TICKERNERD
Menu
WCNWCNIndustrials · Waste Management

WCN Stock Forecast: Waste Connections, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$166
+0.46% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Waste Connections, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $203 — +22.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 72 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$41.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
72 / 100
Median analyst target
$203
Analysts covering
28
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.3%
1M
−1.7%
YTD
−4.6%
1Y
−9.4%
From 52W high
−10.2%
From 52W low
+11.8%
$149
$185
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

WCN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Waste Connections, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
72 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
89
Volatility
82
Quality
76
Value
74
Accruals
65
Growth
55
Issuance
52
Momentum
39
Size
6

Revisions (89): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Momentum (39): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

WCN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WCN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$140$160$180$200$220Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26WCNHigh $220Median $203Low $162

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says28 analysts
24 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $162Median $203High $220

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +22.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$170 → $176
28 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$180 → $187
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$200 → $210
24 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
13 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$210 → $195
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$180 → $182
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
28 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
24 Apr 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
24 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
24 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
10 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
13 Mar 2026Wolfe ResearchInitiatesOutperform—
17 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
13 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
13 Feb 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Outperform—
13 Feb 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
13 Feb 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
23 Jan 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WCN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

WCN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+2.4%
Analysts raising
22
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
40.2×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.3×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
5.3×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.5×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
6.4%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
2.1%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Gross margin
42.3%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.7%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
10.9%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.0%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.5%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 19% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

WCN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelWaste Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
WCNWaste Connections, Inc.$41.8B
72
RSGRepublic Services, Inc.$66.5B
66
WMWaste Management, Inc.$90.5B
82
CLHClean Harbors, Inc.$17.2B
92
GFLGFL Environmental, Inc.$15.1B
47
CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.$5.8B
41
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.*$43.9B
85

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few waste management companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Waste Connections, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest WCN news & analysis

Waste Connections Renews Normal Course Issuer Bid for Share Repurchases

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Waste Connections, Inc. announced that it received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange for the annual renewal of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB), which will take effect following the conclusion of its current NCIB expiring August 11, 2026. Under the renewed NCIB, the company proposes to purchase shares through the TSX and the New York Stock Exchange.

Why it matters — This renewal signals the company will continue its planned share-repurchase program beyond the current bid's expiry, which is relevant to existing and potential WCN shareholders.

Waste Connections: Turning Moderate Growth Into Exceptional Shareholder Returns

Seeking Alpha · 28 July 2026positive

Seeking Alpha issued a Buy rating for Waste Connections, highlighting its ability to compound shareholder value through disciplined capital allocation and operational excellence. The article notes the company's differentiated focus on secondary and exclusive markets, with adjusted EBITDA margins improving from 31.5% to 33.0% from 2023 to 2025.

Why it matters — WCN watchers would care because the article underscores how the company's operating model in secondary and exclusive markets is driving margin expansion and free cash flow growth that outpaces its moderate revenue growth.

Waste Connections Announces Pricing of C$700 Million of Senior Notes

Business Wire · 27 July 2026neutral

Waste Connections announced the pricing of an offering of C$700 million in senior notes, including C$300 million of 4.200% Senior Notes due 2033 at 99.838% of face value, to be sold through an underwritten public offering in the U.S. and a private placement in Canada.

Why it matters — This debt financing provides Waste Connections with additional capital, and investors can assess the terms, including the 4.200% interest rate and pricing, against the company's existing debt profile.

Waste Connections Announces Senior Notes Offering

Business Wire · 27 July 2026neutral

Waste Connections announced a plan to offer two series of Canadian dollar-denominated senior notes due 2033 and 2036 in an underwritten public offering in the U.S. and a private placement in Canada.

Why it matters — The offering reflects the company's ongoing capital management strategy and may affect its debt profile and financing structure.

How Waste Connections Is Using AI to Expand Margins and Future Growth

Zacks Investment Research · 27 July 2026positive

Waste Connections is generating approximately $20 million in annualized EBITDA gains from AI-driven pricing and is also testing AI routing tools, with a broader goal of expanding margins.

Why it matters — Shareholders would care because the company's use of AI for pricing and routing could drive margin expansion and operational efficiency.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about WCN stock

What is the WCN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Waste Connections, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $203, with estimates ranging from $162 to $220. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is WCN stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Waste Connections, Inc., 24 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Waste Connections, Inc. 72 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank WCN?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Waste Connections, Inc. ranks 72 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (89 of 100).

Will WCN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +22.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Waste Connections, Inc. 72 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the WCN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Waste Connections, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WCN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $162 to $220 over the next 12 months.

How has WCN stock performed over the past year?

Waste Connections, Inc. returned -9.4% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Waste Connections, Inc. do?

Waste Connections Inc. is a leading North American waste management company specializing in non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services.

What is the latest news on WCN?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 7 Aug 2026): "Waste Connections Renews Normal Course Issuer Bid for Share Repurchases". Waste Connections, Inc. announced that it received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange for the annual renewal of its normal course issuer bid (NCIB), which will take effect following the conclusion of its current NCIB expiring August 11, 2026. Under the renewed NCIB, the company proposes to purchase shares through the TSX and the New York Stock Exchange.

Company

About Waste Connections, Inc.

Waste Connections Inc. is a leading North American waste management company specializing in non-hazardous waste collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services. It provides integrated solutions to a diverse customer base, including residential communities, commercial businesses, municipalities, and industrial sectors such as offices, multi-family apartments, construction and demolition sites, property management, retail, restaurants, and manufacturing. The company operates through six geographical segments: Western, Southern, Central, Eastern, Canada, and Midsouth, supported by an extensive network of landfills and transfer stations. Waste Connections Inc. emphasizes reliable collection services with a particular focus on both urban and rural areas, positioning it as a key player in the waste management industry. Founded in 1997 and headquartered in Woodbridge, Ontario, Canada, it delivers essential environmental services across the continent, contributing to sustainable waste handling practices for communities and businesses alike.

CEO Mr. Ronald J. Mittelstaedt · 23,854 employees · Canada · https://www.wasteconnections.com