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GENI Stock Forecast: Genius Sports Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 10 Sept 2026
$6.72
−4.41% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — +56.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 23 of 100 as at 9 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
23 / 100
Median analyst target
$11
Analysts covering
20
Revenue$195.5M+64.7% y/y
Operating income−$26.6M
Net income−$76.7M
Free cash flow−$105.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−9.4%
1M
−11.1%
YTD
−39.0%
1Y
−46.5%
From 52W high
−50.0%
From 52W low
+71.4%
$4
$13
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GENI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Genius Sports Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 9 Sept 2026
23 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
73
Volatility
61
Quality
47
Revisions
38
Size
36
Growth
36
Value
32
Issuance
25
Momentum
22

Accruals (73): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Momentum (22): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GENI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GENI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GENIHigh $20Median $11Low $6

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says20 analysts
17 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $6Median $11High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +56.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$11 → $12
7 Aug 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$10 → $12
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$10 → $12
7 Aug 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$10 → $12
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoDowngradeEqual-Weight$8.00
6 Aug 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$9.00 → $10
31 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$9.00 → $10
22 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold—
22 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold$5.00 → $7.00
20 July 2026Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatesBuy$9.00
20 July 2026Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatesBuy—
20 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
20 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$9.00 → $8.00
8 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$9.00 → $8.00
8 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$14 → $10
7 May 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$10 → $9.00
7 May 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
21 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GENI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GENI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 10 Sept 2026, Genius Sports Ltd. returned −46.5% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GENI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GENIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GENI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+19.2%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−15.3×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.3×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / book
2.6×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−35.0×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
64.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
64.7%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Gross margin
32.6%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Operating margin
−12.4%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Net margin
−23.0%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−25.9%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Return on assets
−4.6%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Genius Sports Ltd. has a market value of $1.8B and an enterprise value of $2.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $790.2M. The latest quarter grew 64.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$181.6M, a −23.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.68.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$116.8M, after $57.4M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 267.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: −15.3×; forward P/E: 6.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Genius Sports Ltd. employs 2,000 people — $395K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 11 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GENI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInternet Content & Information
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GENIGenius Sports Ltd.$1.8B
23
STUBStubhub Holdings, Inc.$2.2B
31
DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp.$2.4B
11
WBTNWEBTOON Entertainment, Inc.$1.4B
37
PPLIPeople, Inc.$2.8B
75
CARGCargurus, Inc.$2.9B
99
YELPYelp, Inc.$1.1B
74

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Genius Sports Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GENI news & analysis

Genius Sports and Equativ Bring Live Sports Moment Targeting to StackAdapt

Business Wire · 10 Sept 2026positive

Genius Sports announced a new partnership with Equativ and StackAdapt that allows advertisers and agencies to programmatically reach sports fans with creative that responds in real time to what is happening on the field. This moves beyond fixed scheduling by tailoring ads to live game moments.

Why it matters — The partnership extends Genius Sports' real-time sports data and technology into the programmatic advertising ecosystem, expanding its commercial reach among advertisers and agencies.

Genius Sports and TelevisaUnivision to Launch New Era of Immersive Liga MX Broadcasts

Business Wire · 9 Sept 2026positive

Genius Sports and TelevisaUnivision announced a partnership to enhance live broadcasts of Liga MX for the first time with visual augmentations, in-game data and new sponsorship inventory. The AI-powered capability will give fans real-time insights into in-game outcomes, player milestones and win probabilities within live broadcasts.

Why it matters — A GENI watcher would note this as a new commercial deployment of the company's real-time data and AI technology in a major soccer broadcast, adding a fresh sponsorship-inventory revenue avenue through a leading Spanish-language media partner.

Genius Sports Research Reveals the New Playbook for Multiscreen Sports Advertising

Business Wire · 31 Aug 2026positive

Genius Sports released new research titled "The Companion Screen: A New Era of Sports Consumption and Advertising," examining how the relationship between television and mobile is reshaping sports advertising. The report highlights that marketers have traditionally treated TV and mobile as separate environments, but sports fans do not experience them that way.

Why it matters — The research positions Genius Sports as a thought leader in multiscreen sports advertising, potentially strengthening its relevance and credibility with advertisers and partners.

Here's Why You Should Buy Genius Sports Despite Rising Leverage

Seeking Alpha · 31 Aug 2026positive

Genius Sports reported a second strong quarter, beating its own estimates for revenue and adjusted EBITDA, with revenue and EBITDA growing consistently. Management guided revenue to around $1.005–$1.025 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $285–$295 million, though the balance sheet is now leveraged due to the Legend buy-out.

Why it matters — A GENI watcher would care because the company continues to beat its own financial estimates and issue growth guidance, while investors should note the increased balance-sheet leverage resulting from the Legend acquisition.

Genius Sports Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

Genius Sports reported second-quarter revenue of $196 million, up 65% from a year earlier and above its prior outlook. Growth in betting and media was bolstered by the May 1 addition of Legend.

Why it matters — The revenue exceeded guidance and showed strong year-over-year growth, indicating momentum in the betting and media segment partly driven by the new Legend addition.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GENI stock

What is the GENI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $6 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GENI stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd., 17 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 23 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 9 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GENI?

As at 9 Sept 2026, Genius Sports Ltd. ranks 23 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (73 of 100).

Will GENI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +56.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 23 out of 100 as at 9 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GENI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Genius Sports Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GENI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has GENI stock performed over the past year?

Genius Sports Ltd. returned -46.5% over the 12 months to 10 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Genius Sports Ltd. do?

Genius Sports Limited is a sports technology company that provides official data, software, and broadcast solutions for the global sports, betting, and media industries. Genius Sports helps leagues, teams, sportsbooks, broadcasters, and advertisers capture, analyze, and distribute live sports information through products for data collection, streaming, integrity monitoring, odds feeds, and fan engagement.

What is the latest news on GENI?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 10 Sept 2026): "Genius Sports and Equativ Bring Live Sports Moment Targeting to StackAdapt". Genius Sports announced a new partnership with Equativ and StackAdapt that allows advertisers and agencies to programmatically reach sports fans with creative that responds in real time to what is happening on the field. This moves beyond fixed scheduling by tailoring ads to live game moments.

Company

About Genius Sports Ltd.

Genius Sports Limited is a sports technology company that provides official data, software, and broadcast solutions for the global sports, betting, and media industries. Genius Sports helps leagues, teams, sportsbooks, broadcasters, and advertisers capture, analyze, and distribute live sports information through products for data collection, streaming, integrity monitoring, odds feeds, and fan engagement. Its platform supports real-time event data, interactive viewing experiences, digital advertising, and tools designed to protect the integrity of competitions. The company serves major sports organizations across multiple regions and operates as a technology partner that connects rights holders, commercial operators, and fans through data-driven services. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in London, Genius Sports Limited plays a central role in the infrastructure that powers modern sports content, wagering, and media delivery.

CEO Mr. Mark Adrian Locke · 2,000 employees · United Kingdom · https://www.geniussports.com