SFMConsumer Defensive · Grocery StoresThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $98 — +20.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 40 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Momentum (15): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SFM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +20.3% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $87 → $90 |
| 30 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | $80 → $103 |
| 30 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $80 → $86 |
| 27 July 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $90 → $87 |
| 22 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $78 → $80 |
| 22 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 22 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $75 → $80 |
| 1 June 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 1 June 2026 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Outperform | $114 |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 18 Feb 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SFM appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 47% of US stocks
Cheaper than 73% of US stocks
Cheaper than 21% of US stocks
Cheaper than 35% of US stocks
Higher than 38% of US stocks
Higher than 32% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 92% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Sprouts Farmers Market Director O'Leary sold 2,597 shares at a weighted average price of $82.57 per share, realizing approximately $214,000. The sale reduced the insider's direct equity holdings by 15%.
Why it matters — Insider selling by a director can signal to Sprouts Farmers Market watchers how company leadership views the stock's current valuation.
Zacks Investment Research reported that Sprouts Farmers Market's valuation appears reasonable amid digital growth and expansion, though softer comparable sales and margin pressures present challenges.
Why it matters — Investors tracking SFM would care because the report highlights both supportive growth factors (digital, expansion) and headwinds (soft comps, margins) that could shape the company's near-term performance.
Sprouts Farmers Market's second-quarter results indicated store growth is driving sales, though the company faces soft comparable-store sales and increasing margin pressure heading into the second half of the year.
Why it matters — SFM watchers will be paying close attention to how the company navigates margin pressure and soft comps in the second half, as these challenges could offset the benefits of its store expansion.
Sprouts Farmers Market shares rose 12.2% over the past month. The gain faces a test as strong new-store and digital growth are offset by weak comparable-store sales and near-term margin pressure.
Why it matters — The item highlights the balance SFM must strike between its growth drivers and the near-term pressure on comps and margins.
Sprouts Farmers Market reported strong Q2 results and an improved FY26 outlook, supporting a sales rebound. Its expansion plan targets 1,000+ U.S. stores with white space in the Midwest and East Coast, while supply chain investments, store-brand launches, and aggressive buybacks underpin margin expansion and shareholder returns.
Why it matters — The improved outlook, national expansion runway, and margin-supporting initiatives signal to SFM watchers a strengthening growth and returns trajectory for the company.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $98, with estimates ranging from $70 to $114. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 40 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. ranks 40 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +20.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 40 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SFM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $70 to $114 over the next 12 months.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. returned -45.4% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on fresh, natural, and organic foods across the United States.
The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 19 Aug 2026): "Sprouts Farmers Market Director O'Leary Sells 2,597 Shares for $214,000 -- Should Investors Beware?". Sprouts Farmers Market Director O'Leary sold 2,597 shares at a weighted average price of $82.57 per share, realizing approximately $214,000. The sale reduced the insider's direct equity holdings by 15%.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on fresh, natural, and organic foods across the United States. The company operates healthy grocery stores that emphasize farm-fresh produce, minimally processed staples, and products tailored to health-conscious consumers. Its assortment spans categories such as fresh fruits and vegetables, meat and seafood, deli, dairy and dairy alternatives, bakery, bulk foods, vitamins and supplements, and natural household and body care items. Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. positions its stores to offer a farmers-market-inspired experience, with an emphasis on fresh, perishable items and curated natural brands at accessible price points. The company primarily serves everyday shoppers seeking cleaner-label products, special diet options, and wellness-oriented groceries. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. plays a notable role in the U.S. food retail market as a dedicated natural and organic supermarket chain competing with both conventional grocers and health-focused retailers.
CEO Mr. Jack L. Sinclair · 36,000 employees · United States · https://www.sprouts.com