GENICommunication Services · Internet Content & InformationThe 21 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +59.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 2 of 100 as at 13 Nov 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Genius Sports Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (40): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Issuance (2): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GENI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +59.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $12 → $13 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $12 → $10 |
| 5 Nov 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | $10 → $8.00 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $8.50 → $7.00 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | $12 → $11 |
| 25 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 25 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Overweight | $8.00 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $11 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | $10 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | $10 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $10 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $8.00 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | $9.00 → $10 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
GENI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL
AI chips
NVDAAVGOAMDMU
AI networking and servers
ANETDELLLITECRDO
Data centre power
VRTCEGGEVVST
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 13 Nov 2026, Genius Sports Ltd. returned −36.5% against +13.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 95% of US stocks
Cheaper than 52% of US stocks
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Cheaper than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Genius Sports Ltd. has a market value of $1.7B and an enterprise value of $2.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $790.2M. The latest quarter grew 62.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$181.6M, a −23.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: −$0.68.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$116.8M, after $57.4M of capital spending.
Trailing P/E: −14.5×; forward P/E: 6.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Genius Sports Ltd. employs 2,000 people — $395K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Genius Sports Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Genius Sports reported third-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings above guidance, raised its full-year outlook, and said its Legend acquisition was contributing to growth amid intensifying competition for prediction market customers.
Why it matters — The update highlights GENI’s latest results, outlook revision, and the role of Legend as competition for prediction market customers increases.
Genius Sports held its Q3 2026 earnings call on November 5, 2026, with CEO Mark Locke and CFO Bryan Castellani participating. The excerpt lists the conference-call participants but provides no discussion of results or business developments.
Why it matters — The transcript is a source for GENI's quarterly call, but the supplied excerpt does not include substantive information about the quarter.
Genius Sports reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 results, citing $54 million in free cash flow, 61% free cash flow conversion, and a 32% group adjusted EBITDA margin. The headline says the company beat third-quarter guidance and raised its full-year outlook.
Why it matters — The reported results and raised outlook provide GENI watchers with updates on quarterly performance, cash generation, and the company’s expectations for the full year.
Genius Sports announced an expansion of its partnership with the Argentine Football Association to introduce semi-automated offside technology across Argentina’s top-flight Liga Profesional de Fútbol.
Why it matters — The agreement adds a technology deployment in a major football competition to Genius Sports’ partnership with the AFA.
Genius Sports said it will release its third-quarter 2026 results before 8:00 a.m. ET on November 5, 2026, and hold a conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET that day to discuss them.
Why it matters — GENI watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company's quarterly results and discussion.
The 21 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $6 to $15. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 21 analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd., 18 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 2 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Nov 2026, Genius Sports Ltd. ranks 2 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (40 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 21 analysts implies +59.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 2 out of 100 as at 13 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Genius Sports Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GENI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $15 over the next 12 months.
Genius Sports Ltd. returned -36.5% over the 12 months to 13 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Genius Sports Limited is a sports technology company that provides official data, software, and broadcast solutions for the global sports, betting, and media industries. Genius Sports helps leagues, teams, sportsbooks, broadcasters, and advertisers capture, analyze, and distribute live sports information through products for data collection, streaming, integrity monitoring, odds feeds, and fan engagement.
The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 7 Nov 2026): "Genius Sports Q3 Earnings Call Highlights". Genius Sports reported third-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings above guidance, raised its full-year outlook, and said its Legend acquisition was contributing to growth amid intensifying competition for prediction market customers.
Genius Sports Limited is a sports technology company that provides official data, software, and broadcast solutions for the global sports, betting, and media industries. Genius Sports helps leagues, teams, sportsbooks, broadcasters, and advertisers capture, analyze, and distribute live sports information through products for data collection, streaming, integrity monitoring, odds feeds, and fan engagement. Its platform supports real-time event data, interactive viewing experiences, digital advertising, and tools designed to protect the integrity of competitions. The company serves major sports organizations across multiple regions and operates as a technology partner that connects rights holders, commercial operators, and fans through data-driven services. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in London, Genius Sports Limited plays a central role in the infrastructure that powers modern sports content, wagering, and media delivery.
CEO Mr. Mark Adrian Locke · 2,000 employees · United Kingdom · https://www.geniussports.com
