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SHAKSHAKConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

SHAK Stock Forecast: Shake Shack, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Aug 2026
$74
−0.84% on the day

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $81 — +9.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 26 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$3.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
26 / 100
Median analyst target
$81
Analysts covering
26
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.9%
1M
+27.9%
YTD
−8.6%
1Y
−30.6%
From 52W high
−30.5%
From 52W low
+41.8%
$52
$107
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SHAK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Shake Shack, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
26 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
73
Quality
67
Accruals
54
Revisions
46
Issuance
34
Size
30
Value
29
Volatility
19
Momentum
8

Growth (73): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Momentum (8): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SHAK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SHAK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120$140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SHAKHigh $126Median $81Low $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says26 analysts
14 Buy12 Hold0 Sell
Low $60Median $81High $126

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +9.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Aug 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsOutperform$77 → $81
6 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$70 → $85
3 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$79 → $68
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$100 → $80
14 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$79 → $66
9 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsBuy$105 → $93
9 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsBuy—
29 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
4 June 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
4 June 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsOutperform—
4 June 2026Loop CapitalMaintainsBuy—
3 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
3 June 2026Gordon HaskettMaintainsBuy—
3 June 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeEqual-Weight—
3 June 2026Raymond JamesDowngradeOutperform—
3 June 2026TD CowenReiteratesHold—
3 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
27 May 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
11 May 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SHAK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

SHAK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−9.2%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

Shake Shack, Inc. (SHAK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
78.8×

Cheaper than 9% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.1×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / book
5.6×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
21.4×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
17.2%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−8.6%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Gross margin
47.9%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.1%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
2.6%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
7.9%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.0%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

SHAK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SHAKShake Shack, Inc.$3.2B
26
WINGWingstop, Inc.$3.5B
46
CAKECheesecake Factory, Inc.$5.6B
91
ARCOArcos Dorados Holdings, Inc.$1.7B
74
WENThe Wendy's Co.$1.6B
56
JMKEJersey Mike's Subs, Inc.$7.0B
0
BJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc.$1.4B
95

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Shake Shack, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SHAK news & analysis

Q2 2026 U.S. Retail Preview: Broadline Retail Drives Growth

Seeking Alpha · 17 Aug 2026neutral

A Q2 2026 U.S. retail preview from Seeking Alpha notes that U.S. consumer resilience is increasingly concentrated, with the LSEG Retail and Restaurant earnings index expected to show 67.0% growth year over year. The Broadline Retail sector is projected to lead with a 231.1% earnings surge among the 185 tracked retailers.

Why it matters — SHAK watchers may find this relevant as a broad consumer-sector outlook that could provide context for restaurant-industry earnings trends.

Did Shake Shack really charge customers more for not tipping? Here's what the company says

Fast Company · 12 Aug 2026neutral

A Fast Company article reports on claims that Shake Shack may have charged customers more for choosing the "no tip" option at one restaurant, and notes that the company has responded to the issue.

Why it matters — A SHAK watcher would care because pricing and tipping practices at its restaurants could affect customer perception and brand reputation.

Carillon Eagle Small Cap Growth Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Review

Seeking Alpha · 11 Aug 2026neutral

A Q2 2026 portfolio review discussed several fund holdings, noting Bloom Energy's strong performance amid AI infrastructure demand, unprecedented demand in the optical industry due to hyperscaler capital expenditure, and that Karman's stock lagged after reporting quarterly results slightly below expectations on organic growth.

Why it matters — The report does not mention Shake Shack, so it offers no direct information relevant to SHAK investors.

BLMN vs. SHAK: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares Bloomin' Brands and Shake Shack, asking which of the two restaurant stocks currently offers value investors a better deal.

Why it matters — The piece indicates that Shake Shack is being evaluated as a value option for investors interested in restaurant stocks.

Shake Shack Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 9 Aug 2026neutral

Shake Shack reported second-quarter 2026 revenue growth of 17.2%, driven by new restaurant openings, positive comparable sales, and licensing gains. These gains were partly offset by elevated beef, distribution, and operating costs, as discussed during the company's Q2 earnings call.

Why it matters — SHAK watchers will note the strong revenue growth trajectory, while also tracking the cost pressures that are tempering the gains from its expansion and sales momentum.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SHAK stock

What is the SHAK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $81, with estimates ranging from $60 to $126. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SHAK stock a buy right now?

Of the 26 analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Shake Shack, Inc. 26 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SHAK?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Shake Shack, Inc. ranks 26 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (73 of 100).

Will SHAK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +9.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Shake Shack, Inc. 26 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SHAK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Shake Shack, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SHAK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $126 over the next 12 months.

How has SHAK stock performed over the past year?

Shake Shack, Inc. returned -30.6% over the 12 months to 17 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Shake Shack, Inc. do?

Shake Shack Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant company specializing in premium, made-to-order burgers, chicken sandwiches, hot dogs, and related American-style fare.

What is the latest news on SHAK?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 17 Aug 2026): "Q2 2026 U.S. Retail Preview: Broadline Retail Drives Growth". A Q2 2026 U.S. retail preview from Seeking Alpha notes that U.S. consumer resilience is increasingly concentrated, with the LSEG Retail and Restaurant earnings index expected to show 67.0% growth year over year. The Broadline Retail sector is projected to lead with a 231.1% earnings surge among the 185 tracked retailers.

Company

About Shake Shack, Inc.

Shake Shack Inc. is a fast-casual restaurant company specializing in premium, made-to-order burgers, chicken sandwiches, hot dogs, and related American-style fare. The brand emphasizes high-quality ingredients, including all-natural, hormone- and antibiotic-free Angus beef and non-GMO potato buns, aiming to deliver a differentiated burger experience in the quick-service landscape. In addition to its core food offerings, Shake Shack serves crinkle-cut fries, frozen custard, hand-spun shakes, and a beverage lineup that includes draft root beer, seasonal lemonades, organic iced tea, coffee-based drinks, and bottled water. The company operates company-owned and licensed locations across multiple domestic and international markets, typically in high-traffic urban centers, shopping destinations, transit hubs, and select suburban areas. Shake Shack Inc. currently focuses on the restaurant and hospitality sector, competing within the broader consumer cyclical space, and positions itself between traditional fast food and full-service dining by combining quick service with an elevated menu and modern store design. The company is headquartered in New York City, United States.

CEO Mr. Robert M. Lynch · 13,873 employees · United States · https://www.shakeshack.com