MBWMMBWMFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

MBWM Stock Forecast: Mercantile Bank Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$60
−1.38% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Mercantile Bank Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $65 — +8.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 78 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$1.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
78/ 100
Median analyst target
$65
Analysts covering
6
Revenue$68.8M+12.8% y/y
Net income$25.9M
Free cash flow$14.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.1%
1M
+2.6%
YTD
+27.1%
1Y
+40.6%
From 52W high
−3.7%
From 52W low
+40.9%
$42
$62
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MBWM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Mercantile Bank Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
78/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
91
Revisions
87
Quality
78
Issuance
65
Growth
63
Value
54
Size
43
Volatility
43
Accruals
18

Momentum (91): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MBWM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MBWM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$45$50$55$60$65Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MBWMHigh $66Median $65Low $62

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says6 analysts
2 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $62Median $65High $66

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +8.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Oct 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$64 → $65
22 July 2026Hovde GroupDowngradeMarket Perform$62
22 July 2026Hovde GroupDowngradeMarket Perform—
22 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$60 → $64
22 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
26 June 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$57 → $60
26 June 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
21 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
7 Jan 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
22 Oct 2025Raymond JamesReiteratesOutperform—
24 July 2025Raymond JamesUpgradeOutperform—
23 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
23 July 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
23 Apr 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
22 Jan 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
4 Dec 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
17 July 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesOutperform—
17 July 2024Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
17 Apr 2024Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratesOutperform—
7 Mar 2023Piper SandlerUpgradeOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MBWM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

MBWM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Mercantile Bank Corp. returned +40.6% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MBWM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MBWMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MBWM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.2%
Analysts raising
5
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Mercantile Bank Corp. (MBWM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.6×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.8×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
1.4×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.6%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
1.3%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
41.3%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Net margin
34.8%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.6%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.4%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 84% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Mercantile Bank Corp. (MBWM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Mercantile Bank Corp. has a market value of $1.0B and an enterprise value of $1.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $260.8M. The latest quarter grew 16.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $95.2M, a 36.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.68.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $68.2M.

  • Mercantile Bank Corp. spent $25.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 17.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 10.6×; forward P/E: 10.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.67%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Mercantile Bank Corp. employs 812 people — $321K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MBWM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MBWMMercantile Bank Corp.$1.0B78
EQBKEquity Bancshares, Inc.$1.0B74
MCBSMetroCity Bankshares, Inc.$1.0B58
BFSTBusiness First Bancshares, Inc.$1.0B58
EGBNEagle Bancorp, Inc. (Maryland)$1.0B74
CCNECNB Financial Corp. (Pennsylvania)$1.1B97
SBSISouthside Bancshares, Inc.$1.0B75

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Mercantile Bank Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MBWM news & analysis

Mercantile Bank (MBWM) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why

Zacks Investment Research · 26 Oct 2026positive

Mercantile Bank (MBWM) was upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects.

Why it matters — The upgrade signals increased optimism about MBWM’s earnings prospects, which may be relevant to investors following the company.

Mercantile Bank: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

The Motley Fool · 20 Oct 2026positive

The Motley Fool highlighted that Mercantile Bank’s net interest margin expanded to 3.7% in the third quarter and commercial loans grew 9% from the prior year-end.

Why it matters — These figures provide MBWM watchers with an update on the bank’s margin and commercial loan growth.

Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 20 Oct 2026neutral

Mercantile Bank Corporation held its third-quarter 2026 earnings conference call on October 20, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and participating analysts but provides no earnings results or discussion details.

Why it matters — MBWM watchers can note the call took place, but the provided text does not convey financial performance or management commentary.

Mercantile Bank Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 20 Oct 2026neutral

Mercantile Bank reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $24.1 million, or $1.39 per diluted share, compared with $23.8 million, or $1.46 per diluted share, in the prior-year quarter. For the first nine months of 2026, net income increased to $72.7 million from $65.9 million year over year.

Why it matters — The results give MBWM watchers a comparison of quarterly and year-to-date earnings against the same periods in 2025.

Mercantile Bank (MBWM) Reports Q3 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research says Mercantile Bank’s Q3 top- and bottom-line results reflect performance in the quarter ended September 2026, and points to key metrics for comparison with Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.

Why it matters — MBWM watchers may find the metrics useful for assessing the quarter alongside headline earnings figures.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MBWM stock

What is the MBWM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Mercantile Bank Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $65, with estimates ranging from $62 to $66. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MBWM stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Mercantile Bank Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Mercantile Bank Corp. 78 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MBWM?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Mercantile Bank Corp. ranks 78 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (91 of 100).

Will MBWM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +8.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Mercantile Bank Corp. 78 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MBWM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Mercantile Bank Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MBWM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $62 to $66 over the next 12 months.

How has MBWM stock performed over the past year?

Mercantile Bank Corp. returned +40.6% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Mercantile Bank Corp. do?

Mercantile Bank Corporation is a bank holding company based in Grand Rapids, Michigan. Through Mercantile Bank and Eastern Michigan Bank, it provides commercial and retail banking services to individuals, small- and medium-sized businesses, and local institutions across the United States.

What is the latest news on MBWM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 26 Oct 2026): "Mercantile Bank (MBWM) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why". Mercantile Bank (MBWM) was upgraded to Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about its earnings prospects.

Company

About Mercantile Bank Corp.

Mercantile Bank Corporation is a bank holding company based in Grand Rapids, Michigan. Through Mercantile Bank and Eastern Michigan Bank, it provides commercial and retail banking services to individuals, small- and medium-sized businesses, and local institutions across the United States. Its offerings include deposit accounts, lending solutions, payment cards, cash management, mobile and online banking, and treasury management services. The company serves as a regional financial intermediary, supporting everyday banking needs as well as specialized business banking and lending activities. Mercantile Bank Corporation plays a significant role in community and regional banking, with a focus on relationship-based financial services and practical banking solutions for personal and commercial customers.

CEO Mr. Raymond E. Reitsma · 812 employees · United States · https://www.mercbank.com