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USAR Stock Forecast: USA Rare Earth, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$19
+12.54% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering USA Rare Earth, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $37 — +92.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 11 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$4.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
11 / 100
Median analyst target
$37
Analysts covering
8
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.7%
1M
+21.9%
YTD
+61.8%
1Y
+26.1%
From 52W high
−50.2%
From 52W low
+61.8%
$12
$39
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

USAR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores USA Rare Earth, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
11 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
47
Volatility
44
Momentum
41
Accruals
35
Issuance
33
Value
30
Size
25
Growth
17
Quality
17

Revisions (47): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Quality (17): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

USAR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on USAR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$20$30$40$50Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26USARHigh $45Median $37Low $30

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says8 analysts
8 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $30Median $37High $45

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +92.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
22 July 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$39 → $33
21 July 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy$40 → $30
1 June 2026NeedhamInitiatesBuy—
1 June 2026NeedhamInitiatesBuy$39
14 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
14 May 2026WedbushReiteratesOutperform—
12 May 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform—
21 Apr 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
20 Apr 2026WedbushInitiatesOutperform—
31 Mar 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
30 Jan 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
27 Jan 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
27 Jan 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy—
7 Nov 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
20 Oct 2025William BlairInitiatesOutperform—
30 Sept 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
1 Aug 2025Cantor FitzgeraldInitiatesOverweight—
13 June 2025Canaccord GenuityInitiatesBuy—
29 May 2025Roth CapitalInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. USAR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

USAR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.1×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / sales
358.0×

Cheaper than 2% of US stocks

Price / book
2.2×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−29.7×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
246.8%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
1.9%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Operating margin
−795.6%

Higher than 6% of US stocks

Net margin
11.9%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−23.6%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Return on assets
−4.4%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

USAR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOther Industrial Metals & Mining
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
USARUSA Rare Earth, Inc.$4.7B
11
MTRNMaterion Corp.$4.8B
73
SSMRSunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co.$2.7B
0
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.$2.4B
5
TMCTMC the metals co., Inc.$2.1B
5
MPMP Materials Corp.$10.7B
29
NEXANexa Resources SA$2.0B
97

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own USA Rare Earth, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest USAR news & analysis

USA Rare Earth Stock Surges as Federal Battery and Critical Mineral Grants Boost Sector

Benzinga · 21 Aug 2026positive

USA Rare Earth Inc. (NASDAQ:USAR) shares surged Friday afternoon, joining a broad rally across critical metal and mineral processing equities. The move came amid news of federal battery and critical mineral grants boosting the sector.

Why it matters — For USAR watchers, this signals that federal support for critical minerals is lifting investor attention and trading momentum toward the company's sector.

USA Rare Earth Rises 8%, Critical Metals Jumps 10%, MP Materials Climbs 5% as the Resource Sector Catches a Bid

24/7 Wall Street · 21 Aug 2026positive

USA Rare Earth rose 8%, while Critical Metals jumped 10% and MP Materials climbed 5%, as a broad bid ran through the critical-resources complex on Friday morning even as the S&P 500 barely moved.

Why it matters — A USAR watcher would care because the move reflects a broad uptick across the critical-resources sector that includes USA Rare Earth's shares.

Is USA Rare Earth Under $20 a Bargain or a Trap?

The Motley Fool · 21 Aug 2026neutral

The Motley Fool examines whether USA Rare Earth below $20 is a bargain or a trap. The article notes the company has significant promise but little revenue and no profits, which makes it difficult to value.

Why it matters — USAR watchers would care because the piece highlights the challenge of valuing the company given its lack of revenue and profitability.

United States Antimony Jumps 8% on $100M Buyback, USA Rare Earth Slips, MP Materials Holds Flat

24/7 Wall Street · 19 Aug 2026negative

The article reports that United States Antimony (NYSE:UAMY) stock rose 8% midday Wednesday to $5.63 after its board authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million. Meanwhile, USA Rare Earth shares slipped and MP Materials held flat, according to the headline.

Why it matters — A USAR watcher would care because the piece tracks sector peer movements, indicating USA Rare Earth shares were down while other rare earth and antimony names moved.

Rare Earth Stocks Drop Tuesday as AI Fears Grow: USA Rare Earth and MP Materials Slide

24/7 Wall Street · 18 Aug 2026negative

Rare earth miners, including USA Rare Earth and MP Materials, fell into Tuesday's close as investors sold off AI-adjacent trades amid growing AI-related concerns.

Why it matters — A USAR watcher would care because the company's stock moved lower alongside the broader rare earth sector as investor sentiment turned against AI-linked trades.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about USAR stock

What is the USAR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering USA Rare Earth, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $37, with estimates ranging from $30 to $45. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is USAR stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering USA Rare Earth, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks USA Rare Earth, Inc. 11 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank USAR?

As at 22 Aug 2026, USA Rare Earth, Inc. ranks 11 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (47 of 100).

Will USAR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +92.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks USA Rare Earth, Inc. 11 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the USAR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering USA Rare Earth, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for USAR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $30 to $45 over the next 12 months.

How has USAR stock performed over the past year?

USA Rare Earth, Inc. returned +26.1% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does USA Rare Earth, Inc. do?

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a materials company focused on mining, processing, and supplying rare earth elements and other critical minerals.

What is the latest news on USAR?

The most recent item we track (Benzinga, 21 Aug 2026): "USA Rare Earth Stock Surges as Federal Battery and Critical Mineral Grants Boost Sector". USA Rare Earth Inc. (NASDAQ:USAR) shares surged Friday afternoon, joining a broad rally across critical metal and mineral processing equities. The move came amid news of federal battery and critical mineral grants boosting the sector.

Company

About USA Rare Earth, Inc.

USA Rare Earth, Inc. is a materials company focused on mining, processing, and supplying rare earth elements and other critical minerals. The company concentrates on heavy rare earth elements and the production of permanent magnets, key inputs for advanced technologies and electrified systems. Its activities span a vertically integrated value chain, from resource development at the Round Top deposit in Texas to downstream processing and magnet manufacturing in the United States and selected international locations. USA Rare Earth’s products are used across sectors such as defense, electric vehicles, renewable energy, semiconductors, data centers, industrial automation, and healthcare. By emphasizing domestic and allied-sourced materials and magnet production, the company plays a significant role in efforts to diversify and secure supply chains for critical minerals that underpin modern electronics, energy transition technologies, and strategic industries. Founded in 2019 and headquartered in Stillwater, Oklahoma, USA Rare Earth operates within the broader materials sector as a specialized provider of rare earth–based inputs to manufacturers and system integrators globally.

CEO Ms. Barbara W. Humpton · 132 employees · United States · https://www.usare.com