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MP Stock Forecast: MP Materials Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 10 Aug 2026
$55
+6.95% on the day

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering MP Materials Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $78 — +41.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 34 of 100 as at 8 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$9.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
34 / 100
Median analyst target
$78
Analysts covering
18
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+24.7%
1M
+4.7%
YTD
+8.2%
1Y
−26.5%
From 52W high
−44.6%
From 52W low
+43.5%
$38
$99
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MP Materials Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Aug 2026
34 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
89
Volatility
61
Momentum
55
Quality
50
Revisions
47
Value
41
Issuance
39
Accruals
19
Size
17

Growth (89): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (19): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (17): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MP Materials Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

MP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80$90$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MPHigh $100Median $78Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says18 analysts
18 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $60Median $78High $100

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +41.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$75 → $60
22 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$81 → $73
16 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$69 → $65
16 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
9 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsBuy$70 → $61
9 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsBuy—
8 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$70 → $72
8 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
5 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
1 June 2026NeedhamInitiatesBuy—
22 May 2026BarclaysInitiatesOverweight—
20 May 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
11 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
8 May 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform—
20 Apr 2026WedbushInitiatesOutperform—
9 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
11 Mar 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
18 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
13 Jan 2026William BlairInitiatesOutperform—
5 Dec 2025Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

MP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−102.5%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

MP Materials Corp. (MP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
770.5×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Price / sales
21.9×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Price / book
4.6×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
221.2×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
119.7%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
49.1%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Gross margin
−17.4%

Higher than 3% of US stocks

Operating margin
−14.7%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Net margin
−14.6%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−3.6%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.5%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOther Industrial Metals & Mining
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MPMP Materials Corp.$9.1B
34
MTRNMaterion Corp.$6.0B
73
USARUSA Rare Earth, Inc.$4.7B
21
SSMRSunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co.$2.3B
0
TMCTMC the metals co., Inc.$1.9B
8
NEXANexa Resources SA$1.9B
95
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.$1.7B
7
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MP appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest MP news & analysis

MP Materials (MP) Stock Is Rising Today: What's Behind the Rally in Rare Earth Stocks?

24/7 Wall Street · 10 Aug 2026positive

MP Materials shares extended a powerful rebound, trading up 6.76% to $54.56 in the Monday session after opening at $51.11. The rally in rare earth stocks is being highlighted as the reason behind the move.

Why it matters — This price action is notable for MP watchers because it indicates continued momentum and renewed investor interest in rare earth stocks after a recent pullback.

MP Materials Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

MP Materials reported second-quarter 2026 revenue and PPA income of $126.1 million, more than double the prior-year period, with neodymium-praseodymium sales volumes up 127% year over year. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA reached $28.5 million, an improvement of $41 million, while adjusted diluted EPS improved by $0.12 to a loss of $0.01 per share.

Why it matters — The report shows a substantial year-over-year expansion in revenue and NdPr sales volumes and a notable improvement in profitability metrics, underscoring strengthening demand for MP Materials' magnet-related products.

MP Materials to Participate in Canaccord Genuity's 46th Annual Growth Conference

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026neutral

MP Materials Corp. announced that Chief Financial Officer Ryan Corbett will participate in Canaccord Genuity's 46th Annual Growth Conference on Wednesday, August 12, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. Registration is available via the company's investor website, and a replay will be provided.

Why it matters — MP watchers may be interested because the CFO's presentation at a major industry conference offers an opportunity to hear directly from company leadership about its business.

MP Q2 Earnings Call Focuses on Magnet Ramp and Rare Earth Expansion

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026positive

MP Materials' Q2 earnings call focused on its magnet ramp-up and rare earth expansion, targeting Q3 NdPr output above 1,000 tons, Q4 commercial magnet shipments, and growth into heavy rare earth products.

Why it matters — The call outlines MP's near-term production milestones in magnets and heavy rare earths, which are central to its downstream expansion strategy.

MP Materials Stock Rises After the Q2 Revenue Beat

Benzinga · 7 Aug 2026positive

MP Materials Corp. shares rose on Friday after the company reported second-quarter revenue that exceeded analyst expectations.

Why it matters — A revenue beat and corresponding share price increase signal stronger-than-expected financial performance for the rare earth materials company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MP stock

What is the MP stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 18 Wall Street analysts covering MP Materials Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $78, with estimates ranging from $60 to $100. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MP stock a buy right now?

Of the 18 analysts covering MP Materials Corp., 18 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MP Materials Corp. 34 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MP?

As at 8 Aug 2026, MP Materials Corp. ranks 34 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (89 of 100).

Will MP stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +41.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MP Materials Corp. 34 out of 100 as at 8 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MP Materials Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $100 over the next 12 months.

How has MP stock performed over the past year?

MP Materials Corp. returned -26.5% over the 12 months to 10 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MP Materials Corp. do?

MP Materials Corp. is a rare earth materials company that produces and markets specialty materials used in advanced manufacturing and high-performance technologies.

What is the latest news on MP?

The most recent item we track (24/7 Wall Street, 10 Aug 2026): "MP Materials (MP) Stock Is Rising Today: What's Behind the Rally in Rare Earth Stocks?". MP Materials shares extended a powerful rebound, trading up 6.76% to $54.56 in the Monday session after opening at $51.11. The rally in rare earth stocks is being highlighted as the reason behind the move.

Company

About MP Materials Corp.

MP Materials Corp. is a rare earth materials company that produces and markets specialty materials used in advanced manufacturing and high-performance technologies. The company operates through two main segments: Materials, which includes mining, processing, and refining rare earth ore into usable products, and Magnetics, which focuses on magnetic precursor materials and permanent magnet manufacturing. Its operations are centered on the Mountain Pass facility in California, a key domestic source of rare earth output in the United States. MP Materials supplies materials that support transportation, energy, robotics, defense, and aerospace applications, making it an important part of the rare earth supply chain. Headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, MP Materials focuses on serving industrial customers that rely on critical minerals and magnet products for modern technology and manufacturing.

CEO Mr. James Henry Litinsky · 998 employees · United States · https://mpmaterials.com