SFMConsumer Defensive · Grocery StoresThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $58 — +6.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 35 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Momentum (21): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SFM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 9 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | $95 → $63 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Buy | $94 → $58 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $100 → $65 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $90 → $58 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Downgrade | Sector Perform | $111 → $49 |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $100 → $60 |
| 20 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 20 Oct 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $114 → $111 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $103 → $90 |
| 6 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 25 Sept 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | $84 → $77 |
| 1 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 1 Sept 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $90 → $95 |
| 30 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 30 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $87 → $90 |
| 30 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 30 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | $80 → $103 |
| 30 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $80 → $86 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
SFM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. returned −35.0% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 58% of US stocks
Cheaper than 80% of US stocks
Cheaper than 29% of US stocks
Cheaper than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 89% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. has a market value of $4.8B and an enterprise value of $6.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $9.0B. The latest quarter grew 4.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $502.9M, a 5.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.22.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $356.8M.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. spent $389.7M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 10.0×; forward P/E: 11.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. employs 36,000 people — $250K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Benzinga highlighted three defensive consumer staples stocks it said may rise in November, framing oversold stocks in the sector as an opportunity to buy undervalued companies. The excerpt does not identify the stocks.
Why it matters — SFM watchers may note the item’s focus on oversold consumer staples, though the excerpt does not say whether Sprouts was included.
Seeking Alpha reports that Sprouts Farmers Market fell after a Q3 double miss. The article cites declining comparable-store sales and Q4 guidance indicating sharp weakness.
Why it matters — The report raises concerns about competitive pressure on SFM’s margins and earnings power.
A Seeking Alpha contributor downgraded Sprouts Farmers Market to neutral, citing declining Q3 comparable sales, a reduction in full-year guidance, macro headwinds, and food safety outbreaks. The excerpt says the stock fell about 20% after earnings.
Why it matters — The downgrade highlights weaker sales and reduced guidance, as well as the contributor’s view that near-term catalysts are lacking and risk and reward are balanced.
Sprouts Farmers Market reported Q3 earnings and sales below estimates, with weak comparable sales and margin pressure weighing on results. The company lowered its 2026 outlook.
Why it matters — SFM watchers may note the weaker quarterly performance and reduced outlook as indicators of current operating pressure.
Sprouts Farmers Market held its Q3 2026 earnings conference call on October 28, 2026, with company executives and analysts participating. The excerpt provides the call details but no financial results or discussion points.
Why it matters — SFM watchers are alerted to the earnings call, but this excerpt contains no operating or financial information to assess.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $58, with estimates ranging from $45 to $114. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 35 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 3 Nov 2026, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. ranks 35 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +6.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 35 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SFM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $45 to $114 over the next 12 months.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. returned -35.0% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on fresh, natural, and organic foods.
The most recent item we track (Benzinga, 2 Nov 2026): "Top 3 Defensive Stocks That May Explode In November". Benzinga highlighted three defensive consumer staples stocks it said may rise in November, framing oversold stocks in the sector as an opportunity to buy undervalued companies. The excerpt does not identify the stocks.
Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on fresh, natural, and organic foods. Sprouts Farmers Market offers a produce-first shopping experience with an open-store layout and a curated assortment that includes perishable items such as produce, meat, seafood, deli, bakery, dairy, and floral, alongside non-perishable categories like grocery, bulk foods, frozen foods, vitamins, supplements, and natural health and body care products. The company also features lifestyle-friendly options such as organic, plant-based, gluten-free, keto, paleo, and non-GMO products. Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, Sprouts Farmers Market serves health-conscious shoppers through a network of stores across the United States and plays a distinct role in the grocery market as a wellness-oriented food retailer.
CEO Mr. Jack L. Sinclair · 36,000 employees · United States · https://www.sprouts.com
