ONTOONTOTechnology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

ONTO Stock Forecast: Onto Innovation, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$241
−8.40% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Onto Innovation, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $395 — +63.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$12.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
52 / 100
Median analyst target
$395
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$343.1M+35.3% y/y
Operating income$67.3M
Net income$60.1M
Free cash flow$57.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−20.7%
1M
−3.5%
YTD
+52.9%
1Y
+85.2%
From 52W high
−36.2%
From 52W low
+94.5%
$124
$378
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ONTO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Onto Innovation, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 14 Oct 2026
52 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
98
Momentum
68
Quality
60
Value
59
Volatility
46
Accruals
38
Growth
38
Issuance
27
Size
14

Revisions (98): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Issuance (27): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (14): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ONTO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ONTO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$200$300$400$500Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ONTOHigh $450Median $395Low $330

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
12 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $330Median $395High $450

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +63.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Oct 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform$400
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$383 → $360
8 Sept 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
17 Aug 2026Goldman SachsInitiatesBuy—
17 Aug 2026Goldman SachsInitiatesBuy$400
7 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$350 → $390
7 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
7 Aug 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$350 → $400
7 Aug 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy$330 → $360
7 Aug 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
29 June 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
29 June 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$350 → $410
22 June 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform—
22 June 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$370 → $450
17 June 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatesBuy—
5 June 2026Deutsche BankInitiatesBuy—
6 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
20 Apr 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
17 Apr 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ONTO appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ONTO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Onto Innovation, Inc. returned +85.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ONTO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ONTOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ONTO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+12.7%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Onto Innovation, Inc. (ONTO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
99.1×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
11.5×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Price / book
6.7×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
42.1×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.3%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
77.2%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Gross margin
53.4%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Operating margin
23.0%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Net margin
11.8%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
6.8%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Onto Innovation, Inc. (ONTO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Onto Innovation, Inc. has a market value of $12.9B and an enterprise value of $13.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B. The latest quarter grew 35.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $132.6M, a 11.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.66.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $252.5M.

  • Onto Innovation, Inc. spent $205.0M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 49.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 99.1×; forward P/E: 22.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Onto Innovation, Inc. employs 1,867 people — $600K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ONTO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSemiconductor Equipment & Materials
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ONTOOnto Innovation, Inc.$12.9B
52
AMKRAmkor Technology, Inc.$11.1B
66
NVMINova Ltd.$10.1B
43
FORMFormFactor, Inc.$9.4B
76
CAMTCamtek Ltd.$6.3B
22
ENTGEntegris, Inc.$23.3B
73
QQnity Electronics, Inc.$25.5B
27

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Onto Innovation, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ONTO news & analysis

Will Onto Innovation's Cash Balance Fuel Its Next Growth Phase?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Onto Innovation’s liquidity, strong cash flow and strategic investment in Rigaku as factors that could support its pursuit of AI-driven semiconductor growth opportunities.

Why it matters — The item focuses on how ONTO’s financial resources and Rigaku investment may position it to pursue growth tied to AI-driven semiconductor demand.

Onto Innovation Receives Best Partner Award from SK hynix for Hidden Defect Prevention in High Bandwidth Memory Production

Business Wire · 12 Oct 2026positive

Onto Innovation said it received SK hynix’s Best Partner Award for technology achievement at the manufacturer’s 25th Anniversary Partners Day on September 28, 2026. The award recognized Onto’s defect-prevention system and measurement technology for high-bandwidth memory applications.

Why it matters — The recognition highlights Onto’s technology contribution to defect prevention in SK hynix’s high-bandwidth memory production.

ONTO's $1.1 Billion Backlog: Can Growth Accelerate Into 2027?

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Oct 2026positive

Onto Innovation's backlog has more than doubled to $1.1 billion, as AI infrastructure spending accelerates demand for advanced packaging. The excerpt says this is boosting the company's 2026 outlook.

Why it matters — The backlog growth and its connection to advanced-packaging demand are relevant to ONTO watchers assessing the company's stated 2026 outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ONTO stock

What is the ONTO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Onto Innovation, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $395, with estimates ranging from $330 to $450. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ONTO stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Onto Innovation, Inc., 12 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Onto Innovation, Inc. 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ONTO?

As at 14 Oct 2026, Onto Innovation, Inc. ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (98 of 100).

Will ONTO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +63.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Onto Innovation, Inc. 52 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ONTO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Onto Innovation, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ONTO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $330 to $450 over the next 12 months.

How has ONTO stock performed over the past year?

Onto Innovation, Inc. returned +85.2% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Onto Innovation, Inc. do?

Onto Innovation Inc. is a semiconductor equipment and software company that provides process control solutions for microelectronics manufacturing.

What is the latest news on ONTO?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Oct 2026): "Onto Innovation (ONTO) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know". Onto Innovation closed the most recent trading day at $241.41, down 8.4% from the previous trading session, according to the excerpt.

Company

About Onto Innovation, Inc.

Onto Innovation Inc. is a semiconductor equipment and software company that provides process control solutions for microelectronics manufacturing. Onto Innovation designs, develops, manufactures, and supports systems for metrology, defect inspection, lithography, and data analysis, helping chipmakers monitor wafer quality, improve yield, and manage process reliability. Its product portfolio includes automated and integrated metrology, wafer inspection, advanced packaging lithography, yield management software, and factory analytics tools. The company serves semiconductor device manufacturers, wafer producers, and advanced packaging facilities, as well as specialty markets such as image sensors, power devices, MEMS, LEDs, and compound semiconductors. Headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts, Onto Innovation plays an important role in the semiconductor supply chain by supporting precision measurement and process optimization across manufacturing stages.

CEO Mr. Michael P. Plisinski · 1,867 employees · United States · https://www.ontoinnovation.com