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ODFL Stock Forecast: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$182
+3.44% on the day

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $229 — +26.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 80 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$37.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
80 / 100
Median analyst target
$229
Analysts covering
24
Revenue$1.6B+10.4% y/y
Operating income$465.3M
Net income$350.6M
Free cash flow$195.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.0%
1M
−2.9%
YTD
+16.3%
1Y
+26.2%
From 52W high
−26.9%
From 52W low
+44.7%
$126
$248
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ODFL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
80 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
95
Revisions
95
Quality
85
Accruals
64
Momentum
61
Volatility
60
Growth
45
Value
43
Size
6

Issuance (95): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Value (43): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ODFL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ODFL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ODFLHigh $250Median $229Low $156

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says24 analysts
9 Buy14 Hold1 Sell
Low $156Median $229High $250

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +26.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Oct 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$263 → $230
7 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$250 → $230
7 Oct 2026Wolfe ResearchUpgradePeer Perform—
5 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$250 → $232
2 Oct 2026SusquehannaMaintainsNeutral$232 → $202
10 Sept 2026BernsteinInitiatesMarket Perform—
10 Sept 2026BernsteinInitiatesMarket Perform$200
8 Sept 2026CitigroupUpgradeBuy—
8 Sept 2026CitigroupUpgradeBuy$231 → $223
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$228 → $231
30 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$237 → $243
30 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$256 → $263
30 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$224 → $228
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
21 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$232 → $256
21 July 2026StifelMaintainsBuy—
15 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$225 → $250

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ODFL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ODFL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. returned +26.2% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ODFL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26ODFLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ODFL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.4%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
34.9×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.7×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Price / book
8.3×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
20.9×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
30.5%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Gross margin
36.3%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Operating margin
28.8%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
19.4%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
24.8%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Return on assets
15.8%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.6%

Higher than 67% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. has a market value of $37.8B and an enterprise value of $37.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.6B. The latest quarter grew 10.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.1B, a 19.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.19.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B.

  • Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. spent $545.5M on share buybacks and $237.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 207.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 34.9×; forward P/E: 27.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.64%, paying out 22% of earnings.

  • Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. employs 20,173 people — $278K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 9 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ODFL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTrucking
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc.$37.8B
80
XPOXPO, Inc.$21.4B
88
KNXKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings, Inc.$10.6B
66
SAIASaia, Inc.$9.1B
55
SNDRSchneider National, Inc.$5.6B
85
RXORXO, Inc.$4.8B
74
ARCBArcBest Corp.$2.9B
93

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ODFL news & analysis

LTL Shippers Select Old Dominion Freight Line as Top National LTL Carrier for Quality for 17 Consecutive Years

Business Wire · 6 Oct 2026positive

Old Dominion Freight Line was named the #1 National LTL Carrier for Quality by Mastio & Company for the 17th consecutive year. Shippers and logistics professionals ranked the company first in 24 evaluated categories, including trustworthiness, ease of doing business, customer service, and on-time delivery.

Why it matters — The recognition highlights customer and logistics-professional assessments of ODFL’s service quality across multiple categories.

Old Dominion Announces 4.9% General Rate Increase Effective Oct. 5

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026neutral

Old Dominion Freight Line announced a 4.9% general rate increase effective October 5. The increase is intended to offset rising operating costs while supporting investments in its service network and technology.

Why it matters — For ODFL watchers, the rate hike signals a move to manage cost pressures while continuing to fund network and technology investments.

Should Investors Buy Old Dominion Despite Its Higher Valuation?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research assesses Old Dominion Freight Line's current stock positioning as its shares move higher, evaluating whether the company represents a good investment at this point despite its higher valuation.

Why it matters — A ODFL watcher would care because the analysis examines whether the company's elevated valuation is justified as its stock price rises.

3 Stocks to Keep an Eye on From the Prospering Trucking Industry

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that the Transportation-Truck industry is benefiting from a brightening freight scenario and improving efficiencies, highlighting ODFL along with ARCB and JBHT as stocks to keep an eye on amid the favorable backdrop.

Why it matters — An ODFL watcher would care because the article points to improving industry conditions and calls out ODFL as one of the trucking stocks positioned to benefit from the strengthening freight environment.

Old Dominion (ODFL) Loses 16.2% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner

Zacks Investment Research · 21 Sept 2026positive

Old Dominion (ODFL) has declined 16.2% over the past four weeks and is now technically in oversold territory. Wall Street analysts are broadly revising their earnings estimates upward, which the report suggests could signal a trend reversal for the stock.

Why it matters — ODFL watchers would care because the combination of oversold technical conditions and upward analyst earnings revisions points to a possible shift in the stock's recent downward momentum.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ODFL stock

What is the ODFL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $229, with estimates ranging from $156 to $250. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ODFL stock a buy right now?

Of the 24 analysts covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 14 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 80 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ODFL?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ranks 80 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (95 of 100).

Will ODFL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +26.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 80 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ODFL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ODFL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $156 to $250 over the next 12 months.

How has ODFL stock performed over the past year?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. returned +26.2% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. do?

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that specializes in less-than-truckload freight services across North America.

What is the latest news on ODFL?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 6 Oct 2026): "LTL Shippers Select Old Dominion Freight Line as Top National LTL Carrier for Quality for 17 Consecutive Years". Old Dominion Freight Line was named the #1 National LTL Carrier for Quality by Mastio & Company for the 17th consecutive year. Shippers and logistics professionals ranked the company first in 24 evaluated categories, including trustworthiness, ease of doing business, customer service, and on-time delivery.

Company

About Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that specializes in less-than-truckload freight services across North America. Old Dominion Freight Line provides regional, inter-regional, and national shipping solutions through an integrated network of service centers that support pickup, delivery, and freight tracking for business customers. Its service portfolio also includes expedited transportation, container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting, making it a broad logistics partner for manufacturers, retailers, distributors, and other commercial shippers. The company operates as a union-free organization and emphasizes time-sensitive freight movement, customer service, and network efficiency. Based in Thomasville, North Carolina, Old Dominion Freight Line plays a significant role in the North American freight market by connecting local markets with long-haul distribution channels and offering value-added services that extend beyond core LTL shipping.

CEO Mr. Kevin M. Freeman · 20,173 employees · United States · https://www.odfl.com