HGFinancial Services · Insurance - ReinsuranceThe 7 Wall Street analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $39 — +9.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 79 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (15): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.5% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 July 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | $38 → $40 |
| 9 July 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $37 → $39 |
| 8 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $34 → $39 |
| 7 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $37 → $39 |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $33 → $34 |
| 21 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 20 Nov 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Citizens | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 14 Oct 2025 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Cheaper than 62% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| HGHamilton Insurance Group Ltd. | $3.6B | 79 |
| SPNTSiriusPoint Ltd. | $2.8B | 91 |
| RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | $13.9B | 93 |
| EGEverest Group Ltd. | $14.8B | 76 |
| RGAReinsurance Group of America, Inc. | $15.7B | 61 |
| GLREGreenlight Capital Re Ltd. | $567.8M | 75 |
| PLMRPalomar Holdings, Inc.* | $3.6B | 49 |
* Nearest Financial Services names by size — few insurance - reinsurance companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Zacks Investment Research previewed Hamilton Insurance's Q2 earnings, stating the company is expected to report a decline and lacks the combination of factors needed for a likely earnings beat.
Why it matters — This earnings preview sets expectations for HG's upcoming Q2 results, which shareholders and analysts will be watching closely.
Hamilton Insurance (HG) closed at $37.28, a +2.76% increase from the prior trading day, outperforming the broader market.
Why it matters — This price movement indicates HG shares gained value on that day, which may interest investors tracking the stock's short-term performance relative to the market.
The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $39, with estimates ranging from $27 to $40. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 7 analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. 79 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 1 Aug 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. ranks 79 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +9.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. 79 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $27 to $40 over the next 12 months.
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. returned +79.4% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. is a Bermuda-headquartered specialty insurance and reinsurance company that underwrites complex risks across global markets.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 30 July 2026): "Earnings Preview: Hamilton Insurance (HG) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline". Zacks Investment Research previewed Hamilton Insurance's Q2 earnings, stating the company is expected to report a decline and lacks the combination of factors needed for a likely earnings beat.
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. is a Bermuda-headquartered specialty insurance and reinsurance company that underwrites complex risks across global markets. The company focuses on property, casualty, and specialty lines, serving clients such as corporations, financial institutions, and other insurance companies seeking tailored risk transfer solutions. Hamilton operates through three principal underwriting platforms: Hamilton Global Specialty, which targets specialty and wholesale risks; Hamilton Select, which focuses on small to mid-sized commercial accounts; and Hamilton Re, which provides reinsurance capacity to insurers worldwide. These platforms are organized into two main reporting segments, International and Bermuda, reflecting its diversified geographic footprint and regulatory environments. Hamilton Insurance Group emphasizes disciplined underwriting, data-driven risk selection, and portfolio diversification to support its role as a key participant in the global specialty insurance and reinsurance market. Founded in 2013 and based in Bermuda, it leverages its international presence to access a broad range of niche and specialty risk opportunities.
CEO Ms. Giuseppina Carmela Albo · 600 employees · Bermuda · https://www.hamiltongroup.com