NHCHealthcare · Medical Care Facilities

NHC Stock Forecast: National HealthCare Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026

$234

+1.34% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 67 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap

$3.6B

Ticker Nerd rank

67 / 100

Median analyst target

—

Analysts covering

Revenue$408.0M+8.8% y/y

Operating income$48.9M

Net income$40.5M

Free cash flow$30.7M

Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown

Total return, dividends reinvested

+6.0%

+3.3%

YTD

+72.8%

+95.9%

From 52W high

−0.7%

From 52W low

+99.2%

$118

$236

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

NHC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores National HealthCare Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026

67 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum

Volatility

Issuance

Quality

Accruals

Growth

Value

Size

Revisions

Momentum (99): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Revisions (25): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

NHC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NHC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NHC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Performance

NHC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, National HealthCare Corp. returned +95.9% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

NHC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

NHC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

National HealthCare Corp. (NHC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 26.0×
Price / sales: 2.3×
Price / book: 3.2×
EV / EBITDA: 18.1×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 8.8%
Earnings growth (YoY): 70.0%
Gross margin: 40.7%
Operating margin: 12.0%
Net margin: 9.0%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: 13.3%
Return on assets: 5.8%
Dividend yield: 1.2%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

National HealthCare Corp. (NHC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

National HealthCare Corp. has a market value of $3.6B and an enterprise value of $3.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B. The latest quarter grew 8.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $142.8M, a 9.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $8.89.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $146.5M.
National HealthCare Corp. spent $31.9M on share buybacks and $39.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Shares outstanding: 15.7M.
Trailing P/E: 26.0×; forward P/E: 538.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 1.16%, paying out 29% of earnings.
National HealthCare Corp. employs 15,278 people — $102K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

NHC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelMedical Care Facilities

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
NHCNational HealthCare Corp.	$3.6B	67
ACHCAcadia Healthcare Co., Inc.	$2.9B	51
CONConcentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.	$4.8B	96
LFSTLifestance Health Group, Inc.	$4.9B	94
OPCHOption Care Health, Inc.	$4.9B	85
AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc.	$2.7B	88
GRDNGuardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.	$2.6B	81

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own National HealthCare Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest NHC news & analysis

National HealthCare: Improving Business Metrics Drive Future Operating Leverage

Seeking Alpha · 6 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha says National HealthCare’s improving occupancy, reimbursement rates and operating metrics, alongside a recent $560 million real estate acquisition, may support operating leverage and earnings growth. The article also points to demographic trends and industry supply constraints.

Why it matters — NHC watchers may care that the article links these operational and industry factors to stronger cash flow, pricing power and future earnings growth.

Dangerous surf, heavy rains hit Mexico as Hurricane Polo tracks offshore

Reuters · 24 Sept 2026neutral

Heavy surf and rain hit southwestern Mexico as "extremely powerful" Hurricane Polo crawled northwest offshore the mainland, according to a Thursday bulletin from the US National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Why it matters — An NHC watcher would care because the report tracks storm activity and coastal conditions along Mexico's southwestern shoreline as Hurricane Polo moves offshore.

NHC says 50% chance of cyclone formation in next 48 hours off Louisiana coast

Reuters · 30 Aug 2026neutral

The U.S. National Hurricane Center said on Sunday that an area of low pressure about 125 miles south of the southeastern Louisiana coast has roughly a 50% chance of forming into a cyclone within the next 48 hours.

Why it matters — NHC watchers would care because the agency is flagging an elevated chance of tropical cyclone development near the Louisiana coast over the next two days.

NHC Reports Second Quarter 2026 Earnings

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026positive

National HealthCare Corporation reported second quarter 2026 net operating revenues of $408,025,000, up 8.8% from $374,910,000 in the same quarter of 2025. The increase was primarily attributed to the June 1, 2026 acquisition of five skilled nursing facilities.

Why it matters — The revenue growth, driven by the acquisition of five skilled nursing facilities, signals an expansion of NHC's operating base and scale.

NHC Announces Common Dividend

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026positive

National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) announced it will pay a quarterly dividend of 67 cents per common share to shareholders of record on September 30, 2026, with payment scheduled for October 30, 2026.

Why it matters — NHC watchers would care because the company is continuing to return capital to shareholders via a recurring quarterly dividend, which is a notable indicator of its financial position for the nation's oldest publicly traded long-term health care company.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about NHC stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank NHC?

As at 14 Oct 2026, National HealthCare Corp. ranks 67 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (99 of 100).

What is the NHC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering National HealthCare Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NHC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has NHC stock performed over the past year?

National HealthCare Corp. returned +95.9% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does National HealthCare Corp. do?

National HealthCare Corp. is a senior healthcare company that provides a broad range of long-term and post-acute care services across the United States.

What is the latest news on NHC?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 6 Oct 2026): "National HealthCare: Improving Business Metrics Drive Future Operating Leverage". Seeking Alpha says National HealthCare’s improving occupancy, reimbursement rates and operating metrics, alongside a recent $560 million real estate acquisition, may support operating leverage and earnings growth. The article also points to demographic trends and industry supply constraints.

Company

About National HealthCare Corp.

National HealthCare Corp. is a senior healthcare company that provides a broad range of long-term and post-acute care services across the United States. National HealthCare Corp. operates skilled nursing facilities, assisted living communities, independent living facilities, home care agencies, hospice services, and behavioral health hospitals, serving older adults and patients recovering from illness or surgery. Its operations also include rehabilitation, memory care, intermediate nursing care, and home health services, which support patients in different stages of care. The company works through its Inpatient Services and Homecare and Hospice Services segments, giving it exposure to both facility-based care and coordinated community-based care. In addition, National HealthCare Corp. provides management, accounting, financial, and insurance services to third-party healthcare operators, making it an important service provider in the senior care market.

CEO Dr. Stephen Fowler Flatt · 15,278 employees · United States · https://www.nhccare.com