GENICommunication Services · Internet Content & InformationThe 21 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — +65.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 22 of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Genius Sports Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (73): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Momentum (24): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GENI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +65.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | $12 → $11 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Overweight | $8.00 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $11 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | $10 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | $10 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $10 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $8.00 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | $9.00 → $10 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $9.00 → $10 |
| 31 July 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $5.00 → $7.00 |
| 20 July 2026 | Freedom Capital Markets | Initiates | Buy | $9.00 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
GENI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Genius Sports Ltd. returned −47.3% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 95% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Genius Sports Ltd. has a market value of $1.7B and an enterprise value of $2.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $790.2M. The latest quarter grew 64.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$181.6M, a −23.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.68.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$116.8M, after $57.4M of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: −14.4×; forward P/E: 5.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Genius Sports Ltd. employs 2,000 people — $395K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Genius Sports Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Genius Sports partnered with X to connect NFL Gametime on X to the NFL’s official data, providing fans with real-time scores, statistics and insights. NFL Gametime is a dedicated feed alongside X’s For You and Following tabs.
Why it matters — The partnership highlights Genius Sports’ role in delivering official, real-time NFL data through a social platform.
The NYSE issued a pre-market daily advisory from its trading floor. The headline refers to Snorkel AI raising $350 million, but the excerpt provides no details about that financing.
Why it matters — The item contains no stated connection to Genius Sports, so it offers no specific company-related information for a GENI watcher.
The article reports that JPMorgan is expressing confidence in Genius Sports as the market shows growing impatience with the company. It cites Grand View Research data projecting global sports betting market growth from $123.4 billion in 2026 to $236 billion by 2033, a compound annual growth rate of 9.7%.
Why it matters — A watcher of GENI would care because a major bank's endorsement comes alongside long-term growth projections for the sports betting market, in which Genius Sports operates.
Genius Sports responded to Brazil's September 25, 2026 Provisional Measure banning fixed-odds betting and online gaming, noting that it accrues minimal betting revenue from Brazil due to the structure of its commercial agreements and expects no material financial impact. The company also reaffirmed its 2026 guidance.
Why it matters — GENI watchers would care because it confirms that the Brazilian regulatory change is not expected to materially affect the company's finances and that its 2026 outlook remains unchanged.
Genius Sports Ltd shares rose on a day when the company, which supplies statistical information to the sports entertainment industry, was also noted for consistently producing margin-improving revenue growth.
Why it matters — A share-price jump combined with momentum in margin-improving revenue growth signals ongoing positive operational trajectory for GENI watchers.
The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $6 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 21 analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd., 18 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 22 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 24 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 24 Oct 2026, Genius Sports Ltd. ranks 22 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (73 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +65.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 22 out of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Genius Sports Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GENI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $20 over the next 12 months.
Genius Sports Ltd. returned -47.3% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Genius Sports Limited is a sports technology company that provides official data, software, and broadcast solutions for the global sports, betting, and media industries. Genius Sports helps leagues, teams, sportsbooks, broadcasters, and advertisers capture, analyze, and distribute live sports information through products for data collection, streaming, integrity monitoring, odds feeds, and fan engagement.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 15 Oct 2026): "Genius Sports Connects Official, Real-Time NFL Data to NFL Gametime on X". Genius Sports partnered with X to connect NFL Gametime on X to the NFL’s official data, providing fans with real-time scores, statistics and insights. NFL Gametime is a dedicated feed alongside X’s For You and Following tabs.
Genius Sports Limited is a sports technology company that provides official data, software, and broadcast solutions for the global sports, betting, and media industries. Genius Sports helps leagues, teams, sportsbooks, broadcasters, and advertisers capture, analyze, and distribute live sports information through products for data collection, streaming, integrity monitoring, odds feeds, and fan engagement. Its platform supports real-time event data, interactive viewing experiences, digital advertising, and tools designed to protect the integrity of competitions. The company serves major sports organizations across multiple regions and operates as a technology partner that connects rights holders, commercial operators, and fans through data-driven services. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in London, Genius Sports Limited plays a central role in the infrastructure that powers modern sports content, wagering, and media delivery.
CEO Mr. Mark Adrian Locke · 2,000 employees · United Kingdom · https://www.geniussports.com
