LOBLOBFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

LOB Stock Forecast: Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$34
−1.71% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $41 — +18.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
32/ 100
Median analyst target
$41
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$151.2M+6.5% y/y
Net income$36.7M
Free cash flow$28.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.9%
1M
−4.8%
YTD
+0.6%
1Y
+9.4%
From 52W high
−21.2%
From 52W low
+17.6%
$29
$44
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

LOB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
32/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
87
Issuance
60
Momentum
53
Value
51
Revisions
39
Size
38
Quality
32
Accruals
17
Volatility
4

Growth (87): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Volatility (4): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

LOB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LOB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$35$40$45Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26LOBHigh $42Median $41Low $38

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
2 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $38Median $41High $42

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +18.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
26 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$44 → $41
14 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$45 → $41
14 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
7 Oct 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
7 Oct 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$46 → $38
5 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$49 → $44
5 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
19 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$44 → $45
27 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$47 → $49
27 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$45 → $47
24 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
15 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$41 → $44
15 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
27 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$40 → $41
27 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
27 Apr 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
27 Apr 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$51 → $47
24 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

LOB appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

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The AI build-out map
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Performance

LOB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. returned +9.4% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

LOB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26LOBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

LOB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−12.2%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. (LOB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.3×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.0×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−2.3%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−0.6%

Higher than 36% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
32.7%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
26.4%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.1%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.9%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.3%

Higher than 64% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. (LOB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. has a market value of $1.6B and an enterprise value of $698.5M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $567.0M. The latest quarter shrank 2.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $139.2M, a 24.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.84.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $237.4M.

  • Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. spent $12.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 46.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.3×; forward P/E: 8.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.35%, paying out 4% of earnings.

  • Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. employs 1,027 people — $552K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 31 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

LOB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
LOBLive Oak Bancshares, Inc.$1.6B32
CASHPathward Financial, Inc.$1.6B61
RBCAARepublic Bancorp, Inc. (Kentucky)$1.6B77
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.$1.6B57
OBKOrigin Bancorp, Inc.$1.6B84
BFCBank First Corp.$1.7B53
ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc.$1.5B50

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest LOB news & analysis

Live Oak Bancshares: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

The Motley Fool · 26 Oct 2026positive

The Motley Fool highlighted two year-over-year gains at Live Oak Bancshares: preprovision net revenue rose 33% to $88 million, and Live Oak Express loan originations increased 173% to $107 million.

Why it matters — These figures give LOB watchers a snapshot of growth in preprovision revenue and Express lending activity.

What Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

MarketBeat · 22 Oct 2026neutral

Live Oak Bancshares reported third-quarter 2026 earnings per share of $0.52, including a $17 million provision related to its exited distillery lending portfolio. President BJ Losch said the provision reduced earnings by about $0.27 per share, while management highlighted record loan production, improving operating leverage, and growth in Express lending and business checking.

Why it matters — LOB watchers may weigh the earnings impact of the portfolio-related provision alongside management’s comments on loan production, operating leverage, and lending and checking initiatives.

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. (LOB) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 22 Oct 2026neutral

Live Oak Bancshares held its Q3 2026 earnings call on October 22, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and participating analysts but provides no discussion of results or outlook.

Why it matters — LOB watchers can note the call date and participants, but this excerpt contains no details about the company's performance.

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks Investment Research · 22 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research says Live Oak Bancshares’ Q3 headline earnings provide a view of results for the quarter ended September 2026, and points readers to key metrics compared with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.

Why it matters — Those comparisons offer additional context for assessing LOB’s quarterly performance beyond its top- and bottom-line figures.

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) Q3 Earnings Lag Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Oct 2026negative

Live Oak Bancshares reported Q3 earnings of $0.52 per share, below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.64. Earnings were $0.55 per share a year ago.

Why it matters — LOB watchers may note the quarterly earnings shortfall against estimates and the year-over-year comparison.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about LOB stock

What is the LOB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $41, with estimates ranging from $38 to $42. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is LOB stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Live Oak Bancshares, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank LOB?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (87 of 100).

Will LOB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +18.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. 32 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the LOB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LOB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $38 to $42 over the next 12 months.

How has LOB stock performed over the past year?

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. returned +9.4% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. do?

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates through Live Oak Banking Company, providing specialty banking services focused on small businesses across the United States.

What is the latest news on LOB?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 26 Oct 2026): "Live Oak Bancshares: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors". The Motley Fool highlighted two year-over-year gains at Live Oak Bancshares: preprovision net revenue rose 33% to $88 million, and Live Oak Express loan originations increased 173% to $107 million.

Company

About Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates through Live Oak Banking Company, providing specialty banking services focused on small businesses across the United States. The company offers deposit products, commercial lending, and related financial services through a national online platform, with emphasis on industries where it has developed deep lending expertise. Its business segments include Banking and Fintech, combining core banking operations with technology-oriented investments and services. Live Oak Bancshares also supports government-guaranteed loan services, renewable energy financing, and wealth and investment management offerings for select clients. Headquartered in Wilmington, North Carolina, Live Oak Bancshares plays a notable role in branchless banking by serving entrepreneurs and business owners with digital-first financial solutions.

CEO Mr. James S. Mahan III · 1,027 employees · United States · https://www.liveoak.bank