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SFMSFMConsumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

SFM Stock Forecast: Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Aug 2026
$81
−2.30% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $98 — +21.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 40 of 100 as at 17 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$7.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
40 / 100
Median analyst target
$98
Analysts covering
16
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.5%
1M
+6.4%
YTD
+1.2%
1Y
−44.7%
From 52W high
−46.6%
From 52W low
+22.9%
$66
$151
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SFM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Aug 2026
40 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
98
Value
74
Volatility
61
Issuance
53
Revisions
51
Growth
38
Accruals
29
Size
19
Momentum
14

Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (14): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SFM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SFM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$80$100$120$140$160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SFMHigh $114Median $98Low $70

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says16 analysts
9 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $70Median $98High $114

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +21.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$87 → $90
30 July 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight$80 → $103
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$80 → $86
27 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$90 → $87
22 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$78 → $80
22 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
22 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
22 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$75 → $80
1 June 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—
1 June 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$114
30 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
30 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
23 Feb 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform—
20 Feb 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
20 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
20 Feb 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
20 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
18 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
18 Feb 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
12 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SFM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

SFM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.1%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
5
Fundamentals

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
15.4×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 74% of US stocks

Price / book
5.2×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.4×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.7%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−3.4%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Gross margin
38.7%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Operating margin
7.5%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Net margin
5.6%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
35.2%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.3%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

SFM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelGrocery Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SFMSprouts Farmers Market, Inc.$7.5B
40
ACIAlbertsons Cos., Inc.$5.9B
48
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.$1.7B
62
KRThe Kroger Co.$34.3B
82
IMKTAIngles Markets, Inc.$1.6B
89
YSWYYesway, Inc.$1.5B
4
GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.$1.1B
49

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SFM news & analysis

Is SFM Stock a Buy Now as Valuation Meets Slower Comparable Sales?

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reported that Sprouts Farmers Market's valuation appears reasonable amid digital growth and expansion, though softer comparable sales and margin pressures present challenges.

Why it matters — Investors tracking SFM would care because the report highlights both supportive growth factors (digital, expansion) and headwinds (soft comps, margins) that could shape the company's near-term performance.

SFM Q2 Results Show Store Growth Strength but Margin Pressure Builds

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Sprouts Farmers Market's second-quarter results indicated store growth is driving sales, though the company faces soft comparable-store sales and increasing margin pressure heading into the second half of the year.

Why it matters — SFM watchers will be paying close attention to how the company navigates margin pressure and soft comps in the second half, as these challenges could offset the benefits of its store expansion.

SFM Jumps 12.2% in a Month as Growth Drivers Face a Tough Margin Test

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Sprouts Farmers Market shares rose 12.2% over the past month. The gain faces a test as strong new-store and digital growth are offset by weak comparable-store sales and near-term margin pressure.

Why it matters — The item highlights the balance SFM must strike between its growth drivers and the near-term pressure on comps and margins.

Sprouts Farmers Market: Sales Rebound Underpins Cheap Multiples

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026positive

Sprouts Farmers Market reported strong Q2 results and an improved FY26 outlook, supporting a sales rebound. Its expansion plan targets 1,000+ U.S. stores with white space in the Midwest and East Coast, while supply chain investments, store-brand launches, and aggressive buybacks underpin margin expansion and shareholder returns.

Why it matters — The improved outlook, national expansion runway, and margin-supporting initiatives signal to SFM watchers a strengthening growth and returns trajectory for the company.

Why Sprouts Farmers Market Stock Surged This Week

The Motley Fool · 2 Aug 2026positive

Sprouts Farmers Market's stock rose this week amid rising consumer interest in organic food. The company sees an opportunity to roughly double its store count in the coming years, according to the article.

Why it matters — For SFM watchers, the report points to favorable organic-food demand and an expansion path that could broaden the company's footprint.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SFM stock

What is the SFM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $98, with estimates ranging from $70 to $114. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SFM stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 40 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SFM?

As at 17 Aug 2026, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. ranks 40 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).

Will SFM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +21.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 40 out of 100 as at 17 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SFM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SFM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $70 to $114 over the next 12 months.

How has SFM stock performed over the past year?

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. returned -44.7% over the 12 months to 17 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. do?

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on fresh, natural, and organic foods across the United States.

What is the latest news on SFM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Aug 2026): "Is SFM Stock a Buy Now as Valuation Meets Slower Comparable Sales?". Zacks Investment Research reported that Sprouts Farmers Market's valuation appears reasonable amid digital growth and expansion, though softer comparable sales and margin pressures present challenges.

Company

About Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on fresh, natural, and organic foods across the United States. The company operates healthy grocery stores that emphasize farm-fresh produce, minimally processed staples, and products tailored to health-conscious consumers. Its assortment spans categories such as fresh fruits and vegetables, meat and seafood, deli, dairy and dairy alternatives, bakery, bulk foods, vitamins and supplements, and natural household and body care items. Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. positions its stores to offer a farmers-market-inspired experience, with an emphasis on fresh, perishable items and curated natural brands at accessible price points. The company primarily serves everyday shoppers seeking cleaner-label products, special diet options, and wellness-oriented groceries. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. plays a notable role in the U.S. food retail market as a dedicated natural and organic supermarket chain competing with both conventional grocers and health-focused retailers.

CEO Mr. Jack L. Sinclair · 36,000 employees · United States · https://www.sprouts.com