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HGHGFinancial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

HG Stock Forecast: Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$37
+2.17% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $39 — +4.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$3.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
80/ 100
Median analyst target
$39
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$855.2M+13.4% y/y
Net income$254.8M
Free cash flow$125.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+7.4%
1M
+9.2%
YTD
+42.3%
1Y
+68.3%
From 52W high
−0.1%
From 52W low
+68.3%
$22
$37
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
80/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
99
Revisions
94
Growth
94
Value
74
Quality
59
Volatility
47
Issuance
37
Size
27
Accruals
16

Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (16): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

HG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40$45Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HGHigh $43Median $39Low $32

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
4 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $32Median $39High $43

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +4.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Nov 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$40 → $42
2 Nov 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$40 → $43
12 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
12 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$41 → $40
6 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$37 → $35
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$34 → $37
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
12 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$39 → $40
12 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
7 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
7 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$40 → $42
10 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$38 → $40
10 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$37 → $39
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$34 → $39
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$37 → $39
7 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

HG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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The AI build-out map
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Performance

HG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. returned +68.3% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+21.7%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (HG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.1×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 66% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
2.4×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.7%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−40.2%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
28.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
16.8%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
31.5%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (HG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. has a market value of $3.6B and an enterprise value of $2.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.1B. The latest quarter grew 24.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $862.8M, a 28.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.74.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $815.2M.

  • Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. spent $116.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 98.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 7.1×; forward P/E: 7.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. employs 600 people — $5.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Reinsurance
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HGHamilton Insurance Group Ltd.$3.6B80
SPNTSiriusPoint Ltd.$3.0B98
RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.$14.0B85
EGEverest Group Ltd.$15.2B88
RGAReinsurance Group of America, Inc.$17.3B79
GLREGreenlight Capital Re Ltd.$499.1M68
FIBKFirst Interstate BancSystem, Inc.*$3.6B81

* Nearest Financial Services names by size — few insurance - reinsurance companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HG news & analysis

What Hamilton Insurance Group (HG) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

MarketBeat · 30 Oct 2026neutral

Hamilton Insurance Group reported Q3 2026 net income of $81 million, or $0.81 per diluted share. Catastrophe losses tied to conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East weighed on underwriting results, while operating income was $180 million, or $1.78 per diluted share.

Why it matters — The results show HG watchers both the impact of catastrophe losses on underwriting and the company's reported operating income.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 30 Oct 2026neutral

Hamilton Insurance Group held its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 30, 2026. The excerpt identifies the company’s executives and participating analysts but provides no discussion of results or business updates.

Why it matters — HG watchers are informed that the quarterly call took place, though the provided excerpt contains no substantive performance details.

Hamilton Insurance (HG) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026positive

Hamilton Insurance reported quarterly earnings of $1.78 per share, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.67. Earnings were $1.32 per share in the same period a year ago.

Why it matters — HG watchers may note that quarterly earnings exceeded the consensus estimate and were higher than a year earlier.

Hamilton Reports 2026 Third Quarter Results

Business Wire · 29 Oct 2026positive

Hamilton Insurance Group announced results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. It reported operating income of $180 million, a 25% annualized operating return on average equity, and a 17% increase in gross premiums written.

Why it matters — The results provide HG watchers with updates on the company’s quarterly earnings and premium growth.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HG stock

What is the HG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $39, with estimates ranging from $32 to $43. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HG stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. 80 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HG?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).

Will HG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +4.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. 80 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $43 over the next 12 months.

How has HG stock performed over the past year?

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. returned +68.3% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. do?

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. Class B Common Shares represents equity ownership in Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd., a Bermuda-headquartered specialty insurance and reinsurance holding company.

What is the latest news on HG?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 30 Oct 2026): "What Hamilton Insurance Group (HG) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call". Hamilton Insurance Group reported Q3 2026 net income of $81 million, or $0.81 per diluted share. Catastrophe losses tied to conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East weighed on underwriting results, while operating income was $180 million, or $1.78 per diluted share.

Company

About Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd.

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. Class B Common Shares represents equity ownership in Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd., a Bermuda-headquartered specialty insurance and reinsurance holding company. The company underwrites a broad range of property, casualty, and specialty risks through its global platforms, serving clients across international insurance markets. Its current operations include Hamilton Global Specialty, Hamilton Select, and Hamilton Re, which together support underwriting activity in regions such as London, Dublin, Bermuda, and the United States. Hamilton Insurance Group focuses on specialty lines that require tailored underwriting expertise, including reinsurance and other complex risk-transfer solutions for commercial and institutional clients. As a publicly traded share class, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. Class B Common Shares provides investors with exposure to a diversified insurance business centered on global specialty and reinsurance markets.

CEO Ms. Giuseppina Carmela Albo · 600 employees · Bermuda · https://www.hamiltongroup.com