NVMITechnology · Semiconductor Equipment & MaterialsThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Nova Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $500 — +69.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Nova Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (90): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Issuance (13): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on NVMI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +69.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Downgrade | Neutral | $550 → $415 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $595 → $550 |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $600 → $500 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $600 → $475 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | $640 → $570 |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $494 → $540 |
| 15 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 15 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 15 May 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 May 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Barclays | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Needham | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 13 Jan 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
NVMI appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
AI cloud capacity
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AI chips
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AI networking and serversIn full
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Data centre power
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Nova Ltd. returned −9.8% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 20% of US stocks
Cheaper than 13% of US stocks
Cheaper than 14% of US stocks
Cheaper than 7% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Nova Ltd. has a market value of $9.6B and an enterprise value of $9.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $937.5M. The latest quarter grew 15.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $270.4M, a 28.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $8.08.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $189.8M.
Nova Ltd. spent $15.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 37.8×; forward P/E: 22.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Nova Ltd. employs 1,612 people — $582K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Nova Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Nova announced it will host an Investor Day on March 9, 2027, at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York City. Those interested in attending in person can RSVP through the company’s event link.
Why it matters — NVMI watchers may note the date and location of the company’s upcoming investor event.
Zacks Investment Research compares United Microelectronics Corporation (UMC) and Nova Ltd. (NVMI) as potential value opportunities in the Electronics - Semiconductors sector.
Why it matters — The item frames NVMI alongside UMC in a comparison focused on relative value.
Nova announced that it expects to release its third-quarter 2026 financial results before the Nasdaq market opens on November 5, 2026. A conference call is scheduled for the same day at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time.
Why it matters — NVMI watchers can note the date and time when the company plans to report results and discuss them on a conference call.
TSMC is expanding its advanced-packaging capacity as demand from Nvidia and other chip designers grows. KLA, Camtek, and Nova are identified as suppliers of inspection and metrology equipment used to protect manufacturing yields.
Why it matters — Nova is named as one of the three equipment makers positioned to benefit from TSMC's advanced-packaging expansion, which is relevant to the company's demand outlook.
Nova Ltd. presented at Citi's 2026 Global TMT Conference, with a transcript of the event published by Seeking Alpha. The presentation covered the company's activities at the industry conference.
Why it matters — NVMI watchers would care because the conference presentation offers insight into the company's positioning and messaging to the investment community.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Nova Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $500, with estimates ranging from $415 to $600. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Nova Ltd., 6 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Nova Ltd. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Nova Ltd. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (90 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +69.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Nova Ltd. 35 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Nova Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for NVMI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $415 to $600 over the next 12 months.
Nova Ltd. returned -9.8% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Nova Ltd. Ordinary Shares is the equity security of Nova Ltd., a Rehovot, Israel-based company focused on metrology and process control solutions for semiconductor manufacturing.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 2 Nov 2026): "Save the Date: Nova to Host Investor Day on March 9, 2027". Nova announced it will host an Investor Day on March 9, 2027, at the Nasdaq MarketSite in New York City. Those interested in attending in person can RSVP through the company’s event link.
Nova Ltd. Ordinary Shares is the equity security of Nova Ltd., a Rehovot, Israel-based company focused on metrology and process control solutions for semiconductor manufacturing. The company develops and supplies advanced measurement systems and software used to monitor and control critical production steps across the chip fabrication process. Its portfolio includes dimensional metrology, materials metrology, chemical metrology, and modeling and software tools designed to support process optimization in semiconductor fabs. Nova serves a broad range of semiconductor industry participants, including logic, foundry, memory, packaging, and process equipment manufacturers. Through its combination of hardware and software, Nova Ltd. helps manufacturers improve process visibility and maintain precision in highly complex production environments.
CEO Mr. Gabriel Waisman · 1,612 employees · Israel · https://www.novami.com
