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GENI Stock Forecast: Genius Sports Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$6.02
+5.99% on the day

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — +74.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 20 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
20 / 100
Median analyst target
$11
Analysts covering
21
Revenue$195.5M+64.7% y/y
Operating income−$26.6M
Net income−$76.7M
Free cash flow−$105.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.5%
1M
−18.9%
YTD
−45.4%
1Y
−49.6%
From 52W high
−50.8%
From 52W low
+53.6%
$4
$12
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GENI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Genius Sports Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Oct 2026
20 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
73
Quality
46
Size
38
Revisions
37
Growth
35
Value
33
Volatility
31
Issuance
25
Momentum
22

Accruals (73): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Momentum (22): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GENI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GENI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GENIHigh $20Median $11Low $6

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says21 analysts
18 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $6Median $11High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +74.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
25 Sept 2026JP MorganInitiatesOverweight$8.00
7 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$11 → $12
7 Aug 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform$10 → $12
7 Aug 2026MacquarieMaintainsOutperform—
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$10 → $12
7 Aug 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$10 → $12
7 Aug 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoDowngradeEqual-Weight—
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoDowngradeEqual-Weight$8.00
6 Aug 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$9.00 → $10
31 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$9.00 → $10
31 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
22 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold$5.00 → $7.00
22 July 2026StifelMaintainsHold—
20 July 2026Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatesBuy$9.00
20 July 2026Freedom Capital MarketsInitiatesBuy—
20 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$9.00 → $8.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GENI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GENI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Genius Sports Ltd. returned −49.6% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GENI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GENIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GENI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+19.2%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−13.7×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.0×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / book
2.4×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−32.3×

Cheaper than 92% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
64.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
64.7%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Gross margin
32.6%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Operating margin
−12.4%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Net margin
−23.0%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−25.9%

Higher than 29% of US stocks

Return on assets
−4.6%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Genius Sports Ltd. (GENI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Genius Sports Ltd. has a market value of $1.6B and an enterprise value of $2.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $790.2M. The latest quarter grew 64.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$181.6M, a −23.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.68.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$116.8M, after $57.4M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 267.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: −13.7×; forward P/E: 5.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Genius Sports Ltd. employs 2,000 people — $395K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GENI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInternet Content & Information
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GENIGenius Sports Ltd.$1.6B
20
WBTNWEBTOON Entertainment, Inc.$1.4B
35
STUBStubhub Holdings, Inc.$2.0B
32
DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp.$2.5B
10
CARGCargurus, Inc.$2.7B
99
YELPYelp, Inc.$1.0B
71
UPWKUpwork, Inc.$994.3M
66

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Genius Sports Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GENI news & analysis

JPMorgan Bets on Genius Sports as the Market Loses Patience

MarketBeat · 1 Oct 2026positive

The article reports that JPMorgan is expressing confidence in Genius Sports as the market shows growing impatience with the company. It cites Grand View Research data projecting global sports betting market growth from $123.4 billion in 2026 to $236 billion by 2033, a compound annual growth rate of 9.7%.

Why it matters — A watcher of GENI would care because a major bank's endorsement comes alongside long-term growth projections for the sports betting market, in which Genius Sports operates.

Genius Sports Notes Limited Impact from Brazil's New Betting Regulations and Reaffirms 2026 Guidance

Business Wire · 28 Sept 2026neutral

Genius Sports responded to Brazil's September 25, 2026 Provisional Measure banning fixed-odds betting and online gaming, noting that it accrues minimal betting revenue from Brazil due to the structure of its commercial agreements and expects no material financial impact. The company also reaffirmed its 2026 guidance.

Why it matters — GENI watchers would care because it confirms that the Brazilian regulatory change is not expected to materially affect the company's finances and that its 2026 outlook remains unchanged.

Why Genius Sports Shares Jumped Today

The Motley Fool · 25 Sept 2026positive

Genius Sports Ltd shares rose on a day when the company, which supplies statistical information to the sports entertainment industry, was also noted for consistently producing margin-improving revenue growth.

Why it matters — A share-price jump combined with momentum in margin-improving revenue growth signals ongoing positive operational trajectory for GENI watchers.

Genius Sports Schedules 2026 Annual General Meeting on December 8, 2026

Business Wire · 23 Sept 2026neutral

Genius Sports Limited announced that it will hold its 2026 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on December 8, 2026. Further details, including the date and location, will be provided in the notice of meeting and related proxy materials in due course.

Why it matters — A GENI watcher would note the scheduled annual meeting date as a routine corporate governance milestone, with relevant details expected in upcoming proxy materials.

Genius Sports Launches Prediction.com, The Premium Prediction Market Platform for Comparing Probabilities, Event Contracts and Insights

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026positive

Genius Sports Limited announced the launch of Prediction.com, a new consumer platform that allows users to discover prediction markets, compare equivalent event contracts across multiple platforms, and follow how market probabilities change as events unfold.

Why it matters — This expands Genius Sports into a new consumer-facing prediction market platform, broadening its product offerings beyond its core sports data and technology business.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GENI stock

What is the GENI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $6 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GENI stock a buy right now?

Of the 21 analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd., 18 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 20 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GENI?

As at 3 Oct 2026, Genius Sports Ltd. ranks 20 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (73 of 100).

Will GENI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +74.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 20 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GENI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Genius Sports Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GENI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has GENI stock performed over the past year?

Genius Sports Ltd. returned -49.6% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Genius Sports Ltd. do?

Genius Sports Limited is a sports technology company that provides official data, software, and broadcast solutions for the global sports, betting, and media industries. Genius Sports helps leagues, teams, sportsbooks, broadcasters, and advertisers capture, analyze, and distribute live sports information through products for data collection, streaming, integrity monitoring, odds feeds, and fan engagement.

What is the latest news on GENI?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 1 Oct 2026): "JPMorgan Bets on Genius Sports as the Market Loses Patience". The article reports that JPMorgan is expressing confidence in Genius Sports as the market shows growing impatience with the company. It cites Grand View Research data projecting global sports betting market growth from $123.4 billion in 2026 to $236 billion by 2033, a compound annual growth rate of 9.7%.

Company

About Genius Sports Ltd.

Genius Sports Limited is a sports technology company that provides official data, software, and broadcast solutions for the global sports, betting, and media industries. Genius Sports helps leagues, teams, sportsbooks, broadcasters, and advertisers capture, analyze, and distribute live sports information through products for data collection, streaming, integrity monitoring, odds feeds, and fan engagement. Its platform supports real-time event data, interactive viewing experiences, digital advertising, and tools designed to protect the integrity of competitions. The company serves major sports organizations across multiple regions and operates as a technology partner that connects rights holders, commercial operators, and fans through data-driven services. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in London, Genius Sports Limited plays a central role in the infrastructure that powers modern sports content, wagering, and media delivery.

CEO Mr. Mark Adrian Locke · 2,000 employees · United Kingdom · https://www.geniussports.com