GENICommunication Services · Internet Content & InformationThe 20 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — +25.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 20 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Genius Sports Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (72): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Momentum (23): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GENI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 7 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $11 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | $10 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | $10 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $10 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | $8.00 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | $9.00 → $10 |
| 31 July 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $9.00 → $10 |
| 22 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 22 July 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Hold | $5.00 → $7.00 |
| 20 July 2026 | Freedom Capital Markets | Initiates | Buy | $9.00 |
| 20 July 2026 | Freedom Capital Markets | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 20 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 20 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $9.00 → $8.00 |
| 8 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $9.00 → $8.00 |
| 8 May 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 May 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | $14 → $10 |
| 7 May 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | $10 → $9.00 |
| 7 May 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GENI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 96% of US stocks
Cheaper than 43% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Cheaper than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 24% of US stocks
Higher than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 29% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Genius Sports Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Genius Sports reported second-quarter revenue of $196 million, up 65% from a year earlier and above its prior outlook. Growth in betting and media was bolstered by the May 1 addition of Legend.
Why it matters — The revenue exceeded guidance and showed strong year-over-year growth, indicating momentum in the betting and media segment partly driven by the new Legend addition.
Genius Sports shares rose by almost 10% this week after the company delivered a convincing beat on revenue and raised its guidance. The company is operating amid growing popularity for legalized sports wagering and prediction markets.
Why it matters — The revenue beat and guidance raise suggest strong current momentum for Genius Sports amid expanding legal sports wagering and prediction-market demand.
Genius Sports Limited held its Q2 2026 earnings call, the transcript of which was published on Seeking Alpha. The call covered the company's second-quarter 2026 financial results and business update.
Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides GENI watchers with direct insight into the company's latest quarterly performance and strategic commentary from management.
Genius Sports reported overall revenue rose 65% in the second quarter. The company is expanding beyond supplying data to sportsbooks, with CEO Mark Locke saying it now uses the information to help advertisers adjust campaigns based on events during a game.
Why it matters — The result and commentary signal Genius Sports is broadening its business beyond sportsbook data into real-time advertising, a new growth area for GENI watchers to track.
Genius Sports Limited reported a second-quarter loss of $0.28 per share, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.13 loss and versus a $0.21 per-share loss in the same period a year ago. Revenue topped estimates.
Why it matters — GENI watchers would note that the quarterly loss came in well above the consensus estimate and worsened year over year, despite revenue exceeding expectations.
The 20 Wall Street analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $6 to $18. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 20 analysts covering Genius Sports Ltd., 17 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 20 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 15 Aug 2026, Genius Sports Ltd. ranks 20 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (72 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +25.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Genius Sports Ltd. 20 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Genius Sports Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GENI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $18 over the next 12 months.
Genius Sports Ltd. returned -35.1% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Genius Sports Ltd. is a leading sports technology company that develops and provides scalable, technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries.
The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 8 Aug 2026): "Genius Sports Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Genius Sports reported second-quarter revenue of $196 million, up 65% from a year earlier and above its prior outlook. Growth in betting and media was bolstered by the May 1 addition of Legend.
Genius Sports Ltd. is a leading sports technology company that develops and provides scalable, technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries. It serves as the official data, technology, and broadcast partner powering the global sports ecosystem, connecting live events on the field to fans worldwide through advanced infrastructure. Key offerings include live sports data collection, integration, and distribution for leagues; streaming solutions for commercializing video footage; end-to-end integrity services with monitoring technology to detect suspicious betting; pre-game and in-game odds feeds; risk management tools; and immersive betting experiences like BetVision, which integrates live streams, stats, and betslips. The company also delivers performance analytics, semi-automated officiating tools such as automated offsides systems, AI-powered augmented broadcasts, and fan engagement platforms like FANHub for personalized marketing and gamification. Underpinned by its GeniusIQ big data and AI platform, Genius Sports Ltd. partners with major leagues including the NFL, Premier League, NBA, and others, as well as sportsbooks, brands, and broadcasters to enhance performance, fan experiences, and betting operations. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in London, United Kingdom, it operates as the essential layer in modern sports entertainment.
CEO Mr. Mark Adrian Locke · 2,000 employees · United Kingdom · https://www.geniussports.com