LYBLYBBasic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

LYB Stock Forecast: LyondellBasell Industries NV Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$59
+1.38% on the day

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering LyondellBasell Industries NV hold a median 12-month price target of $66 — +12.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 66 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$18.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
66 / 100
Median analyst target
$66
Analysts covering
19
Revenue$9.2B+19.8% y/y
Operating income$1.6B
Net income$559.0M
Free cash flow$482.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.8%
1M
−12.0%
YTD
+39.7%
1Y
+26.1%
From 52W high
−27.4%
From 52W low
+46.8%
$40
$81
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

LYB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores LyondellBasell Industries NV on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
66 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
96
Accruals
87
Volatility
83
Growth
64
Momentum
59
Quality
53
Revisions
44
Issuance
43
Size
10

Value (96): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Issuance (43): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

LYB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on LYB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80$90Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26LYBHigh $88Median $66Low $56

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says19 analysts
6 Buy10 Hold3 Sell
Low $56Median $66High $88

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 Sept 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral$72 → $63
25 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$64 → $62
11 Sept 2026KeybancInitiatesSector Weight—
11 Sept 2026KeybancInitiatesSector Weight—
5 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
5 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$65 → $72
4 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
4 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$56 → $64
3 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
3 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$64 → $68
3 Aug 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
3 Aug 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight$75 → $80
3 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$62 → $66
3 Aug 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
20 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
20 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$77 → $72
6 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$88 → $64
6 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
2 July 2026Alembic GlobalMaintainsOverweight—
1 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$76 → $62

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. LYB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

LYB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, LyondellBasell Industries NV returned +26.1% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

LYB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26LYBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

LYB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−3.6%
Analysts raising
12
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
96.2×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 78% of US stocks

Price / book
1.8×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.6×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
19.8%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
389.5%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Gross margin
22.2%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Operating margin
17.9%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Net margin
−1.1%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−2.3%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.1%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Dividend yield
4.7%

Higher than 79% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • LyondellBasell Industries NV has a market value of $18.9B and an enterprise value of $30.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $31.2B. The latest quarter grew 19.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$346.0M, a −1.1% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B, after $1.4B of capital spending.

  • LyondellBasell Industries NV spent $0.0 on share buybacks and $1.3B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 323.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 96.2×; forward P/E: 9.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 4.71%, paying out 1147% of earnings.

  • LyondellBasell Industries NV employs 18,970 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

LYB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Chemicals
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
LYBLyondellBasell Industries NV$18.9B
66
DDDuPont de Nemours, Inc.$17.5B
85
IFFInternational Flavors & Fragrances, Inc.$21.1B
57
PPGPPG Industries, Inc.$23.4B
85
RPMRPM International, Inc.$12.7B
73
ALBAlbemarle Corp.$12.3B
85
ESIElement Solutions, Inc.$9.2B
56

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own LyondellBasell Industries NV — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest LYB news & analysis

5 High-Yield Stocks Sacrificing Future Growth to Protect the Dividend

24/7 Wall Street · 2 Oct 2026negative

The article highlights high-yield stocks that are cutting capital expenditures and increasing payouts, effectively using funds that would otherwise support future growth to sustain dividends. It identifies five familiar names where this dynamic could create risk for income-focused investors.

Why it matters — A LyondellBasell watcher would care because the article's premise—that capex cuts and elevated payout ratios can erode the asset base supporting a dividend—applies directly to evaluating the sustainability of LYB's own income profile.

The Dark Side Of Retiring On Dividends

Seeking Alpha · 1 Oct 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article examines the risks of relying on dividend income for retirement, noting that while it can help retirees endure market downturns without selling shares, three major risks can still derail retirement plans. The piece details these risks and offers mitigation strategies.

Why it matters — LYB, as a dividend-paying stock often held by income-focused investors, could be relevant to readers assessing the sustainability and risks of dividend-dependent retirement strategies.

9 Stocks Turn $100,000 to $18.8 Million In 9 Months

Investors Business Daily · 30 Sept 2026neutral

Investors Business Daily reported that September was a mediocre month for S&P 500 investors, though a handful of stocks had strong monthly gains. The article highlights nine stocks that turned a $100,000 investment into $18.8 million over nine months.

Why it matters — The report provides context on broader market performance and top-performing stocks that a LyondellBasell investor could compare against LYB's own recent returns.

The Dividend Screener Says High Yield. But These Chemical Stocks Tell a Different Story

24/7 Wall Street · 29 Sept 2026neutral

The article notes that some chemical stocks show high dividend yields on screeners, but warns that the displayed yield can differ from the actual dividend payment shareholders receive, with the gap between the two not being immediately apparent.

Why it matters — LYB watchers, as holders of a chemical-sector dividend stock, would care because the piece highlights that screeners may overstate real dividend payouts for companies in this space.

3 Chemical Stocks Bucking the Dividend Cut Trend While Peers Slash Payouts

24/7 Wall Street · 29 Sept 2026negative

The article reports that Dow and LyondellBasell made painful dividend cuts during the industry's downcycle, while a handful of other chemical companies continued raising their payouts. It examines the structural reasons behind this divergence within the sector.

Why it matters — LYB watchers would care because the article highlights LyondellBasell's dividend cut relative to chemical peers that maintained or increased payouts, pointing to structural differences within the sector.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about LYB stock

What is the LYB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 19 Wall Street analysts covering LyondellBasell Industries NV have a median 12-month price target of $66, with estimates ranging from $56 to $88. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is LYB stock a buy right now?

Of the 19 analysts covering LyondellBasell Industries NV, 6 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks LyondellBasell Industries NV 66 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank LYB?

As at 2 Oct 2026, LyondellBasell Industries NV ranks 66 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (96 of 100).

Will LYB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 19 analysts implies +12.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks LyondellBasell Industries NV 66 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the LYB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering LyondellBasell Industries NV publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for LYB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $56 to $88 over the next 12 months.

How has LYB stock performed over the past year?

LyondellBasell Industries NV returned +26.1% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does LyondellBasell Industries NV do?

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is a global chemical company that develops, manufactures, and markets products used across everyday industrial and consumer applications.

What is the latest news on LYB?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 2 Oct 2026): "5 High-Yield Stocks Sacrificing Future Growth to Protect the Dividend". The article highlights high-yield stocks that are cutting capital expenditures and increasing payouts, effectively using funds that would otherwise support future growth to sustain dividends. It identifies five familiar names where this dynamic could create risk for income-focused investors.

Company

About LyondellBasell Industries NV.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is a global chemical company that develops, manufactures, and markets products used across everyday industrial and consumer applications. LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is one of the world’s largest producers of polymers and a leading provider of polyolefin technologies, with operations centered on olefins, polyolefins, intermediates, and advanced polymer solutions. Its product portfolio includes polyethylene, polypropylene, propylene oxide derivatives, plastic resins, compounding solutions, engineered plastics, and related chemical products. These materials support industries such as packaging, transportation, food safety, healthcare, construction, electronics, and consumer goods. The company also licenses technologies for polymer production, giving it an important role in both manufacturing and chemical process innovation. Through its broad product mix and international operating footprint, LyondellBasell Industries N.V. serves as a key supplier in the global petrochemical value chain.

CEO Mr. Peter Z. E. Vanacker · 18,970 employees · Netherlands · https://www.lyondellbasell.com