SHAKConsumer Cyclical · RestaurantsThe 28 Wall Street analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $82 — +27.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 32 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Shake Shack, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (74): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Momentum (16): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SHAK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $77 → $75 |
| 8 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 8 Sept 2026 | RBC Capital | Initiates | Outperform | $89 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Outperform | $77 → $81 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $70 → $85 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $79 → $68 |
| 3 Aug 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | $100 → $80 |
| 31 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 14 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Neutral | $79 → $66 |
| 9 July 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Buy | $105 → $93 |
| 9 July 2026 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 June 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 4 June 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 4 June 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 4 June 2026 | Loop Capital | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 June 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SHAK appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Shake Shack, Inc. returned −31.0% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 22% of US stocks
Cheaper than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Shake Shack, Inc. has a market value of $2.8B and an enterprise value of $3.3B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B. The latest quarter grew 17.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $43.3M, a 2.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.94.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$11.7M.
Trailing P/E: 68.0×; forward P/E: 45.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Shake Shack, Inc. employs 13,873 people — $112K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Shake Shack, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Shake Shack plans to enter Brazil through a licensing partnership with São Paulo-based Bold Hospitality Company. The move follows seven years of growth in Mexico and comes ahead of the brand’s planned entry into Panama.
Why it matters — The planned Brazil launch is another step in Shake Shack’s expansion across Latin America.
Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing Cracker Barrel (CBRL) and Shake Shack (SHAK) to determine which of the two Restaurant-retail sector stocks is the better value for investors. The piece examines both companies' attractiveness as value stocks without reaching a conclusion about either.
Why it matters — Shake Shack investors would care because the piece provides a comparative value assessment that may inform how SHAK is positioned against a direct sector peer in similar coverage.
Seeking Alpha reports that Shake Shack is positioned for potential outperformance by 2027, as improving macroeconomic conditions could drive a consumer discretionary rebound. The article highlights the company's strong unit economics, 23% restaurant-level margins, digital growth, 703 restaurants, and positive free cash flow, with shares trading near multi-year lows.
Why it matters — A SHAK watcher would care because the piece assesses the company's fundamentals and growth trajectory in light of possible macroeconomic tailwinds and low share prices.
A Wall Street Journal review examines Danny Meyer's restaurant empire, highlighting how his fast-food chains and fine-dining establishments have transformed New York City's culinary landscape.
Why it matters — SHAK watchers would care because Danny Meyer founded and remains closely tied to Shake Shack, so a review focused on his broader restaurant success reflects positively on the brand's leadership and reputation.
Shake Shack maintains a Buy rating, with its valuation reflecting macro risks and offering a re-rating opportunity. The company reported strong Q2 results with 12.8% year-over-year restaurant-level profit growth, a 23% margin, and $61 million in EBITDA despite cost pressures, while guiding to 60–65 company-operated and 40–45 licensed openings, $1.6–$1.7B revenue, and $225–$235M adjusted EBITDA alongside a shift to annual-only guidance.
Why it matters — SHAK watchers would care because the piece highlights the company's strong quarterly performance, upgraded growth outlook, and an activist catalyst that adds to its turnaround narrative.
The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $82, with estimates ranging from $34 to $126. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 28 analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Shake Shack, Inc. 32 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 6 Oct 2026, Shake Shack, Inc. ranks 32 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (74 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +27.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Shake Shack, Inc. 32 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Shake Shack, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SHAK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $34 to $126 over the next 12 months.
Shake Shack, Inc. returned -31.0% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Shake Shack, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Shake Shack, a restaurant company focused on casual dining and quick-service hospitality.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 7 Oct 2026): "Shake Shack Deepens Latin America Presence with Planned Entry Into Brazil". Shake Shack plans to enter Brazil through a licensing partnership with São Paulo-based Bold Hospitality Company. The move follows seven years of growth in Mexico and comes ahead of the brand’s planned entry into Panama.
Shake Shack, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Shake Shack, a restaurant company focused on casual dining and quick-service hospitality. Shake Shack operates and licenses a modern burger concept built around made-to-order burgers, chicken sandwiches, crinkle-cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, hot dogs, beer, wine, and related menu items. The company serves consumers through company-operated and licensed restaurants in the United States and select international markets, combining dine-in, takeout, delivery, and digital ordering channels. Its business sits within the broader consumer discretionary sector and is positioned around premium fast-casual dining, where brand experience, menu consistency, and operational execution are central. Shake Shack’s restaurant network and licensing model give it a role in both direct food service and branded expansion across urban, suburban, travel, and high-traffic retail locations.
CEO Mr. Robert M. Lynch · 13,873 employees · United States · https://www.shakeshack.com
