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NCMI Stock Forecast: National CineMedia, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$2.21
+0.45% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering National CineMedia, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $4.63 — +109.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$203.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
64 / 100
Median analyst target
$4.63
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$58.4M+12.7% y/y
Operating income−$12.8M
Net income−$9.9M
Free cash flow−$2.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.2%
1M
−9.4%
YTD
−42.1%
1Y
−48.6%
From 52W high
−49.1%
From 52W low
+4.7%
$2.11
$4.34
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

NCMI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores National CineMedia, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
91
Accruals
85
Volatility
81
Value
80
Size
67
Quality
55
Revisions
38
Issuance
25
Momentum
14

Growth (91): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Momentum (14): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NCMI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NCMI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$2.00$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NCMIHigh $6.00Median $4.63Low $3.75

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
3 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $3.75Median $4.63High $6.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +109.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 Aug 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform$6.00 → $5.00
12 May 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform$6.50 → $6.00
12 May 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform—
26 Jan 2026Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
22 Jan 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
7 Jan 2026BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
31 Oct 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
4 Aug 2025WedbushMaintainsOutperform—
25 June 2025BenchmarkMaintainsBuy—
14 Mar 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
14 Mar 2025WedbushUpgradeOutperform—
7 Mar 2025Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
7 Mar 2025BenchmarkReiteratesBuy—
6 Nov 2024Barrington ResearchMaintainsOutperform—
23 Sept 2024BenchmarkReiteratesBuy$8.00
16 Aug 2024B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
15 Aug 2024BenchmarkUpgradeBuy—
6 Aug 2024Barrington ResearchUpgradeOutperform—
6 Aug 2024BenchmarkReiteratesSpeculative Buy—
17 June 2024BenchmarkReiteratesSpeculative Buy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NCMI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

NCMI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, National CineMedia, Inc. returned −48.6% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NCMI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26NCMIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NCMI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
0.4×

Cheaper than 72% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

Price / book
0.6×

Cheaper than 82% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.5×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
29.3%

Higher than 33% of US stocks

Operating margin
−21.9%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Net margin
−3.1%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−2.3%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Return on assets
−1.9%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.8%

Higher than 84% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • National CineMedia, Inc. has a market value of $203.2M and an enterprise value of $182.0M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $249.0M. The latest quarter grew 12.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$7.6M, a −3.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.09.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $19.3M.

  • National CineMedia, Inc. spent $4.6M on share buybacks and $11.4M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 94.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 0.4×; forward P/E: 18.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.77%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • National CineMedia, Inc. employs 248 people — $1.0M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 7 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NCMI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAdvertising Agencies
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
NCMINational CineMedia, Inc.$203.2M
64
TJGCTJGC Group Ltd.$333.3M
18
PERIPerion Network Ltd.$353.3M
94
ADVAdvantage Solutions, Inc. (California)$400.6M
90
NEXNNexxen International Ltd.$504.8M
89
FLNTFluent, Inc.$85.4M
85
TSQTownsquare Media, Inc.$80.8M
64

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own National CineMedia, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NCMI news & analysis

National CineMedia, Inc. Completes Acquisition of Captivate

Business Wire · 21 Sept 2026positive

National CineMedia, Inc. announced that on September 18, 2026 it completed its previously announced acquisition of Captivate Holdings, LLC, a leading operator of office and residential digital video advertising in North America, for an enterprise value of $275.0 million.

Why it matters — The acquisition marks a key step in advancing NCM's strategy to build a broader premium cinema advertising platform.

National CineMedia Posts Downbeat Q2 Results, Joins Borr Drilling, AbCellera Biologics And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Wednesday's Pre-Market Session

Benzinga · 12 Aug 2026negative

National CineMedia posted downbeat second-quarter results and was among the big stocks moving lower in Wednesday's pre-market session, even as U.S. stock futures were mostly higher with the Nasdaq 100 gaining more than 150 points.

Why it matters — An NCMI watcher would care because the company's weaker-than-expected Q2 results appear to be dragging its stock lower in pre-market trading.

National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of National CineMedia, Inc.'s (NCMI) Q2 2026 earnings call. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter 2026 financial results and management discussion.

Why it matters — NCMI watchers can review the Q2 2026 earnings call transcript to understand the company's latest financial performance and management commentary.

National CineMedia Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 12 Aug 2026positive

National CineMedia reported higher second-quarter revenue and advertising sales driven by increased theater attendance, and announced a definitive agreement to acquire Captivate, a digital elevator and lobby advertising operator, for an enterprise value of $275 million.

Why it matters — The acquisition of Captivate expands NCMI's advertising reach beyond movie theaters into digital out-of-home venues like elevators and lobbies, potentially diversifying its revenue streams.

National CineMedia (NCMI) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research examined National CineMedia's Q2 2026 revenue and EPS, comparing the results against Wall Street estimates and the prior year's figures.

Why it matters — The article provides a metric-by-metric performance check that helps NCMI watchers gauge how the company's quarterly results measured up to analyst expectations.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NCMI stock

What is the NCMI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering National CineMedia, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $4.63, with estimates ranging from $3.75 to $6. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is NCMI stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering National CineMedia, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks National CineMedia, Inc. 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NCMI?

As at 8 Oct 2026, National CineMedia, Inc. ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (91 of 100).

Will NCMI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +109.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks National CineMedia, Inc. 64 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the NCMI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering National CineMedia, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NCMI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3.75 to $6 over the next 12 months.

How has NCMI stock performed over the past year?

National CineMedia, Inc. returned -48.6% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does National CineMedia, Inc. do?

National CineMedia, Inc. is a cinema advertising company that operates one of the largest in-theater media networks in the United States.

What is the latest news on NCMI?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 21 Sept 2026): "National CineMedia, Inc. Completes Acquisition of Captivate". National CineMedia, Inc. announced that on September 18, 2026 it completed its previously announced acquisition of Captivate Holdings, LLC, a leading operator of office and residential digital video advertising in North America, for an enterprise value of $275.0 million.

Company

About National CineMedia, Inc.

National CineMedia, Inc. is a cinema advertising company that operates one of the largest in-theater media networks in the United States. Through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, the company sells advertising and promotional content to national, regional, and local brands across movie screens, lobby display systems, and other theater-based digital placements. Its flagship Noovie pre-show entertainment and Lobby Entertainment Network are designed to reach audiences in a highly attentive, entertainment-focused environment. National CineMedia also supports broader out-of-home advertising and branded promotions tied to the moviegoing experience, making it a key marketing platform for advertisers seeking access to theater audiences. Headquartered in Centennial, Colorado, National CineMedia, Inc. focuses on connecting brands with consumers through premium cinema environments.

CEO Mr. Thomas F. Lesinski · 248 employees · United States · https://www.ncm.com