SHAKConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 26 Wall Street analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $81 — +16.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 28 of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Shake Shack, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (73): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Momentum (11): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SHAK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +16.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Outperform | $77 → $81 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $70 → $85 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $79 → $68 |
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $100 → $80 |
| 14 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $79 → $66 |
| 9 July 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Buy | $105 → $93 |
| 9 July 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 June 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 June 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 June 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 4 June 2026 | Loop Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 June 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 June 2026 | Gordon Haskett | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 June 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Downgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 3 June 2026 | Raymond James | Downgrade | Outperform | — |
| 3 June 2026 | TD Cowen | Reiterates | Hold | — |
| 3 June 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 27 May 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 11 May 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SHAK appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Sept 2026, Shake Shack, Inc. returned −31.9% against +20.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 21% of US stocks
Cheaper than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Shake Shack, Inc. has a market value of $3.0B and an enterprise value of $3.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B. The latest quarter grew 17.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $43.3M, a 2.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.94.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$11.7M.
Trailing P/E: 73.1×; forward P/E: 49.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Shake Shack, Inc. employs 13,873 people — $112K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Shake Shack, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Shake Shack reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has since declined 1.3%. The piece looks ahead at what may come next for the company's shares following that report.
Why it matters — SHAK watchers would care because the item examines the company's stock performance in the month after its most recent earnings report and outlook.
In its Q2 2026 portfolio activity report, Baron SMID Cap ETF said it initiated a position in Advanced Drainage Systems, commented favourably on Axon Enterprise's competitive position, and sold its HeartFlow position amid growing competitive concerns. Shake Shack is not mentioned in the report.
Why it matters — A SHAK watcher would be interested because the fund manager's activity report provides no SHAK-specific commentary, offering neither positive nor negative signals for the stock.
Baron Small Cap Fund reported its Q2 2026 portfolio activity, noting the fund returned 12.57% (Institutional Shares), trailing the Russell 2000 Growth Index, which was up 25.71%. The report highlighted strong results from Vertiv and weaker performance from Planet Fitness.
Why it matters — A SHAK watcher would care because the fund's quarterly portfolio activity may indicate whether Shake Shack remains a holding or was adjusted within the fund's positions.
Baron Discovery Fund's Q2 2026 portfolio commentary highlighted Shake Shack as one of the most compelling growth stories in restaurants today, citing its differentiated brand, improving unit economics, and accelerating unit growth. The fund also disclosed new activity such as initiating a position in Rubrik.
Why it matters — SHAK watchers would care because an established fund manager publicly endorsed Shake Shack's growth potential and unit economics in its portfolio update.
Zacks Investment Research published a comparison piece examining Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) and Shake Shack (SHAK) as potential value stocks in the Retail - Restaurants sector, weighing which company might be the better option for investors seeking undervalued stocks.
Why it matters — SHAK watchers would care because this analysis evaluates whether Shake Shack is attractively valued relative to a peer in the restaurant sector, offering perspective relevant to value-minded investors tracking the company.
The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $81, with estimates ranging from $60 to $126. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 26 analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc., 14 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Shake Shack, Inc. 28 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 5 Sept 2026, Shake Shack, Inc. ranks 28 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (73 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +16.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Shake Shack, Inc. 28 out of 100 as at 5 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Shake Shack, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SHAK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $126 over the next 12 months.
Shake Shack, Inc. returned -31.9% over the 12 months to 4 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Shake Shack, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Shake Shack, a restaurant company focused on casual dining and quick-service hospitality.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 4 Sept 2026): "Why Is Shake Shack (SHAK) Down 1.3% Since Last Earnings Report?". Shake Shack reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has since declined 1.3%. The piece looks ahead at what may come next for the company's shares following that report.
Shake Shack, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Shake Shack, a restaurant company focused on casual dining and quick-service hospitality. Shake Shack operates and licenses a modern burger concept built around made-to-order burgers, chicken sandwiches, crinkle-cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, hot dogs, beer, wine, and related menu items. The company serves consumers through company-operated and licensed restaurants in the United States and select international markets, combining dine-in, takeout, delivery, and digital ordering channels. Its business sits within the broader consumer discretionary sector and is positioned around premium fast-casual dining, where brand experience, menu consistency, and operational execution are central. Shake Shack’s restaurant network and licensing model give it a role in both direct food service and branded expansion across urban, suburban, travel, and high-traffic retail locations.
CEO Mr. Robert M. Lynch · 13,873 employees · United States · https://www.shakeshack.com
