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MZTIMZTIConsumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

MZTI Stock Forecast: The Marzetti Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$101
+0.26% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering The Marzetti Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $140 — +38.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 38 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$2.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
38 / 100
Median analyst target
$140
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$465.0M+1.6% y/y
Operating income$39.7M
Net income$48.3M
Free cash flow$32.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.8%
1M
−1.7%
YTD
−37.0%
1Y
−36.9%
From 52W high
−40.4%
From 52W low
+2.0%
$99
$170
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MZTI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Marzetti Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
38 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
94
Volatility
79
Value
76
Growth
45
Issuance
40
Revisions
35
Accruals
34
Size
31
Momentum
12

Quality (94): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (12): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MZTI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MZTI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MZTIHigh $185Median $140Low $103

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
2 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $103Median $140High $185

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +38.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
26 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral$168 → $130
26 Aug 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight$140
6 May 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 May 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight$160 → $140
27 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
16 Mar 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
4 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
4 Feb 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
3 Feb 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight—
12 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
28 Oct 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
11 Sept 2025Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight—
28 Aug 2025Stephens & Co.ReiteratesEqual-Weight—
22 Aug 2025BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
1 May 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
10 Feb 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsNeutral—
5 Feb 2025Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MZTI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MZTI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, The Marzetti Co. returned −36.9% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MZTI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MZTIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MZTI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−6.5%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

The Marzetti Co. (MZTI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.5×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 60% of US stocks

Price / book
2.6×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.8×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−2.2%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
48.5%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Gross margin
24.5%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Operating margin
10.9%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Net margin
9.9%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
18.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.3%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.9%

Higher than 90% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

The Marzetti Co. (MZTI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • The Marzetti Co. has a market value of $2.8B and an enterprise value of $3.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.9B. The latest quarter shrank 2.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $177.0M, a 9.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $6.44.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $226.1M.

  • The Marzetti Co. spent $41.6M on share buybacks and $108.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 27.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 14.5×; forward P/E: 14.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.95%, paying out 57% of earnings.

  • The Marzetti Co. employs 3,500 people — $546K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MZTI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelPackaged Foods
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MZTIThe Marzetti Co.$2.8B
38
CENTCentral Garden & Pet Co.$2.4B
96
FRPTFreshpet, Inc.$3.3B
65
CENTACentral Garden & Pet Co.$2.2B
—
POSTPost Holdings, Inc.$3.5B
59
UTZUTZ Brands, Inc.$2.0B
50
NOMDNomad Foods Ltd.$1.7B
66

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Marzetti Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MZTI news & analysis

The Marzetti Company Expands New York Bakery Portfolio with New Baked Bites, Cheesy Focaccia, and Garlic Bread Loaves

Business Wire · 29 Sept 2026positive

The Marzetti Company announced a major expansion of its New York Bakery portfolio with three new product lines: Baked Bites, Cheesy Focaccia, and Garlic Bread loaves. The launches mark the brand's first entry into the frozen snacks category while extending its leadership in frozen bread to new formats and eating occasions.

Why it matters — The expansion broadens New York Bakery's product reach into new categories and occasions, potentially widening the brand's market presence for MZTI watchers.

The Dividend Kings Ranked By Quality Scores (September 2026)

Seeking Alpha · 18 Sept 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article ranks Dividend Kings—companies with 50+ years of dividend increases—using a 9F Quality Score framework that blends qualitative and quantitative factors. The article highlights ADP as the strongest total-return candidate among the ranked companies.

Why it matters — MZTI watchers would care because the ranking's quality-scoring methodology and focus on long-term dividend reliability provide broader context on how large, established dividend payers (including peers or potential comparables) are being evaluated.

Marzetti Stock Confirms Reversal on Earnings Strength, Dividend Growth

MarketBeat · 26 Aug 2026positive

The Marzetti Company's stock advanced following its fiscal Q4 release, confirming a head and shoulders reversal after declining in prior quarters. The report highlighted the company's cash flow production as a key strength.

Why it matters — A MZTI watcher would care because the Q4 results signal a potential turnaround in the stock's trend, with the company's cash flow generation highlighted as its core strength.

Consumers are ‘CHANGING THEIR BEHAVIOR': Marzetti CEO

Fox Business · 26 Aug 2026neutral

Marzetti President and CEO Dave Ciesinski discussed on Fox Business's "The Claman Countdown" how the cyclospora outbreak has affected the company's salad mix and dressing business, alongside the impact of inflation on consumer behavior.

Why it matters — A food-safety outbreak affecting its core salad and dressing products, combined with inflation-driven consumer behavior changes, could materially affect Marzetti's sales and demand outlook.

The Marzetti Company (MZTI) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 25 Aug 2026neutral

The Marzetti Company held its Q4 2026 earnings call, the transcript of which was published by Seeking Alpha. The excerpt provides the call's heading and source but no specific financial results or management commentary.

Why it matters — A MZTI watcher would care because this transcript is the primary record of management's fiscal year-end performance discussion and outlook commentary.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MZTI stock

What is the MZTI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering The Marzetti Co. have a median 12-month price target of $140, with estimates ranging from $103 to $185. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MZTI stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering The Marzetti Co., 2 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Marzetti Co. 38 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MZTI?

As at 14 Oct 2026, The Marzetti Co. ranks 38 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (94 of 100).

Will MZTI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +38.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Marzetti Co. 38 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MZTI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Marzetti Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MZTI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $103 to $185 over the next 12 months.

How has MZTI stock performed over the past year?

The Marzetti Co. returned -36.9% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Marzetti Co. do?

The Marzetti Company is a specialty food manufacturer and marketer focused on products for retail and foodservice customers in the United States. Its portfolio includes dressings, dips, sauces, frozen breads, dinner rolls, croutons, pasta, and other meal accompaniments sold under brands such as Marzetti, New York Bakery, Sister Schubert’s, and Flatout.

What is the latest news on MZTI?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 29 Sept 2026): "The Marzetti Company Expands New York Bakery Portfolio with New Baked Bites, Cheesy Focaccia, and Garlic Bread Loaves". The Marzetti Company announced a major expansion of its New York Bakery portfolio with three new product lines: Baked Bites, Cheesy Focaccia, and Garlic Bread loaves. The launches mark the brand's first entry into the frozen snacks category while extending its leadership in frozen bread to new formats and eating occasions.

Company

About The Marzetti Co.

The Marzetti Company is a specialty food manufacturer and marketer focused on products for retail and foodservice customers in the United States. Its portfolio includes dressings, dips, sauces, frozen breads, dinner rolls, croutons, pasta, and other meal accompaniments sold under brands such as Marzetti, New York Bakery, Sister Schubert’s, and Flatout. The company also supplies custom-formulated foods and licensed products to restaurant chains and other commercial customers, giving it a broad presence across both grocery aisles and foodservice kitchens. The Marzetti Company operates through Retail and Foodservice segments, positioning it as a diversified participant in the packaged foods market with a product mix centered on everyday meal solutions and flavor-focused pantry staples.

CEO Mr. David A. Ciesinski · 3,500 employees · United States · https://www.marzetticompany.com