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WM Stock Forecast: Waste Management, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Sept 2026
$208
+0.04% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Waste Management, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $263 — +26.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$83.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
83 / 100
Median analyst target
$263
Analysts covering
28
Revenue$6.7B+4.0% y/y
Operating income$1.3B
Net income$786.0M
Free cash flow$1.1B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.5%
1M
−7.8%
YTD
−4.1%
1Y
−3.6%
From 52W high
−14.6%
From 52W low
+7.4%
$194
$243
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

WM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Waste Management, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Sept 2026
83 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
97
Value
89
Quality
89
Issuance
89
Accruals
74
Revisions
57
Growth
52
Momentum
50
Size
3

Volatility (97): The share price has been relatively steady.

Momentum (50): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

WM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$180$200$220$240$260$280Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26WMHigh $277Median $263Low $220

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says28 analysts
19 Buy9 Hold0 Sell
Low $220Median $263High $277

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +26.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Sept 2026Wolfe ResearchAssumesPeer Perform—
4 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
4 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$265 → $270
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
30 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$270 → $277
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$240 → $244
30 July 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
30 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$252 → $261
16 July 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform$250 → $260
16 July 2026ScotiabankMaintainsSector Perform—
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
10 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$263 → $269
8 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026CIBCUpgradeOutperformer—
30 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
30 Apr 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
30 Apr 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
30 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
16 Apr 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

WM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Waste Management, Inc. returned −3.6% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

WM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
859095100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26WMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

WM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−1.0%
Analysts raising
10
Analysts cutting
14
Fundamentals

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
29.3×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.2×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Price / book
8.4×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
13.6×

Cheaper than 26% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.0%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
8.1%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Gross margin
40.8%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.0%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
11.1%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
29.8%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.6%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.8%

Higher than 40% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Waste Management, Inc. has a market value of $83.0B and an enterprise value of $105.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $25.7B. The latest quarter grew 4.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.9B, a 11.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.06.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.6B, after $2.9B of capital spending.

  • Waste Management, Inc. spent $1.0B on share buybacks and $1.4B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 400.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 29.3×; forward P/E: 22.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.82%, paying out 50% of earnings.

  • Waste Management, Inc. employs 60,500 people — $424K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 23 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

WM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelWaste Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
WMWaste Management, Inc.$83.0B
83
RSGRepublic Services, Inc.$66.0B
67
WCNWaste Connections, Inc.$39.8B
71
GFLGFL Environmental, Inc.$18.3B
54
CLHClean Harbors, Inc.$16.7B
93
CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.$5.4B
43
UPSUnited Parcel Service, Inc.*$81.0B
80

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few waste management companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Waste Management, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest WM news & analysis

WM Sets Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call

Business Wire · 24 Sept 2026neutral

WM announced it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results after market close on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, and host its investor conference call on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10 a.m. ET. The live webcast will be publicly accessible via investors.wm.com, with a replay available afterward.

Why it matters — WM watchers will want to note these dates to tune into the earnings call and webcast for the company's third quarter financial results.

Waste Management Returned 290% in a Decade. These 4 Stocks Share Its Boring Advantage

24/7 Wall Street · 24 Sept 2026positive

The article notes that Waste Management delivered nearly 300% returns over a decade while being an unexciting stock. It highlights that four other companies share the same quiet structural advantage, where customers cannot easily leave without breaking something.

Why it matters — The piece underscores Waste Management's decade of strong returns driven by a durable structural advantage that makes customers difficult to switch away.

Is Waste Management a Safe Dividend Stock to Buy Right Now?

The Motley Fool · 22 Sept 2026positive

The Motley Fool discusses whether Waste Management's dividend is safe for investors to buy right now, noting that the company provides investors with a degree of diversification from macroeconomic factors.

Why it matters — WM watchers would care because the article highlights the company's defensive qualities and dividend reliability in the face of macroeconomic uncertainty.

Waste Management (WM) Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick: What Investors Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Sept 2026negative

Waste Management (WM) shares closed at $207.04, down 1.92% from the prior session, declining even as the broader market moved higher on the trading day.

Why it matters — A WM watcher would care because the stock's decline during a market uptick marks a notable negative divergence for the company's shares in the latest session.

5 Stocks, 5 Different Industries, 1 Thing in Common: Reliable Income

24/7 Wall Street · 18 Sept 2026positive

A 24/7 Wall Street article highlights five stocks from five different industries that share a common appeal: reliable income. The list includes a biopharma company, a chip maker, a delivery network, a trash hauler, and an oncology firm, assembled for income rather than the absolute highest yield.

Why it matters — As a trash hauler named among stocks chosen for dependable income, Waste Management (WM) is presented as a reliable, income-focused holding for dividend-seeking investors.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about WM stock

What is the WM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Waste Management, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $263, with estimates ranging from $220 to $277. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is WM stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Waste Management, Inc., 19 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Waste Management, Inc. 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank WM?

As at 23 Sept 2026, Waste Management, Inc. ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (97 of 100).

Will WM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +26.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Waste Management, Inc. 83 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the WM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Waste Management, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $220 to $277 over the next 12 months.

How has WM stock performed over the past year?

Waste Management, Inc. returned -3.6% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Waste Management, Inc. do?

Waste Management Inc. is a leading environmental services company that provides collection, transfer, recycling, disposal, and resource recovery solutions for residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers.

What is the latest news on WM?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 24 Sept 2026): "WM Sets Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call". WM announced it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results after market close on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, and host its investor conference call on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10 a.m. ET. The live webcast will be publicly accessible via investors.wm.com, with a replay available afterward.

Company

About Waste Management, Inc.

Waste Management Inc. is a leading environmental services company that provides collection, transfer, recycling, disposal, and resource recovery solutions for residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers. The company operates an extensive network of landfills, transfer stations, recycling processing facilities, and related infrastructure that supports efficient waste handling and materials recovery across North America and selected international markets. Its services help customers manage everyday solid waste, recyclables, and specialized streams through integrated, end-to-end operations. Waste Management Inc. also participates in renewable energy activities tied to landfill gas-to-energy projects and offers healthcare-focused waste solutions as part of its service portfolio. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Waste Management Inc. plays a central role in the environmental services market by connecting collection, processing, and disposal capabilities within a single operating platform.

CEO Mr. James C. Fish Jr. · 60,500 employees · United States · https://www.wm.com