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WCN Stock Forecast: Waste Connections, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 6 Oct 2026
$155
+0.21% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Waste Connections, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $203 — +31.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 70 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$38.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
70 / 100
Median analyst target
$203
Analysts covering
28
Revenue$2.6B+6.4% y/y
Operating income$496.0M
Net income$296.4M
Free cash flow$379.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.6%
1M
−6.2%
YTD
−11.3%
1Y
−10.6%
From 52W high
−12.8%
From 52W low
+4.0%
$149
$177
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

WCN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Waste Connections, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
70 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
86
Revisions
82
Value
76
Quality
75
Accruals
65
Growth
56
Issuance
51
Momentum
38
Size
6

Volatility (86): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (38): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

WCN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WCN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26WCNHigh $220Median $203Low $162

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says28 analysts
25 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $162Median $203High $220

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +31.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Sept 2026UBSUpgradeBuy$176 → $200
15 Sept 2026Wolfe ResearchAssumesOutperform$204
4 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$170 → $176
4 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
28 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
28 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$180 → $187
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$200 → $210
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$210 → $195
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$180 → $182
28 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
24 Apr 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
24 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
24 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
10 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
13 Mar 2026Wolfe ResearchInitiatesOutperform—
17 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
13 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WCN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

WCN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 6 Oct 2026, Waste Connections, Inc. returned −10.6% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

WCN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
859095100105110115120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26WCNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

WCN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.5%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
37.2×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
4.9×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.5×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.4%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
2.1%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Gross margin
42.3%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.7%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
10.9%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.0%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.5%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 69% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Waste Connections, Inc. has a market value of $38.8B and an enterprise value of $48.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $9.8B. The latest quarter grew 6.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 10.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.15.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B, after $1.3B of capital spending.

  • Waste Connections, Inc. spent $1.1B on share buybacks and $348.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 252.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 37.2×; forward P/E: 24.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.91%, paying out 33% of earnings.

  • Waste Connections, Inc. employs 24,214 people — $403K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

WCN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelWaste Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
WCNWaste Connections, Inc.$38.8B
70
RSGRepublic Services, Inc.$66.5B
68
WMWaste Management, Inc.$83.7B
84
GFLGFL Environmental, Inc.$18.5B
54
CLHClean Harbors, Inc.$17.0B
92
CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.$5.2B
42
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.*$37.1B
83

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few waste management companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Waste Connections, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest WCN news & analysis

Here's Why Waste Connections (WCN) is Poised for a Turnaround After Losing 6.2% in 4 Weeks

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026positive

Waste Connections (WCN) is described as technically oversold after losing 6.2% over four weeks, with heavy selling pressure seen as exhausted. This, combined with Wall Street analysts broadly revising earnings estimates upward, points to a possible near-term trend reversal for the stock.

Why it matters — A WCN watcher would note that oversold conditions and rising analyst earnings estimates could signal a shift in the stock's recent downward momentum.

Waste Connections Announces Dates for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release

Business Wire · 30 Sept 2026neutral

Waste Connections announced it will report its third quarter 2026 financial results after the stock market close on October 21, 2026, and will host an investor conference call on October 22, 2026 at 8:30 A.M. Eastern Time. A live audio webcast of the call will be available on the company's investor website.

Why it matters — This announcement provides shareholders and analysts with the schedule for the company's next quarterly earnings report and investor call.

Here's Why Investors Must Hold WCN Stock in Their Portfolios Now

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks reports that Waste Connections' shares have fallen 10.7% over the past year, but solid second-quarter growth, a raised 2026 outlook, and acquisitions are cited as supporting factors despite cost and volume pressures.

Why it matters — A WCN watcher would care because the piece highlights both headwinds (cost and volume pressures, share decline) and offsets (Q2 growth, raised outlook, acquisitions) shaping the company's current prospects.

WCN Shares Rise 8.6% in 3 Months: Here's What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026positive

Waste Connections (WCN) shares rose 8.6% over three months, according to Zacks Investment Research. The gain was supported by market tailwinds, acquisitions, and strong cash generation that contributed to the company's growth momentum.

Why it matters — This report highlights recent stock appreciation and the factors supporting Waste Connections' growth, which is relevant for investors tracking the company's performance.

Insider Transaction: Waste Connections Senior VP Sells 1,750 Shares for $290,500

The Motley Fool · 24 Aug 2026negative

Waste Connections' Senior Vice President sold 1,750 shares at $166 per share, for a total of $290,500. The sale follows a slight slump in the company's stock price so far in 2026.

Why it matters — A senior insider's share sale is often watched by investors as a signal of sentiment toward the company's stock.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about WCN stock

What is the WCN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Waste Connections, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $203, with estimates ranging from $162 to $220. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is WCN stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Waste Connections, Inc., 25 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Waste Connections, Inc. 70 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank WCN?

As at 6 Oct 2026, Waste Connections, Inc. ranks 70 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (86 of 100).

Will WCN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +31.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Waste Connections, Inc. 70 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the WCN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Waste Connections, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WCN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $162 to $220 over the next 12 months.

How has WCN stock performed over the past year?

Waste Connections, Inc. returned -10.6% over the 12 months to 6 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Waste Connections, Inc. do?

Waste Connections, Inc. is a North American integrated solid waste services company that provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and resource recovery solutions.

What is the latest news on WCN?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 1 Oct 2026): "Here's Why Waste Connections (WCN) is Poised for a Turnaround After Losing 6.2% in 4 Weeks". Waste Connections (WCN) is described as technically oversold after losing 6.2% over four weeks, with heavy selling pressure seen as exhausted. This, combined with Wall Street analysts broadly revising earnings estimates upward, points to a possible near-term trend reversal for the stock.

Company

About Waste Connections, Inc.

Waste Connections, Inc. is a North American integrated solid waste services company that provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and resource recovery solutions. Waste Connections serves residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and energy-related customers across the United States and Canada. Its services include curbside and commercial collection, landfill disposal, transfer station operations, recycling programs, dumpster rentals, and specialized oilfield waste treatment and disposal. The company also supports intermodal rail services for moving cargo and solid waste containers in select markets. Waste Connections operates through a broad network of collection routes, transfer facilities, landfills, and recycling operations, making it an important provider of essential waste management infrastructure in local and secondary markets.

CEO Mr. Ronald J. Mittelstaedt · 24,214 employees · Canada · https://www.wasteconnections.com