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WCN Stock Forecast: Waste Connections, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$155
−0.81% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Waste Connections, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $203 — +30.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$39.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
71 / 100
Median analyst target
$203
Analysts covering
28
Revenue$2.6B+6.4% y/y
Operating income$496.0M
Net income$296.4M
Free cash flow$379.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.6%
1M
−5.9%
YTD
−10.9%
1Y
−9.9%
From 52W high
−12.5%
From 52W low
+4.4%
$149
$177
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

WCN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Waste Connections, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Sept 2026
71 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
88
Volatility
85
Value
76
Quality
75
Accruals
65
Growth
56
Issuance
51
Momentum
34
Size
6

Revisions (88): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Momentum (34): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

WCN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WCN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26WCNHigh $220Median $203Low $162

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says28 analysts
24 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $162Median $203High $220

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +30.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Sept 2026Wolfe ResearchAssumesOutperform$204
4 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$170 → $176
28 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$180 → $187
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$200 → $210
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$210 → $195
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$180 → $182
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
28 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
24 Apr 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
24 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
24 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
10 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
13 Mar 2026Wolfe ResearchInitiatesOutperform—
17 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
13 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Feb 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
13 Feb 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
13 Feb 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WCN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

WCN vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, Waste Connections, Inc. returned −9.9% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

WCN vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26WCNS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

WCN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.6%
Analysts raising
25
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
37.7×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
5.0×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.9×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.4%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
2.1%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Gross margin
42.3%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.7%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
10.9%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.0%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.5%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 19% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Waste Connections, Inc. has a market value of $39.4B and an enterprise value of $49.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $9.8B. The latest quarter grew 6.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 10.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $4.15.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B, after $1.3B of capital spending.

  • Waste Connections, Inc. spent $1.1B on share buybacks and $348.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 252.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 37.7×; forward P/E: 25.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.89%, paying out 33% of earnings.

  • Waste Connections, Inc. employs 24,214 people — $403K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 16 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

WCN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelWaste Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
WCNWaste Connections, Inc.$39.4B
71
RSGRepublic Services, Inc.$67.8B
68
GFLGFL Environmental, Inc.$18.9B
53
WMWaste Management, Inc.$85.9B
82
CLHClean Harbors, Inc.$16.9B
91
CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.$5.6B
42
RKLBRocket Lab Corp.*$40.6B
35

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few waste management companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Waste Connections, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest WCN news & analysis

WCN Shares Rise 8.6% in 3 Months: Here's What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026positive

Waste Connections (WCN) shares rose 8.6% over three months, according to Zacks Investment Research. The gain was supported by market tailwinds, acquisitions, and strong cash generation that contributed to the company's growth momentum.

Why it matters — This report highlights recent stock appreciation and the factors supporting Waste Connections' growth, which is relevant for investors tracking the company's performance.

Insider Transaction: Waste Connections Senior VP Sells 1,750 Shares for $290,500

The Motley Fool · 24 Aug 2026negative

Waste Connections' Senior Vice President sold 1,750 shares at $166 per share, for a total of $290,500. The sale follows a slight slump in the company's stock price so far in 2026.

Why it matters — A senior insider's share sale is often watched by investors as a signal of sentiment toward the company's stock.

Why Is Waste Connections (WCN) Up 0.2% Since Last Earnings Report?

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Aug 2026neutral

Waste Connections (WCN) reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 0.2% since that report. The article examines what may come next for the company's shares.

Why it matters — WCN watchers would care because the piece assesses the company's post-earnings stock movement and outlook following its latest quarterly report.

Here's Why Investors Must Hold WCN Stock in Their Portfolios Now

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that Waste Connections (WCN) is supported by market expansion, acquisitions, and steady dividends, which continue to back its growth even as it faces rising liquidity and regulatory pressures. The piece advises investors to hold the stock in their portfolios.

Why it matters — WCN watchers would care because the item highlights the company's growth drivers and dividend support against ongoing liquidity and regulatory headwinds.

Waste Connections Renews Normal Course Issuer Bid for Share Repurchases

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Waste Connections, Inc. announced that it received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange for the annual renewal of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB), which will take effect following the conclusion of its current NCIB expiring August 11, 2026. Under the renewed NCIB, the company proposes to purchase shares through the TSX and the New York Stock Exchange.

Why it matters — This renewal signals the company will continue its planned share-repurchase program beyond the current bid's expiry, which is relevant to existing and potential WCN shareholders.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about WCN stock

What is the WCN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Waste Connections, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $203, with estimates ranging from $162 to $220. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is WCN stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Waste Connections, Inc., 24 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Waste Connections, Inc. 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank WCN?

As at 17 Sept 2026, Waste Connections, Inc. ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (88 of 100).

Will WCN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +30.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Waste Connections, Inc. 71 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the WCN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Waste Connections, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WCN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $162 to $220 over the next 12 months.

How has WCN stock performed over the past year?

Waste Connections, Inc. returned -9.9% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Waste Connections, Inc. do?

Waste Connections, Inc. is a North American integrated solid waste services company that provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and resource recovery solutions.

What is the latest news on WCN?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 2 Sept 2026): "WCN Shares Rise 8.6% in 3 Months: Here's What You Should Know". Waste Connections (WCN) shares rose 8.6% over three months, according to Zacks Investment Research. The gain was supported by market tailwinds, acquisitions, and strong cash generation that contributed to the company's growth momentum.

Company

About Waste Connections, Inc.

Waste Connections, Inc. is a North American integrated solid waste services company that provides non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and resource recovery solutions. Waste Connections serves residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and energy-related customers across the United States and Canada. Its services include curbside and commercial collection, landfill disposal, transfer station operations, recycling programs, dumpster rentals, and specialized oilfield waste treatment and disposal. The company also supports intermodal rail services for moving cargo and solid waste containers in select markets. Waste Connections operates through a broad network of collection routes, transfer facilities, landfills, and recycling operations, making it an important provider of essential waste management infrastructure in local and secondary markets.

CEO Mr. Ronald J. Mittelstaedt · 24,214 employees · Canada · https://www.wasteconnections.com