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HGHGFinancial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance

HG Stock Forecast: Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$35
+0.63% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $39 — +10.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$3.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
83 / 100
Median analyst target
$39
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$855.2M+13.4% y/y
Net income$254.8M
Free cash flow$125.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
−2.7%
YTD
+34.4%
1Y
+55.5%
From 52W high
−5.6%
From 52W low
+61.3%
$22
$37
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
83 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
99
Revisions
93
Value
91
Volatility
68
Quality
63
Growth
63
Issuance
45
Size
29
Accruals
16

Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (16): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HGHigh $42Median $39Low $32

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
4 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $32Median $39High $42

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$34 → $37
12 Aug 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$39 → $40
7 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
7 Aug 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$40 → $42
10 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform$38 → $40
10 July 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$37 → $39
9 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$34 → $39
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
7 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$37 → $39
7 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$33 → $34
6 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
21 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
1 May 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
13 Apr 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
8 Apr 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
24 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

HG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 24 Aug 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. returned +55.5% against +19.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+9.5%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (HG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.1×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 67% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
3.0×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
13.0%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−23.3%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
31.4%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
19.6%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
31.1%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. (HG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. has a market value of $3.5B and an enterprise value of $2.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.1B. The latest quarter grew 13.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $862.8M, a 28.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.74.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $815.2M.

  • Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. spent $116.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 98.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 6.1×; forward P/E: 7.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. employs 600 people — $5.1M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 25 Aug 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Reinsurance
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HGHamilton Insurance Group Ltd.$3.5B
83
SPNTSiriusPoint Ltd.$2.8B
94
RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.$14.1B
93
EGEverest Group Ltd.$14.6B
76
RGAReinsurance Group of America, Inc.$15.9B
72
GLREGreenlight Capital Re Ltd.$521.4M
76
FFBCFirst Financial Bancorp (Ohio)*$3.5B
49

* Nearest Financial Services names by size — few insurance - reinsurance companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HG news & analysis

Hamilton Insurance's Investment Portfolio Continues To Drive Value

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026positive

Hamilton Insurance Group delivered strong Q2 results, with $1.56 EPS and $840 million in revenue, beating expectations on resilient underwriting and investment gains despite Middle East catastrophe losses. Its investment portfolio, particularly the Two Sigma allocation, has become an increasing driver of value and supports a stable yield.

Why it matters — For Hamilton Insurance watchers, the growing contribution of the investment portfolio, especially the Two Sigma allocation, signals a more durable and additional source of value beyond underwriting performance.

Hamilton Insurance Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

Hamilton Insurance Group reported second-quarter net income of $144 million, or $1.42 per diluted share, and operating income of $158 million, or $1.56 per diluted share. Catastrophe losses tied primarily to the Middle East conflict weighed on underwriting results, while the annualized return on average equity was 21%.

Why it matters — The quarter's figures indicate that, despite catastrophe losses from the Middle East conflict affecting underwriting, Hamilton reported substantial net and operating income along with a strong annualized return on average equity.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.'s (HG) Q2 2026 earnings call. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter financial results and management's discussion during the earnings call.

Why it matters — HG watchers would care because the earnings call transcript provides direct insight into the company's quarterly performance and management commentary.

Hamilton Insurance (HG) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026positive

Hamilton Insurance (HG) reported quarterly earnings of $1.56 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.96 per share, and also topped revenue expectations for the quarter. This compares with earnings of $1.55 per share in the same period a year earlier.

Why it matters — The earnings and revenue beats signal that HG's latest quarter performance came in above analyst expectations, marking an improvement in reported results.

Hamilton Reports 2026 Second Quarter Results

Business Wire · 6 Aug 2026positive

Hamilton Insurance Group announced its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. The company reported net income of $144 million, a 21% annualized return on average equity, a 95% combined ratio, strong investment income, and a 17% increase in gross premiums written, which CEO Pina Albo attributed to continued operational focus.

Why it matters — These results give Hamilton watchers insight into the company's most recent underwriting, investment, and premium growth performance for the second quarter of 2026.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HG stock

What is the HG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $39, with estimates ranging from $32 to $42. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HG stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd., 4 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HG?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).

Will HG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +10.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. 83 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $42 over the next 12 months.

How has HG stock performed over the past year?

Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. returned +55.5% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. do?

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. is a Bermuda-headquartered specialty insurance and reinsurance company that underwrites complex risks across global markets.

What is the latest news on HG?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 12 Aug 2026): "Hamilton Insurance's Investment Portfolio Continues To Drive Value". Hamilton Insurance Group delivered strong Q2 results, with $1.56 EPS and $840 million in revenue, beating expectations on resilient underwriting and investment gains despite Middle East catastrophe losses. Its investment portfolio, particularly the Two Sigma allocation, has become an increasing driver of value and supports a stable yield.

Company

About Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd.

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. is a Bermuda-headquartered specialty insurance and reinsurance company that underwrites complex risks across global markets. The company focuses on property, casualty, and specialty lines, serving clients such as corporations, financial institutions, and other insurance companies seeking tailored risk transfer solutions. Hamilton operates through three principal underwriting platforms: Hamilton Global Specialty, which targets specialty and wholesale risks; Hamilton Select, which focuses on small to mid-sized commercial accounts; and Hamilton Re, which provides reinsurance capacity to insurers worldwide. These platforms are organized into two main reporting segments, International and Bermuda, reflecting its diversified geographic footprint and regulatory environments. Hamilton Insurance Group emphasizes disciplined underwriting, data-driven risk selection, and portfolio diversification to support its role as a key participant in the global specialty insurance and reinsurance market. Founded in 2013 and based in Bermuda, it leverages its international presence to access a broad range of niche and specialty risk opportunities.

CEO Ms. Giuseppina Carmela Albo · 600 employees · Bermuda · https://www.hamiltongroup.com