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PGRPGRFinancial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

PGR Stock Forecast: The Progressive Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 13 Aug 2026
$209
+0.72% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering The Progressive Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $228 — +9.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 48 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$120.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
48 / 100
Median analyst target
$228
Analysts covering
25
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.0%
1M
−10.9%
YTD
−2.7%
1Y
−11.1%
From 52W high
−12.3%
From 52W low
+9.7%
$190
$238
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PGR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores The Progressive Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Aug 2026
48 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
97
Volatility
79
Revisions
69
Issuance
59
Growth
56
Value
49
Momentum
33
Accruals
22
Size
2

Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (22): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PGR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PGR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$180$200$220$240$260$280$300$320Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PGRHigh $308Median $228Low $198

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says25 analysts
7 Buy16 Hold2 Sell
Low $198Median $228High $308

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 6 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 Aug 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$250 → $241
24 July 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeEqual-Weight$190 → $210
24 July 2026Morgan StanleyUpgradeEqual-Weight—
16 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$313 → $308
16 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
16 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
16 July 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$220 → $205
16 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$240 → $230
16 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
16 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
16 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$231 → $226
16 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
16 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$205 → $198
14 July 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral$250
14 July 2026JP MorganDowngradeNeutral—
10 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$230 → $240
10 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
9 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$217 → $243
9 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
8 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$210 → $231

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PGR appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

PGR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+7.9%
Analysts raising
14
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

The Progressive Corp. (PGR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
10.4×

Cheaper than 59% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / book
3.5×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.4×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.3%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
4.3%

Higher than 41% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
18.2%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Net margin
12.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
34.9%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.2%

Higher than 3% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

PGR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelInsurance - Property & Casualty
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PGRThe Progressive Corp.$120.6B
48
CBChubb Ltd.$135.6B
66
TRVThe Travelers Cos., Inc.$78.7B
91
ALLThe Allstate Corp.$65.9B
94
CINFCincinnati Financial Corp.$26.9B
66
WRBW.R. Berkley Corp.$26.2B
63
LLoews Corp.$23.2B
46

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own The Progressive Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PGR news & analysis

Berkshire Hathaway vs. Progressive: Which Insurance Powerhouse Leads?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research analysis compares Berkshire Hathaway and Progressive (PGR), noting that PGR outperforms on price gains, analyst sentiment, and return on equity while both insurers benefit from disciplined underwriting and strong fundamentals.

Why it matters — PGR watchers would care because the report highlights Progressive's relative strength in key financial and market metrics versus a major industry peer.

Progressive (PGR) Up 1.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Progressive (PGR) reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 1.5% since that report. The article examines what could be next for the stock following this earnings release.

Why it matters — PGR watchers would care because the piece assesses how the company's stock has performed in the month since its latest earnings report and looks ahead to potentially influential factors.

Progressive Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 5 Aug 2026positive

Progressive used its Q2 investor event to outline its strategy for expanding in bundled auto and home insurance, focusing on property-business improvements and growth among consistently insured "Robinson" households.

Why it matters — The focus on bundling and the profitable "Robinson" segment signals a targeted growth strategy that could strengthen Progressive's competitive position in both auto and home insurance lines.

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 4 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of The Progressive Corporation's second-quarter 2026 earnings call. The item consists solely of the earnings call transcript release.

Why it matters — The transcript gives PGR watchers direct access to management's Q2 2026 commentary and discussion from the earnings call.

Progressive (PGR) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks published an article reviewing Progressive's Q2 2026 earnings, examining its key metrics against Wall Street estimates and year-ago values. The piece discusses top- and bottom-line results for the quarter ended June 2026.

Why it matters — PGR watchers can see how the company's quarterly operational metrics compare with analyst expectations and prior-year performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PGR stock

What is the PGR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering The Progressive Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $228, with estimates ranging from $198 to $308. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PGR stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering The Progressive Corp., 7 rate it a Buy, 16 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks The Progressive Corp. 48 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PGR?

As at 13 Aug 2026, The Progressive Corp. ranks 48 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).

Will PGR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +9.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks The Progressive Corp. 48 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PGR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering The Progressive Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PGR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $198 to $308 over the next 12 months.

How has PGR stock performed over the past year?

The Progressive Corp. returned -11.1% over the 12 months to 13 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does The Progressive Corp. do?

Progressive Corporation is an American insurance holding company specializing in property and casualty coverage for individuals and businesses. The company’s core offerings include personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and a range of specialty lines tailored to specific customer needs.

What is the latest news on PGR?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Aug 2026): "Berkshire Hathaway vs. Progressive: Which Insurance Powerhouse Leads?". A Zacks Investment Research analysis compares Berkshire Hathaway and Progressive (PGR), noting that PGR outperforms on price gains, analyst sentiment, and return on equity while both insurers benefit from disciplined underwriting and strong fundamentals.

Company

About The Progressive Corp.

Progressive Corporation is an American insurance holding company specializing in property and casualty coverage for individuals and businesses. The company’s core offerings include personal and commercial auto insurance, residential property insurance, and a range of specialty lines tailored to specific customer needs. Progressive Corporation operates through three primary segments: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Property, serving policyholders through both independent insurance agents and direct channels such as online platforms and call centers. Its product portfolio covers passenger vehicles, motorcycles, recreational vehicles, boats, and commercial vehicles, as well as homeowners and other related property risks. Headquartered in Mayfield Village, Ohio, Progressive Corporation plays a significant role in the U.S. insurance market as one of the largest auto insurers, providing risk protection and claims services that support households, small businesses, and larger commercial clients across diverse geographic markets.

CEO Ms. Susan Patricia Griffith · 70,053 employees · United States · https://www.progressive.com