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GFL Stock Forecast: GFL Environmental, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$42
+0.60% on the day

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering GFL Environmental, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $52 — +25.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 47 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$15.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
47 / 100
Median analyst target
$52
Analysts covering
20
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.4%
1M
+8.4%
YTD
−2.4%
1Y
−16.5%
From 52W high
−17.8%
From 52W low
+25.0%
$34
$51
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GFL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores GFL Environmental, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
47 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
72
Accruals
69
Quality
66
Revisions
65
Value
59
Growth
57
Issuance
41
Momentum
20
Size
12

Volatility (72): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (20): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GFL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GFL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GFLHigh $66Median $52Low $41

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says20 analysts
15 Buy3 Hold2 Sell
Low $41Median $52High $66

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +25.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform$52 → $56
16 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
16 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight$40 → $41
6 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight$42 → $40
6 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsUnderweight—
4 May 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
15 Apr 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
14 Apr 2026JP MorganDowngradeUnderweight—
10 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
12 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
12 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
12 Feb 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
21 Jan 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
16 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
14 Jan 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
24 Nov 2025Goldman SachsInitiatesNeutral—
10 Nov 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
7 Nov 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
16 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
25 Sept 2025William BlairInitiatesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GFL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

GFL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−10.3%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

GFL Environmental, Inc. (GFL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
108.3×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.2×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / book
2.9×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.1×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.3%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
16.3%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Gross margin
19.8%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.9%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Net margin
−2.9%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−2.3%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.3%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.2%

Higher than 3% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

GFL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelWaste Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GFLGFL Environmental, Inc.$15.1B
47
CLHClean Harbors, Inc.$17.2B
92
CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.$5.8B
41
WCNWaste Connections, Inc.$42.6B
72
RSGRepublic Services, Inc.$66.5B
66
WMWaste Management, Inc.$90.5B
82
CSLCarlisle Cos., Inc.*$15.1B
58

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few waste management companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own GFL Environmental, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GFL news & analysis

Alger Mid Cap Growth Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Update

Seeking Alpha · 4 Aug 2026negative

The Alger Mid Cap Growth Fund reported that its Class A shares outperformed the Russell Midcap Growth Index in Q2 2026. GFL Environmental Inc. was named among the top detractors from the fund's performance during the quarter, alongside Celsius Holdings and QXO, Inc.

Why it matters — GFL was specifically cited as a top detractor in a fund's quarterly performance review, signalling that its stock lagged during the period.

GFL Environmental Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 July 2026positive

GFL Environmental raised its full-year 2026 outlook for the second time after reporting second-quarter results that exceeded expectations, driven by pricing gains, acquisitions, and operating efficiencies.

Why it matters — The second consecutive outlook raise signals stronger-than-anticipated operational momentum despite headwinds from softer construction volumes and higher diesel costs.

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL:CA) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026neutral

GFL Environmental Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the transcript of that call.

Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide investors and analysts with the full details of management's discussion on quarterly performance and outlook.

GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 July 2026negative

GFL Environmental Inc. reported Q2 earnings of $0.14 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.17 and down from $0.19 per share in the same quarter last year.

Why it matters — The earnings miss and year-over-year decline signal weaker-than-expected quarterly performance for GFL.

GFL Environmental Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results and Raises Full Year 2026 Guidance

PRNewsWire · 29 July 2026positive

GFL Environmental reported second quarter 2026 results with revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted free cash flow all ahead of expectations, and raised full-year 2026 guidance for the second time this year.

Why it matters — GFL watchers would care because the company exceeded its own financial expectations, delivered margin expansion, and raised its full-year outlook—signaling stronger-than-anticipated operational performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GFL stock

What is the GFL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 20 Wall Street analysts covering GFL Environmental, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $52, with estimates ranging from $41 to $66. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GFL stock a buy right now?

Of the 20 analysts covering GFL Environmental, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks GFL Environmental, Inc. 47 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GFL?

As at 15 Aug 2026, GFL Environmental, Inc. ranks 47 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (72 of 100).

Will GFL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 20 analysts implies +25.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks GFL Environmental, Inc. 47 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GFL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering GFL Environmental, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GFL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $41 to $66 over the next 12 months.

How has GFL stock performed over the past year?

GFL Environmental, Inc. returned -16.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does GFL Environmental, Inc. do?

GFL Environmental Inc. is a leading diversified environmental services company in North America.

What is the latest news on GFL?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 4 Aug 2026): "Alger Mid Cap Growth Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Update". The Alger Mid Cap Growth Fund reported that its Class A shares outperformed the Russell Midcap Growth Index in Q2 2026. GFL Environmental Inc. was named among the top detractors from the fund's performance during the quarter, alongside Celsius Holdings and QXO, Inc.

Company

About GFL Environmental, Inc.

GFL Environmental Inc. is a leading diversified environmental services company in North America. It primarily focuses on providing comprehensive waste management solutions, including collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal services. The company's operations extend across various sectors such as solid waste management, infrastructure, soil remediation, and liquid waste services. With an emphasis on sustainability, GFL Environmental Inc. plays a crucial role in advancing green practices and environmental stewardship. Its extensive network of facilities and broad portfolio of services enable the company to cater to municipalities, industrial clients, and commercial entities. Founded in 2007, GFL has rapidly grown into a significant player in the waste management industry, highlighting its commitment to technological innovation and strategic acquisitions. Headquartered in Vaughan, Ontario, GFL Environmental Inc.'s influence is pivotal in promoting efficient waste management solutions that aim to reduce ecological footprints and foster a cleaner, healthier environment.

CEO Mr. Patrick Dovigi · 15,500 employees · United States · https://gflenv.com