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SHAKSHAKConsumer Cyclical · Restaurants

SHAK Stock Forecast: Shake Shack, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$61
+1.30% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $82 — +33.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 30 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$2.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
30 / 100
Median analyst target
$82
Analysts covering
28
Revenue$417.6M+17.2% y/y
Operating income$27.8M
Net income$16.9M
Free cash flow−$736K
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+9.8%
1M
−10.2%
YTD
−24.9%
1Y
−35.5%
From 52W high
−41.8%
From 52W low
+16.5%
$52
$105
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SHAK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Shake Shack, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
30 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
74
Quality
66
Accruals
55
Revisions
50
Issuance
34
Value
32
Size
32
Volatility
19
Momentum
13

Growth (74): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Momentum (13): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SHAK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SHAK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$40$60$80$100$120$140Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SHAKHigh $126Median $82Low $34

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says28 analysts
15 Buy12 Hold1 Sell
Low $34Median $82High $126

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +33.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 5 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$77 → $75
8 Sept 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform—
8 Sept 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform$89
6 Aug 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsOutperform—
6 Aug 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsOutperform$77 → $81
6 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
6 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$70 → $85
3 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$79 → $68
3 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform$100 → $80
31 July 2026MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
14 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral—
14 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsNeutral$79 → $66
9 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsBuy$105 → $93
9 July 2026Deutsche BankMaintainsBuy—
29 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
4 June 2026BairdMaintainsNeutral—
4 June 2026BNP ParibasMaintainsOutperform—
4 June 2026Loop CapitalMaintainsBuy—
3 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SHAK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SHAK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Shake Shack, Inc. returned −35.5% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SHAK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SHAKS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SHAK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.7%
Analysts raising
9
Analysts cutting
6
Fundamentals

Shake Shack, Inc. (SHAK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
64.2×

Cheaper than 11% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.7×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

Price / book
4.5×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
18.2×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
17.2%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−8.6%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Gross margin
47.9%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Operating margin
5.1%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Net margin
2.6%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
7.9%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.0%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Shake Shack, Inc. (SHAK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Shake Shack, Inc. has a market value of $2.6B and an enterprise value of $3.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B. The latest quarter grew 17.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $43.3M, a 2.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.94.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$11.7M.

  • Shares outstanding: 40.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 64.2×; forward P/E: 43.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Shake Shack, Inc. employs 13,873 people — $112K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SHAK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelRestaurants
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SHAKShake Shack, Inc.$2.6B
30
WINGWingstop, Inc.$3.0B
46
ARCOArcos Dorados Holdings, Inc.$1.5B
85
BJRIBJ's Restaurants, Inc.$1.3B
93
JMKEJersey Mike's Subs, Inc.$5.3B
0
CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc.$1.2B
76
CAKECheesecake Factory, Inc.$5.5B
91

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Shake Shack, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SHAK news & analysis

CBRL or SHAK: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing Cracker Barrel (CBRL) and Shake Shack (SHAK) to determine which of the two Restaurant-retail sector stocks is the better value for investors. The piece examines both companies' attractiveness as value stocks without reaching a conclusion about either.

Why it matters — Shake Shack investors would care because the piece provides a comparative value assessment that may inform how SHAK is positioned against a direct sector peer in similar coverage.

Shake Shack: The Perfect Storm For A 2027 Breakout

Seeking Alpha · 28 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reports that Shake Shack is positioned for potential outperformance by 2027, as improving macroeconomic conditions could drive a consumer discretionary rebound. The article highlights the company's strong unit economics, 23% restaurant-level margins, digital growth, 703 restaurants, and positive free cash flow, with shares trading near multi-year lows.

Why it matters — A SHAK watcher would care because the piece assesses the company's fundamentals and growth trajectory in light of possible macroeconomic tailwinds and low share prices.

‘What Could Possibly Go Right?' Review: The Rise of a Restaurant Empire

WSJ · 25 Sept 2026positive

A Wall Street Journal review examines Danny Meyer's restaurant empire, highlighting how his fast-food chains and fine-dining establishments have transformed New York City's culinary landscape.

Why it matters — SHAK watchers would care because Danny Meyer founded and remains closely tied to Shake Shack, so a review focused on his broader restaurant success reflects positively on the brand's leadership and reputation.

Shake Shack: The Activist Catalyst Adds To This Turnaround Story

Seeking Alpha · 21 Sept 2026positive

Shake Shack maintains a Buy rating, with its valuation reflecting macro risks and offering a re-rating opportunity. The company reported strong Q2 results with 12.8% year-over-year restaurant-level profit growth, a 23% margin, and $61 million in EBITDA despite cost pressures, while guiding to 60–65 company-operated and 40–45 licensed openings, $1.6–$1.7B revenue, and $225–$235M adjusted EBITDA alongside a shift to annual-only guidance.

Why it matters — SHAK watchers would care because the piece highlights the company's strong quarterly performance, upgraded growth outlook, and an activist catalyst that adds to its turnaround narrative.

Restaurant Stocks Slide as August Dining Traffic Weakens: What's Next?

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Sept 2026negative

Restaurant stocks slid after August dining traffic fell 2.4%, raising concerns over selective consumer spending, pricing, and September demand.

Why it matters — As a restaurant operator, Shake Shack could be affected by the sector-wide softening in dining demand and consumer spending.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SHAK stock

What is the SHAK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $82, with estimates ranging from $34 to $126. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SHAK stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Shake Shack, Inc., 15 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Shake Shack, Inc. 30 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SHAK?

As at 2 Oct 2026, Shake Shack, Inc. ranks 30 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (74 of 100).

Will SHAK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +33.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Shake Shack, Inc. 30 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SHAK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Shake Shack, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SHAK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $34 to $126 over the next 12 months.

How has SHAK stock performed over the past year?

Shake Shack, Inc. returned -35.5% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Shake Shack, Inc. do?

Shake Shack, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Shake Shack, a restaurant company focused on casual dining and quick-service hospitality.

What is the latest news on SHAK?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 28 Sept 2026): "CBRL or SHAK: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?". Zacks Investment Research published an article comparing Cracker Barrel (CBRL) and Shake Shack (SHAK) to determine which of the two Restaurant-retail sector stocks is the better value for investors. The piece examines both companies' attractiveness as value stocks without reaching a conclusion about either.

Company

About Shake Shack, Inc.

Shake Shack, Inc. Class A Common Stock represents ownership in Shake Shack, a restaurant company focused on casual dining and quick-service hospitality. Shake Shack operates and licenses a modern burger concept built around made-to-order burgers, chicken sandwiches, crinkle-cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, hot dogs, beer, wine, and related menu items. The company serves consumers through company-operated and licensed restaurants in the United States and select international markets, combining dine-in, takeout, delivery, and digital ordering channels. Its business sits within the broader consumer discretionary sector and is positioned around premium fast-casual dining, where brand experience, menu consistency, and operational execution are central. Shake Shack’s restaurant network and licensing model give it a role in both direct food service and branded expansion across urban, suburban, travel, and high-traffic retail locations.

CEO Mr. Robert M. Lynch · 13,873 employees · United States · https://www.shakeshack.com