NVMITechnology · Semiconductor Equipment & MaterialsThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Nova Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $525 — +41.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 37 of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Nova Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (92): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Issuance (13): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NVMI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +41.1% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $595 → $550 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $600 → $500 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $600 → $475 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | $640 → $570 |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $494 → $540 |
| 15 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 May 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 May 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Barclays | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Needham | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 13 Jan 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Benchmark | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 24 June 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 24 June 2025 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. NVMI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Nova Ltd. returned +48.3% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 7% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Nova Ltd. has a market value of $11.8B and an enterprise value of $11.6B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $937.5M. The latest quarter grew 15.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $270.4M, a 28.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $8.08.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $189.8M.
Nova Ltd. spent $15.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 46.3×; forward P/E: 27.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Nova Ltd. employs 1,612 people — $582K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Nova Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Nova announced that its board of directors has authorized a new share repurchase program, allowing the company to buy back up to $200 million of its ordinary shares.
Why it matters — This program signals management's confidence in the company and could support shareholder value through potential share buybacks.
Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing Amkor Technology (AMKR) and Nova Ltd. (NVMI) as value investment options within the Electronics-Semiconductors sector, examining which of the two stocks presents the better value opportunity at present.
Why it matters — Nova Ltd. watchers would care because the article provides a comparative value assessment of NVMI against a peer in the semiconductor sector, offering context on how NVMI is currently positioned.
Nova reported record Q2 revenue and earnings, driven by strong demand for Gate-All-Around (GAA) and advanced-packaging technologies, and issued an upbeat Q3 outlook.
Why it matters — The results and outlook suggest Nova's business momentum is supported by key semiconductor technology trends that investors track.
Seeking Alpha assigns Nova a buy rating, highlighting its diversified multi-physics metrology platform and strong execution across logic, packaging, and chemical markets. Advanced packaging now contributes roughly 25% of product revenue, supporting record sales and earnings growth.
Why it matters — NVMI watchers would note that the advanced packaging segment's growing share validates the company's strategic pivot and underpins its record financial performance.
Nova announced that senior management, including CFO Guy Kizner, will take part in three investor conferences in August and September 2026: the Needham 7th Annual Virtual Semiconductor and SemiCap Conference (August 19), Citi 2026 Global Technology Conference (September 8 in New York), and StoneX 2026 Tech, Media & Telecom Conference (September 10 in New York), with one-on-one meetings available.
Why it matters — NVMI watchers would care as these conference appearances give investors opportunities for direct engagement with Nova's senior management about its metrology and process control business.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Nova Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $525, with estimates ranging from $461 to $600. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Nova Ltd., 7 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Nova Ltd. 37 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 5 Sept 2026, Nova Ltd. ranks 37 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +41.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Nova Ltd. 37 out of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Nova Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NVMI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $461 to $600 over the next 12 months.
Nova Ltd. returned +48.3% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Nova Ltd. Ordinary Shares is the equity security of Nova Ltd., a Rehovot, Israel-based company focused on metrology and process control solutions for semiconductor manufacturing.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 2 Sept 2026): "Nova Announces $200M Share Repurchase Program". Nova announced that its board of directors has authorized a new share repurchase program, allowing the company to buy back up to $200 million of its ordinary shares.
Nova Ltd. Ordinary Shares is the equity security of Nova Ltd., a Rehovot, Israel-based company focused on metrology and process control solutions for semiconductor manufacturing. The company develops and supplies advanced measurement systems and software used to monitor and control critical production steps across the chip fabrication process. Its portfolio includes dimensional metrology, materials metrology, chemical metrology, and modeling and software tools designed to support process optimization in semiconductor fabs. Nova serves a broad range of semiconductor industry participants, including logic, foundry, memory, packaging, and process equipment manufacturers. Through its combination of hardware and software, Nova Ltd. helps manufacturers improve process visibility and maintain precision in highly complex production environments.
CEO Mr. Gabriel Waisman · 1,612 employees · Israel · https://www.novami.com
