HGFinancial Services · Insurance - ReinsuranceThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $39 — +11.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 82 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (98): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (17): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $34 → $37 |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $39 → $40 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $40 → $42 |
| 10 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $38 → $40 |
| 10 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $37 → $39 |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $34 → $39 |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $37 → $39 |
| 7 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $33 → $34 |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 21 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. returned +52.5% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 66% of US stocks
Cheaper than 66% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 79% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. has a market value of $3.5B and an enterprise value of $2.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.1B. The latest quarter grew 13.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $862.8M, a 28.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.74.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $815.2M.
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. spent $116.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 6.1×; forward P/E: 7.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. employs 600 people — $5.1M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| HGHamilton Insurance Group Ltd. | $3.5B | 82 |
| SPNTSiriusPoint Ltd. | $2.9B | 93 |
| RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $14.2B | 92 |
| EGEverest Group Ltd. | $14.8B | 76 |
| RGAReinsurance Group of America, Inc. | $16.0B | 74 |
| GLREGreenlight Capital Re Ltd. | $512.5M | 72 |
| PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc.* | $3.4B | 28 |
* Nearest Financial Services names by size — few insurance - reinsurance companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Hamilton Insurance (HG) closed at $34.37 in the latest trading session, a -1.43% decline from the prior day, which was a larger drop than the broader market experienced.
Why it matters — A stock watcher would note this underperformance relative to the broader market as a signal of Hamilton Insurance's recent trading momentum.
Zacks Investment Research examines whether Hamilton Insurance (HG) qualifies as a top momentum stock for investors, assessing the company's characteristics for momentum-based stock picking.
Why it matters — The piece evaluates HG's momentum profile, offering insight into how the company is viewed by momentum investors.
Hamilton Insurance Group delivered strong Q2 results, with $1.56 EPS and $840 million in revenue, beating expectations on resilient underwriting and investment gains despite Middle East catastrophe losses. Its investment portfolio, particularly the Two Sigma allocation, has become an increasing driver of value and supports a stable yield.
Why it matters — For Hamilton Insurance watchers, the growing contribution of the investment portfolio, especially the Two Sigma allocation, signals a more durable and additional source of value beyond underwriting performance.
Hamilton Insurance Group reported second-quarter net income of $144 million, or $1.42 per diluted share, and operating income of $158 million, or $1.56 per diluted share. Catastrophe losses tied primarily to the Middle East conflict weighed on underwriting results, while the annualized return on average equity was 21%.
Why it matters — The quarter's figures indicate that, despite catastrophe losses from the Middle East conflict affecting underwriting, Hamilton reported substantial net and operating income along with a strong annualized return on average equity.
Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.'s (HG) Q2 2026 earnings call. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter financial results and management's discussion during the earnings call.
Why it matters — HG watchers would care because the earnings call transcript provides direct insight into the company's quarterly performance and management commentary.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $39, with estimates ranging from $32 to $42. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. 82 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 19 Sept 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. ranks 82 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +11.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. 82 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $42 over the next 12 months.
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. returned +52.5% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. Class B Common Shares represents equity ownership in Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd., a Bermuda-headquartered specialty insurance and reinsurance holding company.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 9 Sept 2026): "Hamilton Insurance (HG) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know". Hamilton Insurance (HG) closed at $34.37 in the latest trading session, a -1.43% decline from the prior day, which was a larger drop than the broader market experienced.
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. Class B Common Shares represents equity ownership in Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd., a Bermuda-headquartered specialty insurance and reinsurance holding company. The company underwrites a broad range of property, casualty, and specialty risks through its global platforms, serving clients across international insurance markets. Its current operations include Hamilton Global Specialty, Hamilton Select, and Hamilton Re, which together support underwriting activity in regions such as London, Dublin, Bermuda, and the United States. Hamilton Insurance Group focuses on specialty lines that require tailored underwriting expertise, including reinsurance and other complex risk-transfer solutions for commercial and institutional clients. As a publicly traded share class, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. Class B Common Shares provides investors with exposure to a diversified insurance business centered on global specialty and reinsurance markets.
CEO Ms. Giuseppina Carmela Albo · 600 employees · Bermuda · https://www.hamiltongroup.com
