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ODFL Stock Forecast: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$180
−0.42% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $232 — +29.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$37.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
84 / 100
Median analyst target
$232
Analysts covering
25
Revenue$1.6B+10.4% y/y
Operating income$465.3M
Net income$350.6M
Free cash flow$195.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
−14.0%
YTD
+15.1%
1Y
+21.1%
From 52W high
−27.6%
From 52W low
+43.2%
$126
$248
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ODFL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
84 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
95
Revisions
95
Quality
85
Momentum
66
Volatility
66
Accruals
64
Value
47
Growth
45
Size
7

Issuance (95): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (45): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ODFL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ODFL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250$300Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ODFLHigh $280Median $232Low $156

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says25 analysts
10 Buy12 Hold3 Sell
Low $156Median $232High $280

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +29.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Sept 2026BernsteinInitiatesMarket Perform$200
8 Sept 2026CitigroupUpgradeBuy$231 → $223
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$228 → $231
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$237 → $243
30 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$256 → $263
30 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$224 → $228
21 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$232 → $256
21 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
15 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$225 → $250
15 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
14 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$224 → $228
14 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral—
13 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform$224 → $241
13 July 2026Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
9 July 2026CitigroupUpgradeNeutral$228
9 July 2026CitigroupUpgradeNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ODFL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ODFL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. returned +21.1% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ODFL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ODFLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ODFL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+7.9%
Analysts raising
18
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
34.7×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.7×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Price / book
8.2×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
20.6×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
30.5%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Gross margin
36.3%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Operating margin
28.8%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
19.4%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
24.8%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Return on assets
15.8%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.6%

Higher than 12% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. has a market value of $37.4B and an enterprise value of $37.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.6B. The latest quarter grew 10.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 19.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.19.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B.

  • Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. spent $545.5M on share buybacks and $237.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 207.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 34.7×; forward P/E: 27.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.65%, paying out 22% of earnings.

  • Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. employs 20,173 people — $278K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 12 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ODFL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTrucking
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.$37.4B
84
XPOXPO, Inc.$21.4B
90
KNXKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings, Inc.$11.1B
74
SAIASaia, Inc.$9.4B
53
SNDRSchneider National, Inc.$6.0B
91
RXORXO, Inc.$3.2B
72
ARCBArcBest Corp.$3.0B
91

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ODFL news & analysis

Down 12.1% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in Old Dominion (ODFL)

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Sept 2026positive

Old Dominion (ODFL) shares have declined 12.1% in the past four weeks and are now in technically oversold territory. Wall Street analysts broadly agree in raising earnings estimates, which could support a potential trend reversal in the stock.

Why it matters — ODFL watchers would care because the combination of oversold conditions and rising analyst earnings estimates may signal a turning point for the stock's recent decline.

Old Dominion Freight Line Releases 2025 Sustainability Data Supplement

Business Wire · 4 Sept 2026neutral

Old Dominion Freight Line announced the release of its 2025 Sustainability Data Supplement, prepared with reference to SASB and GRI standards. The company received a limited assurance verification opinion for its 2025 Scope 1 data.

Why it matters — This reflects ODFL's ongoing transparency and reporting on sustainability metrics, which informs investors and stakeholders tracking the company's environmental disclosures.

40% Of My Portfolio Is In Just 3 Stocks

Seeking Alpha · 4 Sept 2026positive

An investor outlines a highly concentrated portfolio in which 40% is held across Old Dominion Freight Line, Texas Pacific Land, and LandBridge, highlighting ODFL's LTL logistics, balance sheet, and real estate advantages. The article also notes TPL and LB are pivoting toward water management and potential data center cash flows, while acknowledging execution risk.

Why it matters — An ODFL watcher would care because the piece reflects high-conviction investor confidence in the company's unique LTL positioning, financial strength, and real estate assets.

Old Dominion Unveils Solid LTL Unit Performance for August

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026positive

Old Dominion Freight Line reported August LTL revenue per day increased 12.4% year over year, driven by higher revenue per hundredweight, which offset a 0.9% decline in tons per day.

Why it matters — This signals that pricing strength is helping Old Dominion grow revenue even amid softer shipment volumes.

Old Dominion Freight Line Provides Update for Third Quarter 2026

Business Wire · 3 Sept 2026positive

Old Dominion Freight Line reported its less-than-truckload operating metrics for August 2026. Revenue per day rose 12.4% versus August 2025, driven by higher LTL revenue per hundredweight, partly offset by a 0.9% decline in LTL tons per day, which reflected a 2.4% drop in shipments per day offset by a 1.7% increase in average weight per shipment.

Why it matters — This update provides an early read on ODFL's third-quarter performance, with solid revenue growth driven by pricing despite slightly lower shipment volumes.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ODFL stock

What is the ODFL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $232, with estimates ranging from $156 to $280. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ODFL stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ODFL?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (95 of 100).

Will ODFL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +29.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 84 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ODFL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ODFL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $156 to $280 over the next 12 months.

How has ODFL stock performed over the past year?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. returned +21.1% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. do?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that specializes in less-than-truckload freight services across North America.

What is the latest news on ODFL?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 4 Sept 2026): "Down 12.1% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in Old Dominion (ODFL)". Old Dominion (ODFL) shares have declined 12.1% in the past four weeks and are now in technically oversold territory. Wall Street analysts broadly agree in raising earnings estimates, which could support a potential trend reversal in the stock.

Company

About Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that specializes in less-than-truckload freight services across North America. Old Dominion Freight Line provides regional, inter-regional, and national shipping solutions through an integrated network of service centers that support pickup, delivery, and freight tracking for business customers. Its service portfolio also includes expedited transportation, container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting, making it a broad logistics partner for manufacturers, retailers, distributors, and other commercial shippers. The company operates as a union-free organization and emphasizes time-sensitive freight movement, customer service, and network efficiency. Based in Thomasville, North Carolina, Old Dominion Freight Line plays a significant role in the North American freight market by connecting local markets with long-haul distribution channels and offering value-added services that extend beyond core LTL shipping.

CEO Mr. Kevin M. Freeman · 20,173 employees · United States · https://www.odfl.com