers a broad range of industrial and construction materials, including safety equipment and services, tools, cutting tools, material handling products, janitorial items, electrical components, and general maintenance supplies. Fastenal Co. serves a diversified customer base spanning manufacturing, non-residential construction, maintenance, repair and operations (MRO), transportation, energy, agriculture, and government entities. It operates through an extensive network of branches, onsite locations, distribution centers, and industrial vending solutions that integrate directly into customer facilities to support inventory management and supply chain efficiency. Today, Fastenal Co. plays a significant role in the industrial distribution market by acting as a one-stop partner for businesses seeking reliable access to mission-critical components and consumable supplies.

CEO Mr. Jeffery Michael Watts · 22,230 employees · United States · https://www.fastenal.com