SFMSFMConsumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

SFM Stock Forecast: Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$71
+1.65% on the day

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $98 — +37.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 43 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$6.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
43 / 100
Median analyst target
$98
Analysts covering
16
Revenue$2.3B+4.7% y/y
Operating income$174.9M
Net income$129.2M
Free cash flow$45.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.7%
1M
−10.2%
YTD
−11.1%
1Y
−42.3%
From 52W high
−42.3%
From 52W low
+8.0%
$66
$123
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SFM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
43 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
98
Value
81
Volatility
65
Issuance
53
Revisions
52
Growth
38
Accruals
29
Size
19
Momentum
16

Quality (98): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (16): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SFM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SFM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$60$70$80$90$100$110$120$130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SFMHigh $114Median $98Low $70

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says16 analysts
9 Buy6 Hold1 Sell
Low $70Median $98High $114

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +37.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
1 Sept 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$90$95
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$87$90
30 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
30 July 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight$80$103
30 July 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$80$86
27 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$90$87
27 July 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
22 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
22 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$78$80
22 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral
22 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$75$80
1 June 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform
1 June 2026RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform$114
30 Apr 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
30 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
23 Feb 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform
20 Feb 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
20 Feb 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SFM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SFM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. returned −42.3% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SFM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SFMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SFM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.2%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
8
Fundamentals

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.5×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 75% of US stocks

Price / book
4.5×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.1×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
4.7%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−3.4%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Gross margin
38.7%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Operating margin
7.5%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Net margin
5.6%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
35.2%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.3%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. has a market value of $6.6B and an enterprise value of $8.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $9.0B. The latest quarter grew 4.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $502.9M, a 5.6% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.22.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $356.8M.

  • Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. spent $389.7M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 93.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 13.5×; forward P/E: 11.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. employs 36,000 people $250K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 20 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SFM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelGrocery Stores
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SFMSprouts Farmers Market, Inc.$6.6B
43
ACIAlbertsons Cos., Inc.$6.0B
49
WMKWeis Markets, Inc.$1.8B
64
IMKTAIngles Markets, Inc.$1.5B
90
YSWYYesway, Inc.$1.3B
4
KRThe Kroger Co.$36.8B
85
GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.$1.1B
55

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SFM news & analysis

Sprouts Farmers (SFM) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026positive

Sprouts Farmers (SFM) shares closed at $70.79 in the recent trading day, a +1.65% move from the prior session. The headline notes that the stock outperformed the broader stock market.

Why it matters — SFM watchers would note the stock's above-market performance as a sign of relative strength in the most recent trading session.

Sprouts Farmers (SFM) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026negative

Sprouts Farmers Market shares closed at $71.06 in the latest trading session, a decline of 3.27% from the prior day. The drop was steeper than that of the broader market.

Why it matters — SFM watchers would track this sharper-than-market decline to assess recent trading performance and relative momentum for the stock.

Sprouts Farmers (SFM) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026negative

Sprouts Farmers closed at $72.20 in the latest trading session, a 1.24% decline from the prior day. The stock's decline was more significant than the broader market's move during the session.

Why it matters — The stock underperformed the broader market in a single trading session, which is notable for investors tracking Sprouts Farmers' daily price action.

Natural Food Stocks to Watch as Clean-Label Demand Accelerates

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026positive

Demand for natural foods is accelerating as consumers increasingly favor clean-label products. Dole is expanding its sourcing and distribution operations to capture a larger share of healthier-food spending.

Why it matters — As a natural-food retailer, Sprouts Farmers Market stands to benefit from the broader trend of rising consumer preference for clean-label and healthier food options.

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. Announces CEO Succession

Business Wire · 1 Sept 2026neutral

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. announced a planned leadership transition effective January 4, 2027, in which Nick Konat, current president and chief operating officer, will become CEO and join the board of directors. Jack Sinclair, CEO since 2019, will move to the role of executive chairman.

Why it matters — A Sprouts Farms Market watcher would care because a change in top leadership at the CEO level can influence the company's strategic direction and governance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SFM stock

What is the SFM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $98, with estimates ranging from $70 to $114. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SFM stock a buy right now?

Of the 16 analysts covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 43 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SFM?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. ranks 43 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (98 of 100).

Will SFM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +37.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. 43 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SFM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SFM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $70 to $114 over the next 12 months.

How has SFM stock performed over the past year?

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. returned -42.3% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. do?

Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on fresh, natural, and organic foods.

What is the latest news on SFM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 18 Sept 2026): "Sprouts Farmers (SFM) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why". Sprouts Farmers (SFM) shares closed at $70.79 in the recent trading day, a +1.65% move from the prior session. The headline notes that the stock outperformed the broader stock market.

Company

About Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Sprouts Farmers Market Inc. is a specialty grocery retailer focused on fresh, natural, and organic foods. Sprouts Farmers Market offers a produce-first shopping experience with an open-store layout and a curated assortment that includes perishable items such as produce, meat, seafood, deli, bakery, dairy, and floral, alongside non-perishable categories like grocery, bulk foods, frozen foods, vitamins, supplements, and natural health and body care products. The company also features lifestyle-friendly options such as organic, plant-based, gluten-free, keto, paleo, and non-GMO products. Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, Sprouts Farmers Market serves health-conscious shoppers through a network of stores across the United States and plays a distinct role in the grocery market as a wellness-oriented food retailer.

CEO Mr. Jack L. Sinclair · 36,000 employees · United States · https://www.sprouts.com