TICKERNERD
Menu
MELIMELIConsumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

MELI Stock Forecast: MercadoLibre, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$1,624
−2.18% on the day

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering MercadoLibre, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $2,250 — +38.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 30 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$84.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
30/ 100
Median analyst target
$2,250
Analysts covering
26
Revenue$10.2B+49.8% y/y
Operating income$683.0M
Net income$466.0M
Free cash flow$3.2B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−10.3%
1M
−6.0%
YTD
−19.4%
1Y
−31.2%
From 52W high
−31.2%
From 52W low
+5.0%
$1,547
$2,361
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MELI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MercadoLibre, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
30/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
67
Revisions
59
Growth
55
Value
54
Quality
44
Volatility
37
Issuance
34
Momentum
24
Size
3

Accruals (67): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Momentum (24): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (3): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

MELI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MELI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1,500$2,000$2,500$3,000Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MELIHigh $2,800Median $2,250Low $1,750

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says26 analysts
22 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $1,750Median $2,250High $2,800

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +38.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Oct 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy$2,150
27 Oct 2026CitigroupUpgradeBuy$2,100 → $2,050
13 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$2,150 → $2,100
13 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
12 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
12 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$2,300 → $2,200
6 Oct 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$2,400 → $2,500
6 Oct 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
3 Sept 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
11 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
6 Aug 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
6 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
15 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
2 June 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
13 May 2026CitigroupDowngradeNeutral—
13 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
13 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
11 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
11 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
8 May 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

MELI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

Free. Unsubscribe any time.

The AI build-out map
PDF

  • AI cloud capacity

    MSFTAMZNGOOGLORCL

  • AI chips

    NVDAAVGOAMDMU

  • AI networking and serversIn full

    ANETDELLLITECRDO

  • Data centre power

    VRTCEGGEVVST

Performance

MELI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, MercadoLibre, Inc. returned −31.2% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MELI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MELIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MELI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.5%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
44.3×

Cheaper than 16% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.3×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Price / book
10.5×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
23.5×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
49.8%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−10.9%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Gross margin
40.9%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Operating margin
6.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Net margin
5.3%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
27.5%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.3%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 63% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • MercadoLibre, Inc. has a market value of $84.2B and an enterprise value of $91.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $35.2B. The latest quarter grew 49.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.9B, a 5.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $36.77.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $12.4B.

  • Shares outstanding: 50.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 44.3×; forward P/E: 29.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.04%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • MercadoLibre, Inc. employs 123,670 people — $284K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MELI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInternet Retail
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.$84.2B30
DASHDoorDash, Inc.$77.7B48
EBAYeBay, Inc.$54.5B92
CPNGCoupang, Inc.$26.3B10
WWayfair, Inc.$15.4B83
CARTMaplebear, Inc.$13.6B91
CHWYChewy, Inc.$8.7B61

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MercadoLibre, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MELI news & analysis

MercadoLibre and Dutch Bros Have Fallen More Than 30% From Their Record Highs. Here's Why Both Are Worth Buying Now.

The Motley Fool · 1 Nov 2026positive

The Motley Fool says MercadoLibre and Dutch Bros have fallen more than 30% from their record highs and argues both are worth buying. It describes MercadoLibre as the leading e-commerce platform in an underpenetrated region.

Why it matters — The article’s rationale for MercadoLibre centers on its leading position in a region where e-commerce remains underpenetrated.

After Meta, Could These Be Wall Street's Next Blockbuster Stock Splits?

The Motley Fool · 31 Oct 2026neutral

The article discusses Micron Technology’s medium-term prospects amid a memory-chip shortage and says MercadoLibre’s short-term investments could pay off, despite weighing on near-term profits.

Why it matters — MELI watchers may note the article’s focus on the trade-off between MercadoLibre’s current investment-related profit pressure and potential future payoff.

MercadoLibre, Inc. to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Business Wire · 29 Oct 2026neutral

MercadoLibre said it intends to report third-quarter 2026 financial results on November 4, 2026. The company also plans to hold a video conference, conference call, and audio webcast that day at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time.

Why it matters — The announcement gives MELI watchers the planned date and time for the company’s quarterly results and investor briefing.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MELI stock

What is the MELI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering MercadoLibre, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $2,250, with estimates ranging from $1,750 to $2,800. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MELI stock a buy right now?

Of the 26 analysts covering MercadoLibre, Inc., 22 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MercadoLibre, Inc. 30 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MELI?

As at 31 Oct 2026, MercadoLibre, Inc. ranks 30 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (67 of 100).

Will MELI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +38.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MercadoLibre, Inc. 30 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MELI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MercadoLibre, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MELI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $1,750 to $2,800 over the next 12 months.

How has MELI stock performed over the past year?

MercadoLibre, Inc. returned -31.2% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MercadoLibre, Inc. do?

MercadoLibre Inc. is a leading Latin American e-commerce and fintech company that operates a broad digital ecosystem for buying, selling, paying, financing, shipping, and advertising.

What is the latest news on MELI?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 1 Nov 2026): "MercadoLibre and Dutch Bros Have Fallen More Than 30% From Their Record Highs. Here's Why Both Are Worth Buying Now.". The Motley Fool says MercadoLibre and Dutch Bros have fallen more than 30% from their record highs and argues both are worth buying. It describes MercadoLibre as the leading e-commerce platform in an underpenetrated region.

Company

About MercadoLibre, Inc.

MercadoLibre Inc. is a leading Latin American e-commerce and fintech company that operates a broad digital ecosystem for buying, selling, paying, financing, shipping, and advertising. Its core marketplace connects millions of consumers, small businesses, and major brands through online commerce tools that support retail and wholesale transactions across the region. The company also provides Mercado Pago, a digital payments and financial services platform; Mercado Envíos, which supports logistics and delivery; Mercado Crédito, which offers lending solutions; Mercado Ads, which helps merchants and brands promote products; and Mercado Libre Classifieds for listings in categories such as vehicles, real estate, and services. MercadoLibre Inc. plays a central role in Latin America’s digital commerce infrastructure by combining commerce, payments, logistics, and marketing services in one integrated platform.

CEO Mr. Ariel Szarfsztejn · 123,670 employees · Uruguay · https://www.mercadolibre.com