ODFLIndustrials · TruckingThe 24 Wall Street analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $215 — +24.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (96): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Value (46): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.
Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ODFL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 10 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $232 → $216 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $220 → $200 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $230 → $224 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $233 → $226 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $228 → $194 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $250 → $220 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $263 → $230 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | $250 → $230 |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Peer Perform | — |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Peer Perform | — |
| 5 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $250 → $232 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $232 → $202 |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Bernstein | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | Bernstein | Initiates | Market Perform | $200 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | Citigroup | Upgrade | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
ODFL appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. returned +26.5% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 24% of US stocks
Cheaper than 20% of US stocks
Cheaper than 12% of US stocks
Cheaper than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 64% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. has a market value of $35.8B and an enterprise value of $35.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.6B. The latest quarter grew 13.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 19.4% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.19.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. spent $545.5M on share buybacks and $237.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 31.0×; forward P/E: 25.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.67%, paying out 22% of earnings.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. employs 20,182 people — $278K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
The article says ODFL’s Q3 strength came from rate increases and cost control rather than tonnage growth. It describes earnings as potentially flat until tonnage recovers, while noting conditional upside if volumes improve.
Why it matters — ODFL watchers may track whether freight tonnage recovers, since the article links earnings growth and valuation upside to improved volume.
Old Dominion CEO Marty Freeman discussed lagging freight demand and said a Russian diesel deal would “not make a difference,” in an appearance on Fox Business.
Why it matters — The comments address freight demand and diesel-related news, both topics relevant to ODFL watchers.
Old Dominion Freight Line reported third-quarter revenue growth of 13.1% to $1.59 billion. Its operating ratio improved by 280 basis points to 71.5%.
Why it matters — The figures provide ODFL watchers with an update on the company’s revenue growth and operating efficiency in the third quarter.
Old Dominion Freight Line held its third-quarter 2026 earnings conference call on October 28, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and participating analysts but provides no discussion of results or outlook.
Why it matters — ODFL watchers can note the call date and participants, but the excerpt contains no financial or operating details to assess.
Old Dominion Freight Line reported third-quarter 2026 revenue growth of 13.1% and a 28.9% increase in diluted earnings per share. The excerpt attributes the results to improving demand, pricing gains and operating leverage.
Why it matters — ODFL watchers may note the reported growth and the factors the company cited as supporting profitability.
The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $215, with estimates ranging from $156 to $245. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 24 analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., 10 rate it a Buy, 13 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +24.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 84 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ODFL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $156 to $245 over the next 12 months.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. returned +26.5% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is a transportation and logistics company specializing in less-than-truckload freight services across North America.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 30 Oct 2026): "Old Dominion: Back To Peak Earnings Without Moving More Freight". The article says ODFL’s Q3 strength came from rate increases and cost control rather than tonnage growth. It describes earnings as potentially flat until tonnage recovers, while noting conditional upside if volumes improve.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is a transportation and logistics company specializing in less-than-truckload freight services across North America. It consolidates shipments from multiple customers into shared truckload movements, providing pickup, linehaul transportation, terminal handling, delivery, and shipment tracking for commercial and industrial customers. Its services support manufacturers, distributors, retailers, wholesalers, construction businesses, and other organizations that transport palletized, oversized, or time-sensitive freight without requiring a full truck. The company also provides logistics support, truckload brokerage, container drayage, freight forwarding, warehousing, and supply chain services through its operating businesses. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. serves regional, interregional, and long-distance transportation needs through an integrated network of service centers, equipment, drivers, and technology platforms. Its market role is centered on connecting suppliers, producers, distribution facilities, and end markets, making it an important provider of ground freight capacity and supply chain infrastructure for business-to-business commerce.
CEO Mr. Kevin M. Freeman · 20,182 employees · United States · https://www.odfl.com
