SHOPSHOPTechnology · Software - Application

SHOP Stock Forecast: Shopify, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 12 Oct 2026
$179
+4.90% on the day

The 55 Wall Street analysts covering Shopify, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $180 — +0.4% from the last close.

Market cap
$185.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
—/ 100
Median analyst target
$180
Analysts covering
55
Revenue$3.6B+33.7% y/y
Operating income$629.0M
Net income$1.5B
Free cash flow$654.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+11.9%
1M
+39.2%
YTD
+11.3%
1Y
+18.7%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+87.9%
$95
$179
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SHOP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Shopify, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

We don’t hold a current model rank for this company.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

SHOP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SHOP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160$180$200$220Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SHOPHigh $220Median $180Low $120

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says55 analysts
42 Buy12 Hold1 Sell
Low $120Median $180High $220

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +0.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Nov 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$180 → $185
28 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$196 → $216
23 Oct 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$175 → $205
16 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
16 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform$180 → $200
14 Oct 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform$160 → $190
14 Oct 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
12 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$145 → $158
12 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
6 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$185 → $200
6 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
23 Sept 2026WedbushReiteratesOutperform—
23 Sept 2026WedbushReiteratesOutperform$176
11 Sept 2026BernsteinInitiatesOutperform—
11 Sept 2026BernsteinInitiatesOutperform$160
8 Sept 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight—
8 Sept 2026Piper SandlerReiteratesOverweight$172 → $180
20 Aug 2026RosenblattInitiatesBuy$175
20 Aug 2026RosenblattInitiatesBuy—
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

SHOP appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

SHOP vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 12 Oct 2026, Shopify, Inc. returned +18.7% against +20.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SHOP vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SHOPS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SHOP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.6%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Shopify, Inc. (SHOP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
97.5×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
14.1×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

Price / book
14.7×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
81.9×

Cheaper than 3% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
33.7%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
65.8%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Gross margin
47.7%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Operating margin
17.6%

Higher than 76% of US stocks

Net margin
14.5%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
15.5%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.2%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Shopify, Inc. (SHOP) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Shopify, Inc. has a market value of $185.1B and an enterprise value of $196.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $13.3B. The latest quarter grew 33.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $1.9B, a 14.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.48.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.4B.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.3B.

  • Trailing P/E: 97.5×; forward P/E: 58.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Shopify, Inc. employs 7,600 people — $1.7M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SHOP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSoftware - Application
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SHOPShopify, Inc.$185.1B—
NVDANVIDIA Corp.*$5.0T74
AAPLApple, Inc.*$4.8T79
MSFTMicrosoft Corp.*$3.9T69
AVGOBroadcom Inc.*$1.6T70
MUMicron Technology, Inc.*$962.3B95
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.*$789.0B59

* Nearest Technology names by size — few software - application companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Shopify, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SHOP news & analysis

Shopify Could Be the Best Growth Stock to Buy With $1,000 in November

The Motley Fool · 4 Nov 2026positive

The Motley Fool says Shopify's stock has pulled back from its all-time high and suggests it could rise as new growth engines take effect.

Why it matters — The item highlights Shopify's pullback and anticipated contribution from new growth engines as points of interest for SHOP watchers.

SHOP Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise on Strong GMV

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Nov 2026positive

Shopify’s Q3’26 earnings beat estimates, with revenue rising 31.6%. The excerpt attributes the increase to strong GMV growth, higher payments penetration, and expanding AI commerce adoption.

Why it matters — The results highlight revenue growth and the factors cited as supporting it, which are relevant to watchers of Shopify.

Cathie Wood Bought $12.5 Million of Shopify as It Tanked

24/7 Wall Street · 4 Nov 2026neutral

ARK Invest bought $12.5 million of Shopify shares on the day the stock fell sharply after a rare revenue miss. The excerpt questions whether Shopify’s fundamentals support confidence at a 141x earnings multiple.

Why it matters — The purchase and the revenue miss offer contrasting signals for SHOP watchers assessing the company’s results and valuation.

SHOP Q3 Earnings Call Highlights AI Commerce and Margin Discipline

Zacks Investment Research · 4 Nov 2026positive

Shopify’s Q3 2026 earnings call highlighted rising AI shopping traffic, expanding payments penetration and cost discipline as holiday-quarter spending rises.

Why it matters — These themes offer SHOP watchers context on commerce traffic, payments growth and expense management entering the holiday quarter.

Polen Global Growth Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 4 Nov 2026neutral

Polen Global Growth reported that ServiceNow was its top-performing holding in Q3 2026, while Tokyo Electron was its largest relative detractor. The portfolio initiated positions in Seagate Technology, Advanced Micro Devices, Quanta Services, and SK Hynix, and sold Oracle.

Why it matters — The excerpt reports no portfolio activity involving Shopify, so it provides no direct Shopify-specific information.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SHOP stock

What is the SHOP stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 55 Wall Street analysts covering Shopify, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $180, with estimates ranging from $120 to $220. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SHOP stock a buy right now?

Of the 55 analysts covering Shopify, Inc., 42 rate it a Buy, 12 a Hold and 1 a Sell. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

Will SHOP stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 55 analysts implies +0.4% from the last close. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SHOP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Shopify, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SHOP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $120 to $220 over the next 12 months.

How has SHOP stock performed over the past year?

Shopify, Inc. returned +18.7% over the 12 months to 12 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Shopify, Inc. do?

Shopify Inc. is a Canadian commerce technology company that provides software and services for businesses to create, manage, and grow retail operations across online and offline channels.

What is the latest news on SHOP?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 4 Nov 2026): "Shopify Could Be the Best Growth Stock to Buy With $1,000 in November". The Motley Fool says Shopify's stock has pulled back from its all-time high and suggests it could rise as new growth engines take effect.

Company

About Shopify, Inc.

Shopify Inc. is a Canadian commerce technology company that provides software and services for businesses to create, manage, and grow retail operations across online and offline channels. Its core platform helps merchants build storefronts, manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, handle shipping, and maintain customer relationships. Shopify also offers merchant services such as integrated payment processing, point-of-sale tools, shipping labels, apps, themes, and financing-related products that support day-to-day commerce operations. The company serves businesses of many sizes across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Founded in 2004 and headquartered in Ottawa, Canada, Shopify plays a central role in modern e-commerce by providing the digital infrastructure that connects merchants with consumers across web, mobile, social, and physical retail environments.

CEO Mr. Tobias Lutke · 7,600 employees · Canada · https://www.shopify.com